County Hazards

States › Illinois › Coles County

Coles County, Illinois

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 17029 · 46,765 residents (2021) · 508 sq mi · dominant hazard Wind

Hail · 125Tornado · 40Flood · 56Wind · 241Winter · 43
1955-11-15: Hail1974-06-14: Hail1975-07-08: Hail1975-05-26: Hail1982-06-07: Hail1982-06-07: Hail1982-06-07: Hail1984-11-09: Hail1985-07-04: Hail1988-04-22: Hail1992-07-09: Hail1992-07-09: Hail1997-07-14: Hail1997-08-24: Hail1997-08-24: Hail1997-06-21: Hail1998-05-19: Hail1998-04-07: Hail1998-06-12: Hail1999-02-27: Hail1999-06-01: Hail1999-06-04: Hail1999-01-21: Hail2000-05-12: Hail2000-08-06: Hail2000-08-26: Hail2000-08-02: Hail2001-04-10: Hail2002-04-12: Hail2002-04-27: Hail2002-04-12: Hail2002-05-31: Hail2002-06-24: Hail2002-05-27: Hail2002-08-02: Hail2002-08-02: Hail2003-09-26: Hail2003-05-14: Hail2004-05-23: Hail2004-05-23: Hail2004-08-18: Hail2004-07-06: Hail2004-07-13: Hail2005-11-05: Hail2006-03-11: Hail2006-04-02: Hail2006-05-24: Hail2006-06-26: Hail2006-06-22: Hail2006-06-22: Hail2007-10-18: Hail2007-03-22: Hail2008-06-22: Hail2008-06-22: Hail2008-06-22: Hail2008-03-27: Hail2008-06-21: Hail2008-07-21: Hail2009-05-15: Hail2009-05-30: Hail2009-05-30: Hail2009-06-18: Hail2010-06-13: Hail2010-07-19: Hail2010-07-19: Hail2010-07-19: Hail2011-04-19: Hail2011-04-19: Hail2011-02-27: Hail2011-02-27: Hail2011-04-09: Hail2011-05-28: Hail2011-05-28: Hail2011-05-28: Hail2011-05-25: Hail2011-05-28: Hail2011-04-19: Hail2012-03-02: Hail2012-03-02: Hail2012-03-23: Hail2012-09-07: Hail2014-05-11: Hail2015-04-08: Hail2015-04-08: Hail2015-04-08: Hail2015-04-08: Hail2015-04-08: Hail2016-05-01: Hail2016-05-01: Hail2016-05-01: Hail2016-05-01: Hail2018-05-09: Hail2018-05-15: Hail2018-05-15: Hail2018-05-09: Hail2019-06-30: Hail2020-05-02: Hail2020-05-02: Hail2020-05-02: Hail2021-03-27: Hail2023-06-29: Hail2023-07-20: Hail2023-07-25: Hail2023-06-30: Hail2023-06-30: Hail2024-03-13: Hail2024-03-13: Hail2024-03-13: Hail2025-05-16: Hail2026-03-22: Hail2026-03-22: Hail2026-06-16: Hail2026-05-04: Hail2026-05-04: Hail2026-05-18: Hail1958-07-11: Tornado1960-05-06: Tornado1971-12-15: Tornado1972-06-09: Tornado1974-08-10: Tornado1974-08-13: Tornado1974-08-13: Tornado1974-04-03: Tornado1974-08-10: Tornado1974-08-10: Tornado1974-06-22: Tornado1974-08-10: Tornado1974-03-29: Tornado1982-04-03: Tornado1986-05-15: Tornado1988-11-15: Tornado1989-05-25: Tornado1992-07-30: Tornado1994-04-26: Tornado1996-04-19: Tornado1996-04-19: Tornado1997-05-25: Tornado1998-05-19: Tornado1998-03-28: Tornado1999-04-08: Tornado2003-09-26: Tornado2006-04-16: Tornado2006-04-16: Tornado2008-06-06: Tornado2013-06-29: Tornado2021-04-28: