County Hazards

States › Illinois › McLean County

McLean County, Illinois

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 17113 · 170,889 residents (2021) · 1,183 sq mi · dominant hazard Wind

Hail · 245Tornado · 122Flood · 52Wind · 388Winter · 69
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Hail2017-06-14: Hail2017-02-28: Hail2017-02-28: Hail2017-02-28: Hail2016-11-02: Hail2016-04-21: Hail2016-03-15: Hail2015-08-02: Hail2015-06-08: Hail2015-06-08: Hail2015-06-08: Hail2015-06-08: Hail2015-06-08: Hail2015-06-08: Hail2015-06-07: Hail2015-04-08: Hail2015-04-08: Hail2015-04-08: Hail2014-05-11: Hail2014-05-11: Hail2014-05-11: Hail2013-11-17: Hail2013-11-17: Hail2013-11-17: Hail2013-11-17: Hail2013-06-25: Hail2012-08-09: Hail2012-08-09: Hail2012-08-09: Hail2012-08-09: Hail2011-08-13: Hail2011-07-19: Hail2011-06-26: Hail2011-02-27: Hail2011-02-27: Hail2011-02-27: Hail2011-02-27: Hail2011-02-27: Hail2010-09-02: Hail2010-09-02: Hail2010-05-24: Hail2010-04-07: Hail2010-04-04: Hail2009-07-24: Hail2009-06-25: Hail2009-06-25: Hail2009-06-19: Hail2009-06-01: Hail2008-06-04: Hail2008-05-13: Hail2008-05-13: Hail2008-01-07: Hail2008-01-07: Hail2007-08-19: Hail2007-08-19: Hail2007-08-19: Hail2007-03-14: Hail2006-07-19: Hail1950-03-27: Tornado1953-07-05: Tornado1956-03-06: Tornado1957-04-26: Tornado1960-06-05: Tornado1960-05-25: Tornado1960-06-01: Tornado1960-06-04: Tornado1961-03-04: Tornado1965-11-12: Tornado1965-09-14: Tornado1967-01-24: Tornado1970-04-30: Tornado1970-06-16: Tornado1970-06-16: Tornado1971-05-24: Tornado1971-11-01: Tornado1973-06-02: Tornado1973-06-12: Tornado1973-03-31: Tornado1973-03-31: Tornado1974-04-03: Tornado1974-04-03: Tornado1974-06-20: Tornado1975-04-30: Tornado1975-04-18: Tornado1975-05-30: Tornado1976-07-28: Tornado1976-07-28: Tornado1976-06-29: Tornado1977-07-18: Tornado1980-04-08: Tornado1980-05-12: Tornado1980-05-24: Tornado1981-06-20: Tornado1981-06-20: Tornado1981-04-13: Tornado1981-04-13: Tornado1981-06-20: Tornado1981-06-20: Tornado1981-04-13: Tornado1981-04-13: Tornado1981-06-21: Tornado1981-06-21: Tornado1982-08-04: Tornado1982-08-24: Tornado1982-08-24: Tornado1982-08-24: Tornado1982-08-24: Tornado1982-05-26: Tornado1982-05-26: Tornado1982-08-24: Tornado1983-06-29: Tornado1985-11-19: Tornado1985-11-19: Tornado1986-09-29: Tornado1987-06-02: Tornado1990-06-13: Tornado1991-04-29: Tornado1991-12-08: Tornado1991-10-04: Tornado1992-05-04: Tornado1992-05-04: Tornado1992-09-09: Tornado1992-08-26: Tornado1995-05-13: Tornado1995-05-09: Tornado1996-04-19: Tornado1997-04-30: Tornado1998-04-29: Tornado1999-06-04: Tornado1999-06-04: Tornado1999-06-04: Tornado1999-06-04: Tornado1999-06-04: Tornado1999-06-04: Tornado1999-06-04: Tornado2000-05-18: Tornado2000-05-18: Tornado2000-05-08: Tornado2000-08-23: Tornado2002-05-08: Tornado2003-04-04: Tornado2003-05-14: Tornado2003-06-13: Tornado2004-05-18: Tornado2004-05-23: Tornado2004-07-13: Tornado2006-04-02: Tornado2006-04-02: Tornado2006-04-02: Tornado2006-04-02: Tornado2006-06-02: Tornado2007-03-28: Tornado2008-06-04: Tornado2008-06-15: Tornado2009-08-19: Tornado2011-05-25: Tornado2011-05-25: Tornado2014-05-28: Tornado2018-06-21: Tornado2018-12-01: Tornado2018-12-01: Tornado2018-12-01: Tornado2018-12-01: Tornado2019-06-15: Tornado2020-07-15: Tornado2021-06-25: Tornado2022-04-30: Tornado2022-09-18: Tornado2023-01-03: Tornado2024-06-13: Tornado2024-06-13: Tornado2024-06-13: Tornado2024-06-13: Tornado2024-06-13: Tornado2025-06-18: Tornado2004-08-25: Flood2005-01-12: Flood2008-09-13: Flood2009-05-13: Flood2009-05-15: Flood2010-06-12: Flood2010-06-15: Flood2013-05-31: Flood2014-07-12: Flood2014-05-11: Flood2014-07-12: Flood2014-07-12: Flood2014-02-20: Flood2014-07-12: Flood2015-06-14: Flood2015-06-14: Flood2015-06-18: Flood2015-06-07: Flood2015-07-08: Flood2015-07-09: Flood2017-06-17: Flood2017-06-17: Flood2017-11-18: Flood2019-05-01: Flood2019-07-03: Flood2020-04-26: Flood2020-07-08: Flood2020-07-08: Flood2021-06-26: Flood2021-06-25: Flood2021-07-16: Flood2021-08-12: Flood2021-08-08: Flood2022-07-23: Flood2022-06-25: Flood2023-05-07: Flood2023-05-07: Flood2025-07-08: Flood2025-07-08: Flood2026-06-10: Flood2026-06-10: Flood2026-06-11: Flood2026-06-17: Flood2026-06-17: Flood2026-06-17: Flood2026-06-17: Flood2026-06-17: Wind2026-06-17: Wind2026-06-17: Wind2026-06-11: Wind2026-06-11: Wind2026-06-11: Wind2026-06-11: Wind2026-06-11: Wind2026-06-11: Wind2026-06-11: Wind2026-06-11: Wind2026-06-11: Wind2026-06-11: Wind2026-06-11: Wind2026-06-11: Wind2026-06-11: Wind2026-06-11: Wind2026-06-11: Wind2026-06-11: Wind2026-06-11: Wind2026-06-11: Wind2026-06-11: Wind2026-06-11: Wind2026-06-11: Wind2026-06-10: Wind2026-06-10: Wind2026-03-26: Wind2026-03-06: Wind2026-03-06: Wind2025-07-25: Wind2025-07-16: Wind2025-07-16: Wind2025-07-16: Wind2025-07-16: Wind2025-07-16: Wind2025-07-16: Wind2025-07-16: Wind2025-07-16: Wind2025-07-16: Wind2025-07-16: Wind2025-07-16: Wind2025-06-30: Wind2025-06-30: Wind2025-05-15: Wind2025-05-15: Wind2025-05-15: Wind2025-04-02: Wind2025-04-02: Wind2025-04-02: Wind2025-03-19: Wind2025-03-19: Wind2025-03-19: Wind2025-03-19: Wind2024-08-16: Wind2024-07-15: Wind2024-07-15: Wind2024-07-15: Wind2024-07-15: Wind2024-07-15: Wind2024-07-15: Wind2024-07-15: Wind2024-07-15: Wind2024-06-13: Wind2024-06-13: Wind2024-06-13: Wind2024-06-13: Wind2024-06-13: Wind2024-06-13: Wind2024-06-13: Wind2024-06-13: Wind2024-06-13: Wind2024-06-13: Wind2024-06-13: Wind2024-05-21: Wind2024-05-07: Wind2024-05-07: Wind2023-08-25: Wind2023-08-25: Wind2023-08-25: Wind2023-07-14: Wind2023-07-04: Wind2023-06-29: Wind2023-06-29: Wind2023-06-29: Wind2023-06-29: Wind2023-06-29: Wind2023-06-29: Wind2023-06-29: Wind2023-06-29: Wind2023-06-29: Wind2023-06-29: Wind2023-06-29: Wind2023-06-29: Wind2023-06-29: Wind2023-06-29: Wind2023-06-29: Wind2023-06-29: Wind2023-05-07: Wind2023-05-07: Wind2023-05-07: Wind2023-05-07: Wind2023-05-07: Wind2023-04-15: Wind2023-04-05: Wind2023-04-05: Wind2023-03-31: Wind2022-11-05: Wind2022-11-05: Wind2022-09-18: Wind2022-09-18: Wind2022-09-18: Wind2022-09-18: Wind2022-09-18: Wind2022-09-18: Wind2022-09-18: Wind2022-08-02: Wind
McLean County within Illinois. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

