County Hazards

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Fayette County, Illinois

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 17051 · 21,384 residents (2021) · 716 sq mi · dominant hazard Wind

Hail · 65Tornado · 27Flood · 28Wind · 154Winter · 50
1955-11-15: Hail1964-01-19: Hail1974-08-18: Hail1974-04-03: Hail1982-06-07: Hail1982-06-07: Hail1984-04-03: Hail1985-06-24: Hail1987-07-06: Hail1989-05-25: Hail1990-06-06: Hail1992-07-02: Hail1996-05-25: Hail1997-03-28: Hail1997-03-28: Hail1998-06-14: Hail1999-02-27: Hail1999-02-27: Hail2000-04-20: Hail2000-08-06: Hail2001-04-10: Hail2001-04-10: Hail2001-07-04: Hail2002-04-24: Hail2002-05-01: Hail2002-05-01: Hail2003-04-04: Hail2003-04-04: Hail2003-07-18: Hail2005-03-31: Hail2005-05-11: Hail2006-04-30: Hail2006-04-16: Hail2006-04-16: Hail2006-04-16: Hail2006-06-03: Hail2006-06-03: Hail2006-07-30: Hail2008-06-03: Hail2008-06-27: Hail2009-06-02: Hail2009-06-10: Hail2009-08-19: Hail2009-08-19: Hail2010-07-11: Hail2011-04-22: Hail2011-04-19: Hail2011-04-19: Hail2011-04-19: Hail2011-05-25: Hail2012-04-28: Hail2012-03-02: Hail2012-03-02: Hail2012-03-02: Hail2012-07-02: Hail2012-04-28: Hail2015-04-02: Hail2018-04-03: Hail2023-05-14: Hail2023-08-06: Hail2024-03-14: Hail2024-04-07: Hail2025-03-14: Hail2026-02-19: Hail1954-07-21: Tornado1960-06-04: Tornado1974-08-18: Tornado1983-05-01: Tornado1984-11-09: Tornado1994-04-15: Tornado1996-04-19: Tornado1996-04-19: Tornado1998-06-29: Tornado1999-06-01: Tornado2000-05-12: Tornado2002-06-11: Tornado2002-06-11: Tornado2004-05-30: Tornado2008-06-27: Tornado2011-02-28: Tornado2011-02-28: Tornado2011-02-28: Tornado2013-11-17: Tornado2014-02-20: Tornado2018-04-03: Tornado2021-12-10: Tornado2025-04-30: Tornado2025-04-30: Tornado2025-04-02: Tornado2025-03-14: Tornado2026-06-21: Tornado2008-03-19: Flood2008-06-06: Flood2009-05-27: Flood2009-06-20: Flood2010-06-14: Flood2010-05-25: Flood2010-04-07: Flood2010-07-24: Flood2010-06-27: Flood2011-04-25: Flood2011-06-10: Flood2013-06-23: Flood2013-04-18: Flood2015-12-28: Flood2015-06-08: Flood2017-05-11: Flood2018-06-19: Flood2019-05-29: Flood2025-07-20: Flood2026-06-21: Flood2026-06-21: Flood1957-06-14: Wind1957-05-21: Wind1960-04-20: Wind1960-04-20: Wind1964-11-27: Wind1964-01-19: Wind1965-11-26: Wind1966-07-05: Wind1966-07-09: Wind1966-04-28: Wind1966-05-17: Wind1967-01-24: Wind1969-06-28: Wind1969-10-11: Wind1970-06-14: Wind1971-03-18: Wind1972-04-11: Wind1974-08-18: Wind1974-09-28: Wind1974-04-03: Wind1974-06-09: Wind1978-06-01: Wind1980-06-28: Wind1981-04-11: Wind1982-07-19: Wind1982-07-19: Wind1982-07-19: Wind1987-07-06: Wind1987-08-03: Wind1988-04-22: Wind1989-11-15: Wind1990-05-16: Wind1990-05-15: Wind1990-05-15: Wind1990-05-09: Wind1990-05-12: Wind1992-07-02: Wind1992-07-02: Wind1996-01-18: Wind1996-10-17: Wind1997-07-14: Wind1997-07-14: Wind1998-11-10: Wind1998-06-29: Wind1998-07-07: Wind1998-07-22: Wind1998-07-22: Wind1998-06-14: Wind1998-07-22: Wind1998-06-29: Wind1999-06-01: Wind1999-06-04: Wind1999-06-04: Wind1999-04-08: Wind1999-04-08: Wind1999-06-11: Wind1999-06-11: Wind1999-06-04: Wind2000-04-20: Wind2000-06-20: Wind2000-06-20: Wind2000-06-14: Wind2001-07-04: Wind2001-08-18: Wind2001-10-24: Wind2002-06-11: Wind2002-06-11: Wind2002-06-11: Wind2002-07-09: Wind2002-07-09: Wind2002-06-11: Wind2002-06-11: Wind2003-07-18: Wind2004-05-25: Wind2004-05-25: Wind2004-05-25: Wind2004-05-25: Wind2004-05-25: Wind2004-05-30: Wind2004-05-30: Wind2004-05-30: Wind2005-01-13: Wind2005-01-13: Wind2005-08-13: Wind2005-08-13: Wind2005-11-05: Wind2006-04-02: Wind2006-06-22: Wind2006-08-10: Wind2008-02-05: Wind2008-06-06: Wind2008-06-27: Wind2009-06-02: Wind2009-06-10: Wind2009-08-19: Wind2010-06-14: Wind2010-06-14: Wind2010-06-27: Wind2010-06-12: Wind2010-06-14: Wind2011-04-19: Wind2011-06-18: Wind2011-06-18: Wind2011-06-21: Wind2011-05-23: Wind2011-07-26: Wind2011-02-28: Wind2011-06-10: Wind2012-09-05: Wind2012-09-05: Wind2012-08-16: Wind
Fayette County within Illinois. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

Fayette County, Illinois, has 383 weather events in the NCEI Storm Events record since 1950, most of them damaging wind.

