County Hazards

States › Kentucky › Casey County

Casey County, Kentucky

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 21045 · 15,866 residents (2021) · 444 sq mi · dominant hazard Wind

Hail · 53Tornado · 8Flood · 40Wind · 155Winter · 23
1971-04-27: Hail1977-12-05: Hail1982-03-16: Hail1987-07-05: Hail1991-03-22: Hail1999-08-19: Hail1999-08-19: Hail2001-06-04: Hail2001-10-24: Hail2002-05-01: Hail2002-05-01: Hail2003-05-15: Hail2003-05-05: Hail2003-05-05: Hail2003-05-05: Hail2003-05-04: Hail2005-06-14: Hail2005-06-14: Hail2005-06-14: Hail2006-01-02: Hail2006-04-07: Hail2006-04-02: Hail2006-04-02: Hail2006-04-02: Hail2007-04-03: Hail2009-04-10: Hail2009-06-18: Hail2011-03-23: Hail2011-04-09: Hail2011-04-09: Hail2011-10-18: Hail2012-02-29: Hail2012-02-29: Hail2012-02-29: Hail2013-07-13: Hail2013-07-13: Hail2014-10-06: Hail2016-04-27: Hail2016-04-27: Hail2018-07-20: Hail2018-07-20: Hail2018-07-20: Hail2022-05-18: Hail2022-05-18: Hail2023-06-11: Hail2023-06-11: Hail2023-07-18: Hail2023-07-18: Hail2023-07-18: Hail1974-04-03: Tornado1997-03-28: Tornado2002-11-10: Tornado2007-04-03: Tornado2009-10-09: Tornado2012-02-29: Tornado2023-07-02: Tornado2006-01-22: Flood2008-02-06: Flood2010-05-02: Flood2010-05-02: Flood2010-05-02: Flood2013-06-17: Flood2013-03-18: Flood2013-03-18: Flood2017-05-27: Flood2017-05-27: Flood2018-06-26: Flood2018-06-26: Flood2019-02-23: Flood2019-06-07: Flood2019-12-16: Flood2019-12-16: Flood2020-09-13: Flood2020-09-13: Flood2020-09-13: Flood2020-09-13: Flood2020-09-13: Flood2020-09-13: Flood2020-09-13: Flood2020-06-29: Flood2021-02-28: Flood2021-02-28: Flood2022-01-01: Flood2022-01-01: Flood2022-08-10: Flood2025-02-15: Flood2025-04-03: Flood2025-04-04: Flood2025-04-04: Flood1955-03-01: Wind1967-06-21: Wind1969-07-07: Wind1979-08-06: Wind1981-05-30: Wind1983-03-27: Wind1986-02-06: Wind1987-08-03: Wind1987-08-09: Wind1989-05-22: Wind1989-11-15: Wind1990-05-16: Wind1991-04-09: Wind1992-07-30: Wind1996-06-07: Wind1996-05-27: Wind1996-04-20: Wind1997-06-13: Wind1997-03-02: Wind1998-05-20: Wind1998-05-31: Wind1998-05-25: Wind1998-04-16: Wind1999-08-19: Wind1999-08-19: Wind1999-08-24: Wind1999-01-17: Wind2000-04-20: Wind2000-05-03: Wind2000-11-09: Wind2000-09-20: Wind2000-08-08: Wind2000-07-29: Wind2000-07-30: Wind2001-07-08: Wind2001-07-04: Wind2001-07-08: Wind2001-10-05: Wind2001-10-24: Wind2002-11-10: Wind2002-01-24: Wind2002-04-28: Wind2003-05-05: Wind2003-05-11: Wind2003-05-05: Wind2003-08-22: Wind2003-08-22: Wind2004-05-31: Wind2004-05-26: Wind2004-05-27: Wind2004-07-05: Wind2005-06-14: Wind2005-07-04: Wind2006-01-02: Wind2006-05-31: Wind2006-04-02: Wind2006-04-02: Wind2006-10-11: Wind2007-07-15: Wind2007-05-04: Wind2008-02-06: Wind2008-02-06: Wind2008-01-29: Wind2008-02-06: Wind2009-04-05: Wind2009-04-05: Wind2009-02-11: Wind2010-07-19: Wind2010-08-05: Wind2010-09-11: Wind2010-06-24: Wind2010-06-24: Wind2011-02-25: Wind2011-04-04: Wind2011-04-27: Wind2011-04-09: Wind2011-05-22: Wind2011-06-09: Wind2012-01-23: Wind2012-01-17: Wind2012-07-05: Wind2012-07-05: Wind2012-07-05: Wind2012-07-05: Wind2012-07-19: Wind2013-06-26: Wind2013-06-26: Wind2014-07-14: Wind2014-05-21: Wind2015-06-25: Wind2015-07-14: Wind2015-07-14: Wind2015-07-09: Wind2015-07-10: Wind2016-04-27: Wind2016-05-10: Wind2016-08-28: Wind2016-07-07: Wind2016-07-04: Wind2016-07-03: Wind2016-07-04: Wind2017-03-01: Wind2017-03-01: Wind2018-04-03: Wind2018-06-26: Wind2018-06-26: Wind2018-06-10: Wind2018-02-24: Wind2018-07-20: Wind2019-08-20: Wind2019-05-26: Wind2020-07-05: Wind2020-07-06: Wind2020-07-06: Wind2020-07-24: Wind2020-07-24: Wind2020-07-24: Wind
Casey County within Kentucky. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 29 Sep 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

