County Hazards

States › North Dakota › McLean County

McLean County, North Dakota

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 38055 · 9,796 residents (2021) · 2,110 sq mi · dominant hazard Hail

Hail · 281Tornado · 48Flood · 12Wind · 279Winter · 108
2026-06-29: Hail2026-06-29: Hail2026-06-28: Hail2026-06-09: Hail2025-06-27: Hail2025-06-27: Hail2025-06-27: Hail2025-06-27: Hail2025-06-27: Hail2025-06-27: Hail2024-09-16: Hail2024-08-29: Hail2024-07-29: Hail2024-07-14: Hail2024-07-12: Hail2024-07-12: Hail2024-07-01: Hail2023-09-04: Hail2023-08-10: Hail2023-08-01: Hail2023-08-01: Hail2023-08-01: Hail2023-08-01: Hail2023-08-01: Hail2023-08-01: Hail2023-06-20: Hail2023-06-20: Hail2022-08-23: Hail2022-08-23: Hail2022-08-23: Hail2022-08-23: Hail2022-08-23: Hail2022-07-02: Hail2022-06-24: Hail2022-05-12: Hail2021-08-30: Hail2021-08-30: Hail2020-07-17: Hail2020-07-17: Hail2020-06-28: Hail2020-06-06: Hail2019-09-02: Hail2019-08-25: Hail2019-08-12: Hail2019-08-05: Hail2019-08-05: Hail2019-07-08: Hail2019-07-08: Hail2018-06-01: Hail2017-07-21: Hail2017-07-21: Hail2017-06-09: Hail2017-06-09: Hail2017-06-09: Hail2016-07-16: Hail2016-07-16: Hail2016-07-10: Hail2016-06-21: Hail2016-06-12: Hail2015-07-25: Hail2015-07-23: Hail2015-07-23: Hail2015-07-15: Hail2015-07-11: Hail2015-07-11: Hail2015-07-11: Hail2015-06-01: Hail2014-09-04: Hail2014-09-04: Hail2014-09-03: Hail2014-09-03: Hail2014-09-03: Hail2014-05-29: Hail2014-05-29: Hail2012-08-24: Hail2012-08-24: Hail2012-08-24: Hail2012-06-07: Hail2012-06-07: Hail2012-06-06: Hail2011-08-04: Hail2011-07-20: Hail2011-07-16: Hail2011-07-16: Hail2011-07-16: Hail2011-07-15: Hail2010-08-10: Hail2010-07-26: Hail2010-07-26: Hail2010-07-26: Hail2010-07-26: Hail2010-07-20: Hail2010-07-10: Hail2010-06-25: Hail2010-06-25: Hail2010-06-17: Hail2010-06-17: Hail2010-05-27: Hail2009-09-10: Hail2009-07-19: Hail2009-06-26: Hail2009-06-26: Hail2009-06-26: Hail2009-06-26: Hail2009-06-26: Hail2009-06-26: Hail2009-06-26: Hail2009-06-26: Hail2009-06-22: Hail2008-08-21: Hail2008-08-02: Hail2008-08-02: Hail2008-08-02: Hail2008-07-30: Hail2008-07-30: Hail2008-07-30: Hail2008-07-30: Hail2008-07-30: Hail2008-07-30: Hail2008-07-28: Hail1955-08-03: Tornado1955-08-03: Tornado1956-06-05: Tornado1959-09-08: Tornado1965-06-18: Tornado1965-06-18: Tornado1966-07-08: Tornado1974-05-08: Tornado1975-05-24: Tornado1977-06-22: Tornado1977-05-18: Tornado1978-06-15: Tornado1983-07-01: Tornado1986-07-17: Tornado1987-06-16: Tornado1989-06-28: Tornado1990-07-02: Tornado1995-08-27: Tornado1996-07-28: Tornado1996-07-17: Tornado1997-08-05: Tornado1999-06-03: Tornado1999-06-03: Tornado1999-08-15: Tornado2000-06-11: Tornado2000-11-01: Tornado2000-11-01: Tornado2003-06-21: Tornado2003-07-13: Tornado2004-06-06: Tornado2004-06-06: Tornado2006-08-24: Tornado2007-07-09: Tornado2007-06-12: Tornado2009-06-26: Tornado2009-06-26: Tornado2011-07-08: Tornado2011-06-20: Tornado2019-08-12: Tornado2020-07-20: Tornado2022-08-15: Tornado2022-08-15: Tornado2022-08-15: Tornado2025-06-20: Tornado2025-09-14: Tornado2025-09-14: Tornado2025-09-14: Tornado2026-06-28: Tornado2005-05-07: Flood2005-06-26: Flood2005-06-01: Flood2008-07-30: Flood2009-03-06: Flood2009-04-01: Flood2011-08-01: Flood2011-07-01: Flood2011-06-02: Flood2018-06-28: Flood2026-06-29: Wind2026-06-29: Wind2026-06-28: Wind2026-06-09: Wind2026-06-09: Wind2026-06-09: Wind2026-06-09: Wind2026-06-09: Wind2026-06-07: Wind2026-06-07: Wind2026-06-07: Wind2026-06-07: Wind2026-06-07: Wind2026-06-07: Wind2026-06-07: Wind2026-06-07: Wind2026-06-07: Wind2025-07-27: Wind2025-07-27: Wind2025-07-27: Wind2025-07-27: Wind2025-07-27: Wind2025-07-27: Wind2025-07-27: Wind2024-08-06: Wind2024-08-06: Wind2024-08-06: Wind2024-08-06: Wind2024-08-06: Wind2024-07-14: Wind2024-06-17: Wind2024-06-17: Wind2023-09-04: Wind2023-08-24: Wind2023-08-01: Wind2023-08-01: Wind2023-06-22: Wind2023-06-08: Wind2022-08-23: Wind2022-07-02: Wind2022-06-13: Wind2022-06-13: Wind2022-06-13: Wind2022-06-13: Wind2022-06-13: Wind2021-06-11: Wind2021-06-05: Wind2020-07-07: Wind2020-07-07: Wind2020-07-07: Wind2020-07-07: Wind2020-07-07: Wind2020-07-07: Wind2020-06-30: Wind2019-09-02: Wind2019-08-05: Wind2019-08-05: Wind2018-07-10: Wind2018-07-03: Wind2018-06-29: Wind2018-06-29: Wind2018-06-28: Wind2018-06-28: Wind2018-06-28: Wind2018-06-28: Wind2018-06-28: Wind2018-06-28: Wind2018-06-01: Wind2018-05-27: Wind2017-07-16: Wind2017-07-14: Wind2017-06-10: Wind2016-07-16: Wind2016-06-11: Wind2016-06-11: Wind2016-06-11: Wind2016-06-09: Wind2016-04-06: Wind2016-04-06: Wind2016-04-06: Wind2015-09-06: Wind2015-07-23: Wind2015-07-23: Wind2015-07-23: Wind2015-07-23: Wind2015-06-01: Wind2014-09-03: Wind2013-08-29: Wind
McLean County within North Dakota. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