McLean County, Illinois, has 943 weather events in the NCEI Storm Events record since 1950, most of them damaging wind.

That is 79.7 events per 100 square miles, below the Illinois figure of 120.2, and 55.2 per 10,000 residents against 52.7 statewide.

73 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 19 deaths and 48 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $45M and crop damage at $66M.

FEMA has designated the county in 11 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Covid-19 Pandemic (major disaster, 26 Mar 2020).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 188 claims since 1978, of which 150 were paid, totalling $1.7M (about $11K per paid claim). FEMA counts 112 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Moderate" and its expected annual loss as "Relatively Moderate" ($81M a year across 18 hazards).

3 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 0 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

73events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
943events since 195019 deaths, 48 injuries recorded
11disaster declarationslast 26 Mar 2020
188NFIP flood claims$1.7M paid

Compared with Illinois and the United States

MeasureMcLean CountyIllinoisUS
Recorded events since 195094366,7221,977,440
Events per 100 square miles79.7120.256.0
Events per 10,000 residents55.252.759.6
Events in the last 12 months733,23262,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI191,14826,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$45M$6.9B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents1.14.28.1
Average paid NFIP claim$11K$14K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years24.121.116.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Tornado: 4Wind: 3
Hail: 1Tornado: 8Wind: 1
Hail: 13Tornado: 19Wind: 13
Hail: 11Tornado: 26Wind: 24
Hail: 22Tornado: 23Flood: 1Wind: 42Winter: 12Heat: 4Cold: 2
Hail: 93Tornado: 20Flood: 10Wind: 91Winter: 24Heat: 4Cold: 2Lightning: 2Fog: 1
Hail: 49Tornado: 9Flood: 20Wind: 62Winter: 24Heat: 6Cold: 5Drought: 7Lightning: 3Fog: 1Other: 1
Hail: 56Tornado: 13Flood: 21Wind: 152Winter: 9Heat: 4Cold: 8Drought: 9Lightning: 1Other: 7
71950s101960s451970s611980s1061990s2472000s1872010s2802020s
Recorded events in McLean County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterHeatColdDroughtLightningFogOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 554 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 227 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Wind388
Hail245
Tornado122
Winter69
Flood52
Heat18
Cold17
Drought16
Other8
Lightning6
Fog2
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Wind38811.6%detail
■ Hail245—2.0%detail
■ Tornado122—3.3%detail
■ Winter6990.8%detail
■ Flood52—0.8%detail
■ Heat1840.5%
■ Cold1740.6%
■ Drought16—1.0%
■ Other8—0.8%
■ Lightning6—1.3%
■ Fog210.1%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
28 Dec 2015Ice StormWinter—$975K—2—Forecast zone
27 Jun 2009Thunderstorm WindWind40 mph$35K—13County
5 Feb 2010Winter WeatherWinter———13Forecast zone
7 Dec 2015Dense FogFog———11Forecast zone
1 Dec 2006Winter StormWinter—$400K—1—Forecast zone
26 Jul 1997HeatHeat———1—Forecast zone
19 Aug 2005HeatHeat———1—Forecast zone
8 Dec 2007Ice StormWinter———1—Forecast zone
15 Jan 2009Extreme Cold/Wind ChillCold———1—Forecast zone
12 Dec 2010BlizzardWinter———1—Forecast zone
24 Dec 2010Heavy SnowWinter———1—Forecast zone
6 Jun 2011HeatHeat———1—Forecast zone
1 Dec 2013Cold/Wind ChillCold———1—Forecast zone
25 Aug 2014HeatHeat———1—Forecast zone
5 Jan 2014Heavy SnowWinter———1—Forecast zone
26 Jan 2014Cold/Wind ChillCold———1—Forecast zone
31 Jan 2014Winter WeatherWinter———1—Forecast zone
23 Jan 2024Cold/Wind ChillCold———1—Forecast zone
20 Jan 2010Winter WeatherWinter————12Forecast zone
1 Sep 2012DroughtDrought——$66M——Forecast zone

