States › Missouri › Scotland County

Scotland County, Missouri

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 29199 · 4,693 residents (2021) · 437 sq mi · dominant hazard Winter

Hail · 104Tornado · 14Flood · 32Wind · 111Winter · 113

Scotland County within Missouri. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

The NCEI record lists 418 events for Scotland County, Missouri, between 1950 and 2026; winter storms and snow account for the largest share.

That is 95.8 events per 100 square miles, in line with the Missouri figure of 106.7, and 890.7 per 10,000 residents against 118.9 statewide.

3 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 0 deaths and 2 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $5.5M and crop damage at $13M.

FEMA has designated the county in 24 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding (major disaster, 21 Sep 2023).

OpenFEMA lists no National Flood Insurance Program claims in the county.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Very Low" and its expected annual loss as "Very Low" ($6.2M a year across 18 hazards).

1 tropical storm or hurricane track in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 0 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

3events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026

418events since 19500 deaths, 2 injuries recorded

24disaster declarationslast 21 Sep 2023

0NFIP flood claims$0 paid

Compared with Missouri and the United States

Measure	Scotland County	Missouri	US
Recorded events since 1950	418	73,339	1,977,440
Events per 100 square miles	95.8	106.7	56.0
Events per 10,000 residents	890.7	118.9	59.6
Events in the last 12 months	3	1,920	62,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI	0	1,009	26,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)	$5.5M	$12B	$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents	0.0	8.3	8.1
Average paid NFIP claim	—	$23K	$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years	—	51.0	16.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Tornado: 1

Tornado: 1Wind: 1

Hail: 1Tornado: 1Wind: 3

Hail: 5Wind: 7

Hail: 12Tornado: 2Wind: 12Winter: 15Heat: 1Fog: 1

Hail: 30Tornado: 3Flood: 11Wind: 32Winter: 51Heat: 1Cold: 9Drought: 6Lightning: 3Fog: 4Other: 1

Hail: 43Tornado: 5Flood: 18Wind: 40Winter: 36Heat: 2Cold: 3Drought: 7Lightning: 1Fog: 3Other: 1

Hail: 13Tornado: 1Flood: 3Wind: 16Winter: 11Other: 1

11950s21960s51970s121980s431990s1512000s1592010s452020s

Recorded events in Scotland County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterHeatColdDroughtLightningFogOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 284 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 117 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Winter113

Wind111

Hail104

Flood32

Tornado14

Drought13

Cold12

Fog8

Heat4

Lightning4

Other3

Hazard	Events	Deaths	Share of state's events
■ Winter	113	—	1.7%	detail
■ Wind	111	—	0.5%	detail
■ Hail	104	—	0.5%	detail
■ Flood	32	—	0.3%	detail
■ Tornado	14	—	0.4%	detail
■ Drought	13	—	0.5%
■ Cold	12	—	0.7%
■ Fog	8	—	0.7%
■ Heat	4	—	0.1%
■ Lightning	4	—	1.4%
■ Other	3	—	0.2%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

Date	Event type	Group	Magnitude	Property damage	Crop damage	Deaths	Injuries	Geography
4 Feb 2008	Dense Fog	Fog	—	—	—	—	1	Forecast zone
28 Jun 2018	Thunderstorm Wind	Wind	70 mph	—	—	—	1	County
1 Aug 2005	Drought	Drought	—	—	$8.9M	—	—	Forecast zone
1 Jul 2005	Drought	Drought	—	—	$3.7M	—	—	Forecast zone
8 May 2003	Hail	Hail	1.75 in	$2.0M	—	—	—	County
8 May 2003	Hail	Hail	1.75 in	$1.0M	—	—	—	County
3 May 2005	Frost/Freeze	Cold	—	—	$495K	—	—	Forecast zone
20 Apr 1973	Tornado	Tornado	F3	$250K	—	—	—	County
8 May 2003	Hail	Hail	1.50 in	$250K	—	—	—	County
10 May 2003	Tornado	Tornado	F0	$250K	—	—	—	County
8 May 2003	Hail	Hail	1.00 in	$150K	—	—	—	County
12 Jun 2008	Lightning	Lightning	—	$150K	—	—	—	County
30 Apr 2003	Hail	Hail	1.75 in	$100K	—	—	—	County
14 May 2003	Thunderstorm Wind	Wind	60 mph	$100K	—	—	—	County
4 May 2003	Hail	Hail	1.00 in	$100K	—	—	—	County
15 May 2009	Lightning	Lightning	—	$100K	—	—	—	County
12 May 2010	Flash Flood	Flood	—	$100K	—	—	—	County
13 May 2010	Flood	Flood	—	$100K	—	—	—	County
12 Jun 2010	Flash Flood	Flood	—	$100K	—	—	—	County
30 May 2013	Thunderstorm Wind	Wind	70 mph	$100K	—	—	—	County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

