County Hazards

States › North Carolina › Buncombe County

Buncombe County, North Carolina

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 37021 · 271,534 residents (2021) · 656 sq mi · dominant hazard Wind

Hail · 207Tornado · 7Flood · 52Wind · 270Winter · 264
2026-03-16: Hail2025-09-04: Hail2025-06-24: Hail2025-05-08: Hail2025-05-08: Hail2025-05-08: Hail2025-05-08: Hail2025-02-06: Hail2024-05-26: Hail2024-05-08: Hail2024-05-08: Hail2023-07-18: Hail2023-07-01: Hail2022-05-19: Hail2022-05-19: Hail2022-05-19: Hail2022-05-04: Hail2021-08-14: Hail2021-03-27: Hail2019-08-19: Hail2018-05-05: Hail2017-07-14: Hail2016-07-08: Hail2016-07-08: Hail2016-05-12: Hail2016-05-02: Hail2016-05-01: Hail2016-05-01: Hail2015-06-19: Hail2015-06-18: Hail2014-07-02: Hail2014-07-02: Hail2014-06-19: Hail2014-06-18: Hail2014-06-16: Hail2013-05-22: Hail2013-05-21: Hail2013-05-21: Hail2012-08-10: Hail2012-07-03: Hail2012-07-03: Hail2012-06-22: Hail2012-06-22: Hail2012-05-21: Hail2012-05-19: Hail2012-05-17: Hail2012-05-17: Hail2012-04-30: Hail2012-04-30: Hail2012-04-30: Hail2012-04-26: Hail2012-04-26: Hail2012-04-26: Hail2012-04-26: Hail2012-04-26: Hail2012-04-26: Hail2012-04-17: Hail2012-04-05: Hail2012-04-05: Hail2011-06-21: Hail2011-06-21: Hail2011-06-15: Hail2011-06-10: Hail2011-06-09: Hail2011-06-08: Hail2011-06-08: Hail2011-06-08: Hail2011-06-02: Hail2011-05-13: Hail2011-05-13: Hail2011-05-12: Hail2011-05-03: Hail2011-04-09: Hail2011-04-09: Hail2011-04-09: Hail2011-04-09: Hail2011-04-09: Hail2011-04-09: Hail2010-07-26: Hail2010-05-14: Hail2010-05-14: Hail2010-05-14: Hail2010-05-14: Hail2010-05-14: Hail2010-05-14: Hail2009-09-09: Hail2009-09-09: Hail2009-08-05: Hail2009-08-05: Hail2009-07-20: Hail2009-07-20: Hail2009-06-18: Hail2009-06-10: Hail2009-06-09: Hail2009-06-08: Hail2009-06-02: Hail2009-06-02: Hail2009-05-28: Hail2009-05-09: Hail2009-04-24: Hail2008-09-30: Hail2008-06-26: Hail2008-06-10: Hail2008-06-10: Hail2008-06-10: Hail2008-06-07: Hail2007-08-24: Hail2007-07-19: Hail2007-07-10: Hail2007-06-27: Hail2007-06-24: Hail2007-06-24: Hail2007-06-24: Hail2007-06-15: Hail2007-06-15: Hail2007-06-15: Hail2007-06-12: Hail2007-06-12: Hail2007-06-12: Hail2007-06-08: Hail1976-02-18: Tornado1976-02-18: Tornado1977-06-06: Tornado1977-06-06: Tornado1999-05-06: Tornado2024-05-08: Tornado2005-07-13: Flood2005-07-19: Flood2005-07-11: Flood2012-05-21: Flood2012-07-11: Flood2013-01-30: Flood2013-01-30: Flood2013-05-05: Flood2013-07-10: Flood2013-07-10: Flood2013-07-10: Flood2013-07-04: Flood2013-07-04: Flood2013-01-30: Flood2015-08-22: Flood2015-12-29: Flood2016-02-03: Flood2017-10-23: Flood2018-09-16: Flood2018-09-30: Flood2018-05-17: Flood2018-05-29: Flood2018-05-29: Flood2018-12-28: Flood2018-10-11: Flood2019-06-09: Flood2019-04-19: Flood2020-07-31: Flood2021-08-17: Flood2021-08-17: Flood2024-09-27: Flood2024-09-27: Flood2024-09-25: Flood2024-09-27: Flood2026-06-30: Wind2026-03-16: Wind2026-03-16: Wind2025-07-11: Wind2025-06-28: Wind2025-06-27: Wind2025-06-25: Wind2025-06-25: Wind2025-06-24: Wind2025-06-24: Wind2025-05-17: Wind2025-05-08: Wind2024-08-30: Wind2024-08-17: Wind2024-08-02: Wind2024-08-01: Wind2024-07-22: Wind2024-05-26: Wind2024-05-08: Wind2023-08-07: Wind2023-07-18: Wind2023-07-01: Wind2023-05-16: Wind2023-05-07: Wind2023-03-25: Wind2023-03-03: Wind2022-08-09: Wind2022-07-23: Wind2022-07-06: Wind2022-07-05: Wind2022-06-17: Wind2022-06-17: Wind2022-05-19: Wind2021-08-14: Wind2020-07-17: Wind2020-01-11: Wind2019-08-22: Wind2019-08-19: Wind2019-06-21: Wind2018-08-08: Wind2018-06-26: Wind2018-06-25: Wind2018-06-24: Wind2018-05-31: Wind2017-07-14: Wind2017-07-14: Wind2017-07-14: Wind2017-07-05: Wind2017-05-27: Wind2017-04-03: Wind2016-07-14: Wind2016-07-07: Wind2016-07-06: Wind2016-07-06: Wind2016-07-05: Wind2016-06-04: Wind2015-08-22: Wind2015-08-14: Wind2015-07-20: Wind2015-07-14: Wind2015-06-21: Wind2014-09-01: Wind2014-07-27: Wind2014-07-27: Wind2014-07-27: Wind2014-07-02: Wind2014-05-23: Wind2013-07-09: Wind2013-06-09: Wind2013-05-22: Wind2012-08-10: Wind2012-07-06: Wind2012-07-06: Wind2012-07-06: Wind2012-07-05: Wind2012-07-03: Wind2012-06-22: Wind2012-04-26: Wind2012-04-01: Wind2011-09-02: Wind2011-07-04: Wind2011-06-18: Wind2011-06-12: Wind2011-06-10: Wind2011-06-09: Wind2011-06-08: Wind2011-05-03: Wind2011-04-04: Wind2010-08-05: Wind2010-08-05: Wind2010-07-25: Wind2010-07-20: Wind2010-06-21: Wind2009-08-05: Wind2009-08-05: Wind2009-07-28: Wind2009-07-28: Wind2009-06-18: Wind2009-06-17: Wind2009-06-16: Wind2009-06-11: Wind2009-06-08: Wind2009-05-03: Wind
Buncombe County within North Carolina. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