Casey County, Kentucky, has 286 weather events in the NCEI Storm Events record since 1950, most of them damaging wind.

That is 64.4 events per 100 square miles, below the Kentucky figure of 140.0, and 180.3 per 10,000 residents against 122.6 statewide.

3 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 1 death and 3 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $9.4M and crop damage at $3.0M.

FEMA has designated the county in 34 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Winter Storm (major disaster, 29 May 2026).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 24 claims since 1978, of which 22 were paid, totalling $3.0M (about $136K per paid claim). FEMA counts 6 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Very Low" and its expected annual loss as "Very Low" ($7.9M a year across 18 hazards).

6 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 0 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

3events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
286events since 19501 death, 3 injuries recorded
34disaster declarationslast 29 May 2026
24NFIP flood claims$3.0M paid

Compared with Kentucky and the United States

MeasureCasey CountyKentuckyUS
Recorded events since 195028655,2851,977,440
Events per 100 square miles64.4140.056.0
Events per 10,000 residents180.3122.659.6
Events in the last 12 months31,25462,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI159926,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$9.4M$3.5B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents1.56.28.1
Average paid NFIP claim$136K$22K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years183.337.316.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Wind: 1
Wind: 2
Hail: 2Tornado: 1Wind: 1
Hail: 2Wind: 7
Hail: 7Tornado: 2Flood: 5Wind: 16Winter: 2
Hail: 20Tornado: 3Flood: 4Wind: 43Winter: 2
Hail: 15Tornado: 1Flood: 14Wind: 44Winter: 10Cold: 4Other: 1
Hail: 7Tornado: 1Flood: 17Wind: 41Winter: 9Cold: 1Lightning: 1
11950s21960s41970s91980s321990s722000s892010s772020s
Recorded events in Casey County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterColdLightningOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 194 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 81 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Wind155
Hail53
Flood40
Winter23
Tornado8
Cold5
Lightning1
Other1
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Wind155—0.7%detail
■ Hail53—0.8%detail
■ Flood40—0.5%detail
■ Winter23—0.3%detail
■ Tornado8—0.5%
■ Cold5—0.2%
■ Lightning110.4%
■ Other1—0.1%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
5 Apr 2025LightningLightning———1—County
9 Apr 1991Thunderstorm WindWind0 mph———2County
20 Apr 1996Thunderstorm WindWind69 mph$15K——1County
16 Apr 1998Thunderstorm WindWind92 mph$5.0M———County
19 Jul 1996Flash FloodFlood—$20K$3.0M——County
3 Apr 1974TornadoTornadoF3$2.5M———County
1 Mar 1997FloodFlood—$500K———Forecast zone
13 Sep 2020FloodFlood—$250K———County
28 Mar 1997TornadoTornadoF1$200K———County
28 Apr 2002Thunderstorm WindWind92 mph$100K———County
6 Feb 2008Thunderstorm WindWind96 mph$100K———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
29 May 2026DR-4913Major disasterWinter StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
24 Jan 2026EM-3633EmergencyWinter StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
23 May 2025DR-4875Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, And TornadoesPublic assistance
24 Apr 2025DR-4864Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
3 Apr 2025EM-3626EmergencySevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
16 Feb 2025EM-3624EmergencySevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, And LandslidesPublic assistance
10 Apr 2023DR-4702Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
29 Jul 2022DR-4663Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
23 Apr 2021DR-4595Major disasterFloodSevere, Storms, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
31 Mar 2021DR-4592Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter Storms, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
28 Mar 2020DR-4497Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3469EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
17 Apr 2019DR-4428Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
12 May 2015DR-4218Major disasterFloodSevere Winter Storm, Snowstorm, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
11 May 2010DR-1912Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Flooding, Mudslides, And TornadoesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