Tornado2021-12-10: Tornado2021-12-10: Tornado2025-03-14: Tornado2025-03-14: Tornado2025-03-19: Tornado2025-05-20: Tornado2025-04-30: Tornado2026-06-17: Tornado2003-05-10: Flood2004-05-27: Flood2006-04-06: Flood2007-06-23: Flood2007-07-17: Flood2008-02-05: Flood2008-06-04: Flood2009-02-11: Flood2009-05-14: Flood2009-07-08: Flood2010-06-23: Flood2010-05-26: Flood2010-07-15: Flood2010-09-02: Flood2011-04-19: Flood2011-06-27: Flood2011-07-03: Flood2011-07-29: Flood2013-05-02: Flood2013-06-22: Flood2014-06-04: Flood2015-06-19: Flood2015-06-19: Flood2016-04-26: Flood2016-08-26: Flood2017-05-04: Flood2017-05-04: Flood2017-05-01: Flood2017-04-29: Flood2017-04-29: Flood2018-04-03: Flood2018-04-03: Flood2020-01-11: Flood2021-06-27: Flood2022-08-03: Flood2022-08-29: Flood2022-07-07: Flood2026-06-08: Flood2026-06-27: Flood2026-06-27: Flood2026-06-21: Flood2026-06-17: Wind2026-06-17: Wind2026-06-11: Wind2026-05-18: Wind2026-03-11: Wind2026-03-11: Wind2026-03-11: Wind2026-03-11: Wind2025-07-12: Wind2025-07-06: Wind2025-06-27: Wind2025-06-27: Wind2025-06-18: Wind2025-06-18: Wind2025-06-18: Wind2025-06-18: Wind2025-04-02: Wind2025-03-19: Wind2025-03-19: Wind2025-03-19: Wind2025-03-19: Wind2025-03-14: Wind2024-07-30: Wind2024-07-30: Wind2024-07-15: Wind2024-06-25: Wind2024-06-25: Wind2024-06-25: Wind2023-08-25: Wind2023-08-06: Wind2023-06-29: Wind2023-06-29: Wind2023-06-29: Wind2023-06-29: Wind2023-06-29: Wind2023-06-29: Wind2023-06-29: Wind2023-05-07: Wind2023-03-31: Wind2022-06-17: Wind2022-03-06: Wind2022-03-06: Wind2021-12-10: Wind2021-12-10: Wind2021-06-12: Wind2021-06-12: Wind2021-05-03: Wind2020-07-21: Wind2020-04-08: Wind2020-04-08: Wind2019-08-20: Wind2019-08-17: Wind2019-08-17: Wind2019-08-12: Wind2019-08-12: Wind2019-06-30: Wind2019-06-30: Wind2019-06-30: Wind2018-05-15: Wind2018-05-15: Wind2018-05-09: Wind2017-08-21: Wind2017-06-14: Wind2017-05-10: Wind2017-03-07: Wind2016-08-26: Wind2016-07-13: Wind2016-07-13: Wind2016-07-13: Wind2016-07-06: Wind2016-07-06: Wind2016-06-15: Wind2016-06-15: Wind2015-09-04: Wind2015-08-18: Wind2015-06-07: Wind2015-05-10: Wind2015-05-10: Wind2014-10-13: Wind2014-10-13: Wind2014-09-05: Wind2014-07-26: Wind2013-07-20: Wind2013-05-20: Wind2013-05-09: Wind2013-01-29: Wind2012-09-07: Wind2012-08-16: Wind2012-08-16: Wind2012-08-16: Wind2012-08-16: Wind2011-07-02: Wind2011-06-21: Wind2011-06-21: Wind2011-06-21: Wind2011-04-19: Wind2010-10-26: Wind2010-07-19: Wind2010-07-19: Wind2010-07-19: Wind2010-06-23: Wind2009-08-21: Wind2009-08-19: Wind2009-08-19: Wind
Coles County within Illinois. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 29 Sep 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

