County Hazards

States › Arkansas › Van Buren County

Van Buren County, Arkansas

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 05141 · 15,694 residents (2021) · 710 sq mi · dominant hazard Wind

Hail · 167Tornado · 35Flood · 42Wind · 197Winter · 81
1965-04-10: Hail1966-04-11: Hail1973-05-11: Hail1973-05-11: Hail1975-05-09: Hail1975-05-08: Hail1976-03-29: Hail1976-04-11: Hail1983-05-27: Hail1983-05-27: Hail1983-05-27: Hail1983-05-18: Hail1983-05-18: Hail1983-05-18: Hail1983-05-18: Hail1983-05-18: Hail1983-05-02: Hail1984-04-03: Hail1984-04-03: Hail1985-09-09: Hail1986-04-04: Hail1986-08-01: Hail1988-11-04: Hail1991-04-26: Hail1992-03-18: Hail1992-03-18: Hail1992-03-06: Hail1992-03-06: Hail1996-05-21: Hail1996-06-06: Hail1996-12-23: Hail1996-02-27: Hail1996-04-14: Hail1996-04-19: Hail1996-04-19: Hail1996-04-28: Hail1996-03-30: Hail1996-04-20: Hail1996-10-17: Hail1997-07-14: Hail1998-09-21: Hail1998-04-03: Hail1998-04-03: Hail1998-07-29: Hail1998-03-05: Hail1998-03-05: Hail1998-07-23: Hail1998-09-20: Hail1998-04-15: Hail1999-06-24: Hail1999-01-21: Hail1999-04-05: Hail1999-03-05: Hail1999-03-05: Hail1999-03-05: Hail2000-01-03: Hail2000-03-29: Hail2000-04-07: Hail2000-04-07: Hail2000-04-07: Hail2000-05-21: Hail2001-02-21: Hail2001-05-20: Hail2001-08-20: Hail2002-01-23: Hail2002-03-25: Hail2002-03-25: Hail2002-05-25: Hail2002-10-06: Hail2003-12-22: Hail2003-08-03: Hail2003-08-03: Hail2003-08-03: Hail2003-11-27: Hail2003-03-25: Hail2003-04-04: Hail2003-05-04: Hail2003-05-08: Hail2003-05-08: Hail2004-04-23: Hail2004-04-23: Hail2004-04-22: Hail2004-06-12: Hail2004-07-15: Hail2004-07-08: Hail2004-08-11: Hail2005-04-28: Hail2005-11-15: Hail2006-04-02: Hail2006-04-02: Hail2006-04-02: Hail2006-07-21: Hail2007-06-05: Hail2007-06-05: Hail2008-05-26: Hail2008-06-20: Hail2008-06-20: Hail2008-07-22: Hail2008-04-22: Hail1955-11-02: Tornado1956-02-14: Tornado1956-02-15: Tornado1959-04-27: Tornado1960-05-06: Tornado1976-03-26: Tornado1979-06-28: Tornado1982-12-02: Tornado1984-03-15: Tornado1988-11-15: Tornado1989-06-11: Tornado1994-11-27: Tornado1997-03-01: Tornado1997-03-01: Tornado1997-08-14: Tornado1998-04-15: Tornado1999-03-05: Tornado1999-03-05: Tornado2003-05-04: Tornado2004-04-23: Tornado2004-04-24: Tornado2005-11-27: Tornado2005-11-27: Tornado2005-11-27: Tornado2005-11-27: Tornado2008-01-08: Tornado2008-02-05: Tornado2008-05-02: Tornado2008-05-02: Tornado2010-04-30: Tornado2010-04-30: Tornado2010-04-30: Tornado2012-04-15: Tornado2013-04-10: Tornado2015-12-23: Tornado2007-01-13: Flood2008-03-18: Flood2008-09-03: Flood2009-09-16: Flood2009-09-16: Flood2009-09-16: Flood2009-10-29: Flood2009-10-30: Flood2009-09-16: Flood2009-09-16: Flood2009-09-16: Flood2011-11-21: Flood2011-04-26: Flood2011-05-01: Flood2012-03-21: Flood2012-03-21: Flood2013-01-12: Flood2013-01-12: Flood2013-05-31: Flood2014-01-11: Flood2015-05-20: Flood2015-05-25: Flood2015-11-17: Flood2017-08-15: Flood2018-08-19: Flood2018-08-19: Flood2018-08-19: Flood2019-05-29: Flood2019-02-11: Flood2020-05-16: Flood2021-04-29: Flood2021-04-29: Flood2021-04-29: Flood2023-02-08: Flood2025-05-25: Flood2025-01-30: Flood2025-06-07: Flood2025-06-07: Flood1957-05-13: Wind1964-08-11: Wind1971-08-11: Wind1975-05-06: Wind1977-02-23: Wind1979-05-03: Wind1979-04-11: Wind1982-05-28: Wind1982-05-28: Wind1982-06-15: Wind1982-12-02: Wind1983-04-01: Wind1983-04-01: Wind1983-04-01: Wind1984-02-11: Wind1984-10-16: Wind1985-05-29: Wind1985-04-27: Wind1988-11-15: Wind1988-08-01: Wind1990-06-21: Wind1991-11-19: Wind1991-11-29: Wind1991-11-29: Wind1992-08-10: Wind1996-01-18: Wind1996-06-17: Wind1996-12-23: Wind1996-09-26: Wind1996-08-21: Wind1996-09-15: Wind1996-09-15: Wind1996-04-14: Wind1996-03-30: Wind1996-04-22: Wind1996-03-24: Wind1996-03-24: Wind1997-02-20: Wind1997-10-12: Wind1997-08-14: Wind1998-03-31: Wind1998-07-23: Wind1998-04-07: Wind1998-04-15: Wind1998-06-04: Wind1998-11-10: Wind1999-02-06: Wind1999-05-17: Wind1999-07-27: Wind1999-04-26: Wind1999-06-24: Wind2000-05-24: Wind2000-05-24: Wind2000-05-24: Wind2000-08-23: Wind2000-08-23: Wind2000-08-23: Wind2001-02-24: Wind2001-06-14: Wind2001-10-10: Wind2001-10-10: Wind2001-10-10: Wind2001-10-10: Wind2001-10-10: Wind2002-01-23: Wind2002-03-09: Wind2002-05-12: Wind2002-07-23: Wind2003-07-22: Wind2003-08-20: Wind2003-05-04: Wind2003-05-04: Wind2004-04-23: Wind2004-06-18: Wind2004-05-30: Wind2004-05-30: Wind2004-05-30: Wind2004-07-04: Wind2005-02-21: Wind2005-04-05: Wind2005-11-15: Wind2006-07-21: Wind2006-07-21: Wind2006-07-21: Wind2006-07-19: Wind2006-07-19: Wind2006-07-21: Wind2006-08-21: Wind2006-09-23: Wind2007-05-09: Wind2007-06-10: Wind2008-04-22: Wind2008-07-22: Wind2009-03-24: Wind2009-02-11: Wind2009-02-11: Wind2009-02-11: Wind2009-03-24: Wind2009-04-09: Wind2009-04-09: Wind2009-04-09: Wind2009-05-14: Wind2009-06-12: Wind
Van Buren County within Arkansas. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