The NCEI record lists 794 events for McLean County, North Dakota, between 1950 and 2026; hail account for the largest share.

That is 37.6 events per 100 square miles, below the North Dakota figure of 48.3, and 810.5 per 10,000 residents against 430.4 statewide.

39 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 4 deaths and 23 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $23M and crop damage at $2.4M.

FEMA has designated the county in 25 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, And Tornadoes (major disaster, 1 Sep 2026).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 10 claims since 1978, of which 9 were paid, totalling $77K (about $9K per paid claim). FEMA counts 2 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Low" and its expected annual loss as "Relatively Low" ($16M a year across 18 hazards).

39events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
794events since 19504 deaths, 23 injuries recorded
25disaster declarationslast 1 Sep 2026
10NFIP flood claims$77K paid

Compared with North Dakota and the United States

MeasureMcLean CountyNorth DakotaUS
Recorded events since 195079433,3501,977,440
Events per 100 square miles37.648.356.0
Events per 10,000 residents810.5430.459.6
Events in the last 12 months391,01962,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI410026,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$23M$5.6B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents1.017.28.1
Average paid NFIP claim$9K$24K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years0.04.516.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Hail: 1Tornado: 4Wind: 5
Hail: 6Tornado: 3Wind: 3
Hail: 13Tornado: 5Wind: 12
Hail: 25Tornado: 4Wind: 22
Hail: 25Tornado: 8Flood: 2Wind: 16Winter: 20Cold: 2Lightning: 1Other: 2
Hail: 113Tornado: 12Flood: 6Wind: 73Winter: 35Cold: 11Lightning: 2Other: 5
Hail: 57Tornado: 3Flood: 4Wind: 71Winter: 36Heat: 1Cold: 15Lightning: 3Other: 2
Hail: 41Tornado: 9Wind: 77Winter: 17Cold: 4Drought: 11Fog: 1Other: 6
101950s121960s301970s511980s761990s2572000s1922010s1662020s
Recorded events in McLean County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterHeatColdDroughtLightningFogOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 470 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 203 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Hail281
Wind279
Winter108
Tornado48
Cold32
Other15
Flood12
Drought11
Lightning6
Heat1
Fog1
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Hail281—2.8%detail
■ Wind27912.9%detail
■ Winter10821.7%detail
■ Tornado48—2.7%detail
■ Cold3211.2%
■ Other15—2.1%
■ Flood12—1.0%detail
■ Drought11—1.6%
■ Lightning6—5.5%
■ Heat1—1.1%
■ Fog1—6.7%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
28 Feb 2007Winter StormWinter———2—Forecast zone
29 Jun 2018Thunderstorm WindWind81 mph$250K—14County
21 Dec 2008Cold/Wind ChillCold———1—Forecast zone
24 May 1975TornadoTornadoF2$25K——5County
9 Jul 2007TornadoTornadoEF1$80K$150K—4County
12 Jul 2006Thunderstorm WindWind125 mph$3.0M——2County
4 Jan 1997BlizzardWinter—$250K——2Forecast zone
25 Feb 1998BlizzardWinter————2Forecast zone
9 Jan 1997BlizzardWinter—$1.5M——1Forecast zone
4 Apr 1997BlizzardWinter—$1.5M——1Forecast zone
26 Jul 2010HailHail1.75 in$45K——1County
2 Aug 2010LightningLightning—$4K——1County
2 Jun 2011FloodFlood—$5.0M———County
23 Apr 2022BlizzardWinter—$3.0M———Forecast zone
23 Jul 2015Thunderstorm WindWind96 mph$500K$200K——County
24 Aug 2006Thunderstorm WindWind90 mph$675K———County
23 Aug 2022HailHail1.00 in—$500K——County
1 Aug 2023Thunderstorm WindWind81 mph$500K———County
1 Aug 2023Thunderstorm WindWind81 mph—$500K——County
14 Jul 2024Thunderstorm WindWind60 mph$150K$250K——County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
1 Sep 2026DR-4934Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, And TornadoesPublic assistance
11 Sep 2025DR-4888Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storm, Tornadoes, And Straight-Line WindsPublic assistance
13 Jul 2022DR-4660Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter Storm And FloodingPublic assistance
1 Apr 2020DR-4509Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3477EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
12 Jul 2013DR-4128Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
10 May 2011DR-1981Major disasterFloodFloodingPublic assistance
