County Hazards

States › Kentucky › Mercer County

Mercer County, Kentucky

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 21167 · 22,850 residents (2021) · 249 sq mi · dominant hazard Wind

Hail · 26Tornado · 15Flood · 29Wind · 139Winter · 31
1971-04-27: Hail1979-08-20: Hail1985-07-03: Hail1996-04-29: Hail1997-08-25: Hail2002-04-19: Hail2002-04-19: Hail2002-03-29: Hail2002-03-29: Hail2002-05-02: Hail2003-03-20: Hail2004-05-30: Hail2007-04-11: Hail2007-04-11: Hail2009-02-18: Hail2015-04-25: Hail2016-05-10: Hail2016-05-10: Hail2022-05-19: Hail2022-05-19: Hail2022-05-19: Hail2022-11-29: Hail2025-02-06: Hail2025-02-06: Hail2025-04-03: Hail1972-04-21: Tornado1974-04-03: Tornado1980-07-02: Tornado1990-05-21: Tornado1993-11-14: Tornado1995-05-18: Tornado1995-05-18: Tornado1998-05-13: Tornado2000-04-20: Tornado2003-05-11: Tornado2008-02-06: Tornado2010-04-24: Tornado2023-01-12: Tornado2025-05-30: Tornado2010-05-02: Flood2011-04-12: Flood2011-11-28: Flood2013-07-04: Flood2013-08-07: Flood2014-08-24: Flood2015-07-14: Flood2015-04-03: Flood2015-07-03: Flood2016-05-10: Flood2018-05-31: Flood2018-05-31: Flood2019-07-17: Flood2019-12-16: Flood2019-12-16: Flood2021-07-01: Flood2025-04-04: Flood2026-06-27: Flood2026-06-18: Flood1968-04-23: Wind1971-03-15: Wind1973-05-23: Wind1974-06-22: Wind1979-06-22: Wind1980-05-17: Wind1980-06-07: Wind1982-05-21: Wind1983-08-11: Wind1983-08-11: Wind1983-08-11: Wind1984-07-11: Wind1984-02-24: Wind1985-03-04: Wind1985-05-28: Wind1985-07-31: Wind1985-06-10: Wind1986-02-06: Wind1987-08-27: Wind1987-07-06: Wind1987-07-26: Wind1987-07-05: Wind1990-05-16: Wind1991-07-08: Wind1991-04-09: Wind1992-07-30: Wind1992-08-10: Wind1996-05-28: Wind1996-05-28: Wind1996-07-14: Wind1996-05-24: Wind1996-05-05: Wind1996-11-07: Wind1997-03-28: Wind1998-05-20: Wind1998-05-20: Wind1998-06-14: Wind1999-01-17: Wind2000-04-20: Wind2000-11-09: Wind2000-09-20: Wind2000-08-08: Wind2001-07-08: Wind2002-11-10: Wind2002-04-21: Wind2002-08-02: Wind2002-11-10: Wind2002-11-10: Wind2003-08-22: Wind2004-05-26: Wind2004-07-05: Wind2005-05-14: Wind2005-06-14: Wind2005-07-19: Wind2005-07-19: Wind2005-12-28: Wind2006-01-02: Wind2006-03-09: Wind2006-05-31: Wind2006-07-12: Wind2006-08-20: Wind2006-08-10: Wind2007-06-24: Wind2007-04-03: Wind2007-08-16: Wind2008-01-29: Wind2008-01-29: Wind2010-04-24: Wind2010-04-24: Wind2010-07-19: Wind2010-07-19: Wind2010-09-11: Wind2010-04-24: Wind2012-03-15: Wind2012-07-26: Wind2012-07-26: Wind2012-07-19: Wind2013-07-23: Wind2013-07-23: Wind2013-07-23: Wind2013-06-13: Wind2013-06-13: Wind2013-01-30: Wind2014-05-21: Wind2014-05-21: Wind2015-06-08: Wind2015-06-08: Wind2015-05-11: Wind2015-05-11: Wind2015-07-14: Wind2015-07-10: Wind2016-05-01: Wind2016-05-10: Wind2016-05-10: Wind2016-05-10: Wind2017-03-01: Wind2017-03-27: Wind2017-06-23: Wind2017-03-01: Wind2017-03-27: Wind2018-07-20: Wind2020-07-11: Wind2020-07-11: Wind2020-08-03: Wind2021-07-06: Wind
Mercer County within Kentucky. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