Between 1950 and 2026, NCEI recorded 577 storm events in Van Buren County, Arkansas, led by damaging wind.

That is 81.3 events per 100 square miles, in line with the Arkansas figure of 94.2, and 367.7 per 10,000 residents against 161.8 statewide.

5 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 8 deaths and 138 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $108M and crop damage at $250K.

FEMA has designated the county in 25 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Winter Storm (emergency, 24 Jan 2026).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 18 claims since 1978, of which 16 were paid, totalling $588K (about $37K per paid claim). FEMA counts 18 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Low" and its expected annual loss as "Very Low" ($10.0M a year across 18 hazards).

8 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 0 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

5events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
577events since 19508 deaths, 138 injuries recorded
25disaster declarationslast 24 Jan 2026
18NFIP flood claims$588K paid

Compared with Arkansas and the United States

MeasureVan Buren CountyArkansasUS
Recorded events since 195057748,9661,977,440
Events per 100 square miles81.394.256.0
Events per 10,000 residents367.7161.859.6
Events in the last 12 months51,15162,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI866826,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$108M$6.4B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents1.13.48.1
Average paid NFIP claim$37K$27K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years5.623.016.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Tornado: 4Wind: 1
Hail: 2Tornado: 1Wind: 1
Hail: 6Tornado: 2Wind: 5
Hail: 15Tornado: 4Wind: 13
Hail: 53Tornado: 7Flood: 1Wind: 46Winter: 5Lightning: 1Other: 1
Hail: 50Tornado: 11Flood: 14Wind: 57Winter: 20Tropical: 3Heat: 1Cold: 3Drought: 1Lightning: 4Other: 1
Hail: 29Tornado: 6Flood: 18Wind: 55Winter: 41Tropical: 2Heat: 7Cold: 3Drought: 14Wildfire: 4Lightning: 1Other: 5
Hail: 12Flood: 9Wind: 19Winter: 15Other: 4
51950s41960s131970s321980s1141990s1652000s1852010s592020s
Recorded events in Van Buren County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterTropicalHeatColdDroughtWildfireLightningOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 319 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 207 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Wind197
Hail167
Winter81
Flood42
Tornado35
Drought15
Other11
Heat8
Cold6
Lightning6
Tropical5
Wildfire4
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Wind197—1.2%detail
■ Hail167—1.3%detail
■ Winter81—1.7%detail
■ Flood42—0.7%detail
■ Tornado3581.4%detail
■ Drought15—0.8%
■ Other11—1.6%
■ Heat8—0.3%
■ Cold6—1.3%
■ Lightning6—1.6%
■ Tropical5—1.8%
■ Wildfire4—2.2%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
5 Feb 2008TornadoTornadoEF4$23M—377County
2 May 2008TornadoTornadoEF3$10M—36County
30 Apr 2010TornadoTornadoEF3$4.0M—115County
15 Nov 1988TornadoTornadoF3$2.5M—110County
11 Jun 1989TornadoTornadoF2$250K——6County
10 Apr 2013TornadoTornadoEF2$3.5M——5County
2 Nov 1955TornadoTornadoF2$25K——5County
6 May 1960TornadoTornadoF2$3K——4County
11 Feb 1984Thunderstorm WindWind0 mph———3County
15 Mar 1984TornadoTornadoF4$25M———County
26 Jan 2009Ice StormWinter—$25M———Forecast zone
20 Mar 2011WildfireWildfire—$300K——2Forecast zone
11 Jan 2014FloodFlood—$40K——2County
23 Aug 2000LightningLightning————1County
18 Jun 2004LightningLightning————1County
9 Dec 2007LightningLightning————1County
2 Dec 1982TornadoTornadoF3$2.5M———County
1 May 2011FloodFlood—$1.5M$250K——County
13 Sep 2008Tropical StormTropical—$1.2M———Forecast zone
18 Mar 2008Flash FloodFlood—$1.0M———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
24 Jan 2026EM-3636EmergencyWinter StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
5 Apr 2025EM-3627EmergencySevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
27 Aug 2020EM-3541EmergencyHurricaneHurricane LauraPublic assistance
3 Apr 2020DR-4518Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3461EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
6 Jan 2014DR-4160Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
25 Jun 2013DR-4124Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
2 May 2011DR-1975Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And Associated FloodingPublic assistance
