County Hazards

States › Iowa › Lucas County

Lucas County, Iowa

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 19117 · 8,710 residents (2021) · 431 sq mi · dominant hazard Flood

Hail · 78Tornado · 13Flood · 107Wind · 104Winter · 75
1973-06-23: Hail1981-04-13: Hail1981-04-28: Hail1982-09-13: Hail1982-09-13: Hail1987-05-31: Hail1988-05-08: Hail1991-05-14: Hail1992-04-10: Hail1997-06-05: Hail1998-03-30: Hail1999-06-04: Hail1999-06-04: Hail1999-06-04: Hail1999-06-04: Hail1999-06-04: Hail1999-06-04: Hail2000-06-13: Hail2000-08-06: Hail2001-10-22: Hail2001-10-22: Hail2001-10-22: Hail2001-10-22: Hail2002-05-08: Hail2002-06-01: Hail2002-06-01: Hail2004-05-20: Hail2004-08-27: Hail2006-07-02: Hail2008-06-19: Hail2008-06-19: Hail2008-06-19: Hail2008-06-19: Hail2008-06-19: Hail2008-07-27: Hail2008-07-27: Hail2008-12-27: Hail2009-06-18: Hail2009-07-23: Hail2011-04-03: Hail2011-06-26: Hail2011-06-26: Hail2012-04-14: Hail2012-04-14: Hail2013-05-28: Hail2013-05-28: Hail2014-04-12: Hail2014-04-12: Hail2015-04-09: Hail2015-08-02: Hail2016-04-27: Hail2017-04-15: Hail2019-06-25: Hail2020-04-11: Hail2021-06-18: Hail2021-06-18: Hail2021-06-18: Hail2021-06-18: Hail2021-06-18: Hail2022-09-17: Hail2022-09-17: Hail2023-05-07: Hail2023-09-16: Hail2024-04-16: Hail2024-05-24: Hail2024-06-25: Hail1967-06-09: Tornado1982-06-08: Tornado1984-06-07: Tornado1984-06-07: Tornado1986-06-10: Tornado1999-04-08: Tornado2001-09-20: Tornado2004-09-05: Tornado2015-06-22: Tornado2022-03-05: Tornado2022-03-05: Tornado2022-03-05: Tornado2022-03-05: Tornado2007-04-25: Flood2007-08-24: Flood2007-02-24: Flood2007-05-07: Flood2007-04-26: Flood2007-05-06: Flood2007-05-07: Flood2008-06-26: Flood2008-08-01: Flood2008-12-26: Flood2008-05-11: Flood2008-05-24: Flood2008-05-30: Flood2008-03-02: Flood2008-04-18: Flood2008-04-08: Flood2008-06-05: Flood2008-07-18: Flood2008-07-25: Flood2008-07-25: Flood2008-09-13: Flood2008-07-25: Flood2008-07-28: Flood2008-09-12: Flood2008-09-12: Flood2008-11-07: Flood2009-03-24: Flood2009-12-25: Flood2009-03-08: Flood2009-04-27: Flood2009-04-27: Flood2009-05-15: Flood2009-07-04: Flood2009-06-08: Flood2009-08-17: Flood2009-08-27: Flood2009-10-29: Flood2009-10-22: Flood2010-04-25: Flood2010-05-13: Flood2010-03-11: Flood2010-06-15: Flood2010-06-12: Flood2010-07-07: Flood2010-07-20: Flood2010-07-07: Flood2010-07-20: Flood2010-07-07: Flood2010-07-07: Flood2010-04-25: Flood2011-06-27: Flood2013-07-21: Flood2013-05-28: Flood2013-05-29: Flood2013-05-28: Flood2013-05-28: Flood2013-05-28: Flood2014-09-10: Flood2014-09-10: Flood2014-08-23: Flood2015-06-25: Flood2015-06-25: Flood2016-07-19: Flood2018-10-09: Flood2018-10-09: Flood2019-05-28: Flood2021-06-24: Flood1973-06-18: Wind1975-06-18: Wind1975-12-14: Wind1981-06-07: Wind1985-06-23: Wind1986-09-22: Wind1986-05-08: Wind1987-05-31: Wind1992-07-15: Wind1997-06-05: Wind1998-06-18: Wind1998-06-18: Wind1998-05-21: Wind1998-06-18: Wind1998-06-18: Wind1998-06-18: Wind1999-07-23: Wind1999-07-23: Wind1999-06-04: Wind2000-06-04: Wind2000-06-23: Wind2000-06-04: Wind2000-08-06: Wind2001-06-14: Wind2001-09-20: Wind2001-10-22: Wind2002-03-08: Wind2002-09-18: Wind2003-08-20: Wind2005-06-04: Wind2005-06-29: Wind2007-08-23: Wind2008-05-30: Wind2008-05-30: Wind2008-05-30: Wind2008-05-30: Wind2008-06-19: Wind2008-07-27: Wind2009-04-26: Wind2009-04-26: Wind2009-04-26: Wind2010-06-01: Wind2010-07-18: Wind2011-07-23: Wind2011-07-23: Wind2011-08-06: Wind2011-08-06: Wind2011-06-26: Wind2011-06-19: Wind2011-06-19: Wind2014-04-12: Wind2014-06-17: Wind2015-06-24: Wind2015-07-28: Wind2015-06-24: Wind2015-06-24: Wind2015-08-02: Wind2015-08-02: Wind2015-08-02: Wind2015-07-28: Wind2016-07-19: Wind2016-07-19: Wind2016-07-19: Wind2016-07-19: Wind2016-09-19: Wind2016-09-19: Wind2017-05-17: Wind2018-10-03: Wind2019-07-20: Wind2019-08-20: Wind2019-08-20: Wind2019-05-25: Wind2019-05-28: Wind2021-12-15: Wind2024-07-30: Wind2024-10-30: Wind
Lucas County within Iowa. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

