County Hazards

States › Kentucky › Metcalfe County

Metcalfe County, Kentucky

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 21169 · 10,349 residents (2021) · 290 sq mi · dominant hazard Wind

Hail · 35Tornado · 19Flood · 27Wind · 113Winter · 20
1968-04-23: Hail1976-06-21: Hail1981-05-18: Hail1986-08-27: Hail1997-01-24: Hail1997-03-02: Hail1998-06-14: Hail2000-05-23: Hail2000-05-23: Hail2000-05-23: Hail2000-05-23: Hail2002-03-29: Hail2002-05-02: Hail2002-04-24: Hail2002-04-24: Hail2005-06-14: Hail2006-04-20: Hail2006-04-07: Hail2006-04-07: Hail2006-05-19: Hail2009-03-08: Hail2009-02-18: Hail2009-04-13: Hail2011-03-23: Hail2011-10-18: Hail2012-03-02: Hail2012-03-02: Hail2012-03-02: Hail2012-02-29: Hail2014-07-27: Hail2014-10-06: Hail2016-05-10: Hail2018-07-20: Hail2018-07-20: Hail1957-11-18: Tornado1965-11-26: Tornado1996-04-20: Tornado1997-01-24: Tornado1997-03-02: Tornado1997-03-28: Tornado1998-04-16: Tornado2006-04-07: Tornado2009-05-08: Tornado2009-06-11: Tornado2012-02-29: Tornado2017-03-27: Tornado2017-04-05: Tornado2017-04-05: Tornado2018-07-20: Tornado2024-07-09: Tornado2024-05-26: Tornado2010-05-02: Flood2011-07-12: Flood2013-07-05: Flood2013-03-18: Flood2015-04-14: Flood2015-12-25: Flood2017-09-01: Flood2017-09-01: Flood2018-06-26: Flood2018-02-11: Flood2019-02-23: Flood2019-02-20: Flood2019-12-16: Flood2021-05-04: Flood2021-05-04: Flood2021-05-04: Flood2021-05-04: Flood2025-04-03: Flood2025-04-03: Flood2026-06-28: Flood2026-06-28: Flood2026-06-28: Flood1968-04-14: Wind1970-08-03: Wind1970-04-27: Wind1973-11-25: Wind1976-08-25: Wind1976-03-20: Wind1979-03-04: Wind1980-03-21: Wind1981-05-18: Wind1983-04-02: Wind1983-08-11: Wind1987-06-23: Wind1987-07-05: Wind1991-04-09: Wind1997-07-28: Wind1998-06-19: Wind1999-08-24: Wind1999-01-17: Wind2000-04-20: Wind2000-11-09: Wind2000-11-09: Wind2000-08-10: Wind2000-07-11: Wind2001-05-21: Wind2001-07-05: Wind2002-11-10: Wind2002-11-10: Wind2002-03-29: Wind2002-04-24: Wind2003-08-22: Wind2004-05-30: Wind2004-06-01: Wind2004-07-05: Wind2005-08-18: Wind2006-03-09: Wind2006-03-09: Wind2006-04-07: Wind2007-04-03: Wind2007-06-07: Wind2007-06-23: Wind2007-06-23: Wind2007-06-08: Wind2008-01-29: Wind2008-04-11: Wind2008-07-22: Wind2009-05-08: Wind2009-05-08: Wind2009-06-22: Wind2009-06-16: Wind2009-06-16: Wind2009-06-16: Wind2009-06-16: Wind2009-06-16: Wind2009-06-11: Wind2009-06-26: Wind2011-04-20: Wind2011-04-15: Wind2011-04-15: Wind2012-04-26: Wind2012-04-26: Wind2012-03-02: Wind2012-07-19: Wind2012-07-19: Wind2012-07-19: Wind2012-03-02: Wind2013-06-26: Wind2013-12-21: Wind2013-01-30: Wind2015-05-26: Wind2015-05-26: Wind2015-06-29: Wind2015-05-11: Wind2015-06-26: Wind2015-06-21: Wind2015-07-13: Wind2016-04-06: Wind2016-06-23: Wind2016-05-10: Wind2016-07-04: Wind2016-07-04: Wind2016-07-06: Wind2017-03-27: Wind2017-03-27: Wind2017-04-05: Wind2017-08-02: Wind2018-06-11: Wind2018-07-20: Wind2018-07-05: Wind2019-06-21: Wind2019-06-21: Wind2019-06-23: Wind2020-08-10: Wind2021-06-13: Wind2022-10-12: Wind2022-01-01: Wind2022-07-12: Wind2022-07-21: Wind2022-07-08: Wind2023-03-03: Wind2023-06-25: Wind2025-04-03: Wind2025-04-03: Wind2025-12-28: Wind2026-03-15: Wind2026-03-15: Wind
Metcalfe County within Kentucky. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