7 Apr 2011EM-3318EmergencyFloodFloodingPublic assistance
21 Apr 2010DR-1901Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
24 Mar 2009DR-1829Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
21 Nov 2005DR-1616Major disasterSnowstormSevere Winter Storm And Record And/Or Near Record SnowPublic assistance
13 Sep 2005EM-3247EmergencyCoastal StormHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
2 Apr 2004EM-3196EmergencySnowstormSnowPublic assistance
28 May 2001DR-1376Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Flooding, & Ground SaturationPublic assistance
27 Jun 2000DR-1334Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Flooding And Ground SaturationIndividual assistance, Public assistance
8 Jun 1999DR-1279Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Flooding, Snow, Ice, Ground Saturation, Lanslides, Mudslides, And TorIndividual assistance, Public assistance
7 Apr 1997DR-1174Major disasterFloodSevere Flooding,Severe Winter Storms, Snowmelt, Spring RainsIndividual assistance, Public assistance
12 Jan 1997DR-1157Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter Storms And Blizzard ConditionsPublic assistance
5 Jun 1996DR-1118Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms,Flooding, & Ice JamsPublic assistance
16 May 1995DR-1050Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Flooding, And Ground SaturationIndividual assistance, Public assistance
26 Jul 1993DR-1001Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
26 Apr 1979DR-581Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Snowmelt & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
21 Jul 1976EM-3016EmergencyDroughtDroughtPublic assistance
18 Apr 1969DR-256Major disasterFloodFloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
9 Jul 1966DR-220Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in McLean County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 197810
Paid claims9
Total paid$77K
Average paid claim$9K
Repetitive-loss properties10 severe
Residential policies in force20.0% of 6,491 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
201110$0—
200922$10,478$5,239
200811$6,601$6,601
200511$1,182$1,182
199911$50,000$50,000
199711$4,658$4,658
197922$3,112$1,556
197811$630$630

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Lowscore 43.1 of 100
Expected annual loss$16MRelatively Low
Social vulnerabilityVery Low
Community resilienceRelatively High
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Cold waveRelatively Moderate$5,916,889
Inland floodingVery Low$4,635,754
HailRelatively Moderate$1,612,820
TornadoRelatively Low$1,304,208
Strong windRelatively Moderate$1,176,040
Winter weatherRelatively High$746,057
Ice stormRelatively Moderate$539,587
WildfireRelatively Low$376,200
Heat waveVery Low$48,417
LightningVery Low$47,519
DroughtRelatively Low$38,542
EarthquakeVery Low$19,532
LandslideVery Low$374

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

No HURDAT2 track at tropical-storm strength passes within 100 miles of the county's centre point (through the 2025 season).

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in McLean County, ND?

NCEI records 281 hail events in McLean County since 1950, in 51 different years; that is about 3.6 recorded events a year. 72 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has McLean County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 48 tornadoes in McLean County since 1950, 5 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 0.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for McLean County?

1 Sep 2026: Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, And Tornadoes, a major disaster declaration for severe storm. The county appears in 25 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in McLean County, and how much was paid?

10 NFIP claims since 1978, 9 of them paid, for $77K in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is McLean County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Low" for overall risk, "Relatively Low" for expected annual loss, "Very Low" for social vulnerability and "Relatively High" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does McLean County compare with the rest of North Dakota?

37.6 recorded events per 100 square miles against 48.3 statewide, and 1.0 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 17.2. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.