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St. Francis County, Arkansas
Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.
NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.
The NCEI record lists 472 events for St. Francis County, Arkansas, between 1950 and 2026; heat account for the largest share.
That is 74.4 events per 100 square miles, below the Arkansas figure of 94.2, and 207.6 per 10,000 residents against 161.8 statewide.
40 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 10 deaths and 145 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $36M.
FEMA has designated the county in 22 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Winter Storm (emergency, 24 Jan 2026).
National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 27 claims since 1978, of which 20 were paid, totalling $447K (about $22K per paid claim). FEMA counts 81 residential flood policies in force.
FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Low" and its expected annual loss as "Relatively Low" ($19M a year across 18 hazards).
12 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 0 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.
Compared with Arkansas and the United States
| Measure | St. Francis County | Arkansas | US |
|---|---|---|---|
| Recorded events since 1950 | 472 | 48,966 | 1,977,440 |
| Events per 100 square miles | 74.4 | 94.2 | 56.0 |
| Events per 10,000 residents | 207.6 | 161.8 | 59.6 |
| Events in the last 12 months | 40 | 1,151 | 62,008 |
| Deaths recorded by NCEI | 10 | 668 | 26,435 |
| Property damage (NCEI estimates) | $36M | $6.4B | $575B |
| NFIP claims per 1,000 residents | 1.2 | 3.4 | 8.1 |
| Average paid NFIP claim | $22K | $27K | $43K |
| Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years | 1.2 | 23.0 | 16.1 |
County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.
Events by decade
Trend: 314 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 104 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.
Events by type
Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.
Largest recorded events
| Date | Event type | Group | Magnitude | Property damage | Crop damage | Deaths | Injuries | Geography |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Jun 1974 | Tornado | Tornado | F3 | $25M | — | 4 | 112 | County |
| 2 Apr 1982 | Tornado | Tornado | F2 | $250K | — | 1 | 13 | County |
| 21 Dec 2013 | Tornado | Tornado | EF2 | $500K | — | 1 | 3 | County |
| 15 Apr 2011 | Thunderstorm Wind | Wind | 81 mph | — | — | 1 | 1 | County |
| 13 Jul 2001 | Heat | Heat | — | — | — | 1 | — | Forecast zone |
| 27 Jul 2011 | Heat | Heat | — | — | — | 1 | — | Forecast zone |
| 3 Jan 2016 | Flood | Flood | — | — | — | 1 | — | County |
| 21 Jan 1999 | Tornado | Tornado | F2 | $500K | — | — | 9 | County |
| 15 Nov 2006 | Thunderstorm Wind | Wind | 58 mph | $50K | — | — | 4 | County |
| 19 Apr 1970 | Tornado | Tornado | F3 | $25K | — | — | 2 | County |
| 2 Jun 2018 | Thunderstorm Wind | Wind | 100 mph | $6.0M | — | — | 1 | County |
| 1 May 2011 | Flood | Flood | — | $752K | — | — | — | County |
| 29 Jun 2014 | Flash Flood | Flood | — | $500K | — | — | — | County |
| 14 Aug 1973 | Tornado | Tornado | F2 | $250K | — | — | — | County |
| 29 Jul 1992 | Tornado | Tornado | F1 | $250K | — | — | — | County |
| 2 Jun 2018 | Thunderstorm Wind | Wind | 81 mph | $200K | — | — | — | County |
| 5 Apr 2025 | Tornado | Tornado | EF1 | $125K | — | — | — | County |
| 13 Dec 2000 | Winter Storm | Winter | — | $100K | — | — | — | Forecast zone |
| 2 Jun 2018 | Thunderstorm Wind | Wind | 81 mph | $100K | — | — | — | County |
Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.
Federal disaster declarations
| Declared | Number | Type | Incident | Title | Programs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan 2026 | EM-3636 | Emergency | Winter Storm | Severe Winter Storm | Public assistance |
| 21 May 2025 | DR-4873 | Major disaster | Flood | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding | Individual assistance, Public assistance |
| 5 Apr 2025 | EM-3627 | Emergency | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding | Public assistance |
| 27 Aug 2020 | EM-3541 | Emergency | Hurricane | Hurricane Laura | Public assistance |
| 3 Apr 2020 | DR-4518 | Major disaster | Biological | Covid-19 Pandemic | Individual assistance, Public assistance |
| 13 Mar 2020 | EM-3461 | Emergency | Biological | Covid-19 | Public assistance |
| 2 May 2011 | DR-1975 | Major disaster | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Associated Flooding | Individual assistance, Public assistance |
| 3 Dec 2009 | DR-1861 | Major disaster | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding | Public assistance |
| 16 Jun 2009 | DR-1845 | Major disaster | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding | Public assistance |
| 28 Jan 2009 | EM-3301 | Emergency | Severe Ice Storm | Severe Winter Storm | Public assistance |
| 26 Mar 2008 | DR-1751 | Major disaster | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding | Individual assistance, Public assistance |
| 2 Sep 2005 | EM-3215 | Emergency | Hurricane | Hurricane Katrina Evacuation | Public assistance |
| 6 Jun 2003 | DR-1472 | Major disaster | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding | Individual assistance, Public assistance |
| 29 Dec 2000 | DR-1354 | Major disaster | Severe Ice Storm | Severe Winter Ice Storm | Individual assistance, Public assistance |
| 28 Dec 2000 | EM-3159 | Emergency | Severe Ice Storm | Severe Winter Ice Storm | Public assistance |
| 23 Jan 1999 | DR-1266 | Major disaster | Severe Storm | Ar Severe Weather 1-21-99 | Individual assistance, Public assistance |
| 14 Apr 1997 | DR-1176 | Major disaster | Flood | Flooding, Severe Storms | Public assistance |
| 23 Apr 1982 | EM-3085 | Emergency | Tornado | Severe Storms & Tornadoes | Individual assistance |
| 20 Jan 1978 | EM-3054 | Emergency | Tornado | Tornadoes | Individual assistance |
| 8 Jun 1974 | DR-437 | Major disaster | Flood | Severe Storms & Flooding | Individual assistance, Public assistance |
| 27 Apr 1973 | DR-375 | Major disaster | Flood | Severe Storms & Flooding | Individual assistance, Public assistance |
| 15 Feb 1969 | DR-254 | Major disaster | Flood | Severe Storms & Flooding | Individual assistance, Public assistance |
Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.