Mercer County, Kentucky, has 249 weather events in the NCEI Storm Events record since 1950, most of them damaging wind.

That is 100.0 events per 100 square miles, below the Kentucky figure of 140.0, and 109.0 per 10,000 residents against 122.6 statewide.

8 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 2 deaths and 18 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $24M.

FEMA has designated the county in 26 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, And Mudslides (major disaster, 1 Sep 2026).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 187 claims since 1978, of which 177 were paid, totalling $5.0M (about $28K per paid claim). FEMA counts 73 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Very Low" and its expected annual loss as "Very Low" ($12M a year across 18 hazards).

6 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 0 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

8events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
249events since 19502 deaths, 18 injuries recorded
26disaster declarationslast 1 Sep 2026
187NFIP flood claims$5.0M paid

Compared with Kentucky and the United States

MeasureMercer CountyKentuckyUS
Recorded events since 195024955,2851,977,440
Events per 100 square miles100.0140.056.0
Events per 10,000 residents109.0122.659.6
Events in the last 12 months81,25462,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI259926,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$24M$3.5B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents8.26.28.1
Average paid NFIP claim$28K$22K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years47.937.316.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Wind: 1
Hail: 2Tornado: 2Wind: 4
Hail: 1Tornado: 1Wind: 17
Hail: 3Tornado: 6Flood: 7Wind: 20Winter: 4Lightning: 1
Hail: 10Tornado: 3Flood: 3Wind: 38Winter: 6Lightning: 2
Hail: 3Tornado: 1Flood: 15Wind: 36Winter: 12Cold: 4Other: 1
Hail: 7Tornado: 2Flood: 4Wind: 23Winter: 9Cold: 1
01950s11960s81970s191980s411990s622000s722010s462020s
Recorded events in Mercer County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterColdLightningOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 141 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 79 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Wind139
Winter31
Flood29
Hail26
Tornado15
Cold5
Lightning3
Other1
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Wind13910.6%detail
■ Winter31—0.4%detail
■ Flood29—0.3%detail
■ Hail26—0.4%detail
■ Tornado1511.0%detail
■ Cold5—0.2%
■ Lightning3—1.3%
■ Other1—0.1%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
11 May 2003TornadoTornadoF2$15M—18County
26 May 2024Thunderstorm WindWind85 mph——1—County
18 May 1995TornadoTornadoF2$5.0M——8County
2 Jul 1980TornadoTornadoF1$250K——1County
24 Nov 2014Strong WindWind52 mph$18K——1Forecast zone
6 Feb 2008TornadoTornadoEF1$1.0M———County
15 Feb 2003Ice StormWinter—$800K———Forecast zone
14 Nov 1993TornadoTornadoF1$500K———County
2 Mar 1997FloodFlood—$400K———Forecast zone
21 Apr 1972TornadoTornadoF2$250K———County
3 Apr 1974TornadoTornadoF2$250K———County
5 May 1996Thunderstorm WindWind69 mph$200K———County
29 Jan 2008Thunderstorm WindWind81 mph$200K———County
2 May 2010FloodFlood—$100K———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
1 Sep 2026DR-4937Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
24 Jan 2026EM-3633EmergencyWinter StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
24 Apr 2025DR-4864Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
3 Apr 2025EM-3626EmergencySevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
16 Feb 2025EM-3624EmergencySevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, And LandslidesPublic assistance
10 Apr 2023DR-4702Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
31 Mar 2021DR-4592Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter Storms, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
28 Mar 2020DR-4497Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3469EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
4 May 2011DR-1976Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
11 May 2010DR-1912Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Flooding, Mudslides, And TornadoesIndividual assistance
5 Feb 2009DR-1818Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter Storm And FloodingPublic assistance
28 Jan 2009EM-3302EmergencySevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
21 Feb 2008DR-1746Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, AndIndividual assistance, Public assistance
10 Sep 2005EM-3231EmergencyHurricaneHurricane KatrinaPublic assistance
3 Jun 2003DR-1471Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Flooding, Mud And Rock Slides, And TornadoesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
14 Mar 2003DR-1454Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter Ice And Snow Storms, Heavy Rain, Flooding, Tornadoes, And Mud AndPublic assistance
3 Mar 1998DR-1207Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
4 Mar 1997DR-1163Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storm, Flooding, And TornadoesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Jan 1996DR-1089Major disasterSnowstormBlizzard Of 96Public assistance
13 Jun 1995DR-1055Major disasterTornadoTornadoes, Severe Winds, HailIndividual assistance
16 Mar 1994DR-1018Major disasterSnowstormSevere Weather, Freezing Rain, Sleet, SnwPublic assistance
16 Mar 1993EM-3104EmergencySnowstormSevere Snowfall & Winter StormPublic assistance
24 Feb 1989DR-821Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
12 Dec 1978DR-568Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
4 Apr 1974DR-420Major disasterTornadoTornadoesIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Mercer County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 1978187
Paid claims177
Total paid$5.0M
Average paid claim$28K
Repetitive-loss properties227 severe
Residential policies in force730.7% of 10,474 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202655$89,495$17,899
20252323$1,393,280$60,577
202411$13,023$13,023
202311$10,292$10,292
202133$70,205$23,402
201821$7,954$7,954
201522$23,425$11,713
201321$1,374$1,374
201111$2,250$2,250
20103533$1,688,915$51,179
200344$62,555$15,639
20021111$203,464$18,497
19972826$596,454$22,941
1994129$199,766$22,196
199311$7,500$7,500
199211$3,685$3,685
199111$10,920$10,920
199044$25,700$6,425
19892424$366,522$15,272
198810$0—
19841212$61,017$5,085
198211$267$267
197933$1,233$411
197899$189,839$21,093