The NCEI record lists 892 events for Buncombe County, North Carolina, between 1950 and 2026; damaging wind account for the largest share.

That is 135.9 events per 100 square miles, in line with the North Carolina figure of 112.5, and 32.9 per 10,000 residents against 51.8 statewide.

15 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 43 deaths and 16 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $746M and crop damage at $11M.

FEMA has designated the county in 21 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Winter Storm (emergency, 24 Jan 2026).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 1,192 claims since 1978, of which 935 were paid, totalling $104M (about $111K per paid claim). FEMA counts 1,026 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Moderate" and its expected annual loss as "Relatively Moderate" ($82M a year across 18 hazards).

14 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 0 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

15events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
892events since 195043 deaths, 16 injuries recorded
21disaster declarationslast 24 Jan 2026
1,192NFIP flood claims$104M paid

Compared with North Carolina and the United States

MeasureBuncombe CountyNorth CarolinaUS
Recorded events since 195089254,6961,977,440
Events per 100 square miles135.9112.556.0
Events per 10,000 residents32.951.859.6
Events in the last 12 months151,43762,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI4362226,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$746M$15B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents4.410.48.1
Average paid NFIP claim$111K$28K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years65.724.116.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Wind: 1
Hail: 1Wind: 2
Tornado: 4Wind: 1
Hail: 13Wind: 9
Hail: 29Tornado: 2Flood: 7Wind: 36Winter: 38Cold: 1Drought: 6Lightning: 6Other: 2
Hail: 79Flood: 14Wind: 114Winter: 115Cold: 3Drought: 26Lightning: 7Fog: 2Other: 9
Hail: 66Flood: 24Wind: 68Winter: 85Cold: 9Drought: 1Lightning: 1Other: 3
Hail: 19Tornado: 1Flood: 7Wind: 39Winter: 26Tropical: 2Cold: 11Drought: 2Other: 1
11950s31960s51970s221980s1271990s3692000s2572010s1082020s
Recorded events in Buncombe County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterTropicalColdDroughtLightningFogOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 491 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 371 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Wind270
Winter264
Hail207
Flood52
Drought35
Cold24
Other15
Lightning14
Tornado7
Tropical2
Fog2
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Wind27031.2%detail
■ Winter264—2.9%detail
■ Hail207—2.1%detail
■ Flood52261.0%detail
■ Drought35—2.1%
■ Cold24—3.1%
■ Other15131.5%
■ Lightning1411.7%
■ Tornado7—0.4%
■ Tropical2—0.2%
■ Fog2—2.9%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
27 Sep 2024Flash FloodFlood—$300M—15—County
27 Sep 2024Debris FlowOther—$1.0M—13—County
27 Sep 2024Flash FloodFlood—$300M—9—County
16 Sep 2004FloodFlood—$40M—2—Forecast zone
8 Mar 1984Thunderstorm WindWind72 mph——11County
17 Jun 2022Thunderstorm WindWind46 mph$5K—1—County
8 Jun 2009LightningLightning———1—County
1 Apr 2023Strong WindWind46 mph——1—Forecast zone
7 Sep 2004FloodFlood—$40M$1.0M——Forecast zone
14 Jul 2006LightningLightning————4County
27 Sep 2024Tropical StormTropical—$35M———Forecast zone
4 Jul 1997Thunderstorm WindWind58 mph———3County
3 May 2011Thunderstorm WindWind69 mph———2County
9 Apr 1991Thunderstorm WindWind0 mph———1County
26 Jul 1996Thunderstorm WindWind58 mph———1County
29 Aug 1996LightningLightning————1County
14 Aug 1999LightningLightning————1County
4 Jul 2002Thunderstorm WindWind58 mph———1County
12 Jul 2003LightningLightning————1County
17 Sep 2004Debris FlowOther—$10M———Forecast zone

