County Hazards

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St. Joseph County, Michigan

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 26149 · 60,758 residents (2021) · 501 sq mi · dominant hazard Wind

Hail · 73Tornado · 18Flood · 6Wind · 289Winter · 99
1966-08-08: Hail1974-06-15: Hail1974-06-15: Hail1976-03-20: Hail1976-03-20: Hail1976-03-20: Hail1977-06-17: Hail1979-06-20: Hail1987-09-10: Hail1988-10-16: Hail1991-03-27: Hail1992-04-23: Hail1996-05-09: Hail1996-05-09: Hail1996-05-09: Hail1998-07-21: Hail1998-06-25: Hail1999-08-04: Hail1999-07-28: Hail1999-08-04: Hail2000-05-09: Hail2003-08-01: Hail2003-03-20: Hail2003-05-09: Hail2005-06-30: Hail2005-09-22: Hail2005-07-04: Hail2006-06-21: Hail2006-06-03: Hail2006-06-21: Hail2006-06-21: Hail2006-06-21: Hail2006-06-21: Hail2006-06-28: Hail2007-03-22: Hail2008-06-15: Hail2008-06-15: Hail2010-04-05: Hail2010-04-05: Hail2011-08-13: Hail2011-09-03: Hail2011-07-02: Hail2012-05-03: Hail2012-05-03: Hail2012-05-03: Hail2012-05-03: Hail2012-05-03: Hail2012-03-15: Hail2013-06-25: Hail2013-06-25: Hail2013-01-29: Hail2014-09-05: Hail2014-09-05: Hail2016-04-25: Hail2016-06-16: Hail2017-04-20: Hail2017-04-20: Hail2019-06-01: Hail2019-06-01: Hail2019-06-01: Hail2023-03-31: Hail2023-03-31: Hail2023-03-31: Hail2024-05-07: Hail2024-05-07: Hail2024-05-07: Hail2024-05-07: Hail2026-03-06: Hail2026-03-06: Hail2026-03-06: Hail2026-05-04: Hail1953-05-17: Tornado1955-07-06: Tornado1966-07-09: Tornado1973-08-19: Tornado1976-03-12: Tornado1988-07-15: Tornado2001-05-25: Tornado2001-10-24: Tornado2001-10-24: Tornado2001-10-24: Tornado2010-06-05: Tornado2011-05-29: Tornado2017-02-28: Tornado2023-07-12: Tornado2024-05-07: Tornado2024-08-06: Tornado2025-03-30: Tornado2026-03-06: Tornado2008-09-13: Flood2015-07-18: Flood2018-02-20: Flood2026-06-11: Wind2026-06-11: Wind2026-06-11: Wind2026-06-11: Wind2026-06-10: Wind2026-06-10: Wind2026-05-18: Wind2026-05-18: Wind2026-05-18: Wind2025-10-18: Wind2025-06-18: Wind2025-05-15: Wind2025-05-15: Wind2025-03-30: Wind2025-03-30: Wind2025-03-30: Wind2025-03-30: Wind2025-03-30: Wind2025-03-30: Wind2024-07-15: Wind2024-07-15: Wind2024-07-15: Wind2024-07-15: Wind2024-06-16: Wind2023-07-26: Wind2023-07-26: Wind2023-07-26: Wind2023-07-26: Wind2023-07-26: Wind2022-08-29: Wind2022-08-29: Wind2022-07-21: Wind2022-07-21: Wind2022-06-13: Wind2022-06-13: Wind2022-06-13: Wind2022-06-13: Wind2022-06-13: Wind2022-06-13: Wind2022-06-13: Wind2022-06-13: Wind2021-09-07: Wind2021-08-12: Wind2021-08-12: Wind2021-08-12: Wind2021-08-12: Wind2021-08-12: Wind2021-08-12: Wind2021-08-12: Wind2021-08-11: Wind2021-08-11: Wind2021-08-11: Wind2021-08-11: Wind2021-08-11: Wind2021-08-11: Wind2021-08-11: Wind2021-08-11: Wind2021-08-10: Wind2021-08-06: Wind2021-06-26: Wind2021-06-20: Wind2021-06-20: Wind2021-06-20: Wind2021-06-20: Wind2021-06-12: Wind2021-06-12: Wind2021-06-11: Wind2020-08-10: Wind2020-08-10: Wind2020-07-19: Wind2020-06-10: Wind2020-06-10: Wind2020-05-26: Wind2019-07-02: Wind2019-05-23: Wind2019-05-23: Wind2019-05-23: Wind2018-09-05: Wind2018-08-09: Wind2018-08-06: Wind2018-05-09: Wind2018-05-02: Wind2018-05-02: Wind2017-06-19: Wind2017-02-28: Wind2017-02-28: Wind2016-06-20: Wind2016-06-20: Wind2016-06-16: Wind2016-06-16: Wind2016-06-16: Wind2015-07-18: Wind2015-07-18: Wind2015-07-18: Wind2015-07-18: Wind2015-07-18: Wind2015-07-13: Wind2015-07-13: Wind2015-07-13: Wind2015-07-13: Wind2015-07-13: Wind2015-07-13: Wind2015-07-13: Wind2014-08-19: Wind2014-07-01: Wind2014-07-01: Wind2014-07-01: Wind2014-06-23: Wind2014-06-23: Wind2014-06-18: Wind2013-11-17: Wind2013-09-11: Wind2013-09-11: Wind2013-06-25: Wind
St. Joseph County within Michigan. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

