County Hazards

States › North Dakota › Cavalier County

Cavalier County, North Dakota

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 38019 · 3,662 residents (2021) · 1,489 sq mi · dominant hazard Hail

Hail · 231Tornado · 43Flood · 24Wind · 165Winter · 152
2026-06-02: Hail2026-06-02: Hail2025-09-01: Hail2025-06-22: Hail2022-07-19: Hail2021-08-09: Hail2021-08-09: Hail2020-08-09: Hail2020-07-25: Hail2020-07-25: Hail2020-07-13: Hail2020-07-13: Hail2020-07-13: Hail2019-09-20: Hail2019-09-20: Hail2019-09-20: Hail2019-09-20: Hail2019-09-20: Hail2019-09-20: Hail2019-09-20: Hail2019-09-05: Hail2019-07-31: Hail2019-07-31: Hail2019-07-31: Hail2019-07-31: Hail2019-07-31: Hail2019-07-14: Hail2018-06-14: Hail2018-06-14: Hail2018-06-14: Hail2018-06-14: Hail2018-06-14: Hail2018-06-14: Hail2018-05-24: Hail2018-05-24: Hail2017-07-21: Hail2017-07-11: Hail2017-07-11: Hail2017-06-09: Hail2016-09-04: Hail2016-07-09: Hail2015-08-22: Hail2014-07-21: Hail2014-07-21: Hail2014-07-06: Hail2014-07-05: Hail2014-07-05: Hail2014-07-05: Hail2014-07-05: Hail2012-07-04: Hail2012-06-07: Hail2012-05-01: Hail2011-07-04: Hail2011-07-04: Hail2010-07-31: Hail2010-07-03: Hail2010-06-08: Hail2010-06-08: Hail2009-07-20: Hail2009-07-20: Hail2009-06-18: Hail2008-07-16: Hail2008-07-07: Hail2008-06-23: Hail2008-06-23: Hail2008-06-23: Hail2008-06-21: Hail2007-08-26: Hail2007-08-26: Hail2007-08-26: Hail2007-08-13: Hail2007-07-25: Hail2007-07-25: Hail2007-07-25: Hail2007-07-04: Hail2007-06-26: Hail2007-06-25: Hail2007-06-25: Hail2007-06-25: Hail2007-06-25: Hail2007-06-25: Hail2007-05-21: Hail2006-08-20: Hail2006-08-20: Hail2006-08-20: Hail2006-08-12: Hail2006-08-04: Hail2006-08-04: Hail2006-08-04: Hail2006-08-04: Hail2006-08-04: Hail2006-08-04: Hail2006-08-04: Hail2006-08-04: Hail2006-07-30: Hail2006-07-30: Hail2006-06-30: Hail2006-06-30: Hail2006-05-27: Hail2006-05-27: Hail2005-09-04: Hail2005-09-04: Hail2005-09-04: Hail2005-07-10: Hail2005-07-02: Hail2005-06-23: Hail2005-06-23: Hail2005-04-18: Hail2005-04-18: Hail2004-09-03: Hail2004-08-29: Hail2004-07-31: Hail2004-07-31: Hail2004-07-03: Hail2004-05-19: Hail2004-05-19: Hail2004-04-20: Hail2003-07-19: Hail2003-07-19: Hail2003-07-19: Hail1959-06-06: Tornado1961-07-22: Tornado1966-06-24: Tornado1970-08-21: Tornado1970-06-10: Tornado1971-06-21: Tornado1972-08-20: Tornado1973-06-15: Tornado1977-05-18: Tornado1977-05-19: Tornado1978-07-24: Tornado1985-06-24: Tornado1985-06-24: Tornado1985-06-24: Tornado1988-05-28: Tornado1988-07-05: Tornado1988-07-05: Tornado1991-06-13: Tornado1995-06-20: Tornado2000-08-13: Tornado2003-07-19: Tornado2003-07-14: Tornado2003-06-06: Tornado2004-07-03: Tornado2005-06-23: Tornado2005-06-23: Tornado2005-07-10: Tornado2007-08-26: Tornado2008-07-07: Tornado2010-08-01: Tornado2010-07-26: Tornado2015-06-27: Tornado2015-06-27: Tornado2015-06-27: Tornado2017-06-09: Tornado2017-06-09: Tornado2017-06-09: Tornado2017-07-11: Tornado2018-06-14: Tornado2019-07-08: Tornado2020-08-09: Tornado2022-06-24: Tornado2025-07-07: Tornado2009-03-22: Flood2009-04-10: Flood2009-06-18: Flood2011-04-10: Flood2013-05-01: Flood2013-05-20: Flood2013-04-28: Flood2017-03-30: Flood2017-04-01: Flood2024-09-16: Flood1956-08-16: Wind1966-06-24: Wind1970-09-05: Wind1970-07-13: Wind1973-07-04: Wind1976-06-11: Wind1978-07-24: Wind1978-05-25: Wind1978-07-04: Wind1978-07-05: Wind1978-07-24: Wind1979-08-01: Wind1980-06-13: Wind1980-06-13: Wind1980-05-28: Wind1980-05-28: Wind1980-05-28: Wind1980-05-28: Wind1984-07-12: Wind1986-06-19: Wind1986-06-19: Wind1986-06-19: Wind1986-06-19: Wind1986-06-02: Wind1988-07-07: Wind1991-07-18: Wind1996-06-28: Wind1996-06-28: Wind1997-08-02: Wind1997-08-02: Wind1997-10-08: Wind1998-05-27: Wind1999-06-22: Wind1999-07-12: Wind1999-06-06: Wind2000-08-12: Wind2000-08-12: Wind2000-08-28: Wind2001-08-14: Wind2001-08-14: Wind2001-07-22: Wind2002-08-08: Wind2002-08-09: Wind2002-08-31: Wind2003-07-02: Wind2003-07-19: Wind2003-07-02: Wind2003-07-02: Wind2003-07-02: Wind2003-07-02: Wind2004-06-07: Wind2004-06-07: Wind2004-07-03: Wind2005-06-19: Wind2005-06-19: Wind2005-06-19: Wind2005-06-19: Wind2005-06-19: Wind2005-06-19: Wind2005-06-19: Wind2005-06-19: Wind2005-06-19: Wind2005-07-16: Wind2005-07-07: Wind2005-07-16: Wind2005-07-02: Wind2006-08-04: Wind2006-08-04: Wind2006-08-04: Wind2006-08-04: Wind2006-08-12: Wind2006-08-04: Wind2007-06-23: Wind2007-07-25: Wind2010-08-01: Wind2010-05-24: Wind2010-07-26: Wind2010-07-26: Wind2010-07-26: Wind2010-07-26: Wind2011-07-20: Wind2012-06-07: Wind2012-07-04: Wind2012-07-04: Wind2012-07-04: Wind2013-08-18: Wind2016-08-03: Wind2016-08-03: Wind2016-08-03: Wind2016-08-03: Wind2016-07-19: Wind2016-07-19: Wind2016-07-11: Wind2016-07-11: Wind2017-06-09: Wind2017-06-09: Wind2017-06-09: Wind2017-06-09: Wind2017-06-09: Wind
Cavalier County within North Dakota. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