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
24 Jan 2026EM-3637EmergencyWinter StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
28 Sep 2024DR-4827Major disasterTropical StormTropical Storm HeleneIndividual assistance, Public assistance
26 Sep 2024EM-3617EmergencyTropical StormHurricane HelenePublic assistance
1 Oct 2022EM-3586EmergencyHurricaneHurricane IanPublic assistance
8 Sep 2021DR-4617Major disasterHurricaneRemnants Of Tropical Storm FredIndividual assistance, Public assistance
2 Aug 2020EM-3534EmergencyHurricaneHurricane IsaiasPublic assistance
25 Mar 2020DR-4487Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3471EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
3 Sep 2019EM-3423EmergencyHurricaneHurricane DorianPublic assistance
10 Sep 2018EM-3401EmergencyHurricaneHurricane FlorencePublic assistance
11 Nov 2016FM-5161Fire management assistanceFireParty Rock FirePublic assistance
25 Sep 2013DR-4146Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
2 Feb 2010DR-1871Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
5 Sep 2005EM-3222EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
18 Sep 2004DR-1553Major disasterHurricaneHurricane IvanIndividual assistance, Public assistance
10 Sep 2004DR-1546Major disasterHurricaneTropical Storm FrancesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
6 Sep 1996DR-1134Major disasterHurricaneHurricane FranIndividual assistance
13 Jan 1996DR-1087Major disasterSnowstormBlizzard Of 96Public assistance
17 Mar 1993EM-3110EmergencySnowstormSevere Snowfall & Winter StormPublic assistance
9 Nov 1977DR-542Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
25 Jun 1973DR-394Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Buncombe County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 19781,192
Paid claims935
Total paid$104M
Average paid claim$111K
Repetitive-loss properties8413 severe
Residential policies in force1,0261.0% of 107,107 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202621$12,203$12,203
2024506432$81,551,846$188,777
202310$0—
20218568$2,867,418$42,168
2020128$292,377$36,547
20192518$832,980$46,277
20183827$639,557$23,687
201753$79,750$26,583
201673$35,740$11,913
20153220$796,615$39,831
201452$57,091$28,545
20132517$206,954$12,174
201286$117,853$19,642
201120$0—
201021$3,590$3,590
2009114$37,415$9,354
200575$30,594$6,119
2004257222$14,739,787$66,395
200352$19,250$9,625
200210$0—
200111$4,307$4,307
200040$0—
199910$0—
19982614$356,869$25,491
199611$3,503$3,503

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Moderatescore 89.3 of 100
Expected annual loss$82MRelatively Moderate
Social vulnerabilityRelatively Low
Community resilienceRelatively High
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively Moderate$48,055,800
Cold waveRelatively High$16,924,179
TornadoRelatively Moderate$4,355,435
EarthquakeRelatively Low$3,016,728
Strong windRelatively High$2,501,612
LightningVery High$2,391,434
Ice stormRelatively High$1,513,068
LandslideRelatively High$1,294,455
HailRelatively Moderate$728,079
HurricaneRelatively Low$544,131
WildfireRelatively Low$446,690
DroughtRelatively Moderate$409,323
Winter weatherRelatively Moderate$187,002
Heat waveVery Low$1

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles14
Tracks within 50 miles2
Hurricane strength within 50 miles0
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Helene202492 mi52 mph
Zeta202064 mi52 mph
Hugo198951 mi63 mph
Gracie195959 mi52 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm194966 mi58 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm193273 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm191643 mi52 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm191587 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm190768 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm190251 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm190136 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm188691 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm188280 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm185990 mi46 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Buncombe County, NC?

NCEI records 207 hail events in Buncombe County since 1950, in 41 different years; that is about 2.7 recorded events a year. 28 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Buncombe County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 7 tornadoes in Buncombe County since 1950, 0 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 0.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Buncombe County?

24 Jan 2026: Severe Winter Storm, a emergency declaration for winter storm. The county appears in 21 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Buncombe County, and how much was paid?

1,192 NFIP claims since 1978, 935 of them paid, for $104M in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Buncombe County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Moderate" for overall risk, "Relatively Moderate" for expected annual loss, "Relatively Low" for social vulnerability and "Relatively High" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Buncombe County compare with the rest of North Carolina?

135.9 recorded events per 100 square miles against 112.5 statewide, and 4.4 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 10.4. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.