County Hazards

States › North Carolina › Swain County

Swain County, North Carolina

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 37173 · 14,136 residents (2021) · 528 sq mi · dominant hazard Winter

Hail · 20Tornado · 4Flood · 31Wind · 105Winter · 256
1998-04-16: Hail1999-05-07: Hail2002-06-20: Hail2002-07-22: Hail2002-06-04: Hail2002-07-02: Hail2005-02-21: Hail2006-04-19: Hail2008-05-20: Hail2008-06-09: Hail2011-06-24: Hail2011-06-18: Hail2012-04-03: Hail2012-04-03: Hail2012-04-26: Hail2012-04-26: Hail2013-05-22: Hail2015-07-14: Hail2015-09-05: Hail2020-04-25: Hail1974-04-03: Tornado1976-02-18: Tornado2012-03-02: Tornado2022-05-06: Tornado2005-06-09: Flood2009-12-09: Flood2009-12-09: Flood2009-11-11: Flood2009-11-11: Flood2010-01-24: Flood2011-07-14: Flood2012-04-26: Flood2013-01-17: Flood2013-01-15: Flood2013-01-15: Flood2015-12-24: Flood2016-08-04: Flood2018-05-26: Flood2018-05-24: Flood2019-04-19: Flood2020-02-06: Flood2024-09-27: Flood2024-09-27: Flood1986-07-11: Wind1986-07-11: Wind1989-05-26: Wind1990-08-21: Wind1996-05-27: Wind1996-04-20: Wind1997-07-04: Wind1997-01-05: Wind1997-03-05: Wind1999-05-06: Wind1999-05-07: Wind2000-02-13: Wind2000-08-10: Wind2001-07-09: Wind2001-10-24: Wind2001-10-25: Wind2002-01-24: Wind2002-05-02: Wind2002-05-02: Wind2002-06-20: Wind2002-05-13: Wind2002-07-02: Wind2002-11-11: Wind2003-07-10: Wind2003-05-02: Wind2004-05-31: Wind2004-05-31: Wind2004-07-05: Wind2004-07-14: Wind2006-04-03: Wind2006-04-08: Wind2006-05-20: Wind2006-07-21: Wind2007-07-19: Wind2007-08-21: Wind2008-05-20: Wind2008-06-28: Wind2008-07-21: Wind2008-12-10: Wind2008-05-20: Wind2009-06-11: Wind2010-07-31: Wind2010-07-26: Wind2010-10-25: Wind2011-06-15: Wind2011-02-28: Wind2011-04-04: Wind2011-06-22: Wind2012-04-26: Wind2012-07-05: Wind2012-07-05: Wind2013-05-21: Wind2013-01-30: Wind2014-06-10: Wind2014-06-10: Wind2014-07-27: Wind2015-07-14: Wind2016-07-07: Wind2016-07-08: Wind2016-06-26: Wind2017-05-27: Wind2018-06-26: Wind2018-06-25: Wind2019-06-21: Wind2020-01-11: Wind2020-04-25: Wind2021-06-21: Wind2022-07-23: Wind2022-08-26: Wind2023-03-25: Wind2023-08-12: Wind2023-08-07: Wind2024-05-08: Wind2024-07-16: Wind2025-05-17: Wind2025-06-24: Wind2025-06-24: Wind
Swain County within North Carolina. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

The NCEI record lists 489 events for Swain County, North Carolina, between 1950 and 2026; winter storms and snow account for the largest share.

That is 92.7 events per 100 square miles, in line with the North Carolina figure of 112.5, and 345.9 per 10,000 residents against 51.8 statewide.

9 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 1 death and 3 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $13M and crop damage at $1.0M.

FEMA has designated the county in 17 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Winter Storm (emergency, 24 Jan 2026).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 56 claims since 1978, of which 38 were paid, totalling $1.2M (about $32K per paid claim). FEMA counts 76 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Low" and its expected annual loss as "Very Low" ($9.8M a year across 18 hazards).

9 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 0 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

9events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
489events since 19501 death, 3 injuries recorded
17disaster declarationslast 24 Jan 2026
56NFIP flood claims$1.2M paid

