County Hazards

States › Missouri › Sullivan County

Sullivan County, Missouri

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 29211 · 5,934 residents (2021) · 648 sq mi · dominant hazard Hail

Hail · 86Tornado · 9Flood · 13Wind · 77Winter · 50
1969-06-04: Hail1982-06-08: Hail1982-06-08: Hail1982-06-08: Hail1984-09-10: Hail1988-05-08: Hail1992-06-16: Hail1996-05-08: Hail1997-05-18: Hail1997-05-18: Hail1999-05-16: Hail2000-04-19: Hail2000-09-14: Hail2001-04-05: Hail2001-04-05: Hail2001-04-05: Hail2001-09-20: Hail2001-10-21: Hail2001-10-21: Hail2002-04-24: Hail2002-04-27: Hail2002-08-01: Hail2003-05-08: Hail2004-05-30: Hail2005-06-07: Hail2005-09-19: Hail2005-09-19: Hail2006-04-18: Hail2006-04-18: Hail2006-07-13: Hail2007-04-03: Hail2008-07-21: Hail2008-07-27: Hail2008-05-13: Hail2008-05-30: Hail2008-07-27: Hail2009-03-07: Hail2009-03-07: Hail2009-03-07: Hail2009-03-07: Hail2009-06-01: Hail2010-07-19: Hail2010-06-18: Hail2011-05-22: Hail2011-04-03: Hail2011-04-03: Hail2011-04-03: Hail2011-03-22: Hail2011-03-22: Hail2011-03-22: Hail2011-06-09: Hail2011-06-09: Hail2011-03-22: Hail2013-07-02: Hail2014-04-27: Hail2014-04-27: Hail2014-04-27: Hail2014-06-03: Hail2014-06-03: Hail2014-06-29: Hail2014-06-30: Hail2015-06-20: Hail2015-07-13: Hail2015-06-07: Hail2015-06-07: Hail2015-06-07: Hail2015-06-07: Hail2018-06-28: Hail2018-06-28: Hail2018-06-08: Hail2018-06-08: Hail2019-06-05: Hail2021-03-10: Hail2022-05-17: Hail2022-05-17: Hail2022-03-05: Hail2023-03-31: Hail2024-04-27: Hail2024-05-26: Hail2024-05-26: Hail2024-05-26: Hail2026-05-16: Hail2026-05-16: Hail1964-08-20: Tornado1967-01-24: Tornado1970-09-07: Tornado2008-06-12: Tornado2008-07-21: Tornado2009-05-13: Tornado2010-07-19: Tornado2010-07-19: Tornado2018-10-08: Tornado2008-07-24: Flood2008-09-13: Flood2009-05-15: Flood2009-05-15: Flood2017-04-05: Flood2019-09-29: Flood2020-06-09: Flood1956-08-06: Wind1956-08-30: Wind1964-08-21: Wind1968-07-12: Wind1969-07-12: Wind1970-08-15: Wind1974-05-13: Wind1975-12-14: Wind1977-11-08: Wind1979-07-15: Wind1980-08-31: Wind1980-09-02: Wind1980-06-18: Wind1980-06-18: Wind1982-06-08: Wind1984-09-10: Wind1999-05-16: Wind1999-06-06: Wind2000-05-26: Wind2000-09-11: Wind2001-04-21: Wind2001-06-14: Wind2001-07-24: Wind2002-03-08: Wind2002-05-06: Wind2002-07-28: Wind2003-08-28: Wind2003-08-28: Wind2003-07-20: Wind2003-07-20: Wind2004-08-27: Wind2004-10-29: Wind2004-10-29: Wind2005-03-30: Wind2006-04-15: Wind2007-08-22: Wind2007-06-07: Wind2007-08-12: Wind2007-08-12: Wind2008-07-27: Wind2008-06-15: Wind2010-07-19: Wind2010-06-01: Wind2011-06-26: Wind2011-06-26: Wind2011-06-26: Wind2011-03-22: Wind2011-03-22: Wind2013-06-24: Wind2014-07-07: Wind2015-06-20: Wind2015-08-02: Wind2015-08-02: Wind2015-08-02: Wind2015-07-13: Wind2015-07-13: Wind2015-07-24: Wind2016-09-19: Wind2016-09-19: Wind2018-08-28: Wind2018-08-28: Wind2018-06-08: Wind2018-05-19: Wind2018-05-19: Wind2019-05-25: Wind2019-05-25: Wind2023-07-29: Wind2025-08-07: Wind2025-08-07: Wind2025-08-07: Wind2025-06-03: Wind2025-06-03: Wind2026-05-16: Wind
Sullivan County within Missouri. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

Between 1950 and 2026, NCEI recorded 289 storm events in Sullivan County, Missouri, led by hail.

That is 44.6 events per 100 square miles, below the Missouri figure of 106.7, and 487.0 per 10,000 residents against 118.9 statewide.

8 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 1 death and 0 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $1.1M and crop damage at $10K.

FEMA has designated the county in 25 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding (major disaster, 3 Aug 2026).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 2 claims since 1978, of which 1 were paid, totalling $329 (about $329 per paid claim).

