County Hazards

States › North Carolina › Avery County

Avery County, North Carolina

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 37011 · 17,864 residents (2021) · 247 sq mi · dominant hazard Winter

Hail · 59Tornado · 2Flood · 38Wind · 101Winter · 403
1971-06-03: Hail1977-12-18: Hail1985-06-07: Hail1985-06-05: Hail1989-04-27: Hail1996-05-05: Hail1997-06-02: Hail1997-03-05: Hail1997-03-05: Hail1997-09-11: Hail1998-03-20: Hail1998-05-07: Hail1998-05-07: Hail1998-05-07: Hail1998-05-07: Hail1999-05-13: Hail2000-04-17: Hail2002-04-28: Hail2002-05-27: Hail2002-07-02: Hail2002-07-02: Hail2003-05-15: Hail2003-06-08: Hail2003-05-15: Hail2003-05-15: Hail2004-05-21: Hail2005-08-04: Hail2005-08-03: Hail2006-04-19: Hail2006-04-02: Hail2006-05-30: Hail2006-05-30: Hail2006-05-14: Hail2007-06-26: Hail2007-08-23: Hail2007-08-24: Hail2007-06-12: Hail2008-06-09: Hail2008-06-07: Hail2008-06-09: Hail2009-07-20: Hail2011-04-09: Hail2011-06-08: Hail2011-06-10: Hail2012-04-30: Hail2012-04-30: Hail2012-04-30: Hail2012-05-02: Hail2012-05-02: Hail2012-07-03: Hail2012-07-03: Hail2014-07-02: Hail2014-05-12: Hail2019-08-01: Hail2021-03-18: Hail2022-05-19: Hail2023-07-02: Hail2023-07-28: Hail2023-08-07: Hail1965-04-09: Tornado2023-08-14: Tornado2007-07-26: Flood2009-05-15: Flood2009-05-16: Flood2011-11-28: Flood2011-11-28: Flood2012-09-05: Flood2012-09-18: Flood2012-09-18: Flood2013-07-07: Flood2013-01-30: Flood2013-05-06: Flood2013-07-03: Flood2015-04-19: Flood2015-05-11: Flood2017-10-23: Flood2018-05-18: Flood2018-10-11: Flood2019-04-19: Flood2019-06-09: Flood2021-08-17: Flood2022-11-11: Flood2024-09-26: Flood2024-09-25: Flood2024-09-27: Flood1985-06-07: Wind1992-08-27: Wind1997-07-04: Wind1997-08-17: Wind1997-08-17: Wind1997-03-05: Wind1998-05-03: Wind1998-05-07: Wind1999-08-20: Wind1999-05-07: Wind2000-08-10: Wind2001-07-08: Wind2001-07-08: Wind2002-07-02: Wind2003-07-09: Wind2003-07-09: Wind2003-07-09: Wind2004-05-26: Wind2004-05-26: Wind2005-05-20: Wind2005-08-03: Wind2006-04-02: Wind2006-04-02: Wind2006-05-26: Wind2007-08-23: Wind2008-07-21: Wind2009-06-18: Wind2009-06-18: Wind2009-08-05: Wind2010-06-21: Wind2010-08-05: Wind2010-08-05: Wind2011-06-18: Wind2011-02-28: Wind2011-05-22: Wind2011-04-04: Wind2011-09-02: Wind2011-05-13: Wind2011-05-10: Wind2011-06-08: Wind2013-06-24: Wind2016-07-08: Wind2018-03-17: Wind2020-01-11: Wind2021-08-17: Wind2022-05-06: Wind2022-06-17: Wind2022-06-14: Wind2023-07-02: Wind2023-07-29: Wind2023-08-07: Wind
Avery County within North Carolina. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

Between 1950 and 2026, NCEI recorded 681 storm events in Avery County, North Carolina, led by winter storms and snow.

That is 275.3 events per 100 square miles, above the North Carolina figure of 112.5, and 381.2 per 10,000 residents against 51.8 statewide.

11 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 7 deaths and 11 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $123M and crop damage at $8.0M.

FEMA has designated the county in 22 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Winter Storm (emergency, 24 Jan 2026).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 288 claims since 1978, of which 238 were paid, totalling $15M (about $64K per paid claim). FEMA counts 274 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Low" and its expected annual loss as "Very Low" ($11M a year across 18 hazards).

14 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 0 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

11events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
681events since 19507 deaths, 11 injuries recorded
22disaster declarationslast 24 Jan 2026
288NFIP flood claims$15M paid