That is 53.5 events per 100 square miles, below the Illinois figure of 120.2, and 179.1 per 10,000 residents against 52.7 statewide.

12 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 0 deaths and 13 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $6.2M and crop damage at $46K.

FEMA has designated the county in 8 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, And Tornadoes (emergency, 13 Dec 2021).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 3 claims since 1978, of which 3 were paid, totalling $4K (about $1K per paid claim). FEMA counts 2 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Low" and its expected annual loss as "Relatively Low" ($15M a year across 18 hazards).

3 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 0 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

12events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
383events since 19500 deaths, 13 injuries recorded
8disaster declarationslast 13 Dec 2021
3NFIP flood claims$4K paid

Compared with Illinois and the United States

MeasureFayette CountyIllinoisUS
Recorded events since 195038366,7221,977,440
Events per 100 square miles53.5120.256.0
Events per 10,000 residents179.152.759.6
Events in the last 12 months123,23262,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI01,14826,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$6.2M$6.9B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents0.14.28.1
Average paid NFIP claim$1K$14K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years0.021.116.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Hail: 1Tornado: 1Wind: 2
Hail: 1Tornado: 1Wind: 12
Hail: 2Tornado: 1Wind: 8
Hail: 6Tornado: 2Wind: 9
Hail: 9Tornado: 5Flood: 2Wind: 33Winter: 7Heat: 1
Hail: 26Tornado: 5Flood: 9Wind: 40Winter: 25Heat: 19Cold: 2Drought: 2Other: 3
Hail: 14Tornado: 6Flood: 14Wind: 35Winter: 12Heat: 25Cold: 2Drought: 2
Hail: 6Tornado: 6Flood: 3Wind: 15Winter: 6Heat: 2Cold: 1
41950s141960s111970s171980s571990s1312000s1102010s392020s
Recorded events in Fayette County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterHeatColdDroughtOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 189 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 146 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Wind154
Hail65
Winter50
Heat47
Flood28
Tornado27
Cold5
Drought4
Other3
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Wind154—0.6%detail
■ Hail65—0.5%detail
■ Winter50—0.6%detail
■ Heat47—1.4%
■ Flood28—0.4%detail
■ Tornado27—0.7%detail
■ Cold5—0.2%
■ Drought4—0.3%
■ Other3—0.3%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
9 Nov 1984TornadoTornadoF2$2.5M——11County
21 Jul 1954TornadoTornadoF2$250K——1County
25 May 1989HailHail2.75 in———1County
1 May 2002HailHail2.00 in$1.5M———County
20 Jul 2025Flash FloodFlood—$600K———County
15 Apr 1994TornadoTornadoF1$500K———County
1 May 1983TornadoTornadoF1$250K———County
14 Mar 2025TornadoTornadoEF1$110K———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
13 Dec 2021EM-3577EmergencyTornadoSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, And TornadoesPublic assistance
26 Mar 2020DR-4489Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3435EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
26 Nov 2013DR-4157Major disasterTornadoSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, And TornadoesIndividual assistance
17 Mar 2011DR-1960Major disasterSnowstormSevere Winter Storm And SnowstormPublic assistance
9 Feb 2007DR-1681Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
7 Sep 2005EM-3230EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
21 May 2002DR-1416Major disasterTornadoSevere Storms, Tornadoes And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Fayette County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 19783
Paid claims3
Total paid$4K
Average paid claim$1K
Repetitive-loss properties0
Residential policies in force20.0% of 10,152 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
200211$3,461$3,461
198211$719$719
197911$143$143

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Lowscore 48.8 of 100
Expected annual loss$15MRelatively Low
Social vulnerabilityRelatively Moderate
Community resilienceVery High
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively Low$6,367,529
EarthquakeRelatively Low$2,982,973
Cold waveRelatively Low$1,572,223
TornadoRelatively Low$1,345,759
Heat waveRelatively Low$920,272
Strong windRelatively Moderate$674,943
DroughtRelatively Moderate$623,547
HailRelatively Low$324,792
LightningRelatively Low$166,404
Ice stormRelatively Low$61,795
Winter weatherRelatively Low$43,940
HurricaneVery Low$34,939
LandslideRelatively Low$7,591
WildfireVery Low$5,267

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles3
Tracks within 50 miles2
Hurricane strength within 50 miles0
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Unnamed Atlantic storm194122 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm191574 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm190241 mi40 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Fayette County, IL?

NCEI records 65 hail events in Fayette County since 1950, in 32 different years; that is about 0.8 recorded events a year. 17 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Fayette County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 27 tornadoes in Fayette County since 1950, 8 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 0.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Fayette County?

13 Dec 2021: Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, And Tornadoes, a emergency declaration for tornado. The county appears in 8 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Fayette County, and how much was paid?

3 NFIP claims since 1978, 3 of them paid, for $4K in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Fayette County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Low" for overall risk, "Relatively Low" for expected annual loss, "Relatively Moderate" for social vulnerability and "Very High" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Fayette County compare with the rest of Illinois?

53.5 recorded events per 100 square miles against 120.2 statewide, and 0.1 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 4.2. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.