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
26 Mar 2020DR-4489Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3435EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
17 Mar 2011DR-1960Major disasterSnowstormSevere Winter Storm And SnowstormPublic assistance
9 Feb 2007DR-1681Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
7 Sep 2005EM-3230EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
17 Jan 2001EM-3161EmergencySnowstormIllinois Winter Snow StormsPublic assistance
8 Jan 1999EM-3134EmergencySnowstormIl-Winter Storm 1/1/99Public assistance
6 Mar 1990DR-860Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Ice StormPublic assistance
11 Apr 1974DR-427Major disasterTornadoTornadoesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
26 Apr 1973DR-373Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
5 Jun 1968DR-242Major disasterTornadoTornadoes, Severe Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in McLean County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 1978188
Paid claims150
Total paid$1.7M
Average paid claim$11K
Repetitive-loss properties141 severe
Residential policies in force1120.2% of 53,811 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202641$432$432
202520$0—
20211413$299,344$23,026
202032$63,859$31,929
201921$4,654$4,654
201821$1,689$1,689
201598$256,178$32,022
201411$9,577$9,577
201010$0—
200921$28,315$28,315
200887$199,655$28,522
200711$96,763$96,763
200611$8,166$8,166
200522$13,727$6,864
200433$9,208$3,069
20031714$182,598$13,043
199710$0—
199666$5,120$853
199511$17,781$17,781
199375$240,648$48,130
1986115$23,212$4,642
198421$312$312
198322$21,121$10,560
19823531$79,769$2,573
19811917$80,115$4,713

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Moderatescore 86.9 of 100
Expected annual loss$81MRelatively Moderate
Social vulnerabilityVery Low
Community resilienceVery High
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively Moderate$33,467,781
Cold waveRelatively High$26,400,159
TornadoRelatively Moderate$8,761,045
EarthquakeRelatively Low$2,666,816
DroughtRelatively High$2,622,176
Heat waveRelatively Moderate$2,616,538
HailRelatively Moderate$1,924,788
Strong windRelatively Moderate$1,785,938
LightningRelatively Moderate$386,066
Winter weatherRelatively High$358,410
Ice stormRelatively Moderate$302,485
HurricaneVery Low$22,200
WildfireVery Low$3,589
LandslideVery Low$1,624

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles3
Tracks within 50 miles0
Hurricane strength within 50 miles0
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Ike200888 mi58 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm193265 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm190270 mi40 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in McLean County, IL?

NCEI records 245 hail events in McLean County since 1950, in 52 different years; that is about 3.2 recorded events a year. 54 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has McLean County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 122 tornadoes in McLean County since 1950, 19 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 0.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for McLean County?

26 Mar 2020: Covid-19 Pandemic, a major disaster declaration for biological. The county appears in 11 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in McLean County, and how much was paid?

188 NFIP claims since 1978, 150 of them paid, for $1.7M in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is McLean County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Moderate" for overall risk, "Relatively Moderate" for expected annual loss, "Very Low" for social vulnerability and "Very High" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does McLean County compare with the rest of Illinois?

79.7 recorded events per 100 square miles against 120.2 statewide, and 1.1 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 4.2. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.