County Hazards

States › New Jersey › Middlesex County

Middlesex County, New Jersey

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 34023 · 860,807 residents (2021) · 309 sq mi · dominant hazard Wind

Hail · 62Tornado · 8Flood · 202Wind · 418Winter · 208
1967-08-05: Hail1985-06-24: Hail1987-07-08: Hail1987-07-30: Hail1987-09-22: Hail1990-07-05: Hail1991-07-07: Hail1996-06-12: Hail1996-07-03: Hail1996-07-14: Hail1997-08-05: Hail1998-06-20: Hail1998-09-07: Hail2000-05-24: Hail2003-07-22: Hail2003-07-22: Hail2003-03-21: Hail2003-03-21: Hail2003-05-28: Hail2004-05-12: Hail2004-05-24: Hail2004-05-24: Hail2008-06-29: Hail2008-07-27: Hail2009-07-29: Hail2010-08-16: Hail2010-07-21: Hail2011-07-08: Hail2011-08-19: Hail2011-06-01: Hail2012-06-25: Hail2012-07-18: Hail2014-07-02: Hail2015-05-31: Hail2017-05-14: Hail2019-06-18: Hail2019-06-29: Hail2020-04-21: Hail2020-04-09: Hail2020-04-09: Hail2020-07-06: Hail2020-07-06: Hail2020-07-06: Hail2020-07-22: Hail2020-07-06: Hail2020-07-06: Hail2021-11-13: Hail2021-07-06: Hail2021-07-06: Hail2021-07-17: Hail2021-06-14: Hail2023-06-26: Hail2023-04-15: Hail2023-04-15: Hail2023-09-09: Hail2023-09-09: Hail2023-09-09: Hail2023-09-09: Hail2023-09-09: Hail2023-09-09: Hail2023-09-09: Hail2023-09-09: Hail1977-09-26: Tornado1985-10-05: Tornado1987-07-14: Tornado1989-11-16: Tornado1989-08-29: Tornado1992-07-31: Tornado1996-09-08: Tornado2003-10-27: Tornado2025-07-31: Flood2025-07-31: Flood2025-07-31: Flood2025-07-14: Flood2025-07-14: Flood2025-07-14: Flood2025-05-14: Flood2025-05-14: Flood2024-08-06: Flood2024-08-06: Flood2023-12-28: Flood2023-12-18: Flood2023-12-18: Flood2023-09-11: Flood2023-07-16: Flood2023-07-16: Flood2023-07-16: Flood2023-07-15: Flood2023-07-15: Flood2023-07-15: Flood2023-07-15: Flood2023-04-15: Flood2022-01-01: Flood2021-10-26: Flood2021-10-26: Flood2021-10-26: Flood2021-10-26: Flood2021-10-26: Flood2021-10-26: Flood2021-10-26: Flood2021-10-26: Flood2021-10-26: Flood2021-09-23: Flood2021-09-01: Flood2021-08-27: Flood2021-08-22: Flood2021-08-22: Flood2021-08-22: Flood2021-08-22: Flood2021-08-22: Flood2021-08-22: Flood2021-08-22: Flood2021-08-22: Flood2021-08-22: Flood2021-08-22: Flood2021-08-22: Flood2021-08-22: Flood2021-08-22: Flood2021-08-22: Flood2021-07-29: Flood2020-07-31: Flood2020-07-31: Flood2020-07-24: Flood2020-07-24: Flood2020-07-10: Flood2019-08-07: Flood2019-08-07: Flood2019-08-07: Flood2019-08-07: Flood2019-08-07: Flood2019-08-07: Flood2019-08-07: Flood2019-08-07: Flood2019-07-22: Flood2019-07-22: Flood2019-07-18: Flood2019-07-18: Flood2019-07-17: Flood2018-09-18: Flood2018-09-13: Flood2018-08-11: Flood2018-08-11: Flood2018-07-27: Flood2018-07-27: Flood2018-05-27: Flood2018-05-27: Flood2018-04-17: Flood2018-02-11: Flood2017-10-30: Flood2017-10-29: Flood2017-08-22: Flood2017-08-02: Flood2017-08-02: Flood2017-08-02: Flood2017-08-02: Flood2017-08-02: Flood2017-06-24: Flood2017-06-24: Flood2017-03-31: Flood2016-07-30: Flood2016-07-30: Flood2016-07-30: Flood2015-05-31: Flood2015-05-31: Flood2026-05-20: Wind2026-05-20: Wind2026-05-20: Wind2026-03-16: Wind2026-03-16: Wind2026-03-16: Wind2026-03-16: Wind2025-09-06: Wind2025-09-06: Wind2025-09-06: Wind2025-07-03: Wind2025-07-03: Wind2025-07-03: Wind2025-07-03: Wind2025-07-03: Wind2025-07-03: Wind2025-07-03: Wind2025-07-03: Wind2025-07-03: Wind2025-07-03: Wind2025-07-03: Wind2025-06-30: Wind2025-06-30: Wind2025-06-30: Wind2025-06-30: Wind2025-06-30: Wind2025-06-19: Wind2025-06-19: Wind2025-06-19: Wind2025-06-19: Wind2024-08-28: Wind2024-07-17: Wind2024-07-16: Wind2024-07-16: Wind2024-07-16: Wind2024-07-16: Wind2024-07-16: Wind2024-07-14: Wind2024-06-22: Wind2024-06-22: Wind2024-06-14: Wind2023-08-13: Wind2023-07-29: Wind2023-07-15: Wind2023-06-17: Wind2023-04-01: Wind2022-06-01: Wind2022-01-17: Wind2021-09-13: Wind2021-09-13: Wind2021-09-13: Wind2021-09-13: Wind2021-09-13: Wind2021-09-13: Wind2021-07-12: Wind2021-07-12: Wind2021-07-12: Wind2021-06-30: Wind2021-06-04: Wind2021-05-26: Wind2021-05-26: Wind2021-05-26: Wind2021-03-28: Wind2021-03-28: Wind2021-03-28: Wind2021-03-28: Wind2020-11-15: Wind2020-11-15: Wind2020-08-27: Wind2020-08-03: Wind2020-08-03: Wind2020-07-31: Wind2020-07-31: Wind2020-07-31: Wind2020-07-30: Wind2020-07-30: Wind2020-07-30: Wind2020-07-24: Wind2020-07-24: Wind2020-07-23: Wind2020-07-23: Wind2020-07-23: Wind2020-07-23: Wind2020-07-23: Wind2020-07-22: Wind2020-07-22: Wind2020-07-22: Wind2020-07-22: Wind2020-07-22: Wind2020-07-22: Wind2020-07-22: Wind2020-07-06: Wind2020-07-06: Wind2020-07-03: Wind2020-07-03: Wind2020-06-27: Wind2020-06-27: Wind2020-06-27: Wind2020-06-27: Wind2020-04-09: Wind2020-04-09: Wind2020-04-09: Wind2020-02-07: Wind2019-10-31: Wind2019-08-07: Wind2019-08-07: Wind2019-08-07: Wind2019-08-07: Wind2019-08-07: Wind2019-08-07: Wind2019-07-30: Wind2019-07-22: Wind2019-07-22: Wind2019-07-22: Wind2019-07-22: Wind2019-07-22: Wind2019-07-22: Wind2019-07-22: Wind
Middlesex County within New Jersey. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 29 Sep 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