Between 1950 and 2026, NCEI recorded 740 storm events in Cavalier County, North Dakota, led by hail.

That is 49.7 events per 100 square miles, in line with the North Dakota figure of 48.3, and 2,020.8 per 10,000 residents against 430.4 statewide.

17 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 2 deaths and 3 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $20M and crop damage at $16M.

FEMA has designated the county in 26 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Winter Storm And Flooding (major disaster, 13 Jul 2022).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 13 claims since 1978, of which 11 were paid, totalling $256K (about $23K per paid claim).

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Very Low" and its expected annual loss as "Very Low" ($4.5M a year across 18 hazards).

17events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
740events since 19502 deaths, 3 injuries recorded
26disaster declarationslast 13 Jul 2022
13NFIP flood claims$256K paid

Compared with North Dakota and the United States

MeasureCavalier CountyNorth DakotaUS
Recorded events since 195074033,3501,977,440
Events per 100 square miles49.748.356.0
Events per 10,000 residents2,020.8430.459.6
Events in the last 12 months171,01962,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI210026,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$20M$5.6B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents3.517.28.1
Average paid NFIP claim$23K$24K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years—4.516.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Hail: 3Tornado: 1Wind: 1
Hail: 1Tornado: 2Wind: 1
Hail: 13Tornado: 8Wind: 10
Hail: 12Tornado: 6Wind: 13
Hail: 34Tornado: 2Flood: 4Wind: 16Winter: 30Cold: 4
Hail: 110Tornado: 10Flood: 13Wind: 46Winter: 42Heat: 1Cold: 24Drought: 4Lightning: 2Other: 7
Hail: 45Tornado: 11Flood: 6Wind: 43Winter: 48Cold: 36Drought: 1Wildfire: 1Other: 4
Hail: 13Tornado: 3Flood: 1Wind: 35Winter: 32Cold: 33Drought: 8
51950s41960s311970s311980s901990s2592000s1952010s1252020s
Recorded events in Cavalier County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterHeatColdDroughtWildfireLightningOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 409 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 258 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Hail231
Wind165
Winter152
Cold97
Tornado43
Flood24
Drought13
Other11
Lightning2
Heat1
Wildfire1
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Hail231—2.3%detail
■ Wind165—1.7%detail
■ Winter152—2.3%detail
■ Cold97—3.7%
■ Tornado4312.4%detail
■ Flood2412.0%detail
■ Drought13—1.9%
■ Other11—1.6%
■ Lightning2—1.8%
■ Heat1—1.1%
■ Wildfire1—2.8%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
24 Jun 1966TornadoTornadoF1$25K—11County
28 Apr 2013FloodFlood—$5K—1—County
10 Sep 1994Thunderstorm WindWind74 mph$10K——2County
5 Apr 1997BlizzardWinter—$6.0M———Forecast zone
4 Apr 1997Ice StormWinter—$6.0M———Forecast zone
12 Jul 1999HailHail1.25 in—$4.5M——County
19 Jul 2003HailHail4.50 in—$4.0M——County
9 Jun 2017TornadoTornadoEF2$1.5M$2.0M——County
9 Jun 2017Thunderstorm WindWind92 mph$500K$3.0M——County
19 Jun 2005Thunderstorm WindWind90 mph$2.0M———County
23 Jun 2008HailHail1.50 in$100K$800K——County
1 Apr 2006FloodFlood—$632K———County
9 Jun 2017Thunderstorm WindWind92 mph$100K$500K——County
23 Jun 2008HailHail0.75 in—$500K——County
20 May 2013FloodFlood—$200K$250K——County
11 May 2004Ice StormWinter—$400K———Forecast zone
27 Mar 2004FloodFlood—$340K———Forecast zone
12 Jul 1997Flash FloodFlood—$10K$250K——County
24 Jul 1978TornadoTornadoF1$250K———County
24 Jun 1985TornadoTornadoF2$250K———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
13 Jul 2022DR-4660Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter Storm And FloodingPublic assistance
1 Apr 2020DR-4509Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3477EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
12 Jul 2017DR-4323Major disasterFloodFloodingPublic assistance
12 Jul 2013DR-4128Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
29 May 2013DR-4118Major disasterFloodFloodingPublic assistance
10 May 2011DR-1981Major disasterFloodFloodingPublic assistance
24 Mar 2009DR-1829Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
17 Jul 2007DR-1713Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
5 Jun 2006DR-1645Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Flooding, And Ground SaturationPublic assistance