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskVery Lowscore 41.4 of 100
Expected annual loss$12MVery Low
Social vulnerabilityRelatively Moderate
Community resilienceRelatively High
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively Low$6,775,481
TornadoRelatively Moderate$2,285,886
Strong windRelatively Moderate$1,048,020
Cold waveRelatively Low$653,073
EarthquakeVery Low$389,865
HailRelatively Low$345,947
LightningRelatively Low$213,600
Ice stormRelatively Moderate$140,299
Heat waveVery Low$103,319
Winter weatherRelatively Low$77,585
DroughtVery Low$17,626
HurricaneVery Low$17,062
WildfireVery Low$3,298
LandslideVery Low$309

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles6
Tracks within 50 miles1
Hurricane strength within 50 miles0
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Helene202470 mi46 mph
Opal199589 mi46 mph
Frederic197960 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm191591 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm189276 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm188815 mi52 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Mercer County, KY?

NCEI records 26 hail events in Mercer County since 1950, in 15 different years; that is about 0.3 recorded events a year. 6 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Mercer County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 15 tornadoes in Mercer County since 1950, 5 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 1.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Mercer County?

1 Sep 2026: Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, And Mudslides, a major disaster declaration for severe storm. The county appears in 26 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Mercer County, and how much was paid?

187 NFIP claims since 1978, 177 of them paid, for $5.0M in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Mercer County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Very Low" for overall risk, "Very Low" for expected annual loss, "Relatively Moderate" for social vulnerability and "Relatively High" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Mercer County compare with the rest of Kentucky?

100.0 recorded events per 100 square miles against 140.0 statewide, and 8.2 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 6.2. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.