The NCEI record lists 490 events for Lucas County, Iowa, between 1950 and 2026; floods and flash floods account for the largest share.

That is 113.8 events per 100 square miles, in line with the Iowa figure of 124.6, and 562.6 per 10,000 residents against 218.0 statewide.

0 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 1 death and 7 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $50M and crop damage at $127M.

FEMA has designated the county in 15 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Covid-19 Pandemic (major disaster, 23 Mar 2020).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 5 claims since 1978, of which 5 were paid, totalling $19K (about $4K per paid claim).

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Very Low" and its expected annual loss as "Very Low" ($7.9M a year across 18 hazards).

1 tropical storm or hurricane track in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 0 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

0events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
490events since 19501 death, 7 injuries recorded
15disaster declarationslast 23 Mar 2020
5NFIP flood claims$19K paid

Compared with Iowa and the United States

MeasureLucas CountyIowaUS
Recorded events since 195049069,6061,977,440
Events per 100 square miles113.8124.656.0
Events per 10,000 residents562.6218.059.6
Events in the last 12 months01,46762,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI122326,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$50M$6.5B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents0.64.68.1
Average paid NFIP claim$4K$30K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years—21.816.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Tornado: 1
Hail: 1Wind: 3
Hail: 6Tornado: 4Wind: 5
Hail: 13Tornado: 1Flood: 23Wind: 21Winter: 17Cold: 7Drought: 1Lightning: 1Other: 1
Hail: 31Tornado: 2Flood: 55Wind: 37Winter: 25Heat: 1Cold: 1Drought: 4Other: 2
Hail: 14Tornado: 1Flood: 28Wind: 33Winter: 22Heat: 3Cold: 11Drought: 11Lightning: 1Other: 25
Hail: 13Tornado: 4Flood: 1Wind: 5Winter: 11Cold: 5Drought: 17Other: 22
01950s11960s41970s151980s851990s1582000s1492010s782020s
Recorded events in Lucas County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterHeatColdDroughtLightningOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 306 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 170 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Flood107
Wind104
Hail78
Winter75
Other50
Drought33
Cold24
Tornado13
Heat4
Lightning2
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Flood107—1.4%detail
■ Wind104—0.5%detail
■ Hail78—0.5%detail
■ Winter75—0.7%detail
■ Other50—1.2%
■ Drought33—1.3%
■ Cold24—0.9%
■ Tornado1310.4%detail
■ Heat4—0.5%
■ Lightning2—0.5%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
5 Mar 2022TornadoTornadoEF3$1.5M—11County
1 Jul 2012DroughtDrought——$45M——Forecast zone
8 Apr 1999TornadoTornadoF3$250K——4County
7 Jun 1984TornadoTornadoF4$25M———County
1 Aug 2013DroughtDrought——$21M——Forecast zone
11 Jun 1994HailHail1.75 in$50K$50K—2County
12 Jun 2010FloodFlood——$20M——County
1 Aug 2003DroughtDrought—$13M———Forecast zone
1 Aug 2001DroughtDrought——$11M——Forecast zone
1 Aug 2012DroughtDrought——$6.0M——Forecast zone
1 Sep 2000DroughtDrought——$5.0M——Forecast zone
14 Aug 2000DroughtDrought——$4.7M——Forecast zone
20 Jul 1999DroughtDrought——$4.6M——Forecast zone
26 Oct 1997Heavy SnowWinter—$640K$2.6M——Forecast zone
10 Oct 2009Frost/FreezeCold——$2.5M——Forecast zone
11 Apr 2012Frost/FreezeCold——$1.5M——Forecast zone
20 Jul 2010Flash FloodFlood—$1.0M$100K——County
28 Jul 2015Thunderstorm WindWind60 mph$50K$500K——County
22 May 2004FloodFlood—$100K$298K——Forecast zone