3 Dec 2009DR-1861Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
6 Feb 2009DR-1819Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
28 Jan 2009EM-3301EmergencySevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
22 Oct 2008DR-1804Major disasterSevere StormTropical Storm IkePublic assistance
18 Sep 2008DR-1793Major disasterHurricaneSevere Storms And Flooding Associated With Hurricane GustavPublic assistance
20 May 2008DR-1758Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Flooding, And TornadoesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
26 Mar 2008DR-1751Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
7 Feb 2008DR-1744Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
2 Sep 2005EM-3215EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
6 Jun 2003DR-1472Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
6 Jan 2003DR-1450Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Ice StormPublic assistance
29 Dec 2000DR-1354Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter Ice StormIndividual assistance, Public assistance
14 Apr 1997DR-1176Major disasterFloodFlooding, Severe StormsPublic assistance
30 May 1991DR-907Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingPublic assistance
23 Nov 1988DR-817Major disasterTornadoSevere Storms & TornadoesIndividual assistance
13 Dec 1982DR-673Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
3 Dec 1976EM-3019EmergencyDroughtDroughtPublic assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Van Buren County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 197818
Paid claims16
Total paid$588K
Average paid claim$37K
Repetitive-loss properties20 severe
Residential policies in force180.2% of 9,490 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202511$5,377$5,377
201333$106,788$35,596
201132$179,775$89,887
200921$1,287$1,287
200822$22,305$11,152
200311$8,297$8,297
199811$32,795$32,795
198255$231,377$46,275

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Lowscore 50.6 of 100
Expected annual loss$10.0MVery Low
Social vulnerabilityVery High
Community resilienceVery Low
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively Low$3,756,759
TornadoRelatively Moderate$2,730,522
Ice stormVery High$1,155,241
EarthquakeRelatively Low$777,035
Strong windRelatively Moderate$435,907
Heat waveRelatively Low$373,863
Cold waveRelatively Low$271,185
WildfireRelatively Low$159,851
LightningRelatively Low$157,090
HailVery Low$68,558
Winter weatherRelatively Moderate$56,128
HurricaneVery Low$14,122
LandslideRelatively Low$7,064

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles8
Tracks within 50 miles1
Hurricane strength within 50 miles0
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Laura202082 mi40 mph
Ike200867 mi40 mph
Carla196184 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm194184 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm192363 mi52 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm191527 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm190980 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm187982 mi46 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Van Buren County, AR?

NCEI records 167 hail events in Van Buren County since 1950, in 43 different years; that is about 2.2 recorded events a year. 43 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Van Buren County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 35 tornadoes in Van Buren County since 1950, 17 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 8.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Van Buren County?

24 Jan 2026: Severe Winter Storm, a emergency declaration for winter storm. The county appears in 25 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Van Buren County, and how much was paid?

18 NFIP claims since 1978, 16 of them paid, for $588K in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Van Buren County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Low" for overall risk, "Very Low" for expected annual loss, "Very High" for social vulnerability and "Very Low" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Van Buren County compare with the rest of Arkansas?

81.3 recorded events per 100 square miles against 94.2 statewide, and 1.1 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 3.4. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.