County Hazards

States › Florida › Gilchrist County

Gilchrist County, Florida

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 12041 · 18,360 residents (2021) · 350 sq mi · dominant hazard Wind

Hail · 29Tornado · 5Flood · 5Wind · 92Winter · 2
1966-06-16: Hail1971-04-26: Hail1998-06-22: Hail1998-08-08: Hail1998-06-22: Hail1999-05-20: Hail2000-05-14: Hail2001-05-30: Hail2003-03-01: Hail2003-05-18: Hail2006-01-02: Hail2006-05-28: Hail2006-07-27: Hail2006-07-29: Hail2007-06-08: Hail2007-08-27: Hail2007-05-13: Hail2008-06-10: Hail2008-06-17: Hail2009-06-18: Hail2011-06-14: Hail2011-04-20: Hail2011-04-20: Hail2014-05-29: Hail2014-06-16: Hail2019-03-27: Hail2019-07-21: Hail2023-05-11: Hail2026-05-17: Hail1970-07-03: Tornado1983-04-23: Tornado2020-04-23: Tornado2021-03-18: Tornado2017-06-06: Flood2024-08-05: Flood1967-12-28: Wind1983-08-30: Wind1984-02-27: Wind1992-02-17: Wind1996-12-07: Wind1997-07-05: Wind1997-06-26: Wind1998-06-22: Wind1998-06-22: Wind1998-09-03: Wind1998-06-25: Wind1998-08-03: Wind1998-09-02: Wind1998-06-22: Wind1998-03-08: Wind1999-05-20: Wind1999-08-13: Wind1999-05-10: Wind1999-01-18: Wind1999-01-02: Wind1999-04-28: Wind1999-09-07: Wind2000-07-20: Wind2001-03-29: Wind2002-05-30: Wind2002-07-03: Wind2003-05-18: Wind2003-06-13: Wind2006-05-28: Wind2006-05-28: Wind2006-07-28: Wind2006-10-27: Wind2007-07-14: Wind2007-07-01: Wind2008-02-26: Wind2008-06-17: Wind2008-04-05: Wind2008-03-07: Wind2009-04-13: Wind2009-06-18: Wind2009-06-13: Wind2010-04-25: Wind2010-04-25: Wind2010-07-30: Wind2010-07-28: Wind2011-06-14: Wind2011-06-14: Wind2011-06-14: Wind2011-06-06: Wind2011-04-05: Wind2011-04-20: Wind2012-09-18: Wind2014-05-25: Wind2014-05-29: Wind2015-06-22: Wind2015-08-07: Wind2015-08-07: Wind2015-08-07: Wind2015-06-01: Wind2015-08-07: Wind2015-07-05: Wind2016-02-24: Wind2016-02-24: Wind2016-02-24: Wind2017-05-04: Wind2017-02-07: Wind2018-03-19: Wind2018-04-07: Wind2018-09-28: Wind2019-03-27: Wind2019-04-19: Wind2019-07-21: Wind2020-02-06: Wind2020-08-11: Wind2020-12-24: Wind2022-08-17: Wind2022-08-17: Wind2022-06-29: Wind2023-06-21: Wind2023-06-14: Wind2023-06-14: Wind2023-06-22: Wind2023-06-16: Wind2023-06-16: Wind2023-06-16: Wind2024-03-27: Wind2024-01-09: Wind
Gilchrist County within Florida. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

Between 1950 and 2026, NCEI recorded 185 storm events in Gilchrist County, Florida, led by damaging wind.

That is 52.9 events per 100 square miles, below the Florida figure of 73.8, and 100.8 per 10,000 residents against 18.2 statewide.

7 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 0 deaths and 6 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $8.8M.

FEMA has designated the county in 37 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Hurricane Milton (major disaster, 11 Oct 2024).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 212 claims since 1978, of which 174 were paid, totalling $2.2M (about $13K per paid claim). FEMA counts 180 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Very Low" and its expected annual loss as "Very Low" ($6.8M a year across 18 hazards).