13 Sep 2005EM-3247EmergencyCoastal StormHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
22 Jul 2005DR-1597Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Flooding, And Ground SaturationPublic assistance
5 May 2004DR-1515Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Flooding, And Ground SaturationPublic assistance
28 May 2001DR-1376Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Flooding, & Ground SaturationPublic assistance
29 Dec 2000DR-1353Major disasterTornadoSevere Winter Storms And TornadoesPublic assistance
27 Jun 2000DR-1334Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Flooding And Ground SaturationIndividual assistance
8 Jun 1999DR-1279Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Flooding, Snow, Ice, Ground Saturation, Lanslides, Mudslides, And TorIndividual assistance, Public assistance
7 Apr 1997DR-1174Major disasterFloodSevere Flooding,Severe Winter Storms, Snowmelt, Spring RainsIndividual assistance, Public assistance
12 Jan 1997DR-1157Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter Storms And Blizzard ConditionsPublic assistance
5 Jun 1996DR-1118Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms,Flooding, & Ice JamsPublic assistance
16 May 1995DR-1050Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Flooding, And Ground SaturationIndividual assistance, Public assistance
26 Jul 1993DR-1001Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
26 Apr 1979DR-581Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Snowmelt & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
14 May 1974DR-434Major disasterFloodHeavy Rains, Snowmelt & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
5 Jun 1970DR-287Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
18 Apr 1969DR-256Major disasterFloodFloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Cavalier County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 197813
Paid claims11
Total paid$256K
Average paid claim$23K
Repetitive-loss properties0
Residential policies in force00.0% of 2,358 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
200111$12,900$12,900
200011$59,500$59,500
199920$0—
199633$144,258$48,086
199522$35,750$17,875
198522$1,138$569
198211$1,187$1,187
198011$1,108$1,108

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskVery Lowscore 11.8 of 100
Expected annual loss$4.5MVery Low
Social vulnerabilityRelatively Moderate
Community resilienceRelatively Low
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Cold waveRelatively Moderate$2,037,116
Inland floodingVery Low$835,265
HailRelatively Low$552,262
Strong windRelatively Low$381,729
Ice stormRelatively Moderate$294,866
Winter weatherRelatively Moderate$163,537
TornadoVery Low$156,272
WildfireVery Low$47,309
DroughtRelatively Low$35,453
LightningVery Low$29,736
Heat waveVery Low$6,243
EarthquakeVery Low$1,641
LandslideVery Low$598

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

No HURDAT2 track at tropical-storm strength passes within 100 miles of the county's centre point (through the 2025 season).

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Cavalier County, ND?

NCEI records 231 hail events in Cavalier County since 1950, in 48 different years; that is about 3.0 recorded events a year. 65 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Cavalier County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 43 tornadoes in Cavalier County since 1950, 4 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 1.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Cavalier County?

13 Jul 2022: Severe Winter Storm And Flooding, a major disaster declaration for severe storm. The county appears in 26 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Cavalier County, and how much was paid?

13 NFIP claims since 1978, 11 of them paid, for $256K in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Cavalier County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Very Low" for overall risk, "Very Low" for expected annual loss, "Relatively Moderate" for social vulnerability and "Relatively Low" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Cavalier County compare with the rest of North Dakota?

49.7 recorded events per 100 square miles against 48.3 statewide, and 3.5 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 17.2. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.