Between 1950 and 2026, NCEI recorded 542 storm events in Coles County, Illinois, led by damaging wind.

That is 106.6 events per 100 square miles, in line with the Illinois figure of 120.2, and 115.9 per 10,000 residents against 52.7 statewide.

44 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 6 deaths and 58 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $29M and crop damage at $35M.

FEMA has designated the county in 9 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Storms And Flooding (major disaster, 15 Aug 2023).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 62 claims since 1978, of which 44 were paid, totalling $710K (about $16K per paid claim). FEMA counts 57 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Low" and its expected annual loss as "Relatively Low" ($31M a year across 18 hazards).

5 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 0 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

44events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
542events since 19506 deaths, 58 injuries recorded
9disaster declarationslast 15 Aug 2023
62NFIP flood claims$710K paid

Compared with Illinois and the United States

MeasureColes CountyIllinoisUS
Recorded events since 195054266,7221,977,440
Events per 100 square miles106.6120.256.0
Events per 10,000 residents115.952.759.6
Events in the last 12 months443,23262,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI61,14826,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$29M$6.9B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents1.34.28.1
Average paid NFIP claim$16K$14K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years29.821.116.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Hail: 1Tornado: 1Wind: 3
Tornado: 1Wind: 3
Hail: 3Tornado: 11Wind: 13
Hail: 6Tornado: 4Wind: 16
Hail: 15Tornado: 8Flood: 1Wind: 21Winter: 11Heat: 4Cold: 2
Hail: 42Tornado: 5Flood: 24Wind: 68Winter: 8Heat: 3Cold: 2Lightning: 1Fog: 1
Hail: 34Tornado: 1Flood: 22Wind: 56Winter: 14Heat: 4Cold: 1Drought: 3Lightning: 2
Hail: 24Tornado: 9Flood: 9Wind: 61Winter: 10Heat: 2Cold: 4Drought: 8
51950s41960s271970s261980s621990s1542000s1372010s1272020s
Recorded events in Coles County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterHeatColdDroughtLightningFog NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 304 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 155 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Wind241
Hail125
Flood56
Winter43
Tornado40
Heat13
Drought11
Cold9
Lightning3
Fog1
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Wind241—1.0%detail
■ Hail125—1.0%detail
■ Flood5620.9%detail
■ Winter4340.5%detail
■ Tornado40—1.1%detail
■ Heat13—0.4%
■ Drought11—0.7%
■ Cold9—0.3%
■ Lightning3—0.7%
■ Fog1—0.0%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
11 Jan 2011Winter WeatherWinter———11Forecast zone
13 Dec 2025Winter WeatherWinter———11Forecast zone
4 Jun 2008FloodFlood—$250K—1—County
11 Mar 2000Heavy SnowWinter———1—Forecast zone
9 Jul 2001FloodFlood———1—Forecast zone
12 Dec 2010Winter WeatherWinter———1—Forecast zone
15 Dec 1971TornadoTornadoF1$250K——24County
25 Dec 2009Winter WeatherWinter————8Forecast zone
30 Apr 1986Thunderstorm WindWind0 mph———5County
1 Sep 2012DroughtDrought——$35M——Forecast zone
28 Mar 1998TornadoTornadoF2$3.0M——3County
11 Jul 1958TornadoTornadoF3$25K——3County
10 Mar 1986Thunderstorm WindWind0 mph———3County
16 Aug 2012Thunderstorm WindWind81 mph$40K$100K—2County
26 Jan 1997Winter StormWinter————2Forecast zone
26 Sep 2003TornadoTornadoF1$10M——1County
2 Dec 2024Winter WeatherWinter————2Forecast zone
29 Mar 1974TornadoTornadoF2$250K——1County
8 Jul 2009LightningLightning————1County
17 Jun 2026TornadoTornadoEF2———1County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
15 Aug 2023DR-4728Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
13 Dec 2021EM-3577EmergencyTornadoSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, And TornadoesPublic assistance
26 Mar 2020DR-4489Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3435EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
17 Mar 2011DR-1960Major disasterSnowstormSevere Winter Storm And SnowstormPublic assistance
24 Jun 2008DR-1771Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
7 Sep 2005EM-3230EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
21 May 2002DR-1416Major disasterTornadoSevere Storms, Tornadoes And FloodingIndividual assistance
10 Jun 1974DR-438Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Coles County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 197862
Paid claims44
Total paid$710K
Average paid claim$16K
Repetitive-loss properties30 severe
Residential policies in force570.3% of 18,250 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202165$141,139$28,228
201897$138,903$19,843
201722$20,875$10,437
201511$18,008$18,008
201410$0—
201110$0—
200910$0—
200898$257,690$32,211
200310$0—
200255$13,502$2,700
19991713$115,698$8,900
199621$3,951$3,951
199510$0—
199010$0—
198210$0—
198032$641$321
197910$0—

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Lowscore 70.4 of 100
Expected annual loss$31MRelatively Low
Social vulnerabilityRelatively Low
Community resilienceRelatively High
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively Moderate$16,902,903
EarthquakeRelatively Low$3,722,152
TornadoRelatively Moderate$2,881,901
Cold waveRelatively Moderate$2,844,518
DroughtRelatively Moderate$1,679,054
Heat waveRelatively Low$1,007,315
Strong windRelatively Moderate$694,588
HailRelatively Low$587,118
Winter weatherRelatively Moderate$210,448
LightningRelatively Low$202,566
Ice stormRelatively Low$70,291
HurricaneVery Low$29,506
LandslideRelatively Low$4,608
WildfireVery Low$3,205

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles5
Tracks within 50 miles1
Hurricane strength within 50 miles0
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Ike200877 mi58 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm194156 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm193276 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm191578 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm190220 mi40 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Coles County, IL?

NCEI records 125 hail events in Coles County since 1950, in 37 different years; that is about 1.6 recorded events a year. 29 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Coles County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 40 tornadoes in Coles County since 1950, 9 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 0.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Coles County?

15 Aug 2023: Severe Storms And Flooding, a major disaster declaration for severe storm. The county appears in 9 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Coles County, and how much was paid?

62 NFIP claims since 1978, 44 of them paid, for $710K in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Coles County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Low" for overall risk, "Relatively Low" for expected annual loss, "Relatively Low" for social vulnerability and "Relatively High" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Coles County compare with the rest of Illinois?

106.6 recorded events per 100 square miles against 120.2 statewide, and 1.3 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 4.2. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 29 Sep 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 30 Sep 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.