County Hazards

States › North Dakota › Nelson County

Nelson County, North Dakota

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 38063 · 3,054 residents (2021) · 982 sq mi · dominant hazard Hail

Hail · 187Tornado · 41Flood · 59Wind · 171Winter · 155
1971-06-21: Hail1973-08-12: Hail1974-05-19: Hail1974-07-05: Hail1976-08-09: Hail1978-07-16: Hail1979-08-31: Hail1982-06-06: Hail1984-07-13: Hail1985-06-14: Hail1986-06-26: Hail1987-08-05: Hail1987-08-05: Hail1987-08-05: Hail1988-08-16: Hail1988-07-05: Hail1991-06-13: Hail1991-06-13: Hail1991-08-25: Hail1992-07-09: Hail1992-07-09: Hail1992-07-09: Hail1992-07-14: Hail1992-07-09: Hail1996-09-05: Hail1996-08-21: Hail1996-08-21: Hail1997-06-27: Hail1997-06-27: Hail1997-06-27: Hail1997-06-27: Hail1997-06-27: Hail1997-06-27: Hail1997-06-27: Hail1997-06-27: Hail1997-06-27: Hail1997-06-27: Hail1997-09-07: Hail1998-08-12: Hail1998-07-18: Hail1999-06-08: Hail1999-06-03: Hail1999-06-03: Hail1999-07-12: Hail1999-07-12: Hail2000-06-12: Hail2000-06-30: Hail2000-06-30: Hail2000-06-12: Hail2000-06-12: Hail2000-06-12: Hail2000-06-12: Hail2000-06-12: Hail2000-06-12: Hail2000-06-12: Hail2000-06-12: Hail2000-06-28: Hail2000-06-12: Hail2000-06-12: Hail2000-06-12: Hail2000-06-28: Hail2000-05-05: Hail2000-05-05: Hail2000-07-07: Hail2000-07-07: Hail2000-07-07: Hail2000-07-07: Hail2000-07-07: Hail2001-06-20: Hail2001-06-20: Hail2001-06-19: Hail2001-06-20: Hail2001-07-18: Hail2001-07-30: Hail2001-08-14: Hail2001-07-18: Hail2002-06-22: Hail2002-06-22: Hail2002-06-22: Hail2002-06-22: Hail2002-06-22: Hail2002-06-22: Hail2002-06-08: Hail2002-08-11: Hail2002-08-11: Hail2002-08-15: Hail2003-07-02: Hail2003-07-19: Hail2003-07-19: Hail2003-07-14: Hail2003-06-21: Hail2003-06-21: Hail2003-06-21: Hail2003-07-19: Hail2003-07-19: Hail2003-07-14: Hail2003-07-14: Hail2004-03-27: Hail2004-05-11: Hail2004-06-06: Hail2004-06-11: Hail2004-06-23: Hail2004-06-11: Hail2004-07-03: Hail2004-09-20: Hail2004-09-20: Hail2004-09-04: Hail2005-04-18: Hail2005-04-18: Hail2005-04-18: Hail2005-05-07: Hail2005-05-08: Hail2005-05-08: Hail2005-05-08: Hail2005-05-17: Hail1976-06-11: Tornado1977-06-27: Tornado1978-07-05: Tornado1981-07-15: Tornado1986-07-10: Tornado1987-08-05: Tornado1987-08-05: Tornado1987-07-21: Tornado1989-06-06: Tornado1991-07-11: Tornado1996-07-29: Tornado1997-07-13: Tornado1999-07-13: Tornado1999-06-06: Tornado2001-07-18: Tornado2001-07-18: Tornado2001-07-18: Tornado2001-07-18: Tornado2001-07-18: Tornado2001-07-18: Tornado2001-07-18: Tornado2007-06-17: Tornado2007-08-13: Tornado2007-08-10: Tornado2007-08-26: Tornado2009-06-26: Tornado2010-06-17: Tornado2014-07-21: Tornado2015-07-23: Tornado2015-06-27: Tornado2016-07-07: Tornado2017-09-01: Tornado2017-09-01: Tornado2018-06-08: Tornado2018-06-08: Tornado2019-07-28: Tornado2020-06-07: Tornado2022-06-24: Tornado2022-06-24: Tornado2022-06-24: Tornado2006-11-01: Flood2006-10-01: Flood2006-12-01: Flood2007-04-01: Flood2007-05-01: Flood2007-03-24: Flood2007-08-01: Flood2007-07-01: Flood2007-06-01: Flood2009-06-27: Flood2009-03-22: Flood2009-04-10: Flood2009-05-01: Flood2009-08-01: Flood2009-06-01: Flood2009-07-01: Flood2010-07-01: Flood2010-06-01: Flood2010-05-24: Flood2010-05-01: Flood2010-05-23: Flood2010-06-21: Flood2010-08-01: Flood2011-07-01: Flood2011-08-01: Flood2011-07-23: Flood2011-04-10: Flood2011-05-01: Flood2011-07-16: Flood2011-06-01: Flood2019-09-21: Flood2019-09-20: Flood1971-07-06: Wind1974-05-19: Wind1974-06-20: Wind1976-06-11: Wind1978-07-24: Wind1979-08-31: Wind1981-07-30: Wind1983-08-18: Wind1983-08-18: Wind1983-08-24: Wind1986-06-26: Wind1986-06-26: Wind1988-08-10: Wind1988-07-07: Wind1989-08-02: Wind1989-08-02: Wind1989-08-02: Wind1990-07-07: Wind1992-07-14: Wind1997-08-02: Wind2000-06-12: Wind2000-06-12: Wind2000-06-12: Wind2000-09-05: Wind2000-08-12: Wind2000-08-12: Wind2000-08-28: Wind2000-08-12: Wind2000-08-28: Wind2001-06-20: Wind2001-07-21: Wind2001-07-20: Wind2002-08-08: Wind2002-08-30: Wind2002-07-31: Wind2003-07-14: Wind2003-07-14: Wind2003-06-21: Wind2003-07-13: Wind2003-07-13: Wind2003-07-13: Wind2003-07-02: Wind2003-07-02: Wind2004-06-07: Wind2004-08-23: Wind2005-06-26: Wind2005-07-24: Wind2005-07-21: Wind2005-07-24: Wind2005-07-08: Wind2005-07-08: Wind2007-08-10: Wind2007-08-10: Wind2007-08-10: Wind2007-08-10: Wind2008-06-14: Wind2011-08-01: Wind2011-06-03: Wind2012-06-07: Wind2012-08-03: Wind2013-08-29: Wind2013-08-29: Wind2013-06-25: Wind2014-07-21: Wind2014-07-21: Wind2014-07-21: Wind2015-07-05: Wind2015-07-05: Wind2015-07-23: Wind2015-07-23: Wind2015-07-23: Wind2015-07-04: Wind2015-07-12: Wind2016-06-10: Wind2016-06-17: Wind2016-06-17: Wind2016-06-10: Wind2016-06-17: Wind2016-06-17: Wind2016-06-17: Wind2016-06-17: Wind2016-06-17: Wind2016-08-03: Wind2016-07-04: Wind2016-07-04: Wind2016-07-04: Wind2016-07-07: Wind2017-06-10: Wind2017-06-10: Wind
Nelson County within North Dakota. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

