County Hazards

States › Kentucky › Carroll County

Carroll County, Kentucky

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 21041 · 10,863 residents (2021) · 129 sq mi · dominant hazard Wind

Hail · 28Tornado · 11Flood · 56Wind · 98Winter · 47
1964-06-02: Hail1996-05-28: Hail1997-03-28: Hail1997-03-28: Hail1998-05-23: Hail2002-02-20: Hail2005-04-22: Hail2006-04-07: Hail2006-08-10: Hail2008-06-03: Hail2009-06-02: Hail2009-08-04: Hail2010-03-12: Hail2012-05-01: Hail2012-07-19: Hail2012-05-01: Hail2012-03-02: Hail2012-03-02: Hail2012-03-02: Hail2012-03-02: Hail2014-05-21: Hail2014-05-21: Hail2015-06-25: Hail2016-04-26: Hail2019-05-23: Hail2020-04-08: Hail2021-03-25: Hail2023-07-17: Hail1957-05-22: Tornado1959-02-10: Tornado1967-03-04: Tornado1976-09-26: Tornado1988-07-20: Tornado1991-08-08: Tornado1992-11-22: Tornado2012-03-02: Tornado2024-03-14: Tornado2024-03-14: Tornado2026-06-18: Tornado2008-03-19: Flood2009-08-04: Flood2009-08-04: Flood2010-05-02: Flood2010-05-02: Flood2010-05-12: Flood2013-07-07: Flood2013-12-21: Flood2014-04-03: Flood2014-04-04: Flood2014-04-04: Flood2015-04-03: Flood2015-07-14: Flood2015-07-14: Flood2016-08-01: Flood2016-08-01: Flood2017-05-20: Flood2017-05-24: Flood2017-04-29: Flood2018-09-09: Flood2018-09-09: Flood2018-09-09: Flood2018-09-09: Flood2018-02-24: Flood2019-06-09: Flood2021-06-18: Flood2021-02-28: Flood2021-02-28: Flood2021-03-01: Flood2022-09-03: Flood2022-09-03: Flood2025-04-05: Flood2026-04-27: Flood1964-03-25: Wind1973-06-04: Wind1975-03-24: Wind1977-06-05: Wind1978-06-25: Wind1981-11-19: Wind1990-06-14: Wind1990-06-02: Wind1996-05-08: Wind1996-04-29: Wind1996-11-07: Wind1998-06-29: Wind1998-11-10: Wind1999-06-12: Wind2000-01-03: Wind2000-11-09: Wind2000-07-10: Wind2000-08-09: Wind2000-08-09: Wind2000-08-17: Wind2001-07-08: Wind2002-11-10: Wind2003-07-09: Wind2004-05-30: Wind2004-05-27: Wind2004-08-04: Wind2005-05-19: Wind2006-01-02: Wind2006-04-02: Wind2006-06-28: Wind2007-08-16: Wind2008-07-20: Wind2008-06-04: Wind2009-06-20: Wind2009-08-10: Wind2009-08-10: Wind2010-06-27: Wind2010-10-26: Wind2010-07-17: Wind2011-11-14: Wind2011-04-20: Wind2011-04-28: Wind2012-07-01: Wind2012-07-01: Wind2012-07-27: Wind2012-07-26: Wind2012-03-23: Wind2013-12-21: Wind2014-05-21: Wind2014-05-21: Wind2015-07-13: Wind2015-06-26: Wind2016-03-31: Wind2016-05-10: Wind2016-05-10: Wind2016-09-10: Wind2016-09-10: Wind2016-07-15: Wind2016-07-08: Wind2016-07-08: Wind2017-03-01: Wind2017-03-01: Wind2018-06-26: Wind2019-03-14: Wind2019-03-14: Wind2019-04-25: Wind2019-06-05: Wind2019-06-17: Wind2019-06-05: Wind2020-05-10: Wind2021-07-08: Wind2021-08-30: Wind2022-05-19: Wind2022-06-22: Wind2022-06-06: Wind2023-07-17: Wind2023-07-17: Wind2024-03-14: Wind2024-05-26: Wind2024-05-26: Wind2024-05-26: Wind2024-07-31: Wind2024-07-31: Wind2024-06-25: Wind2025-06-18: Wind2025-06-18: Wind2026-05-16: Wind2026-04-27: Wind2026-04-27: Wind2026-04-29: Wind
Carroll County within Kentucky. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

Carroll County, Kentucky, has 253 weather events in the NCEI Storm Events record since 1950, most of them damaging wind.

That is 196.6 events per 100 square miles, above the Kentucky figure of 140.0, and 232.9 per 10,000 residents against 122.6 statewide.

10 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 1 death and 18 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $9.4M and crop damage at $465K.

FEMA has designated the county in 22 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Winter Storm (emergency, 24 Jan 2026).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 70 claims since 1978, of which 59 were paid, totalling $1.6M (about $27K per paid claim). FEMA counts 73 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Very Low" and its expected annual loss as "Very Low" ($6.6M a year across 18 hazards).

