County Hazards

States › Michigan › Otsego County

Otsego County, Michigan

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 26137 · 25,289 residents (2021) · 515 sq mi · dominant hazard Winter

Hail · 57Tornado · 5Flood · 3Wind · 93Winter · 155
1996-07-08: Hail1996-07-08: Hail1996-07-08: Hail1996-07-08: Hail1996-07-08: Hail1996-07-08: Hail1996-08-14: Hail1996-08-14: Hail1996-08-14: Hail1996-08-14: Hail1996-08-14: Hail1998-05-19: Hail1998-05-19: Hail1998-05-19: Hail1998-05-19: Hail1998-06-25: Hail2000-08-26: Hail2002-04-18: Hail2002-04-18: Hail2002-05-31: Hail2002-05-31: Hail2002-05-31: Hail2002-05-30: Hail2004-07-13: Hail2004-07-13: Hail2005-06-27: Hail2006-05-30: Hail2006-05-30: Hail2006-06-28: Hail2007-07-10: Hail2007-10-18: Hail2008-07-15: Hail2008-06-14: Hail2011-06-08: Hail2011-06-08: Hail2013-05-30: Hail2014-05-08: Hail2018-07-29: Hail2018-05-26: Hail2018-05-26: Hail2022-05-20: Hail2022-05-20: Hail2022-05-20: Hail2023-06-25: Hail2023-06-25: Hail2023-06-25: Hail2023-06-25: Hail2023-06-25: Hail2023-06-25: Hail2023-06-25: Hail2025-09-22: Hail1969-07-11: Tornado1974-07-03: Tornado2013-11-17: Tornado2014-09-01: Tornado2022-05-20: Tornado2024-07-29: Flood2024-07-29: Flood1963-10-26: Wind1964-07-20: Wind1965-05-09: Wind1971-05-18: Wind1973-10-13: Wind1973-08-30: Wind1974-07-03: Wind1977-05-22: Wind1982-07-17: Wind1989-08-04: Wind1990-08-27: Wind1991-05-28: Wind1991-05-29: Wind1996-05-19: Wind1996-05-19: Wind1998-05-31: Wind1998-06-25: Wind1998-06-25: Wind1998-06-24: Wind1999-07-31: Wind1999-06-28: Wind2001-06-15: Wind2001-08-09: Wind2002-04-18: Wind2002-05-31: Wind2002-08-12: Wind2002-07-21: Wind2002-08-01: Wind2002-08-01: Wind2003-08-26: Wind2003-08-25: Wind2004-05-23: Wind2004-07-21: Wind2005-06-11: Wind2005-07-18: Wind2005-09-13: Wind2006-08-01: Wind2006-08-02: Wind2007-07-10: Wind2007-06-02: Wind2007-10-18: Wind2008-07-15: Wind2009-08-16: Wind2011-05-31: Wind2013-11-17: Wind2014-07-27: Wind2014-09-04: Wind2015-08-02: Wind2016-09-06: Wind2018-07-01: Wind2018-08-28: Wind2018-08-28: Wind2019-07-10: Wind2020-07-19: Wind2020-07-19: Wind2020-07-19: Wind2020-07-15: Wind2021-08-11: Wind2021-08-11: Wind2021-08-11: Wind2021-08-11: Wind2021-08-11: Wind2021-08-11: Wind2023-06-25: Wind2023-06-25: Wind2024-07-08: Wind2024-07-08: Wind2024-07-08: Wind2024-07-08: Wind2024-07-08: Wind
Otsego County within Michigan. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

Between 1950 and 2026, NCEI recorded 327 storm events in Otsego County, Michigan, led by winter storms and snow.

That is 63.5 events per 100 square miles, in line with the Michigan figure of 64.2, and 129.3 per 10,000 residents against 36.1 statewide.

11 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 2 deaths and 45 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $54M.

FEMA has designated the county in 7 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Winter Storm (major disaster, 22 Jul 2025).

OpenFEMA lists no National Flood Insurance Program claims in the county.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Very Low" and its expected annual loss as "Very Low" ($7.6M a year across 18 hazards).