Compared with North Carolina and the United States

MeasureAvery CountyNorth CarolinaUS
Recorded events since 195068154,6961,977,440
Events per 100 square miles275.3112.556.0
Events per 10,000 residents381.251.859.6
Events in the last 12 months111,43762,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI762226,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$123M$15B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents16.110.48.1
Average paid NFIP claim$64K$28K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years54.024.116.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Tornado: 1
Hail: 2
Hail: 3Wind: 1
Hail: 11Flood: 7Wind: 17Winter: 67Cold: 3Drought: 6
Hail: 25Flood: 10Wind: 53Winter: 168Cold: 4Drought: 27Lightning: 1Fog: 1Other: 4
Hail: 13Flood: 16Wind: 20Winter: 118Cold: 12Other: 3
Hail: 5Tornado: 1Flood: 5Wind: 10Winter: 50Tropical: 2Cold: 11Drought: 2Lightning: 2
01950s11960s21970s41980s1111990s2932000s1822010s882020s
Recorded events in Avery County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterTropicalColdDroughtLightningFogOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 361 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 305 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Winter403
Wind101
Hail59
Flood38
Drought35
Cold30
Other7
Lightning3
Tornado2
Tropical2
Fog1
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Winter403—4.5%detail
■ Wind101—0.4%detail
■ Hail59—0.6%detail
■ Flood3860.7%detail
■ Drought35—2.1%
■ Cold3013.9%
■ Other7—0.7%
■ Lightning3—0.4%
■ Tornado2—0.1%
■ Tropical2—0.2%
■ Fog1—1.5%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
26 Sep 2024Flash FloodFlood—$40M—6—County
12 Feb 1996Cold/Wind ChillCold———1—Forecast zone
13 Aug 2021LightningLightning————7County
2 Feb 1996Ice StormWinter—$50M———Forecast zone
2 Jul 2023Thunderstorm WindWind46 mph———2County
17 Sep 2004FloodFlood—$7.0M$4.0M——Forecast zone
9 Apr 1965TornadoTornadoF2$25K——1County
7 Sep 2004FloodFlood—$7.0M$3.0M——Forecast zone
2 Jul 2023LightningLightning————1County
27 Sep 2024Tropical StormTropical—$9.0M———Forecast zone
7 Jan 1998Flash FloodFlood—$5.5M———County
8 Sep 2004Debris FlowOther—$2.0M———Forecast zone
8 Apr 2007Frost/FreezeCold——$1.0M——Forecast zone
17 Sep 2004Debris FlowOther—$500K———Forecast zone
16 Apr 2007High WindWind69 mph$500K———Forecast zone
7 Sep 2004High WindWind58 mph$250K———Forecast zone
5 Sep 2012Flash FloodFlood—$100K———County
15 Jul 2013Debris FlowOther—$100K———County
6 May 2013FloodFlood—$100K———County
17 Aug 2021Flash FloodFlood—$100K———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
24 Jan 2026EM-3637EmergencyWinter StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
28 Sep 2024DR-4827Major disasterTropical StormTropical Storm HeleneIndividual assistance, Public assistance
26 Sep 2024EM-3617EmergencyTropical StormHurricane HelenePublic assistance
1 Oct 2022EM-3586EmergencyHurricaneHurricane IanPublic assistance
8 Sep 2021DR-4617Major disasterHurricaneRemnants Of Tropical Storm FredPublic assistance
2 Aug 2020EM-3534EmergencyHurricaneHurricane IsaiasPublic assistance
25 Mar 2020DR-4487Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3471EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
3 Sep 2019EM-3423EmergencyHurricaneHurricane DorianPublic assistance
10 Sep 2018EM-3401EmergencyHurricaneHurricane FlorencePublic assistance
29 Oct 2013DR-4153Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Flooding, Landslides, MudslidesPublic assistance
25 Sep 2013DR-4146Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
2 Feb 2010DR-1871Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
5 Sep 2005EM-3222EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
18 Sep 2004DR-1553Major disasterHurricaneHurricane IvanIndividual assistance, Public assistance
10 Sep 2004DR-1546Major disasterHurricaneTropical Storm FrancesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
15 Jan 1998DR-1200Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Jan 1996DR-1087Major disasterSnowstormBlizzard Of 96Public assistance
23 Oct 1995DR-1073Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Flooding, High WindsPublic assistance
17 Mar 1993EM-3110EmergencySnowstormSevere Snowfall & Winter StormPublic assistance
25 Sep 1989DR-844Major disasterHurricaneHurricane HugoIndividual assistance, Public assistance
9 Nov 1977DR-542Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Avery County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 1978288
Paid claims238
Total paid$15M
Average paid claim$64K
Repetitive-loss properties135 severe
Residential policies in force2741.7% of 16,068 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
2024137117$12,488,207$106,737
202175$27,414$5,483
201921$1,029$1,029
201821$10,440$10,440
201510$0—
2013128$15,539$1,942
200811$1,502$1,502
200611$3,428$3,428
200510$0—
20048373$2,329,468$31,911
200353$17,103$5,701
200111$5,900$5,900
199910$0—
199711$1,278$1,278
19951714$211,199$15,086
19941210$94,242$9,424
198911$13,887$13,887
198310$0—
198010$0—
197911$845$845

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Lowscore 47.5 of 100
Expected annual loss$11MVery Low
Social vulnerabilityRelatively High
Community resilienceRelatively Moderate
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively Low$7,922,240
Cold waveRelatively Low$1,166,090
TornadoRelatively Low$601,290
LightningRelatively Moderate$408,094
Strong windRelatively Low$309,086
EarthquakeVery Low$224,019
LandslideRelatively Moderate$205,335
Ice stormRelatively Moderate$187,950
HurricaneRelatively Low$179,992
HailVery Low$80,440
Winter weatherRelatively Low$24,015
WildfireVery Low$13,901

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles14
Tracks within 50 miles3
Hurricane strength within 50 miles0
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Hugo198917 mi63 mph
Gracie195919 mi52 mph
Able195287 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm194977 mi58 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm193270 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm192797 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm191686 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm191569 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm190743 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm190282 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm190180 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm189392 mi75 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm188679 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm188282 mi46 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Avery County, NC?

NCEI records 59 hail events in Avery County since 1950, in 24 different years; that is about 0.8 recorded events a year. 7 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Avery County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 2 tornadoes in Avery County since 1950, 1 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 0.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Avery County?

24 Jan 2026: Severe Winter Storm, a emergency declaration for winter storm. The county appears in 22 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Avery County, and how much was paid?

288 NFIP claims since 1978, 238 of them paid, for $15M in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Avery County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Low" for overall risk, "Very Low" for expected annual loss, "Relatively High" for social vulnerability and "Relatively Moderate" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Avery County compare with the rest of North Carolina?

275.3 recorded events per 100 square miles against 112.5 statewide, and 16.1 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 10.4. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.