Metcalfe County, Kentucky, has 217 weather events in the NCEI Storm Events record since 1950, most of them damaging wind.

That is 74.9 events per 100 square miles, below the Kentucky figure of 140.0, and 209.7 per 10,000 residents against 122.6 statewide.

7 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 3 deaths and 9 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $9.8M.

FEMA has designated the county in 32 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, And Mudslides (major disaster, 1 Sep 2026).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 7 claims since 1978, of which 3 were paid, totalling $17K (about $6K per paid claim). FEMA counts 10 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Very Low" and its expected annual loss as "Very Low" ($4.6M a year across 18 hazards).

6 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 0 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

7events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
217events since 19503 deaths, 9 injuries recorded
32disaster declarationslast 1 Sep 2026
7NFIP flood claims$17K paid

Compared with Kentucky and the United States

MeasureMetcalfe CountyKentuckyUS
Recorded events since 195021755,2851,977,440
Events per 100 square miles74.9140.056.0
Events per 10,000 residents209.7122.659.6
Events in the last 12 months71,25462,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI359926,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$9.8M$3.5B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents0.76.28.1
Average paid NFIP claim$6K$22K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years0.037.316.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Tornado: 1
Hail: 1Tornado: 1Wind: 1
Hail: 1Wind: 6
Hail: 2Wind: 6
Hail: 3Tornado: 7Flood: 4Wind: 7Winter: 3
Hail: 17Tornado: 3Flood: 1Wind: 42Winter: 2
Hail: 11Tornado: 5Flood: 13Wind: 36Winter: 9Cold: 3
Tornado: 2Flood: 9Wind: 15Winter: 6
11950s31960s71970s81980s241990s652000s772010s322020s
Recorded events in Metcalfe County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterCold NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 137 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 58 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Wind113
Hail35
Flood27
Winter20
Tornado19
Cold3
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Wind113—0.5%detail
■ Hail35—0.5%detail
■ Flood27—0.3%detail
■ Winter20—0.2%detail
■ Tornado1931.3%detail
■ Cold3—0.1%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
28 Mar 1997TornadoTornadoF2$1.0M—16County
26 Nov 1965TornadoTornadoF2——11County
16 Apr 1998TornadoTornadoF2$5.0M—1—County
28 Jul 1997Thunderstorm WindWind69 mph$100K——1County
21 May 2001Thunderstorm WindWind86 mph$5K——1County
7 Apr 2006HailHail2.00 in$550K———County
18 May 1995TornadoTornadoF2$500K———County
5 Apr 2017Thunderstorm WindWind90 mph$400K———County
2 May 2010Flash FloodFlood—$300K———County
27 Mar 2017TornadoTornadoEF1$300K———County
18 Nov 1957TornadoTornadoF1$250K———County
11 Feb 2018FloodFlood—$200K———County
7 Apr 2006TornadoTornadoF2$175K———County
5 Apr 2017TornadoTornadoEF1$150K———County
20 Jul 2018TornadoTornadoEF0$125K———County
29 Jan 2008Thunderstorm WindWind81 mph$100K———County
19 Jul 2012Thunderstorm WindWind69 mph$100K———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
1 Sep 2026DR-4937Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
29 May 2026DR-4913Major disasterWinter StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
24 Jan 2026EM-3633EmergencyWinter StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
23 May 2025DR-4875Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, And TornadoesPublic assistance
24 Apr 2025DR-4864Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
3 Apr 2025EM-3626EmergencySevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
24 Feb 2025DR-4860Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
16 Feb 2025EM-3624EmergencySevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, And LandslidesPublic assistance
23 Jul 2024DR-4804Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
10 Apr 2023DR-4702Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
24 Apr 2020DR-4540Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
28 Mar 2020DR-4497Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3469EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
17 Apr 2019DR-4428Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
26 Apr 2018DR-4361Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
