County Hazards

States › Massachusetts › Middlesex County

Middlesex County, Massachusetts

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 25017 · 1,614,742 residents (2021) · 818 sq mi · dominant hazard Wind

Hail · 183Tornado · 21Flood · 225Wind · 632Winter · 0
1955-06-22: Hail1956-06-13: Hail1957-05-15: Hail1957-06-19: Hail1957-07-05: Hail1958-07-11: Hail1958-07-11: Hail1959-06-06: Hail1961-06-30: Hail1961-06-30: Hail1963-07-18: Hail1963-07-18: Hail1966-06-06: Hail1966-06-06: Hail1968-08-09: Hail1982-07-19: Hail1988-06-22: Hail1988-06-22: Hail1989-08-06: Hail1997-07-03: Hail1997-07-09: Hail1997-05-01: Hail1997-05-01: Hail1997-05-01: Hail1997-05-01: Hail1997-08-09: Hail1997-08-03: Hail1998-05-31: Hail1998-05-31: Hail1998-07-23: Hail1998-07-23: Hail1998-07-23: Hail1998-08-11: Hail1998-08-11: Hail1999-07-06: Hail1999-07-25: Hail1999-07-24: Hail1999-07-24: Hail1999-08-05: Hail1999-08-05: Hail2000-06-02: Hail2000-07-18: Hail2000-07-18: Hail2000-07-18: Hail2000-07-18: Hail2000-07-18: Hail2000-07-18: Hail2001-06-20: Hail2001-07-12: Hail2002-06-02: Hail2002-05-27: Hail2002-05-27: Hail2002-05-27: Hail2003-08-13: Hail2004-07-02: Hail2004-07-02: Hail2004-08-20: Hail2004-08-20: Hail2004-08-20: Hail2004-08-20: Hail2004-07-02: Hail2006-05-21: Hail2006-05-21: Hail2006-07-11: Hail2006-07-28: Hail2006-07-11: Hail2006-07-11: Hail2007-06-05: Hail2007-06-22: Hail2007-07-09: Hail2007-07-09: Hail2007-07-28: Hail2008-06-23: Hail2008-06-24: Hail2008-06-24: Hail2008-06-24: Hail2008-06-24: Hail2008-06-24: Hail2008-06-24: Hail2008-06-24: Hail2008-06-24: Hail2008-08-03: Hail2008-07-02: Hail2008-07-02: Hail2008-07-02: Hail2008-07-01: Hail2008-07-02: Hail2008-07-02: Hail2008-07-02: Hail2008-07-02: Hail2008-07-01: Hail2008-07-01: Hail2008-08-10: Hail2008-08-07: Hail2008-08-07: Hail2008-08-07: Hail2009-07-07: Hail2009-05-24: Hail2009-05-24: Hail2009-05-24: Hail2009-06-27: Hail2009-06-27: Hail2009-07-07: Hail2009-07-08: Hail2009-06-27: Hail2010-05-04: Hail2011-05-07: Hail2011-05-07: Hail2011-08-02: Hail2011-08-19: Hail2011-06-01: Hail2012-06-23: Hail2012-03-13: Hail2012-03-13: Hail2012-03-14: Hail2012-03-14: Hail1955-10-24: Tornado1957-06-19: Tornado1957-06-19: Tornado1958-07-11: Tornado1958-08-25: Tornado1961-07-03: Tornado1963-07-18: Tornado1965-08-28: Tornado1970-10-03: Tornado1970-07-11: Tornado1971-11-07: Tornado1971-07-01: Tornado1972-07-21: Tornado1974-09-29: Tornado1983-07-18: Tornado1985-09-27: Tornado1986-08-07: Tornado2016-08-22: Tornado2021-08-23: Tornado2021-08-23: Tornado2025-09-06: Tornado2025-06-07: Flood2024-06-26: Flood2024-01-09: Flood2023-09-11: Flood2023-09-11: Flood2023-09-10: Flood2023-09-10: Flood2023-09-10: Flood2023-08-18: Flood2023-08-18: Flood2023-08-18: Flood2023-08-18: Flood2023-08-08: Flood2023-08-08: Flood2023-08-08: Flood2023-08-08: Flood2023-08-08: Flood2023-08-08: Flood2023-08-08: Flood2023-08-08: Flood2023-08-08: Flood2023-07-29: Flood2023-07-21: Flood2023-07-21: Flood2023-07-21: Flood2023-07-21: Flood2023-07-21: Flood2023-07-21: Flood2023-07-21: Flood2023-07-21: Flood2023-07-21: Flood2023-07-21: Flood2023-07-21: Flood2023-07-21: Flood2023-07-16: Flood2023-07-16: Flood2023-07-10: Flood2023-06-26: Flood2023-06-02: Flood2023-05-20: Flood2022-09-05: Flood2022-09-05: Flood2022-09-05: Flood2022-09-05: Flood2022-08-07: Flood2022-08-05: Flood2021-11-12: Flood2021-11-12: Flood2021-09-02: Flood2021-09-02: Flood2021-09-02: Flood2021-07-09: Flood2021-07-09: Flood2020-09-10: Flood2020-09-10: Flood2020-09-10: Flood2020-07-23: Flood2020-06-28: Flood2020-06-28: Flood2020-06-28: Flood2020-06-28: Flood2020-06-21: Flood2020-06-21: Flood2019-09-02: Flood2019-09-02: Flood2019-09-02: Flood2019-09-02: Flood2019-09-02: Flood2019-09-02: Flood2019-08-07: Flood2019-08-07: Flood2019-08-07: Flood2019-07-06: Flood2019-07-06: Flood2019-07-06: Flood2018-11-10: Flood2018-11-03: Flood2018-10-29: Flood2018-09-18: Flood2018-09-18: Flood2018-09-18: Flood2018-09-18: Flood2018-09-18: Flood2018-09-18: Flood2018-09-18: Flood2018-08-17: Flood2018-08-12: Flood2018-08-12: Flood2018-08-12: Flood2018-08-12: Flood2018-08-12: Flood2018-08-08: Flood2018-08-08: Flood2018-08-08: Flood2018-07-26: Flood2018-07-17: Flood2018-07-17: Flood2018-06-25: Flood2018-06-25: Flood2018-06-25: Flood2018-06-25: Flood2018-06-25: Flood2018-06-25: Flood2018-06-25: Flood2018-06-25: Flood2018-04-16: Flood2018-04-16: Flood2018-04-16: Flood2018-04-16: Flood2018-01-13: Flood2018-01-12: Flood2017-10-30: Flood2017-10-25: Flood2017-10-25: Flood2017-08-02: Flood2017-08-02: Flood2017-07-18: Flood2017-07-18: Flood2017-07-18: Flood2017-07-12: Flood2026-06-18: Wind2026-05-19: Wind2026-05-19: Wind2026-05-19: Wind2026-05-19: Wind2025-09-06: Wind2025-09-06: Wind2025-09-06: Wind2025-09-06: Wind2025-09-06: Wind2025-09-06: Wind2025-09-06: Wind2025-08-13: Wind2025-08-13: Wind2025-08-13: Wind2025-08-13: Wind2025-07-25: Wind2025-07-25: Wind2025-07-25: Wind2025-07-25: Wind2025-07-25: Wind2025-07-20: Wind2025-07-20: Wind2025-07-20: Wind2025-06-06: Wind2025-06-06: Wind2025-06-06: Wind2025-06-06: Wind2025-05-03: Wind2025-05-03: Wind2024-08-15: Wind2024-08-15: Wind2024-08-15: Wind2024-08-15: Wind2024-08-15: Wind2024-08-15: Wind2024-08-15: Wind2024-08-15: Wind2024-08-15: Wind2024-08-15: Wind2024-07-17: Wind2024-07-17: Wind2024-07-17: Wind2024-07-17: Wind2024-06-26: Wind2024-06-20: Wind2024-06-20: Wind2024-06-20: Wind2024-06-20: Wind2024-06-20: Wind2024-06-20: Wind2024-06-20: Wind2023-09-08: Wind2023-09-08: Wind2023-09-08: Wind2023-09-08: Wind2023-09-08: Wind2023-09-08: Wind2023-09-08: Wind2023-09-08: Wind2023-07-25: Wind2023-07-25: Wind2023-07-25: Wind2023-07-25: Wind2023-07-25: Wind2023-07-25: Wind2023-07-25: Wind2023-07-21: Wind2023-07-21: Wind2023-07-13: Wind2023-06-02: Wind2022-09-13: Wind2022-08-26: Wind2022-08-26: Wind2022-08-26: Wind2022-08-07: Wind2022-08-07: Wind2022-08-07: Wind2022-08-07: Wind2022-08-07: Wind2022-08-07: Wind2022-08-07: Wind2022-08-07: Wind2022-08-05: Wind2022-08-05: Wind2022-08-05: Wind2022-08-05: Wind2022-08-05: Wind2022-08-05: Wind2022-07-21: Wind2022-07-02: Wind2022-03-07: Wind2022-03-07: Wind2022-03-07: Wind2022-03-07: Wind2022-03-07: Wind2022-03-07: Wind2022-03-07: Wind2021-09-13: Wind2021-08-19: Wind2021-08-19: Wind2021-08-19: Wind2021-07-27: Wind2021-07-27: Wind2021-07-27: Wind2021-07-27: Wind2021-07-27: Wind2021-07-27: Wind2021-07-27: Wind2021-07-07: Wind2021-07-07: Wind2021-07-06: Wind2021-07-06: Wind2021-07-06: Wind2021-06-30: Wind2021-06-30: Wind2021-06-30: Wind2021-06-30: Wind2021-05-26: Wind2020-11-15: Wind
Middlesex County within Massachusetts. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

Between 1950 and 2026, NCEI recorded 1,140 storm events in Middlesex County, Massachusetts, led by damaging wind.

