County Hazards

States › Arkansas › Lafayette County

Lafayette County, Arkansas

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 05073 · 6,163 residents (2021) · 529 sq mi · dominant hazard Wind

Hail · 142Tornado · 19Flood · 62Wind · 206Winter · 39
1972-03-28: Hail1972-03-28: Hail1974-05-04: Hail1975-05-09: Hail1976-05-26: Hail1981-05-16: Hail1982-03-21: Hail1983-05-26: Hail1984-04-18: Hail1984-03-03: Hail1984-03-27: Hail1984-03-27: Hail1984-05-03: Hail1984-05-02: Hail1984-05-07: Hail1984-10-20: Hail1984-10-20: Hail1985-07-10: Hail1985-04-23: Hail1985-04-30: Hail1985-04-22: Hail1986-04-04: Hail1986-03-15: Hail1987-05-20: Hail1988-11-15: Hail1988-11-19: Hail1989-03-20: Hail1989-11-08: Hail1989-04-03: Hail1990-04-05: Hail1990-04-05: Hail1990-05-16: Hail1991-02-19: Hail1991-04-13: Hail1991-11-19: Hail1992-11-03: Hail1992-03-05: Hail1992-06-10: Hail1992-02-14: Hail1992-04-24: Hail1992-03-05: Hail1992-06-03: Hail1992-06-29: Hail1992-07-19: Hail1996-05-29: Hail1996-10-21: Hail1996-03-30: Hail1996-03-30: Hail1996-04-21: Hail1996-04-21: Hail1997-01-27: Hail1998-01-06: Hail1998-01-11: Hail1998-05-28: Hail1998-01-11: Hail1998-03-05: Hail1998-03-05: Hail1999-03-02: Hail1999-05-05: Hail1999-04-25: Hail1999-01-21: Hail1999-01-21: Hail2000-03-26: Hail2000-04-23: Hail2000-05-12: Hail2000-05-12: Hail2001-11-26: Hail2003-05-13: Hail2003-05-14: Hail2003-05-14: Hail2003-05-05: Hail2003-05-20: Hail2005-04-26: Hail2005-04-26: Hail2005-06-06: Hail2006-05-04: Hail2006-05-13: Hail2006-05-13: Hail2006-05-13: Hail2007-02-24: Hail2007-05-15: Hail2007-03-01: Hail2007-03-01: Hail2008-02-25: Hail2008-02-25: Hail2008-03-14: Hail2009-05-02: Hail2009-05-02: Hail2009-04-09: Hail2009-04-09: Hail2010-10-24: Hail2010-10-24: Hail2010-10-24: Hail2010-03-10: Hail2011-05-21: Hail1963-03-16: Tornado1974-10-31: Tornado1985-04-23: Tornado1998-01-11: Tornado1999-01-21: Tornado1999-01-21: Tornado2000-04-23: Tornado2003-05-13: Tornado2007-03-27: Tornado2016-04-29: Tornado2019-10-21: Tornado2020-05-25: Tornado2023-07-12: Tornado2024-04-28: Tornado2024-04-28: Tornado2024-07-08: Tornado2024-07-08: Tornado2025-04-02: Tornado2025-04-02: Tornado2009-05-03: Flood2009-05-02: Flood2009-05-02: Flood2009-05-02: Flood2009-10-27: Flood2009-05-03: Flood2009-05-14: Flood2009-10-30: Flood2009-10-13: Flood2011-04-21: Flood2015-05-30: Flood2015-05-29: Flood2015-06-01: Flood2016-03-09: Flood2016-03-09: Flood2016-03-09: Flood2016-04-30: Flood2016-04-30: Flood2016-04-30: Flood2016-04-30: Flood2016-04-30: Flood2016-08-16: Flood2016-08-16: Flood2016-08-16: Flood2018-02-21: Flood2019-05-08: Flood2020-02-12: Flood2020-02-12: Flood2020-02-12: Flood2020-08-12: Flood2020-08-12: Flood2020-08-12: Flood2023-01-02: Flood2023-07-12: Flood2023-07-12: Flood2023-07-12: Flood2023-07-12: Flood2023-07-12: Flood2023-07-12: Flood2023-07-12: Flood2024-01-23: Flood2024-03-15: Flood2024-03-15: Flood2024-03-15: Flood2025-04-05: Flood2025-04-05: Flood2026-06-24: Flood2026-06-24: Flood2026-06-24: Flood2026-06-24: Flood2026-06-24: Flood2026-06-24: Flood2026-06-24: Flood2026-06-23: Wind2026-06-02: Wind2026-05-19: Wind2025-10-18: Wind2025-09-05: Wind2025-09-05: Wind2025-07-31: Wind2025-06-07: Wind2025-04-30: Wind2025-04-30: Wind2025-04-04: Wind2025-03-04: Wind2024-06-26: Wind2024-06-03: Wind2024-04-28: Wind2024-04-28: Wind2024-04-28: Wind2023-07-16: Wind2023-07-16: Wind2023-06-18: Wind2023-06-18: Wind2023-06-14: Wind2023-06-14: Wind2023-06-14: Wind2023-04-05: Wind2023-01-18: Wind2023-01-02: Wind2022-09-25: Wind2022-09-25: Wind2022-05-21: Wind2022-05-21: Wind2022-05-05: Wind2022-05-05: Wind2021-04-09: Wind2021-04-09: Wind2021-04-09: Wind2021-04-09: Wind2021-04-09: Wind2021-03-27: Wind2021-03-27: Wind2020-05-25: Wind2020-05-08: Wind2020-04-28: Wind2020-04-12: Wind2020-04-12: Wind2020-04-12: Wind2019-06-19: Wind2019-06-19: Wind2019-05-18: Wind2019-03-14: Wind2019-03-14: Wind2018-05-23: Wind2017-03-24: Wind2016-07-14: Wind2016-04-29: Wind2016-04-11: Wind2016-03-24: Wind2016-03-24: Wind2015-11-17: Wind2015-04-24: Wind2014-10-02: Wind2014-07-23: Wind2014-04-03: Wind2014-04-03: Wind2014-04-03: Wind2013-07-26: Wind2013-05-21: Wind2013-03-31: Wind2013-01-29: Wind2012-12-20: Wind2012-12-20: Wind2012-12-20: Wind2012-11-11: Wind2012-08-05: Wind2012-06-12: Wind2012-05-07: Wind2012-05-07: Wind2011-09-22: Wind2011-08-20: Wind2011-07-05: Wind2011-04-25: Wind2010-10-24: Wind2010-10-24: Wind2010-04-23: Wind2009-10-09: Wind2009-10-09: Wind2009-10-09: Wind2009-10-01: Wind2009-10-01: Wind2009-10-01: Wind2009-05-09: Wind2009-05-02: Wind2009-04-29: Wind2009-04-09: Wind2008-07-04: Wind2008-05-10: Wind2007-07-13: Wind2007-06-20: Wind2007-06-18: Wind2007-05-15: Wind2007-02-24: Wind2006-09-23: Wind2006-08-25: Wind2006-01-13: Wind2005-10-31: Wind2005-10-31: Wind2005-06-17: Wind2005-06-17: Wind2004-06-19: Wind2004-06-19: Wind2004-06-19: Wind2004-06-02: Wind2003-06-16: Wind2003-06-11: Wind2003-06-10: Wind2003-06-10: Wind2003-06-10: Wind2003-05-14: Wind2003-05-14: Wind2003-05-14: Wind
Lafayette County within Arkansas. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