12 Apr 2018DR-4358Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
26 Aug 2016DR-4278Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storm, Tornadoes, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
12 May 2015DR-4218Major disasterFloodSevere Winter Storm, Snowstorm, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
1 May 2015DR-4217Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
30 Apr 2015DR-4216Major disasterSnowstormSevere Winter Storms, Snowstorms, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
11 May 2010DR-1912Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Flooding, Mudslides, And TornadoesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
5 Feb 2009DR-1818Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter Storm And FloodingPublic assistance
28 Jan 2009EM-3302EmergencySevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
21 Feb 2008DR-1746Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, AndPublic assistance
10 Sep 2005EM-3231EmergencyHurricaneHurricane KatrinaPublic assistance
6 Aug 2004DR-1537Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
29 Apr 1998DR-1216Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes,And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
4 Mar 1997DR-1163Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storm, Flooding, And TornadoesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Jan 1996DR-1089Major disasterSnowstormBlizzard Of 96Public assistance
16 Mar 1994DR-1018Major disasterSnowstormSevere Weather, Freezing Rain, Sleet, SnwPublic assistance
16 Mar 1993EM-3104EmergencySnowstormSevere Snowfall & Winter StormPublic assistance
29 Mar 1975DR-461Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Metcalfe County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 19787
Paid claims3
Total paid$17K
Average paid claim$6K
Repetitive-loss properties10 severe
Residential policies in force100.2% of 4,417 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
200310$0—
200110$0—
199411$14,832$14,832
199211$1,787$1,787
199011$752$752
198420$0—

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskVery Lowscore 21.8 of 100
Expected annual loss$4.6MVery Low
Social vulnerabilityVery High
Community resilienceRelatively Low
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingVery Low$2,275,305
TornadoRelatively Low$706,381
Cold waveRelatively Low$501,364
HailRelatively Low$338,236
Strong windRelatively Low$297,985
EarthquakeVery Low$168,875
LightningRelatively Low$86,369
Heat waveVery Low$86,223
Ice stormRelatively Low$48,835
Winter weatherRelatively Low$39,236
DroughtRelatively Low$38,850
HurricaneVery Low$9,021
WildfireVery Low$1,276
LandslideVery Low$814

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles6
Tracks within 50 miles3
Hurricane strength within 50 miles0
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Helene202443 mi46 mph
Frederic197963 mi40 mph
Audrey195743 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm191557 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm189219 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm188878 mi52 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Metcalfe County, KY?

NCEI records 35 hail events in Metcalfe County since 1950, in 17 different years; that is about 0.5 recorded events a year. 12 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Metcalfe County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 19 tornadoes in Metcalfe County since 1950, 5 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 3.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Metcalfe County?

1 Sep 2026: Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, And Mudslides, a major disaster declaration for severe storm. The county appears in 32 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Metcalfe County, and how much was paid?

7 NFIP claims since 1978, 3 of them paid, for $17K in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Metcalfe County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Very Low" for overall risk, "Very Low" for expected annual loss, "Very High" for social vulnerability and "Relatively Low" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Metcalfe County compare with the rest of Kentucky?

74.9 recorded events per 100 square miles against 140.0 statewide, and 0.7 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 6.2. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.