105 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 13 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

7events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
185events since 19500 deaths, 6 injuries recorded
37disaster declarationslast 11 Oct 2024
212NFIP flood claims$2.2M paid

Compared with Florida and the United States

MeasureGilchrist CountyFloridaUS
Recorded events since 195018539,5781,977,440
Events per 100 square miles52.973.856.0
Events per 10,000 residents100.818.259.6
Events in the last 12 months71,30762,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI089026,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$8.8M$80B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents11.520.68.1
Average paid NFIP claim$13K$62K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years10.618.316.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Hail: 1Wind: 1
Hail: 1Tornado: 1
Tornado: 1Wind: 2
Hail: 4Tornado: 1Flood: 2Wind: 22Wildfire: 2
Hail: 14Flood: 1Wind: 21Tropical: 4Wildfire: 1Lightning: 2Other: 7
Hail: 7Flood: 1Wind: 31Winter: 2Tropical: 2Other: 18
Hail: 2Tornado: 2Flood: 1Wind: 15Tropical: 4Drought: 6Other: 6
01950s21960s21970s31980s311990s502000s612010s362020s
Recorded events in Gilchrist County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterTropicalDroughtWildfireLightningOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 122 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 49 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Wind92
Other31
Hail29
Tropical10
Drought6
Tornado5
Flood5
Wildfire3
Winter2
Lightning2
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Wind92—0.6%detail
■ Other31—1.1%
■ Hail29—0.5%detail
■ Tropical10—0.4%
■ Drought6—0.4%
■ Tornado5—0.1%
■ Flood5—0.1%
■ Wildfire3—0.6%
■ Winter2—1.3%
■ Lightning2—0.1%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
23 Apr 1983TornadoTornadoF2$2.5M——4County
7 Dec 1996Thunderstorm WindWind92 mph$12K——2County
1 Mar 1998FloodFlood—$6.1M———Forecast zone

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
11 Oct 2024DR-4834Major disasterHurricaneHurricane MiltonPublic assistance
7 Oct 2024EM-3622EmergencyHurricaneHurricane MiltonPublic assistance
28 Sep 2024DR-4828Major disasterHurricaneHurricane HeleneIndividual assistance, Public assistance
24 Sep 2024EM-3615EmergencyTropical StormTropical Storm HelenePublic assistance
10 Aug 2024DR-4806Major disasterTropical StormHurricane DebbyIndividual assistance, Public assistance
3 Aug 2024EM-3605EmergencyTropical StormTropical Storm DebbyPublic assistance
31 Aug 2023DR-4734Major disasterHurricaneHurricane IdaliaIndividual assistance, Public assistance
28 Aug 2023EM-3596EmergencyTropical StormTropical Storm IdaliaPublic assistance
13 Dec 2022DR-4680Major disasterHurricaneHurricane NicolePublic assistance
8 Nov 2022EM-3587EmergencyTropical StormTropical Storm NicolePublic assistance
29 Sep 2022DR-4673Major disasterHurricaneHurricane IanPublic assistance
24 Sep 2022EM-3584EmergencyHurricaneTropical Storm IanPublic assistance
16 Aug 2021EM-3562EmergencyHurricaneTropical Storm FredPublic assistance
4 Jul 2021EM-3561EmergencySevere StormTropical Storm ElsaPublic assistance
11 Nov 2020EM-3551EmergencyHurricaneHurricane EtaPublic assistance
25 Mar 2020DR-4486Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3432EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
30 Aug 2019EM-3419EmergencyHurricaneHurricane DorianPublic assistance
9 Oct 2018EM-3405EmergencyHurricaneHurricane MichaelPublic assistance
10 Sep 2017DR-4337Major disasterHurricaneHurricane IrmaIndividual assistance, Public assistance
5 Sep 2017EM-3385EmergencyHurricaneHurricane IrmaPublic assistance
28 Sep 2016DR-4280Major disasterHurricaneHurricane HerminePublic assistance
3 Jul 2012DR-4068Major disasterSevere StormTropical Storm DebbyIndividual assistance
21 Apr 2009DR-1831Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Flooding, Tornadoes, And Straight-Line WindsIndividual assistance, Public assistance
21 Aug 2008EM-3288EmergencySevere StormTropical Storm FayPublic assistance
5 Sep 2005EM-3220EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
26 Sep 2004DR-1561Major disasterHurricaneHurricane JeanneIndividual assistance, Public assistance
4 Sep 2004DR-1545Major disasterHurricaneHurricane FrancesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Aug 2004DR-1539Major disasterHurricaneTropical Storm Bonnie And Hurricane CharleyPublic assistance
5 Feb 2001DR-1359Major disasterFreezingSevere FreezeIndividual assistance
29 May 2000FM-2303Fire management assistanceFireFl, Waccasassa Fire ComplexPublic assistance
27 Apr 1999EM-3139EmergencyFireFl-Fires 04/15/99Public assistance
15 Apr 1999FM-2252Fire management assistanceFireFl-Fires 04/13/99Public assistance
18 Jun 1998DR-1223Major disasterFireExtreme Fire HazardIndividual assistance, Public assistance
6 Jan 1998DR-1195Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, High Winds, Tornadoes, And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 1993DR-982Major disasterTornadoTornadoes, Flooding, High Winds & Tides, FreezingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
26 May 1973DR-387Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Gilchrist County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 1978212
Paid claims174
Total paid$2.2M
Average paid claim$13K
Repetitive-loss properties386 severe
Residential policies in force1802.3% of 7,707 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202444$42,932$10,733
202133$36,501$12,167
202011$1,073$1,073
201922$7,073$3,537
201811$31,354$31,354
201785$108,055$21,611
201611$16,442$16,442
201510$0—
201455$110,226$22,045
201354$40,742$10,186
201273$33,035$11,012
20091917$207,658$12,215
20051512$88,416$7,368
20043124$675,469$28,145
200343$12,579$4,193
19986253$614,467$11,594
199610$0—
19911514$78,166$5,583
199010$0—
198811$1,971$1,971
198743$11,300$3,767
198698$41,818$5,227
198487$70,281$10,040
198343$9,747$3,249