Compared with North Carolina and the United States

MeasureSwain CountyNorth CarolinaUS
Recorded events since 195048954,6961,977,440
Events per 100 square miles92.7112.556.0
Events per 10,000 residents345.951.859.6
Events in the last 12 months91,43762,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI162226,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$13M$15B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents4.010.48.1
Average paid NFIP claim$32K$28K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years32.924.116.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Tornado: 2
Wind: 3
Hail: 2Flood: 3Wind: 13Winter: 40Cold: 1Drought: 6Other: 1
Hail: 8Flood: 14Wind: 52Winter: 103Cold: 2Drought: 27Wildfire: 1Other: 4
Hail: 9Tornado: 1Flood: 11Wind: 24Winter: 84Cold: 9Drought: 2Wildfire: 1Lightning: 2Other: 3
Hail: 1Tornado: 1Flood: 3Wind: 13Winter: 29Tropical: 2Cold: 10Drought: 2
01950s01960s21970s31980s661990s2112000s1462010s612020s
Recorded events in Swain County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterTropicalColdDroughtWildfireLightningOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 274 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 205 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Winter256
Wind105
Drought37
Flood31
Cold22
Hail20
Other8
Tornado4
Tropical2
Wildfire2
Lightning2
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Winter256—2.9%detail
■ Wind10510.5%detail
■ Drought37—2.2%
■ Flood31—0.6%detail
■ Cold22—2.9%
■ Hail20—0.2%detail
■ Other8—0.8%
■ Tornado4—0.2%
■ Tropical2—0.2%
■ Wildfire2—6.1%
■ Lightning2—0.2%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
27 Jul 2014Thunderstorm WindWind58 mph$5K—1—County
22 Jun 2019LightningLightning————2County
4 Jul 1997Thunderstorm WindWind58 mph———1County
16 Jan 2013Debris FlowOther—$5.0M———County
15 Jan 2013FloodFlood—$3.5M———County
11 Mar 2007WildfireWildfire—$1.0M———Forecast zone
8 Apr 2007Frost/FreezeCold——$1.0M——Forecast zone
16 Apr 2007High WindWind69 mph$500K———Forecast zone
27 Sep 2024Tropical StormTropical—$500K———Forecast zone
27 Sep 2024FloodFlood—$400K———County
7 May 2003Flash FloodFlood—$300K———County
18 Feb 1976TornadoTornadoF1$250K———County
16 Sep 2004FloodFlood—$250K———Forecast zone
14 Jan 2013Heavy RainOther—$200K———County
6 Feb 2020Flash FloodFlood—$200K———County
6 May 2003Flash FloodFlood—$100K———County
29 May 2012LightningLightning—$100K———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
24 Jan 2026EM-3637EmergencyWinter StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
20 Apr 2025FM-5580Fire management assistanceFireSam Davis Road FirePublic assistance
26 Mar 2025FM-5577Fire management assistanceFireAlarka FirePublic assistance
28 Sep 2024DR-4827Major disasterTropical StormTropical Storm HeleneIndividual assistance, Public assistance
26 Sep 2024EM-3617EmergencyTropical StormHurricane HelenePublic assistance
1 Oct 2022EM-3586EmergencyHurricaneHurricane IanPublic assistance
2 Aug 2020EM-3534EmergencyHurricaneHurricane IsaiasPublic assistance
8 May 2020DR-4543Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
25 Mar 2020DR-4487Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3471EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
3 Sep 2019EM-3423EmergencyHurricaneHurricane DorianPublic assistance
10 Sep 2018EM-3401EmergencyHurricaneHurricane FlorencePublic assistance
5 Sep 2005EM-3222EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
18 Sep 2004DR-1553Major disasterHurricaneHurricane IvanIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Jan 1996DR-1087Major disasterSnowstormBlizzard Of 96Public assistance
23 Oct 1995DR-1073Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Flooding, High WindsPublic assistance
17 Mar 1993EM-3110EmergencySnowstormSevere Snowfall & Winter StormPublic assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Swain County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 197856
Paid claims38
Total paid$1.2M
Average paid claim$32K
Repetitive-loss properties41 severe
Residential policies in force760.9% of 8,879 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202511$26,826$26,826
202476$323,377$53,896
202211$8,036$8,036
202054$137,459$34,365
201910$0—
2018105$31,008$6,202
201511$8,309$8,309
201343$128,554$42,851
201233$39,415$13,138
200510$0—
200433$138,614$46,205
200322$82,754$41,377
199821$24,524$24,524
199710$0—
199621$15,461$15,461
199511$29,931$29,931
199473$196,319$65,440
199111$12,900$12,900
199010$0—
198411$1,907$1,907
198211$1,659$1,659

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Lowscore 49.1 of 100
Expected annual loss$9.8MVery Low
Social vulnerabilityVery High
Community resilienceRelatively Low
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively Low$6,074,483
Cold waveRelatively Moderate$1,790,673
TornadoRelatively Low$426,046
EarthquakeRelatively Low$341,104
Strong windRelatively Low$340,264
LandslideRelatively Moderate$304,778
Ice stormRelatively Moderate$149,900
LightningRelatively Low$115,773
HurricaneVery Low$70,060
HailVery Low$58,263
WildfireVery Low$53,070
Winter weatherRelatively Low$24,567
DroughtVery Low$15,080

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles9
Tracks within 50 miles2
Hurricane strength within 50 miles0
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Helene202482 mi52 mph
Zeta202020 mi52 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm194993 mi58 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm193238 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm191658 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm191598 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm190766 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm190260 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm190154 mi40 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Swain County, NC?

NCEI records 20 hail events in Swain County since 1950, in 11 different years; that is about 0.3 recorded events a year. 0 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Swain County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 4 tornadoes in Swain County since 1950, 1 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 0.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Swain County?

24 Jan 2026: Severe Winter Storm, a emergency declaration for winter storm. The county appears in 17 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Swain County, and how much was paid?

56 NFIP claims since 1978, 38 of them paid, for $1.2M in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Swain County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Low" for overall risk, "Very Low" for expected annual loss, "Very High" for social vulnerability and "Relatively Low" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Swain County compare with the rest of North Carolina?

92.7 recorded events per 100 square miles against 112.5 statewide, and 4.0 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 10.4. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.