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Very Low" and its expected annual loss as "Very Low" ($4.4M a year across 18 hazards).

1 tropical storm or hurricane track in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 0 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

8events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
289events since 19501 death, 0 injuries recorded
25disaster declarationslast 3 Aug 2026
2NFIP flood claims$329 paid

Compared with Missouri and the United States

MeasureSullivan CountyMissouriUS
Recorded events since 195028973,3391,977,440
Events per 100 square miles44.6106.756.0
Events per 10,000 residents487.0118.959.6
Events in the last 12 months81,92062,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI11,00926,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$1.1M$12B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents0.38.38.1
Average paid NFIP claim$329$23K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years—51.016.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Wind: 2
Hail: 1Tornado: 2Wind: 3
Tornado: 1Wind: 5
Hail: 5Wind: 6
Hail: 6Flood: 1Wind: 3Winter: 2Heat: 1Cold: 1
Hail: 32Tornado: 3Flood: 9Wind: 25Winter: 21Heat: 11Cold: 3Drought: 1Other: 1
Hail: 31Tornado: 3Flood: 2Wind: 25Winter: 21Heat: 1Cold: 2Drought: 16Other: 5
Hail: 11Flood: 1Wind: 8Winter: 6Heat: 1Cold: 6Drought: 5
21950s61960s61970s111980s141990s1062000s1062010s382020s
Recorded events in Sullivan County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterHeatColdDroughtOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 183 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 78 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Hail86
Wind77
Winter50
Drought22
Heat14
Flood13
Cold12
Tornado9
Other6
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Hail86—0.4%detail
■ Wind77—0.4%detail
■ Winter50—0.8%detail
■ Drought22—0.9%
■ Heat14—0.4%
■ Flood13—0.1%detail
■ Cold12—0.7%
■ Tornado910.3%
■ Other6—0.5%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
13 May 2009TornadoTornadoEF1$25K—1—County
10 Apr 1997Heavy SnowWinter—$750K———Forecast zone
27 Aug 2004Flash FloodFlood—$100K———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
3 Aug 2026DR-4929Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
26 Mar 2020DR-4490Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3482EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
9 Jul 2019DR-4451Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
7 Aug 2015DR-4238Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And FloodingPublic assistance
31 Oct 2014DR-4200Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And FloodingPublic assistance
18 Jul 2013DR-4130Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
23 Mar 2011DR-1961Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter Storm And SnowstormPublic assistance
3 Feb 2011EM-3317EmergencySevere StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
17 Aug 2010DR-1934Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Flooding, And TornadoesPublic assistance
19 Jun 2009DR-1847Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
30 Jan 2009EM-3303EmergencySevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
13 Nov 2008DR-1809Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Flooding, And A TornadoPublic assistance
25 Jun 2008DR-1773Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
27 Dec 2007DR-1736Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormsPublic assistance
12 Dec 2007EM-3281EmergencySevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormsPublic assistance
11 Jun 2007DR-1708Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
10 Sep 2005EM-3232EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
11 Jun 2004DR-1524Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingIndividual assistance
6 May 2002DR-1412Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes And FloodingPublic assistance
6 Feb 2002DR-1403Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter Ice StormIndividual assistance
2 Jun 1995DR-1054Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Hail, FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
9 Jul 1993DR-995Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
24 Sep 1976EM-3017EmergencyDroughtDroughtPublic assistance
19 Apr 1973DR-372Major disasterSevere StormHeavy Rains, Tornadoes & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Sullivan County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 19782
Paid claims1
Total paid$329
Average paid claim$329
Repetitive-loss properties0
Residential policies in force00.0% of 2,819 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
199610$0—
198211$329$329

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskVery Lowscore 10.1 of 100
Expected annual loss$4.4MVery Low
Social vulnerabilityRelatively Moderate
Community resilienceRelatively Moderate
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingVery Low$1,396,926
TornadoRelatively Low$1,025,565
Cold waveRelatively Low$611,207
DroughtRelatively Moderate$487,747
Heat waveRelatively Low$295,089
Strong windRelatively Low$193,876
HailRelatively Low$175,358
LightningRelatively Low$85,455
EarthquakeVery Low$29,621
WildfireVery Low$27,336
LandslideRelatively Low$16,579
Winter weatherVery Low$10,417
Ice stormVery Low$4,763
HurricaneVery Low$3,974

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles1
Tracks within 50 miles0
Hurricane strength within 50 miles0
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Unnamed Atlantic storm190097 mi46 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Sullivan County, MO?

NCEI records 86 hail events in Sullivan County since 1950, in 31 different years; that is about 1.1 recorded events a year. 16 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Sullivan County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 9 tornadoes in Sullivan County since 1950, 0 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 1.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Sullivan County?

3 Aug 2026: Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And Flooding, a major disaster declaration for severe storm. The county appears in 25 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Sullivan County, and how much was paid?

2 NFIP claims since 1978, 1 of them paid, for $329 in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Sullivan County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Very Low" for overall risk, "Very Low" for expected annual loss, "Relatively Moderate" for social vulnerability and "Relatively Moderate" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Sullivan County compare with the rest of Missouri?

44.6 recorded events per 100 square miles against 106.7 statewide, and 0.3 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 8.3. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.