That is 139.4 events per 100 square miles, below the Massachusetts figure of 210.6, and 7.1 per 10,000 residents against 23.5 statewide.

26 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 2 deaths and 72 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $70M.

FEMA has designated the county in 35 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Hurricane Lee (emergency, 15 Sep 2023).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 3,752 claims since 1978, of which 2,947 were paid, totalling $36M (about $12K per paid claim). FEMA counts 4,000 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively High" and its expected annual loss as "Relatively High" ($322M a year across 18 hazards).

51 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 3 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

26events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
1,140events since 19502 deaths, 72 injuries recorded
35disaster declarationslast 15 Sep 2023
3,752NFIP flood claims$36M paid

Compared with Massachusetts and the United States

MeasureMiddlesex CountyMassachusettsUS
Recorded events since 19501,14016,4271,977,440
Events per 100 square miles139.4210.656.0
Events per 10,000 residents7.123.559.6
Events in the last 12 months2630762,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI216026,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$70M$1.2B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents2.35.18.1
Average paid NFIP claim$12K$16K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years4.59.216.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Hail: 8Tornado: 5Wind: 3
Hail: 7Tornado: 3Wind: 5
Tornado: 6Wind: 6
Hail: 4Tornado: 3Wind: 24
Hail: 25Flood: 25Wind: 48Lightning: 4Other: 11
Hail: 65Flood: 20Wind: 135Lightning: 33Other: 5
Hail: 66Tornado: 1Flood: 117Wind: 236Lightning: 20
Hail: 8Tornado: 3Flood: 63Wind: 175Lightning: 6
161950s151960s121970s311980s1131990s2582000s4402010s2552020s
Recorded events in Middlesex County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindLightningOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 856 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 226 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Wind632
Flood225
Hail183
Lightning63
Tornado21
Other16
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Wind632—7.6%detail
■ Flood225—11.9%detail
■ Hail183—11.8%detail
■ Lightning63112.6%
■ Tornado21110.2%detail
■ Other16—5.3%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
27 Jun 2000LightningLightning———13County
3 Oct 1970TornadoTornadoF3$250K—1—County
23 Jul 1998LightningLightning—$70K——11County
8 Jul 2004LightningLightning————6County
7 Oct 2020Thunderstorm WindWind70 mph$2K——5County
21 Jul 1972TornadoTornadoF2$2.5M——4County
27 Jul 2014LightningLightning—$200K——4County
5 Aug 2005Thunderstorm WindWind58 mph$15K——4County
2 Jun 1989Thunderstorm WindWind69 mph———4County
2 Jun 1989Thunderstorm WindWind69 mph———4County
8 Aug 1986Thunderstorm WindWind0 mph———3County
22 Jun 1988Thunderstorm WindWind69 mph———3County
21 Aug 2004LightningLightning————3County
14 Mar 2010FloodFlood—$26M———County
19 May 2026Thunderstorm WindWind58 mph$5K——2County
14 Sep 1995Thunderstorm WindWind0 mph———2County
8 Jul 1996LightningLightning————2County
10 Jul 2010Flash FloodFlood—$11M———County
29 Sep 1974TornadoTornadoF3$250K——1County
1 Jul 1971TornadoTornadoF1$25K——1County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
15 Sep 2023EM-3599EmergencyHurricaneHurricane LeePublic assistance
27 Mar 2020DR-4496Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3438EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
19 Jul 2018DR-4379Major disasterSnowstormSevere Winter Storm And SnowstormPublic assistance
13 Apr 2015DR-4214Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter Storm, Snowstorm, And FloodingPublic assistance
19 Apr 2013DR-4110Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter Storm, Snowstorm, And FloodingPublic assistance
17 Apr 2013EM-3362EmergencyTerroristExplosionsPublic assistance
28 Oct 2012EM-3350EmergencyHurricaneHurricane SandyPublic assistance
6 Jan 2012DR-4051Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storm And SnowstormPublic assistance
1 Nov 2011EM-3343EmergencySevere StormSevere StormPublic assistance
26 Aug 2011EM-3330EmergencyHurricaneHurricane IrenePublic assistance
7 Mar 2011DR-1959Major disasterSnowstormSevere Winter Storm And SnowstormPublic assistance
2 Sep 2010EM-3315EmergencyHurricaneHurricane EarlPublic assistance
3 May 2010EM-3312EmergencyOtherWater Main BreakPublic assistance
29 Mar 2010DR-1895Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
5 Jan 2009DR-1813Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter Storm And FloodingPublic assistance
13 Dec 2008EM-3296EmergencySevere StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
25 May 2006DR-1642Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
10 Nov 2005DR-1614Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingIndividual assistance
13 Sep 2005EM-3252EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
17 Feb 2005EM-3201EmergencySnowstormRecord And/Or Near Record SnowPublic assistance
21 Apr 2004DR-1512Major disasterFloodFloodingIndividual assistance
15 Jan 2004EM-3191EmergencySnowstormSnowPublic assistance
11 Mar 2003EM-3175EmergencySnowstormSnowPublic assistance
10 Apr 2001DR-1364Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingIndividual assistance
28 Mar 2001EM-3165EmergencySnowstormSnowPublic assistance
23 Jun 1998DR-1224Major disasterFloodHeavy Rains And FloodingIndividual assistance
25 Oct 1996DR-1142Major disasterFloodExtreme Weather Conditons And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
23 Oct 1996EM-3119EmergencyFloodExtreme Weather Conditions And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
24 Jan 1996DR-1090Major disasterSnowstormBlizzard Of 96Public assistance
16 Mar 1993EM-3103EmergencySnowstormBlizzards, High Winds & Record SnowfallPublic assistance
21 Dec 1992DR-975Major disasterCoastal StormWinter Coastal StormPublic assistance
26 Aug 1991DR-914Major disasterHurricaneHurricane BobIndividual assistance, Public assistance
18 Apr 1987DR-790Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
28 Oct 1985DR-751Major disasterHurricaneHurricane GloriaPublic assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Middlesex County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 19783,752
Paid claims2,947
Total paid$36M
Average paid claim$12K
Repetitive-loss properties38926 severe
Residential policies in force4,0001.0% of 390,642 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202630$0—
202541$4,705$4,705
20242615$151,976$10,132
20235646$908,359$19,747
202253$45,380$15,127
20213828$783,357$27,977
202052$20,907$10,454
201964$22,710$5,678
2018119$158,290$17,588
20172418$261,902$14,550
201684$16,350$4,088
2015147$484,424$69,203
20145440$333,144$8,329
2013107$216,719$30,960
20122213$157,370$12,105
20114026$180,538$6,944
2010658551$10,340,017$18,766
20093431$130,507$4,210
20086663$186,254$2,956
20078376$1,368,065$18,001
2006332297$7,719,960$25,993
20059080$248,852$3,111
20049488$358,009$4,068
2003126$22,013$3,669
200243$14,309$4,770