Declared	Number	Type	Incident	Title	Programs
21 Sep 2023	DR-4741	Major disaster	Severe Storm	Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding	Public assistance
26 Mar 2020	DR-4490	Major disaster	Biological	Covid-19 Pandemic	Individual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020	EM-3482	Emergency	Biological	Covid-19	Public assistance
9 Jul 2019	DR-4451	Major disaster	Severe Storm	Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding	Public assistance
7 Aug 2015	DR-4238	Major disaster	Severe Storm	Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And Flooding	Public assistance
18 Jul 2013	DR-4130	Major disaster	Severe Storm	Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding	Public assistance
23 Mar 2011	DR-1961	Major disaster	Severe Storm	Severe Winter Storm And Snowstorm	Public assistance
3 Feb 2011	EM-3317	Emergency	Severe Storm	Severe Winter Storm	Public assistance
17 Aug 2010	DR-1934	Major disaster	Severe Storm	Severe Storms, Flooding, And Tornadoes	Public assistance
30 Jan 2009	EM-3303	Emergency	Severe Ice Storm	Severe Winter Storm	Public assistance
13 Nov 2008	DR-1809	Major disaster	Severe Storm	Severe Storms, Flooding, And A Tornado	Public assistance
25 Jun 2008	DR-1773	Major disaster	Severe Storm	Severe Storms And Flooding	Public assistance
27 Dec 2007	DR-1736	Major disaster	Severe Ice Storm	Severe Winter Storms	Public assistance
12 Dec 2007	EM-3281	Emergency	Severe Ice Storm	Severe Winter Storms	Public assistance
10 Sep 2005	EM-3232	Emergency	Hurricane	Hurricane Katrina Evacuation	Public assistance
6 May 2002	DR-1412	Major disaster	Severe Storm	Severe Storms, Tornadoes And Flooding	Public assistance
6 Feb 2002	DR-1403	Major disaster	Severe Ice Storm	Severe Winter Ice Storm	Individual assistance
2 Jun 1995	DR-1054	Major disaster	Severe Storm	Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Hail, Flooding	Individual assistance
9 Jul 1993	DR-995	Major disaster	Flood	Severe Storms & Flooding	Individual assistance, Public assistance
14 Oct 1986	DR-779	Major disaster	Flood	Severe Storms & Flooding	Public assistance
24 Sep 1976	EM-3017	Emergency	Drought	Drought	Public assistance
10 Jun 1974	DR-439	Major disaster	Flood	Severe Storms & Flooding	Individual assistance, Public assistance
1 Nov 1973	DR-407	Major disaster	Flood	Severe Storms & Flooding	Individual assistance, Public assistance
19 Apr 1973	DR-372	Major disaster	Severe Storm	Heavy Rains, Tornadoes & Flooding	Individual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

OpenFEMA lists no NFIP claims with this county's code.

National Risk Index

Overall riskVery Lowscore 33.0 of 100

Expected annual loss$6.2MVery Low

Social vulnerabilityVery High

Community resilienceRelatively Low

Hazard (NRI)	Risk rating	Expected annual loss
Heat wave	Relatively Moderate	$2,751,561
Inland flooding	Very Low	$1,291,932
Tornado	Relatively Low	$775,220
Cold wave	Relatively Low	$322,701
Strong wind	Relatively Low	$308,136
Drought	Relatively Moderate	$281,232
Hail	Relatively Low	$255,933
Lightning	Relatively Low	$139,151
Earthquake	Very Low	$45,616
Wildfire	Very Low	$37,283
Winter weather	Very Low	$9,723
Hurricane	Very Low	$3,460
Landslide	Relatively Low	$3,395
Ice storm	Very Low	$2,425

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles1

Tracks within 50 miles0

Hurricane strength within 50 miles0

Storm	Year	Closest approach	Max wind while within 100 mi
Unnamed Atlantic storm	1900	74 mi	46 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Scotland County, MO?

NCEI records 104 hail events in Scotland County since 1950, in 34 different years; that is about 1.4 recorded events a year. 20 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Scotland County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 14 tornadoes in Scotland County since 1950, 1 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 0.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Scotland County?

21 Sep 2023: Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding, a major disaster declaration for severe storm. The county appears in 24 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Scotland County, and how much was paid?

OpenFEMA lists no NFIP claims in the county.

Is Scotland County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Very Low" for overall risk, "Very Low" for expected annual loss, "Very High" for social vulnerability and "Relatively Low" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Scotland County compare with the rest of Missouri?

95.8 recorded events per 100 square miles against 106.7 statewide, and 0.0 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 8.3. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.