25 Jun 2015FloodFlood—$100K$250K——County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
23 Mar 2020DR-4483Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3480EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
23 Mar 2019DR-4421Major disasterFloodSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
31 Jul 2015DR-4234Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And FloodingPublic assistance
31 May 2013DR-4119Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, And FloodingPublic assistance
29 Jul 2010DR-1930Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Flooding, And TornadoesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
27 May 2008DR-1763Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
4 Jan 2008DR-1737Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
10 Sep 2005EM-3239EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
25 May 2004DR-1518Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
2 May 2001DR-1367Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes And FloodingPublic assistance
2 Jul 1998DR-1230Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Tornadoes And FloodingIndividual assistance
9 Jul 1993DR-996Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
2 Oct 1992DR-965Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingPublic assistance
23 May 1973DR-386Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Lucas County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 19785
Paid claims5
Total paid$19K
Average paid claim$4K
Repetitive-loss properties0
Residential policies in force00.0% of 3,794 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
200722$6,864$3,432
199322$11,776$5,888
197911$473$473

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskVery Lowscore 29.7 of 100
Expected annual loss$7.9MVery Low
Social vulnerabilityRelatively High
Community resilienceVery High
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingVery Low$2,194,900
DroughtRelatively High$1,936,475
TornadoRelatively Low$1,287,884
Cold waveRelatively Low$1,058,785
Strong windRelatively Low$469,481
Heat waveRelatively Low$385,228
HailRelatively Low$357,460
WildfireVery Low$49,919
LightningVery Low$42,137
EarthquakeVery Low$33,674
Ice stormRelatively Low$23,384
Winter weatherVery Low$15,737
LandslideRelatively Low$6,871
HurricaneVery Low$889

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles1
Tracks within 50 miles0
Hurricane strength within 50 miles0
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Unnamed Atlantic storm190058 mi46 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Lucas County, IA?

NCEI records 78 hail events in Lucas County since 1950, in 31 different years; that is about 1.0 recorded events a year. 19 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Lucas County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 13 tornadoes in Lucas County since 1950, 4 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 1.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Lucas County?

23 Mar 2020: Covid-19 Pandemic, a major disaster declaration for biological. The county appears in 15 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Lucas County, and how much was paid?

5 NFIP claims since 1978, 5 of them paid, for $19K in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Lucas County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Very Low" for overall risk, "Very Low" for expected annual loss, "Relatively High" for social vulnerability and "Very High" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Lucas County compare with the rest of Iowa?

113.8 recorded events per 100 square miles against 124.6 statewide, and 0.6 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 4.6. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.