St. Joseph County, Michigan, has 497 weather events in the NCEI Storm Events record since 1950, most of them damaging wind.

That is 99.3 events per 100 square miles, above the Michigan figure of 64.2, and 81.8 per 10,000 residents against 36.1 statewide.

22 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 6 deaths and 19 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $3.4M.

FEMA has designated the county in 8 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Covid-19 Pandemic (major disaster, 27 Mar 2020).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 110 claims since 1978, of which 84 were paid, totalling $1.6M (about $19K per paid claim). FEMA counts 84 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Low" and its expected annual loss as "Relatively Low" ($19M a year across 18 hazards).

4 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 0 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

22events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
497events since 19506 deaths, 19 injuries recorded
8disaster declarationslast 27 Mar 2020
110NFIP flood claims$1.6M paid

Compared with Michigan and the United States

MeasureSt. Joseph CountyMichiganUS
Recorded events since 195049736,3221,977,440
Events per 100 square miles99.364.256.0
Events per 10,000 residents81.836.159.6
Events in the last 12 months221,07862,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI645126,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$3.4M$6.7B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents1.81.58.1
Average paid NFIP claim$19K$15K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years33.321.216.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Tornado: 2
Hail: 1Tornado: 1Wind: 2
Hail: 7Tornado: 2Wind: 12
Hail: 2Tornado: 1Wind: 24
Hail: 10Flood: 3Wind: 45Winter: 10Lightning: 1
Hail: 19Tornado: 4Flood: 1Wind: 64Winter: 24Lightning: 1
Hail: 23Tornado: 3Flood: 2Wind: 67Winter: 43Cold: 3Lightning: 4Fog: 1
Hail: 11Tornado: 5Wind: 75Winter: 22Cold: 2
21950s41960s211970s271980s691990s1132000s1462010s1152020s
Recorded events in St. Joseph County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterColdLightningFog NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 293 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 142 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Wind289
Winter99
Hail73
Tornado18
Flood6
Lightning6
Cold5
Fog1
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Wind28942.0%detail
■ Winter99—0.9%detail
■ Hail73—1.2%detail
■ Tornado18—1.4%detail
■ Flood6—0.5%
■ Lightning611.8%
■ Cold5—0.5%
■ Fog111.0%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
21 Jan 2018Dense FogFog———12Forecast zone
21 May 2004Thunderstorm WindWind75 mph$10K—1—County
21 May 2004Thunderstorm WindWind75 mph$10K—1—County
5 Aug 1989Thunderstorm WindWind0 mph——1—County
27 Mar 1991Thunderstorm WindWind0 mph——1—County
2 Jun 2006LightningLightning———1—County
6 Mar 2026TornadoTornadoEF2———10County
16 Jun 2024Thunderstorm WindWind60 mph$20K——2County
24 Oct 2001TornadoTornadoF1$322K——1County
27 Jul 1997LightningLightning————1County
13 Aug 2011LightningLightning————1County
18 Jun 2014LightningLightning————1County
7 May 2024TornadoTornadoEF2———1County
20 Feb 2018FloodFlood—$680K———County
13 Sep 2008FloodFlood—$500K———County
5 Jun 2010TornadoTornadoEF2$300K———County
10 Nov 1998Thunderstorm WindWind—$150K———County
25 Aug 1998Thunderstorm WindWind—$100K———County
24 Oct 2001TornadoTornadoF0$100K———County
24 Oct 2001TornadoTornadoF1$100K———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