The NCEI record lists 599 events for Lafayette County, Arkansas, between 1950 and 2026; damaging wind account for the largest share.

That is 113.1 events per 100 square miles, in line with the Arkansas figure of 94.2, and 971.9 per 10,000 residents against 161.8 statewide.

31 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 1 death and 7 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $45M and crop damage at $13M.

FEMA has designated the county in 21 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Winter Storm (emergency, 24 Jan 2026).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 5 claims since 1978, of which 3 were paid, totalling $102K (about $34K per paid claim). FEMA counts 1 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Very Low" and its expected annual loss as "Very Low" ($6.9M a year across 18 hazards).

14 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 0 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

31events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
599events since 19501 death, 7 injuries recorded
21disaster declarationslast 24 Jan 2026
5NFIP flood claims$102K paid

Compared with Arkansas and the United States

MeasureLafayette CountyArkansasUS
Recorded events since 195059948,9661,977,440
Events per 100 square miles113.194.256.0
Events per 10,000 residents971.9161.859.6
Events in the last 12 months311,15162,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI166826,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$45M$6.4B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents0.83.48.1
Average paid NFIP claim$34K$27K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years100.023.016.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Wind: 1
Tornado: 1Wind: 1
Hail: 5Tornado: 1Wind: 1
Hail: 24Tornado: 1Wind: 24
Hail: 58Tornado: 3Flood: 1Wind: 55Winter: 2Drought: 1Other: 1
Hail: 28Tornado: 3Flood: 17Wind: 40Winter: 6Tropical: 1Drought: 2
Hail: 15Tornado: 2Flood: 17Wind: 38Winter: 19Heat: 25Cold: 2Drought: 26Wildfire: 2
Hail: 12Tornado: 8Flood: 27Wind: 46Winter: 12Tropical: 1Heat: 52Cold: 5Drought: 12Other: 1
11950s21960s71970s491980s1211990s972000s1462010s1762020s
Recorded events in Lafayette County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterTropicalHeatColdDroughtWildfireOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 352 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 183 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Wind206
Hail142
Heat77
Flood62
Drought41
Winter39
Tornado19
Cold7
Tropical2
Wildfire2
Other2
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Wind206—1.2%detail
■ Hail142—1.1%detail
■ Heat77—2.9%
■ Flood6211.1%detail
■ Drought41—2.2%
■ Winter39—0.8%detail
■ Tornado19—0.7%detail
■ Cold7—1.5%
■ Tropical2—0.7%
■ Wildfire2—1.1%
■ Other2—0.3%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
27 Oct 2009FloodFlood———1—County
12 Dec 2000Ice StormWinter—$40M———Forecast zone
19 Jun 2004Thunderstorm WindWind66 mph———2County
24 Apr 2015Thunderstorm WindWind62 mph———2County
1 Jun 2015FloodFlood—$500K$13M——County
10 Jun 2003Thunderstorm WindWind75 mph$29K——1County
9 Oct 2009Thunderstorm WindWind61 mph$10K——1County
28 Apr 2024Thunderstorm WindWind81 mph———1County
23 Apr 2000TornadoTornadoF1$1.2M———County
9 Oct 2009Thunderstorm WindWind66 mph$500K———County
31 Oct 1974TornadoTornadoF1$250K———County
13 Sep 2008Tropical StormTropical—$250K———Forecast zone
13 Oct 2009Flash FloodFlood—$250K———County
25 May 2020TornadoTornadoEF1$200K———County
2 Apr 2025TornadoTornadoEF1$135K———County
3 Apr 2014Thunderstorm WindWind70 mph$125K———County
7 Jan 2010Cold/Wind ChillCold—$100K———Forecast zone

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
24 Jan 2026EM-3636EmergencyWinter StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
21 May 2025DR-4873Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
5 Apr 2025EM-3627EmergencySevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
27 Aug 2020EM-3541EmergencyHurricaneHurricane LauraPublic assistance
3 Apr 2020DR-4518Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3461EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
26 Jun 2015DR-4226Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And FloodingPublic assistance
4 Feb 2010DR-1872Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
3 Dec 2009DR-1861Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
16 Jun 2009DR-1845Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
22 Oct 2008DR-1804Major disasterSevere StormTropical Storm IkePublic assistance
2 Sep 2005EM-3215EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
30 Jun 2004DR-1528Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
13 Mar 2001DR-1363Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
29 Dec 2000DR-1354Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter Ice StormIndividual assistance, Public assistance
28 Dec 2000EM-3159EmergencySevere Ice StormSevere Winter Ice StormPublic assistance
23 Jan 1999DR-1266Major disasterSevere StormAr Severe Weather 1-21-99Individual assistance
14 Apr 1997DR-1176Major disasterFloodFlooding, Severe StormsPublic assistance
28 Feb 1994DR-1011Major disasterSnowstormSevere Winter Ice StormPublic assistance
30 May 1991DR-907Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingPublic assistance
15 May 1990DR-865Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Lafayette County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 19785
Paid claims3
Total paid$102K
Average paid claim$34K
Repetitive-loss properties0
Residential policies in force10.0% of 3,173 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202310$0—
200911$80,000$80,000
199811$1,412$1,412
199111$20,463$20,463
198110$0—

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskVery Lowscore 33.2 of 100
Expected annual loss$6.9MVery Low
Social vulnerabilityVery High
Community resilienceVery Low
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Ice stormVery High$2,615,172
Inland floodingVery Low$1,325,905
DroughtRelatively Moderate$869,397
TornadoRelatively Low$622,680
HailRelatively Low$403,337
Strong windRelatively Low$319,540
Heat waveRelatively Low$236,856
EarthquakeVery Low$217,632
HurricaneRelatively Low$188,113
LightningRelatively Low$64,236
Cold waveVery Low$54,686
Winter weatherVery Low$6,586
WildfireVery Low$5,522
LandslideVery Low$46

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles14
Tracks within 50 miles6
Hurricane strength within 50 miles0
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Laura202051 mi63 mph
Barry201965 mi40 mph
Ike200876 mi40 mph
Rita200544 mi40 mph
Betsy196594 mi40 mph
Audrey195798 mi63 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm194799 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm194130 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm192093 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm191886 mi52 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm189131 mi52 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm188641 mi58 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm187925 mi58 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm186535 mi46 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Lafayette County, AR?

NCEI records 142 hail events in Lafayette County since 1950, in 41 different years; that is about 1.8 recorded events a year. 28 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Lafayette County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 19 tornadoes in Lafayette County since 1950, 2 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 0.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Lafayette County?

24 Jan 2026: Severe Winter Storm, a emergency declaration for winter storm. The county appears in 21 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Lafayette County, and how much was paid?

5 NFIP claims since 1978, 3 of them paid, for $102K in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Lafayette County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Very Low" for overall risk, "Very Low" for expected annual loss, "Very High" for social vulnerability and "Very Low" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Lafayette County compare with the rest of Arkansas?

113.1 recorded events per 100 square miles against 94.2 statewide, and 0.8 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 3.4. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.