2 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 0 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

11events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
327events since 19502 deaths, 45 injuries recorded
7disaster declarationslast 22 Jul 2025
0NFIP flood claims$0 paid

Compared with Michigan and the United States

MeasureOtsego CountyMichiganUS
Recorded events since 195032736,3221,977,440
Events per 100 square miles63.564.256.0
Events per 10,000 residents129.336.159.6
Events in the last 12 months111,07862,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI245126,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$54M$6.7B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents0.01.58.1
Average paid NFIP claim—$15K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years—21.216.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Tornado: 1Wind: 3
Tornado: 1Wind: 5
Wind: 2
Hail: 22Wind: 24Winter: 22Lightning: 3
Hail: 17Flood: 1Wind: 26Winter: 65Heat: 1Cold: 1Drought: 1Lightning: 1
Hail: 7Tornado: 2Wind: 12Winter: 41Heat: 1Cold: 2
Hail: 11Tornado: 1Flood: 2Wind: 21Winter: 27Cold: 4
01950s41960s61970s21980s711990s1132000s652010s662020s
Recorded events in Otsego County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterHeatColdDroughtLightning NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 172 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 136 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Winter155
Wind93
Hail57
Cold7
Tornado5
Lightning4
Flood3
Heat2
Drought1
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Winter155—1.4%detail
■ Wind93—0.6%detail
■ Hail57—0.9%detail
■ Cold7—0.7%
■ Tornado520.4%
■ Lightning4—1.2%
■ Flood3—0.2%
■ Heat2—0.5%
■ Drought1—1.9%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
20 May 2022TornadoTornadoEF3$50M—244County
28 Aug 2018Thunderstorm WindWind81 mph$1.2M——1County
22 Jul 2009LightningLightning—$500K———County
4 Sep 2014Thunderstorm WindWind90 mph$295K———County
3 Jul 1974TornadoTornadoF3$250K———County
2 Mar 2012Heavy SnowWinter—$215K———Forecast zone
1 Sep 2014TornadoTornadoEF1$215K———County
19 Jul 2020Thunderstorm WindWind69 mph$150K———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
22 Jul 2025DR-4880Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
27 Mar 2020DR-4494Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3455EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
7 Sep 2005EM-3225EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
27 Jan 1999EM-3137EmergencySnowstormMi - Severe Weather 1/2 /99Public assistance
27 Jan 1978EM-3057EmergencySnowstormBlizzards & SnowstormsPublic assistance
2 Mar 1977EM-3035EmergencyDroughtDroughtPublic assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

OpenFEMA lists no NFIP claims with this county's code.

National Risk Index

Overall riskVery Lowscore 18.4 of 100
Expected annual loss$7.6MVery Low
Social vulnerabilityRelatively Low
Community resilienceRelatively High
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingVery Low$3,750,580
Cold waveRelatively Low$1,650,751
HailRelatively Low$671,386
Strong windRelatively Low$494,288
TornadoRelatively Low$492,257
LightningRelatively Moderate$436,665
Heat waveVery Low$53,691
WildfireVery Low$38,266
Winter weatherVery Low$12,112
EarthquakeVery Low$10,771
Ice stormVery Low$5,752
HurricaneVery Low$5,513
LandslideRelatively Low$4,229

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles2
Tracks within 50 miles0
Hurricane strength within 50 miles0
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Connie195572 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm194197 mi58 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Otsego County, MI?

NCEI records 57 hail events in Otsego County since 1950, in 19 different years; that is about 0.7 recorded events a year. 6 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Otsego County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 5 tornadoes in Otsego County since 1950, 2 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 2.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Otsego County?

22 Jul 2025: Severe Winter Storm, a major disaster declaration for severe ice storm. The county appears in 7 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Otsego County, and how much was paid?

OpenFEMA lists no NFIP claims in the county.

Is Otsego County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Very Low" for overall risk, "Very Low" for expected annual loss, "Relatively Low" for social vulnerability and "Relatively High" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Otsego County compare with the rest of Michigan?

63.5 recorded events per 100 square miles against 64.2 statewide, and 0.0 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 1.5. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.