County Hazards

States › Mississippi › Bolivar County

Bolivar County, Mississippi

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 28011 · 30,308 residents (2021) · 877 sq mi · dominant hazard Wind

Hail · 171Tornado · 58Flood · 57Wind · 292Winter · 38
1970-03-25: Hail1974-03-19: Hail1975-03-12: Hail1975-04-09: Hail1978-04-30: Hail1981-03-04: Hail1986-02-17: Hail1987-09-10: Hail1987-06-03: Hail1989-06-13: Hail1989-06-13: Hail1989-05-09: Hail1989-05-09: Hail1989-06-05: Hail1989-03-20: Hail1991-03-22: Hail1992-03-22: Hail1992-03-22: Hail1992-06-10: Hail1992-06-03: Hail1992-04-24: Hail1996-02-10: Hail1996-04-21: Hail1996-03-30: Hail1996-04-14: Hail1996-04-20: Hail1996-03-06: Hail1997-05-02: Hail1997-05-02: Hail1997-10-25: Hail1998-04-16: Hail1998-04-16: Hail1998-04-27: Hail1998-04-27: Hail1998-04-02: Hail1998-04-02: Hail2000-02-17: Hail2001-02-24: Hail2001-11-26: Hail2002-05-02: Hail2002-05-02: Hail2002-04-29: Hail2003-05-05: Hail2003-05-05: Hail2003-05-05: Hail2003-06-11: Hail2003-05-05: Hail2003-05-16: Hail2005-04-29: Hail2005-12-04: Hail2005-12-04: Hail2005-11-15: Hail2006-03-31: Hail2006-04-07: Hail2006-04-07: Hail2006-05-10: Hail2006-05-10: Hail2006-06-21: Hail2006-04-07: Hail2006-04-07: Hail2006-04-07: Hail2006-05-09: Hail2006-05-10: Hail2006-05-10: Hail2006-10-31: Hail2007-11-14: Hail2007-11-14: Hail2007-11-14: Hail2007-02-24: Hail2007-06-19: Hail2007-05-09: Hail2007-05-15: Hail2007-05-15: Hail2007-12-28: Hail2008-05-02: Hail2008-05-02: Hail2008-05-02: Hail2008-03-31: Hail2008-03-31: Hail2008-06-25: Hail2008-08-02: Hail2008-08-02: Hail2008-12-09: Hail2008-08-03: Hail2008-08-03: Hail2008-02-05: Hail2008-05-02: Hail2008-05-02: Hail2008-05-02: Hail2008-02-05: Hail2008-05-02: Hail2008-05-24: Hail2008-08-02: Hail2009-05-27: Hail2009-05-09: Hail2009-02-27: Hail2009-02-27: Hail1961-03-07: Tornado1964-07-08: Tornado1967-04-13: Tornado1967-05-01: Tornado1970-03-03: Tornado1971-02-04: Tornado1972-04-15: Tornado1974-06-15: Tornado1974-04-01: Tornado1975-03-12: Tornado1976-03-20: Tornado1980-10-17: Tornado1982-09-12: Tornado1986-03-12: Tornado1986-11-08: Tornado1988-11-26: Tornado1988-01-19: Tornado1988-12-22: Tornado1988-11-19: Tornado1988-11-19: Tornado1988-09-24: Tornado1998-04-16: Tornado1999-01-21: Tornado1999-01-21: Tornado1999-01-21: Tornado1999-01-21: Tornado1999-01-21: Tornado2001-02-24: Tornado2001-05-28: Tornado2001-05-28: Tornado2001-11-24: Tornado2005-09-24: Tornado2005-09-24: Tornado2005-09-24: Tornado2005-09-24: Tornado2005-09-24: Tornado2008-05-02: Tornado2008-05-02: Tornado2008-02-05: Tornado2009-10-09: Tornado2011-09-25: Tornado2012-01-22: Tornado2012-10-17: Tornado2013-01-29: Tornado2013-01-29: Tornado2013-12-21: Tornado2015-12-23: Tornado2016-03-13: Tornado2020-01-11: Tornado2020-01-11: Tornado2020-01-11: Tornado2021-03-27: Tornado2021-03-27: Tornado2022-03-30: Tornado2022-03-30: Tornado2025-07-03: Tornado2005-04-11: Flood2005-09-25: Flood2006-05-10: Flood2008-05-02: Flood2008-07-05: Flood2009-02-27: Flood2009-05-06: Flood2009-07-29: Flood2009-07-29: Flood2009-10-13: Flood2009-10-13: Flood2010-08-07: Flood2011-05-04: Flood2011-09-25: Flood2011-09-04: Flood2012-06-12: Flood2013-01-13: Flood2014-08-11: Flood2015-12-25: Flood2016-03-10: Flood2016-03-12: Flood2016-03-11: Flood2017-06-16: Flood2018-02-22: Flood2018-08-20: Flood2019-02-23: Flood2019-05-09: Flood2021-05-04: Flood2021-06-08: Flood2021-06-09: Flood2022-07-29: Flood2022-04-13: Flood2022-12-14: Flood2025-03-15: Flood2025-06-19: Flood2025-04-05: Flood2025-04-05: Flood2025-04-05: Flood2026-03-15: Wind2025-05-25: Wind2025-05-18: Wind2025-05-17: Wind2025-04-30: Wind2025-04-05: Wind2025-02-15: Wind2024-08-18: Wind2024-08-18: Wind2024-01-12: Wind2024-01-12: Wind2023-06-14: Wind2023-06-14: Wind2023-03-01: Wind2023-01-03: Wind2023-01-03: Wind2022-10-12: Wind2022-06-17: Wind2022-06-17: Wind2022-06-08: Wind2022-05-15: Wind2022-05-15: Wind2022-05-13: Wind2022-04-13: Wind2022-04-13: Wind2022-03-30: Wind2022-03-30: Wind2022-03-30: Wind2022-03-30: Wind2021-05-04: Wind2021-05-04: Wind2021-05-04: Wind2021-04-09: Wind2021-04-09: Wind2021-03-27: Wind2021-03-27: Wind2020-06-05: Wind2020-04-12: Wind2020-04-12: Wind2020-04-12: Wind2020-01-11: Wind2020-01-11: Wind2019-06-19: Wind2019-06-19: Wind2019-06-19: Wind2019-06-19: Wind2019-06-19: Wind2019-03-13: Wind2019-03-13: Wind2018-07-21: Wind2018-07-20: Wind2018-07-19: Wind2018-07-06: Wind2018-06-03: Wind2018-06-03: Wind2018-04-14: Wind2018-04-14: Wind2018-04-03: Wind2017-06-16: Wind2017-06-16: Wind2017-04-02: Wind2017-04-02: Wind2017-03-29: Wind2017-03-29: Wind2017-03-25: Wind2017-03-25: Wind2016-07-14: Wind2016-07-04: Wind2016-07-04: Wind2016-06-17: Wind2015-11-17: Wind2015-10-09: Wind2015-08-05: Wind2015-07-22: Wind2015-04-24: Wind2015-04-24: Wind2015-04-03: Wind2014-10-13: Wind2014-07-14: Wind2014-04-04: Wind2014-04-04: Wind2014-04-04: Wind2014-03-27: Wind2014-02-20: Wind2013-12-21: Wind2013-12-21: Wind2013-07-18: Wind2013-06-27: Wind2013-05-29: Wind2013-01-30: Wind2013-01-29: Wind2012-08-13: Wind2012-06-11: Wind2012-06-04: Wind2012-05-30: Wind2012-05-30: Wind2012-02-01: Wind2012-01-22: Wind2011-09-25: Wind2011-09-25: Wind2011-08-11: Wind2011-05-25: Wind2011-04-26: Wind2011-04-04: Wind2011-02-24: Wind2010-10-24: Wind2010-10-24: Wind2010-07-16: Wind2010-07-16: Wind2010-04-03: Wind2009-10-09: Wind
Bolivar County within Mississippi. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