5 Feb 2009DR-1818Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter Storm And FloodingPublic assistance
28 Jan 2009EM-3302EmergencySevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
21 Feb 2008DR-1746Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, AndPublic assistance
10 Sep 2005EM-3231EmergencyHurricaneHurricane KatrinaPublic assistance
10 Jun 2004DR-1523Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Flooding, And MudslidesIndividual assistance
14 Mar 2003DR-1454Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter Ice And Snow Storms, Heavy Rain, Flooding, Tornadoes, And Mud AndPublic assistance
7 May 2002DR-1414Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes And FloodingIndividual assistance
29 Apr 1998DR-1216Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes,And FloodingIndividual assistance
3 Mar 1998DR-1207Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
4 Mar 1997DR-1163Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storm, Flooding, And TornadoesPublic assistance
13 Jan 1996DR-1089Major disasterSnowstormBlizzard Of 96Public assistance
13 Jun 1995DR-1055Major disasterTornadoTornadoes, Severe Winds, HailPublic assistance
16 Mar 1994DR-1018Major disasterSnowstormSevere Weather, Freezing Rain, Sleet, SnwPublic assistance
16 Mar 1993EM-3104EmergencySnowstormSevere Snowfall & Winter StormPublic assistance
29 Jan 1991DR-893Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingPublic assistance
24 Feb 1989DR-821Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
15 May 1984DR-705Major disasterSevere StormHigh Winds, Tornadoes & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
12 Dec 1978DR-568Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
5 Jun 1970DR-288Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Casey County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 197824
Paid claims22
Total paid$3.0M
Average paid claim$136K
Repetitive-loss properties11 severe
Residential policies in force60.1% of 7,835 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202511$51,832$51,832
202177$997,451$142,493
202032$71,574$35,787
201511$54,299$54,299
20101211$1,819,278$165,389

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskVery Lowscore 37.1 of 100
Expected annual loss$7.9MVery Low
Social vulnerabilityVery High
Community resilienceVery Low
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively Low$4,309,783
TornadoRelatively Low$1,262,955
Cold waveRelatively Low$947,908
Strong windRelatively Moderate$494,759
HailRelatively Low$286,982
EarthquakeVery Low$246,189
LightningRelatively Low$132,229
Heat waveVery Low$85,706
Winter weatherRelatively Moderate$77,944
Ice stormRelatively Low$42,658
HurricaneVery Low$30,244
DroughtRelatively Low$26,006
WildfireVery Low$4,295
LandslideVery Low$1,478

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles6
Tracks within 50 miles4
Hurricane strength within 50 miles0
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Helene202436 mi46 mph
Frederic197932 mi40 mph
Audrey195786 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm191557 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm189244 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm188847 mi52 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Casey County, KY?

NCEI records 53 hail events in Casey County since 1950, in 22 different years; that is about 0.7 recorded events a year. 15 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Casey County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 8 tornadoes in Casey County since 1950, 3 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 0.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Casey County?

29 May 2026: Severe Winter Storm, a major disaster declaration for winter storm. The county appears in 34 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Casey County, and how much was paid?

24 NFIP claims since 1978, 22 of them paid, for $3.0M in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Casey County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Very Low" for overall risk, "Very Low" for expected annual loss, "Very High" for social vulnerability and "Very Low" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Casey County compare with the rest of Kentucky?

64.4 recorded events per 100 square miles against 140.0 statewide, and 1.5 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 6.2. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 29 Sep 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 30 Sep 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.