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskVery Lowscore 28.0 of 100
Expected annual loss$6.8MVery Low
Social vulnerabilityRelatively High
Community resilienceVery Low
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingVery Low$2,706,898
HurricaneRelatively Moderate$2,537,967
TornadoRelatively Low$399,549
Cold waveRelatively Low$376,348
LightningRelatively Moderate$237,310
WildfireRelatively Low$233,120
Heat waveVery Low$150,474
Strong windVery Low$92,958
EarthquakeVery Low$41,473
HailVery Low$26,661
DroughtRelatively Low$21,661
Coastal floodingVery Low$1,687
Winter weatherVery Low$826
LandslideVery Low$9

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles105
Tracks within 50 miles45
Hurricane strength within 50 miles13
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Debby202438 mi81 mph
Helene202457 mi138 mph
Idalia202346 mi132 mph
Nicole202238 mi46 mph
Elsa202143 mi63 mph
Mindy202185 mi40 mph
Eta202018 mi58 mph
Irma201710 mi58 mph
Colin201649 mi52 mph
Hermine201682 mi81 mph
Julia201678 mi52 mph
Andrea201313 mi63 mph
Beryl201273 mi63 mph
Debby201238 mi40 mph
Fay200813 mi58 mph
Alberto200656 mi52 mph
Tammy200589 mi52 mph
Frances200465 mi63 mph
Jeanne200430 mi52 mph
Gordon200013 mi69 mph
Josephine199669 mi69 mph
Allison199588 mi69 mph
Erin199586 mi69 mph
Marco199099 mi46 mph
Elena198588 mi109 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Gilchrist County, FL?

NCEI records 29 hail events in Gilchrist County since 1950, in 16 different years; that is about 0.4 recorded events a year. 4 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Gilchrist County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 5 tornadoes in Gilchrist County since 1950, 2 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 0.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Gilchrist County?

11 Oct 2024: Hurricane Milton, a major disaster declaration for hurricane. The county appears in 37 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Gilchrist County, and how much was paid?

212 NFIP claims since 1978, 174 of them paid, for $2.2M in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Gilchrist County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Very Low" for overall risk, "Very Low" for expected annual loss, "Relatively High" for social vulnerability and "Very Low" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Gilchrist County compare with the rest of Florida?

52.9 recorded events per 100 square miles against 73.8 statewide, and 11.5 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 20.6. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.