Between 1950 and 2026, NCEI recorded 645 storm events in Bolivar County, Mississippi, led by damaging wind.

That is 73.6 events per 100 square miles, in line with the Mississippi figure of 89.7, and 212.8 per 10,000 residents against 142.8 statewide.

6 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 3 deaths and 122 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $41M and crop damage at $16M.

FEMA has designated the county in 24 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Winter Storm (major disaster, 6 Feb 2026).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 994 claims since 1978, of which 839 were paid, totalling $22M (about $26K per paid claim). FEMA counts 384 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Low" and its expected annual loss as "Relatively Low" ($22M a year across 18 hazards).

15 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 0 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

6events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
645events since 19503 deaths, 122 injuries recorded
24disaster declarationslast 6 Feb 2026
994NFIP flood claims$22M paid

Compared with Mississippi and the United States

MeasureBolivar CountyMississippiUS
Recorded events since 195064542,1141,977,440
Events per 100 square miles73.689.756.0
Events per 10,000 residents212.8142.859.6
Events in the last 12 months61,52462,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI392826,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$41M$31B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents32.821.98.1
Average paid NFIP claim$26K$58K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years13.311.516.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Wind: 1
Tornado: 4Wind: 11
Hail: 5Tornado: 7Wind: 24
Hail: 11Tornado: 10Wind: 21
Hail: 30Tornado: 6Flood: 3Wind: 33Winter: 2
Hail: 77Tornado: 15Flood: 27Wind: 83Winter: 10Tropical: 2Heat: 4Drought: 1Lightning: 1Other: 1
Hail: 38Tornado: 8Flood: 16Wind: 73Winter: 15Heat: 1Cold: 1Drought: 7Other: 2
Hail: 10Tornado: 8Flood: 11Wind: 46Winter: 11Tropical: 2Cold: 1Drought: 4Lightning: 2
11950s151960s361970s421980s741990s2212000s1612010s952020s
Recorded events in Bolivar County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterTropicalHeatColdDroughtLightningOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 353 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 223 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Wind292
Hail171
Tornado58
Flood57
Winter38
Drought12
Heat5
Tropical4
Lightning3
Other3
Cold2
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Wind292—1.6%detail
■ Hail171—2.0%detail
■ Tornado58—1.6%detail
■ Flood57—1.5%detail
■ Winter3812.0%detail
■ Drought12—0.9%
■ Heat520.2%
■ Tropical4—0.7%
■ Lightning3—0.8%
■ Other3—1.4%
■ Cold2—0.6%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
23 Feb 2015Winter WeatherWinter—$7K—1—Forecast zone
23 Jul 2005HeatHeat———1—Forecast zone
1 Aug 2010Excessive HeatHeat———1—Forecast zone
15 Apr 1972TornadoTornadoF2$250K——62County
24 Nov 2001TornadoTornadoF4$6.0M——36County
7 Mar 1961TornadoTornadoF1$25K——10County
12 Sep 1982TornadoTornadoF1$2.5M——5County
11 Jan 2020TornadoTornadoEF2$3.0M$250K—4County
22 Jan 2012TornadoTornadoEF2$700K——1County
20 Mar 1976TornadoTornadoF2$250K——1County
30 Mar 2022TornadoTornadoEF1$110K——1County
23 Jun 2009Thunderstorm WindWind63 mph$75K——1County
7 Dec 2004Thunderstorm WindWind84 mph$60K——1County
29 Aug 2005Hurricane (Typhoon)Tropical—$700K$5.0M——Forecast zone
1 Oct 2006DroughtDrought——$5.0M——Forecast zone
25 Sep 2011TornadoTornadoEF1$2.5M———County
8 Jun 2021Flash FloodFlood—$2.1M———County
24 Feb 2001TornadoTornadoF2$1.5M———County
9 Mar 1997FloodFlood—$1.4M———Forecast zone
4 May 2011FloodFlood—$1.0M$100K——County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
6 Feb 2026DR-4899Major disasterWinter StormSevere Winter StormIndividual assistance, Public assistance
24 Jan 2026EM-3640EmergencyWinter StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
22 Oct 2021DR-4626Major disasterHurricaneHurricane IdaPublic assistance
28 Aug 2021EM-3569EmergencyHurricaneHurricane IdaPublic assistance
16 Apr 2020DR-4536Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And FloodingPublic assistance
5 Apr 2020DR-4528Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3474EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
12 Mar 2020DR-4478Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And FloodingPublic assistance
25 Mar 2016DR-4268Major disasterFloodSevere Storms And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
11 May 2011DR-1983Major disasterFloodFloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
4 May 2011EM-3320EmergencyFloodFloodingPublic assistance
30 Aug 2008EM-3291EmergencyHurricaneHurricane GustavPublic assistance
8 May 2008DR-1753Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingIndividual assistance
29 Aug 2005DR-1604Major disasterHurricaneHurricane KatrinaPublic assistance
7 Dec 2001DR-1398Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
23 Feb 2001DR-1360Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And TornadoesIndividual assistance
25 Jan 1999DR-1265Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter Storms, Ice And Freezing RainPublic assistance
13 Jun 1997DR-1178Major disasterFloodFloodingIndividual assistance
18 Feb 1994DR-1009Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter Storm, Freeezing Rain And SleetPublic assistance
17 May 1991DR-906Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes & FloodingIndividual assistance
5 Mar 1991DR-895Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance
24 Apr 1978EM-3063EmergencyTornadoTornadoesIndividual assistance
22 Feb 1977EM-3032EmergencySnowstormDrought & FreezingPublic assistance
27 Mar 1973DR-368Major disasterSevere StormHeavy Rains, Tornadoes & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Bolivar County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 1978994
Paid claims839
Total paid$22M
Average paid claim$26K
Repetitive-loss properties17727 severe
Residential policies in force3842.5% of 15,658 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202522$169,000$84,500
20212624$1,567,368$65,307
202021$13,049$13,049
20191311$165,792$15,072
201863$46,220$15,407
201721$15,124$15,124
20163731$1,045,948$33,740
201511$5,177$5,177
201211$73$73
2011201167$11,662,743$69,837
201031$4,006$4,006
200986$57,006$9,501
2008111101$2,929,437$29,004
200644$106,973$26,743
2005109$117,269$13,030
200385$62,401$12,480
20021515$191,311$12,754
200166$101,015$16,836
200011$2,970$2,970
199933$21,709$7,236
199844$20,777$5,194
19978378$983,978$12,615
199697$35,399$5,057
19955848$444,750$9,266
19945550$376,788$7,536