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Highscore 96.9 of 100
Expected annual loss$322MRelatively High
Social vulnerabilityVery Low
Community resilienceVery High
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively High$224,395,539
HurricaneRelatively High$30,095,131
EarthquakeRelatively Moderate$24,253,681
Cold waveRelatively High$9,068,356
TornadoRelatively Moderate$8,972,103
Heat waveRelatively Moderate$8,533,099
Ice stormVery High$7,854,210
Strong windRelatively High$3,387,825
LightningRelatively High$2,762,481
DroughtRelatively Moderate$1,683,077
Coastal floodingRelatively Low$417,996
WildfireRelatively Low$268,163
Winter weatherRelatively Moderate$146,838
HailVery Low$106,995
LandslideVery Low$2,319

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles51
Tracks within 50 miles25
Hurricane strength within 50 miles3
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Elsa202139 mi58 mph
Henri202175 mi63 mph
Andrea201351 mi46 mph
Irene201187 mi58 mph
Hanna200843 mi52 mph
Barry200731 mi40 mph
Hermine200472 mi40 mph
Floyd199945 mi58 mph
Bertha199637 mi69 mph
Bob199175 mi104 mph
Gloria198582 mi86 mph
Belle197652 mi40 mph
Doria197193 mi52 mph
Alma196657 mi46 mph
Esther196182 mi58 mph
Brenda196036 mi46 mph
Donna196024 mi92 mph
Cindy195965 mi58 mph
Carol195443 mi115 mph
Edna195478 mi109 mph
Able195279 mi52 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm194439 mi98 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm193477 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm193439 mi52 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm192482 mi63 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Middlesex County, MA?

NCEI records 183 hail events in Middlesex County since 1950, in 37 different years; that is about 2.4 recorded events a year. 25 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Middlesex County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 21 tornadoes in Middlesex County since 1950, 6 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 1.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Middlesex County?

15 Sep 2023: Hurricane Lee, a emergency declaration for hurricane. The county appears in 35 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Middlesex County, and how much was paid?

3,752 NFIP claims since 1978, 2,947 of them paid, for $36M in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Middlesex County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively High" for overall risk, "Relatively High" for expected annual loss, "Very Low" for social vulnerability and "Very High" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Middlesex County compare with the rest of Massachusetts?

139.4 recorded events per 100 square miles against 210.6 statewide, and 2.3 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 5.1. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.