5 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 0 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

10events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
253events since 19501 death, 18 injuries recorded
22disaster declarationslast 24 Jan 2026
70NFIP flood claims$1.6M paid

Compared with Kentucky and the United States

MeasureCarroll CountyKentuckyUS
Recorded events since 195025355,2851,977,440
Events per 100 square miles196.6140.056.0
Events per 10,000 residents232.9122.659.6
Events in the last 12 months101,25462,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI159926,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$9.4M$3.5B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents6.46.28.1
Average paid NFIP claim$27K$22K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years43.837.316.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Tornado: 2
Hail: 1Tornado: 1Wind: 1
Tornado: 1Wind: 4
Tornado: 1Wind: 1
Hail: 4Tornado: 2Flood: 8Wind: 9Winter: 5Heat: 1Cold: 1
Hail: 7Flood: 18Wind: 27Winter: 10Heat: 1Cold: 1
Hail: 13Tornado: 1Flood: 22Wind: 33Winter: 23Heat: 4Other: 3
Hail: 3Tornado: 3Flood: 8Wind: 23Winter: 9Heat: 1Cold: 1
21950s31960s51970s21980s301990s642000s992010s482020s
Recorded events in Carroll County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterHeatColdOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 166 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 68 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Wind98
Flood56
Winter47
Hail28
Tornado11
Heat7
Cold3
Other3
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Wind98—0.4%detail
■ Flood56—0.7%detail
■ Winter47—0.6%detail
■ Hail28—0.4%detail
■ Tornado1110.7%detail
■ Heat7—0.3%
■ Cold3—0.1%
■ Other3—0.3%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
22 Nov 1992TornadoTornadoF4$2.5M—19County
10 Feb 1959TornadoTornadoF3$2.5M——6County
2 Jun 1990Thunderstorm WindWind0 mph———2County
1 Jul 2012Thunderstorm WindWind58 mph$10K——1County
2 Mar 2012TornadoTornadoEF1$1.3M———County
14 Sep 2008High WindWind63 mph$1.2M———Forecast zone
1 Mar 1997Flash FloodFlood—$500K———County
6 Apr 2007Frost/FreezeCold——$465K——Forecast zone
6 Jan 1996Winter StormWinter—$200K———Forecast zone
1 Mar 2017Thunderstorm WindWind81 mph$200K———County
4 Apr 2014Flash FloodFlood—$100K———County
18 Jun 2026TornadoTornadoEF1$100K———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
24 Jan 2026EM-3633EmergencyWinter StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
24 Apr 2025DR-4864Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
3 Apr 2025EM-3626EmergencySevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
16 Feb 2025EM-3624EmergencySevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, And LandslidesPublic assistance
28 Mar 2020DR-4497Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3469EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
17 Apr 2019DR-4428Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
26 Apr 2018DR-4361Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
12 Aug 2015DR-4239Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidePublic assistance
6 Mar 2012DR-4057Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds And FloodingIndividual assistance
4 May 2011DR-1976Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
11 May 2010DR-1912Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Flooding, Mudslides, And TornadoesPublic assistance
5 Feb 2009DR-1818Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter Storm And FloodingPublic assistance
28 Jan 2009EM-3302EmergencySevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
9 Oct 2008DR-1802Major disasterSevere StormSevere Wind Storm Associated With Tropical Depression IkePublic assistance
10 Sep 2005EM-3231EmergencyHurricaneHurricane KatrinaPublic assistance
10 Jun 2004DR-1523Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Flooding, And MudslidesIndividual assistance
4 Mar 1997DR-1163Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storm, Flooding, And TornadoesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Jan 1996DR-1089Major disasterSnowstormBlizzard Of 96Public assistance
29 Jan 1991DR-893Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingPublic assistance
24 Feb 1989DR-821Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
12 Dec 1978DR-568Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Carroll County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 197870
Paid claims59
Total paid$1.6M
Average paid claim$27K
Repetitive-loss properties40 severe
Residential policies in force731.7% of 4,358 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
20252321$923,161$43,960
201921$5,627$5,627
201876$159,207$26,534
201521$10,064$10,064
201421$3,205$3,205
200311$2,221$2,221
200211$11,643$11,643
19971717$434,520$25,560
199510$0—
199111$594$594
199010$0—
198311$1,482$1,482
198111$2,178$2,178
197952$2,992$1,496
197855$55,759$11,152

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskVery Lowscore 23.4 of 100
Expected annual loss$6.6MVery Low
Social vulnerabilityRelatively High
Community resilienceRelatively Low
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively Low$4,168,899
TornadoRelatively Low$1,312,857
Strong windRelatively Moderate$532,445
Cold waveVery Low$235,952
EarthquakeVery Low$91,163
LightningRelatively Low$77,960
Heat waveVery Low$64,972
Ice stormRelatively Low$44,286
HailVery Low$28,722
Winter weatherVery Low$9,665
HurricaneVery Low$2,449
DroughtVery Low$2,046
WildfireVery Low$815
LandslideVery Low$417

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles5
Tracks within 50 miles1
Hurricane strength within 50 miles0
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Helene202489 mi46 mph
Opal199588 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm191574 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm189258 mi52 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm188847 mi52 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Carroll County, KY?

NCEI records 28 hail events in Carroll County since 1950, in 18 different years; that is about 0.4 recorded events a year. 5 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Carroll County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 11 tornadoes in Carroll County since 1950, 4 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 1.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Carroll County?

24 Jan 2026: Severe Winter Storm, a emergency declaration for winter storm. The county appears in 22 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Carroll County, and how much was paid?

70 NFIP claims since 1978, 59 of them paid, for $1.6M in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Carroll County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Very Low" for overall risk, "Very Low" for expected annual loss, "Relatively High" for social vulnerability and "Relatively Low" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Carroll County compare with the rest of Kentucky?

196.6 recorded events per 100 square miles against 140.0 statewide, and 6.4 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 6.2. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.