Flood insurance claims
| Year of loss | Claims | Paid claims | Amount paid | Average paid |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 1 | 0 | $0 | — |
| 2016 | 1 | 1 | $2,863 | $2,863 |
| 2014 | 5 | 4 | $101,739 | $25,435 |
| 2011 | 5 | 4 | $74,053 | $18,513 |
| 2009 | 1 | 1 | $230,064 | $230,064 |
| 2002 | 1 | 0 | $0 | — |
| 2001 | 1 | 1 | $3,986 | $3,986 |
| 1997 | 1 | 1 | $18,675 | $18,675 |
| 1991 | 1 | 1 | $7,501 | $7,501 |
| 1990 | 1 | 0 | $0 | — |
| 1984 | 1 | 0 | $0 | — |
| 1982 | 2 | 1 | $1,274 | $1,274 |
| 1980 | 4 | 4 | $2,458 | $614 |
| 1979 | 1 | 1 | $4,044 | $4,044 |
| 1978 | 1 | 1 | $231 | $231 |
OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).
National Risk Index
| Hazard (NRI) | Risk rating | Expected annual loss |
|---|---|---|
| Tornado | $8,622,208 | |
| Earthquake | $3,242,248 | |
| Inland flooding | $2,847,837 | |
| Heat wave | $1,174,188 | |
| Strong wind | $1,067,594 | |
| Drought | $625,424 | |
| Cold wave | $599,240 | |
| Ice storm | $456,744 | |
| Lightning | $121,495 | |
| Hail | $105,397 | |
| Hurricane | $46,009 | |
| Winter weather | $26,549 | |
| Wildfire | $6,784 | |
| Landslide | $1,166 |
FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.
Hurricane and tropical storm passes
| Storm | Year | Closest approach | Max wind while within 100 mi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Camille | 1969 | 48 mi | 40 mph |
| Unnamed Atlantic storm | 1941 | 70 mi | 40 mph |
| Unnamed Atlantic storm | 1934 | 96 mi | 40 mph |
| Unnamed Atlantic storm | 1923 | 59 mi | 52 mph |
| Unnamed Atlantic storm | 1923 | 94 mi | 40 mph |
| Unnamed Atlantic storm | 1916 | 99 mi | 46 mph |
| Unnamed Atlantic storm | 1915 | 85 mi | 40 mph |
| Unnamed Atlantic storm | 1909 | 31 mi | 46 mph |
| Unnamed Atlantic storm | 1906 | 51 mi | 46 mph |
| Unnamed Atlantic storm | 1905 | 95 mi | 40 mph |
| Unnamed Atlantic storm | 1888 | 40 mi | 63 mph |
| Unnamed Atlantic storm | 1860 | 96 mi | 46 mph |
HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.
ZIP codes with flood claims
ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.
Questions and answers
How often does it hail in St. Francis County, AR?
NCEI records 81 hail events in St. Francis County since 1950, in 30 different years; that is about 1.1 recorded events a year. 26 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.
Has St. Francis County had a tornado?
Yes. NCEI records 24 tornadoes in St. Francis County since 1950, 8 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 6.
When was the last federal disaster declaration for St. Francis County?
24 Jan 2026: Severe Winter Storm, a emergency declaration for winter storm. The county appears in 22 declarations since 1953.
How many flood insurance claims have been filed in St. Francis County, and how much was paid?
27 NFIP claims since 1978, 20 of them paid, for $447K in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.
Is St. Francis County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?
FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Low" for overall risk, "Relatively Low" for expected annual loss, "Very High" for social vulnerability and "Very Low" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.
How does St. Francis County compare with the rest of Arkansas?
74.4 recorded events per 100 square miles against 94.2 statewide, and 1.2 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 3.4. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.
Provenance
Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.