Between 1950 and 2026, NCEI recorded 725 storm events in Nelson County, North Dakota, led by hail.

That is 73.8 events per 100 square miles, above the North Dakota figure of 48.3, and 2,373.9 per 10,000 residents against 430.4 statewide.

8 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 0 deaths and 1 injury to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $34M and crop damage at $22M.

FEMA has designated the county in 33 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, And Tornadoes (major disaster, 22 Oct 2025).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 52 claims since 1978, of which 39 were paid, totalling $1.0M (about $26K per paid claim).

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Very Low" and its expected annual loss as "Very Low" ($3.0M a year across 18 hazards).

8events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
725events since 19500 deaths, 1 injury recorded
33disaster declarationslast 22 Oct 2025
52NFIP flood claims$1.0M paid

Compared with North Dakota and the United States

MeasureNelson CountyNorth DakotaUS
Recorded events since 195072533,3501,977,440
Events per 100 square miles73.848.356.0
Events per 10,000 residents2,373.9430.459.6
Events in the last 12 months81,01962,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI010026,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$34M$5.6B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents17.017.28.1
Average paid NFIP claim$26K$24K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years—4.516.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Hail: 7Tornado: 3Wind: 6
Hail: 9Tornado: 6Wind: 11
Hail: 33Tornado: 5Flood: 4Wind: 7Winter: 31Cold: 4
Hail: 104Tornado: 13Flood: 39Wind: 53Winter: 40Heat: 1Cold: 22Drought: 2Other: 3
Hail: 24Tornado: 10Flood: 16Wind: 61Winter: 54Heat: 1Cold: 34Drought: 4Other: 8
Hail: 10Tornado: 4Wind: 33Winter: 30Cold: 30Drought: 1Other: 2
01950s01960s161970s261980s841990s2772000s2122010s1102020s
Recorded events in Nelson County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterHeatColdDroughtOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 416 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 279 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Hail187
Wind171
Winter155
Cold90
Flood59
Tornado41
Other13
Drought7
Heat2
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Hail187—1.9%detail
■ Wind171—1.8%detail
■ Winter155—2.4%detail
■ Cold90—3.5%
■ Flood59—4.8%detail
■ Tornado41—2.3%detail
■ Other13—1.8%
■ Drought7—1.0%
■ Heat2—2.2%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
12 Jun 2000Flash FloodFlood—$2.0M$12M——County
20 Dec 1996BlizzardWinter————1Forecast zone
27 Jun 1997HailHail2.75 in$10M———County
5 Apr 1997BlizzardWinter—$6.0M———Forecast zone
4 Apr 1997Ice StormWinter—$6.0M———Forecast zone
21 Sep 2019Flash FloodFlood—$125K$5.0M——County
20 Sep 2019Flash FloodFlood—$125K$5.0M——County
1 Aug 2001FloodFlood—$5.0M———Forecast zone
1 Jun 2009FloodFlood—$2.0M———County
1 Jul 2009FloodFlood—$2.0M———County
21 Jul 1987TornadoTornadoF0$250K———County
18 Jul 2001TornadoTornadoF3$200K———County
27 Jun 2009Flash FloodFlood—$20K$100K——County
1 Nov 1999High WindWind76 mph$100K———Forecast zone
6 Jun 1999TornadoTornadoF1$100K———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
22 Oct 2025DR-4895Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, And TornadoesPublic assistance
5 Jul 2023DR-4717Major disasterFloodFloodingPublic assistance
5 Feb 2023DR-4686Major disasterSnowstormSevere Winter Storm, Snowstorm, And Straight-Line WindsPublic assistance
13 Jul 2022DR-4660Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter Storm And FloodingPublic assistance
2 Oct 2020DR-4565Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
9 Jul 2020DR-4553Major disasterFloodFloodingPublic assistance
1 Apr 2020DR-4509Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3477EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
21 Jan 2020DR-4475Major disasterFloodFloodingPublic assistance
12 Jul 2013DR-4128Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
10 May 2011DR-1981Major disasterFloodFloodingPublic assistance
7 Apr 2011EM-3318EmergencyFloodFloodingPublic assistance
30 Apr 2010DR-1907Major disasterFloodFloodingPublic assistance
14 Mar 2010EM-3309EmergencyFloodFloodingPublic assistance
24 Mar 2009DR-1829Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Sep 2005EM-3247EmergencyCoastal StormHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
22 Jul 2005DR-1597Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Flooding, And Ground SaturationPublic assistance