27 Mar 2020DR-4494Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3455EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
7 Sep 2005EM-3225EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
30 Jun 2004DR-1527Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingIndividual assistance
10 Jan 2001EM-3160EmergencySnowstormSnowPublic assistance
27 Jan 1999EM-3137EmergencySnowstormMi - Severe Weather 1/2 /99Public assistance
8 Sep 1980DR-631Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingPublic assistance
27 Jan 1978EM-3057EmergencySnowstormBlizzards & SnowstormsPublic assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in St. Joseph County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 1978110
Paid claims84
Total paid$1.6M
Average paid claim$19K
Repetitive-loss properties123 severe
Residential policies in force840.3% of 26,570 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202033$82,781$27,594
201911$4,946$4,946
20182422$913,229$41,510
201321$6,858$6,858
200953$87,523$29,174
20081813$138,896$10,684
200721$4,180$4,180
200611$3,535$3,535
200172$2,411$1,206
199610$0—
199010$0—
19891414$235,195$16,800
198711$2,175$2,175
198611$4,100$4,100
198595$62,012$12,402
19821512$85,945$7,162
198111$1,057$1,057
198032$1,743$872
197811$509$509

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Lowscore 58.6 of 100
Expected annual loss$19MRelatively Low
Social vulnerabilityRelatively Moderate
Community resilienceRelatively High
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively Low$11,364,666
TornadoRelatively Low$1,879,378
Cold waveRelatively Low$1,536,287
Strong windRelatively Moderate$1,354,315
HailRelatively Moderate$1,126,951
LightningRelatively Moderate$601,901
EarthquakeRelatively Low$441,741
DroughtRelatively Low$296,424
Heat waveVery Low$155,520
Ice stormRelatively Low$79,637
Winter weatherRelatively Low$53,340
HurricaneVery Low$24,520
WildfireVery Low$5,590
LandslideVery Low$2,177

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles4
Tracks within 50 miles3
Hurricane strength within 50 miles0
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Unnamed Atlantic storm194139 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm193233 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm192334 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm190291 mi40 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in St. Joseph County, MI?

NCEI records 73 hail events in St. Joseph County since 1950, in 29 different years; that is about 0.9 recorded events a year. 21 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has St. Joseph County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 18 tornadoes in St. Joseph County since 1950, 8 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 0.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for St. Joseph County?

27 Mar 2020: Covid-19 Pandemic, a major disaster declaration for biological. The county appears in 8 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in St. Joseph County, and how much was paid?

110 NFIP claims since 1978, 84 of them paid, for $1.6M in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is St. Joseph County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Low" for overall risk, "Relatively Low" for expected annual loss, "Relatively Moderate" for social vulnerability and "Relatively High" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does St. Joseph County compare with the rest of Michigan?

99.3 recorded events per 100 square miles against 64.2 statewide, and 1.8 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 1.5. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.