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Lowscore 76.8 of 100
Expected annual loss$22MRelatively Low
Social vulnerabilityVery High
Community resilienceRelatively Moderate
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively Moderate$10,494,079
EarthquakeRelatively Moderate$4,602,543
TornadoRelatively Moderate$2,782,062
Heat waveRelatively Moderate$1,173,388
DroughtRelatively Moderate$941,829
Cold waveRelatively Low$741,825
Strong windRelatively Moderate$497,073
HailRelatively Low$318,505
HurricaneRelatively Low$254,181
Ice stormRelatively Moderate$213,103
LightningRelatively Low$168,943
Winter weatherRelatively Low$15,086
WildfireVery Low$3,878
LandslideVery Low$273

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles15
Tracks within 50 miles6
Hurricane strength within 50 miles0
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Delta202095 mi40 mph
Camille196953 mi58 mph
Betsy196580 mi40 mph
Audrey195739 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm193448 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm193271 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm193248 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm192319 mi52 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm191646 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm190955 mi63 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm190675 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm190558 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm189182 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm188842 mi69 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm186055 mi46 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Bolivar County, MS?

NCEI records 171 hail events in Bolivar County since 1950, in 40 different years; that is about 2.2 recorded events a year. 32 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Bolivar County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 58 tornadoes in Bolivar County since 1950, 14 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 0.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Bolivar County?

6 Feb 2026: Severe Winter Storm, a major disaster declaration for winter storm. The county appears in 24 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Bolivar County, and how much was paid?

994 NFIP claims since 1978, 839 of them paid, for $22M in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Bolivar County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Low" for overall risk, "Relatively Low" for expected annual loss, "Very High" for social vulnerability and "Relatively Moderate" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Bolivar County compare with the rest of Mississippi?

73.6 recorded events per 100 square miles against 89.7 statewide, and 32.8 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 21.9. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.