5 May 2004DR-1515Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Flooding, And Ground SaturationPublic assistance
28 May 2001DR-1376Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Flooding, & Ground SaturationPublic assistance
27 Jun 2000DR-1334Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Flooding And Ground SaturationIndividual assistance, Public assistance
8 Jun 1999DR-1279Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Flooding, Snow, Ice, Ground Saturation, Lanslides, Mudslides, And TorIndividual assistance, Public assistance
15 Jun 1998DR-1220Major disasterFloodFlooding, Ground Saturation,Severe StormsIndividual assistance, Public assistance
7 Apr 1997DR-1174Major disasterFloodSevere Flooding,Severe Winter Storms, Snowmelt, Spring RainsIndividual assistance, Public assistance
12 Jan 1997DR-1157Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter Storms And Blizzard ConditionsPublic assistance
5 Jun 1996DR-1118Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms,Flooding, & Ice JamsPublic assistance
16 May 1995DR-1050Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Flooding, And Ground SaturationIndividual assistance, Public assistance
1 Jul 1994DR-1032Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, FloodingPublic assistance
26 Jul 1993DR-1001Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
26 Apr 1979DR-581Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Snowmelt & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
14 May 1974DR-434Major disasterFloodHeavy Rains, Snowmelt & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
18 Apr 1969DR-256Major disasterFloodFloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
23 Mar 1966DR-216Major disasterFloodFloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
10 May 1965DR-195Major disasterFloodFloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Nelson County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 197852
Paid claims39
Total paid$1.0M
Average paid claim$26K
Repetitive-loss properties11 severe
Residential policies in force00.0% of 1,693 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
201311$9,240$9,240
201210$0—
201133$93,000$31,000
201011$41,400$41,400
200722$25,654$12,827
20061515$482,034$32,136
2005119$209,930$23,326
200410$0—
200111$54,500$54,500
200010$0—
199942$3,050$1,525
199862$37,500$18,750
199743$61,172$20,391
199610$0—

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskVery Lowscore 7.9 of 100
Expected annual loss$3.0MVery Low
Social vulnerabilityVery High
Community resilienceRelatively Moderate
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Cold waveRelatively Low$908,182
HailRelatively Moderate$675,588
Inland floodingVery Low$459,711
Ice stormRelatively Moderate$282,518
Strong windRelatively Low$202,613
TornadoVery Low$192,521
Winter weatherRelatively Moderate$115,873
WildfireRelatively Low$106,475
DroughtVery Low$12,332
LightningVery Low$11,824
Heat waveVery Low$8,712
EarthquakeVery Low$1,156
LandslideVery Low$256

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

No HURDAT2 track at tropical-storm strength passes within 100 miles of the county's centre point (through the 2025 season).

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Nelson County, ND?

NCEI records 187 hail events in Nelson County since 1950, in 44 different years; that is about 2.4 recorded events a year. 39 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Nelson County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 41 tornadoes in Nelson County since 1950, 2 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 0.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Nelson County?

22 Oct 2025: Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, And Tornadoes, a major disaster declaration for severe storm. The county appears in 33 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Nelson County, and how much was paid?

52 NFIP claims since 1978, 39 of them paid, for $1.0M in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Nelson County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Very Low" for overall risk, "Very Low" for expected annual loss, "Very High" for social vulnerability and "Relatively Moderate" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Nelson County compare with the rest of North Dakota?

73.8 recorded events per 100 square miles against 48.3 statewide, and 17.0 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 17.2. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.