Middlesex County, New Jersey, has 1,244 weather events in the NCEI Storm Events record since 1950, most of them damaging wind.

That is 402.3 events per 100 square miles, in line with the New Jersey figure of 358.7, and 14.5 per 10,000 residents against 28.5 statewide.

47 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 24 deaths and 209 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $786M and crop damage at $25K.

FEMA has designated the county in 30 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Remnants Of Hurricane Ida (major disaster, 5 Sep 2021).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 5,251 claims since 1978, of which 4,384 were paid, totalling $165M (about $38K per paid claim). FEMA counts 2,496 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively High" and its expected annual loss as "Relatively High" ($282M a year across 18 hazards).

51 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 1 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

47events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
1,244events since 195024 deaths, 209 injuries recorded
30disaster declarationslast 5 Sep 2021
5,251NFIP flood claims$165M paid

Compared with New Jersey and the United States

MeasureMiddlesex CountyNew JerseyUS
Recorded events since 19501,24426,3821,977,440
Events per 100 square miles402.3358.756.0
Events per 10,000 residents14.528.559.6
Events in the last 12 months4777662,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI2427626,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$786M$28B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents6.121.88.1
Average paid NFIP claim$38K$38K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years40.610.616.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Wind: 2
Hail: 1Wind: 2
Tornado: 1Wind: 5
Hail: 4Tornado: 4Wind: 8
Hail: 8Tornado: 2Flood: 14Wind: 63Winter: 18Heat: 26Cold: 4Drought: 18Lightning: 4Fog: 5Other: 25
Hail: 12Tornado: 1Flood: 39Wind: 113Winter: 77Tropical: 8Heat: 33Cold: 15Drought: 18Wildfire: 11Lightning: 28Fog: 6Other: 23
Hail: 12Flood: 86Wind: 120Winter: 85Tropical: 2Heat: 19Cold: 10Drought: 6Wildfire: 7Lightning: 11Fog: 4Other: 25
Hail: 25Flood: 63Wind: 105Winter: 28Tropical: 2Heat: 17Cold: 1Lightning: 2Fog: 13Other: 3
21950s31960s61970s161980s1871990s3842000s3872010s2592020s
Recorded events in Middlesex County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterTropicalHeatColdDroughtWildfireLightningFogOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 781 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 431 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Wind418
Winter208
Flood202
Heat95
Other76
Hail62
Lightning45
Drought42
Cold30
Fog28
Wildfire18
Tropical12
Tornado8
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Wind41864.3%detail
■ Winter20864.1%detail
■ Flood20255.3%detail
■ Heat9555.6%
■ Other76—6.1%
■ Hail62—5.4%detail
■ Lightning45—7.1%
■ Drought42—4.7%
■ Cold3024.5%
■ Fog28—3.7%
■ Wildfire18—10.2%
■ Tropical12—3.0%
■ Tornado8—3.9%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
29 Oct 2012High WindWind70 mph$129M—6—Forecast zone
4 Jul 1999HeatHeat———4—Forecast zone
1 Sep 2021Flash FloodFlood—$50M—3—County
9 Feb 2015Winter WeatherWinter———161Forecast zone
16 Feb 2003Heavy SnowWinter—$1.0M—18Forecast zone
28 Aug 2011FloodFlood—$50M—1—County
5 Jan 2022Winter WeatherWinter———12Forecast zone
8 Feb 2013Winter StormWinter———11Forecast zone
16 Jul 1999HeatHeat———1—Forecast zone
14 Jan 2003Cold/Wind ChillCold———1—Forecast zone
15 Apr 2007FloodFlood———1—County
9 Feb 2010Winter StormWinter———1—Forecast zone
26 Nov 2014Winter WeatherWinter———1—Forecast zone
24 Feb 2015Cold/Wind ChillCold———1—Forecast zone
16 Sep 1999Flash FloodFlood—$28M——72County
29 Oct 2012Coastal FloodFlood—$500M———Forecast zone
18 Jan 2015Winter WeatherWinter————15Forecast zone
10 Jan 2014Winter WeatherWinter————10Forecast zone
5 Oct 1985TornadoTornadoF1———8County
6 Sep 2025Thunderstorm WindWind58 mph———4County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
5 Sep 2021DR-4614Major disasterHurricaneRemnants Of Hurricane IdaIndividual assistance, Public assistance
2 Sep 2021EM-3573EmergencyHurricaneRemnants Of Hurricane IdaPublic assistance
25 Mar 2020DR-4488Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3451EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
14 Mar 2016DR-4264Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter Storm And SnowstormPublic assistance
30 Oct 2012DR-4086Major disasterHurricaneHurricane SandyIndividual assistance, Public assistance
28 Oct 2012EM-3354EmergencyHurricaneHurricane SandyPublic assistance
30 Nov 2011DR-4048Major disasterSevere StormSevere StormPublic assistance
31 Aug 2011DR-4021Major disasterHurricaneHurricane IreneIndividual assistance, Public assistance
27 Aug 2011EM-3332EmergencyHurricaneHurricane IrenePublic assistance
4 Feb 2011DR-1954Major disasterSnowstormSevere Winter Storm And SnowstormPublic assistance
2 Apr 2010DR-1897Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
26 Apr 2007DR-1694Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And Inland And Coastal FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
19 Sep 2005EM-3257EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
20 Mar 2003EM-3181EmergencySnowstormSnowPublic assistance
19 Sep 2001EM-3169EmergencyFireFires And ExplosionsPublic assistance
1 Nov 2000EM-3156EmergencyOtherWest Nile VirusPublic assistance
18 Sep 1999DR-1295Major disasterHurricaneHurricane Floyd Major Disaster DeclarationsIndividual assistance, Public assistance
17 Sep 1999EM-3148EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Floyd Emergency DeclarationsPublic assistance
19 Nov 1996DR-1145Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingIndividual assistance
13 Jan 1996DR-1088Major disasterSnowstormBlizzard Of 96 (Severe Snow Storm)Public assistance
17 Mar 1993EM-3106EmergencySnowstormSevere BlizzardPublic assistance
18 Dec 1992DR-973Major disasterFloodCoastal Storm, High Tides, Heavy Rain, & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
19 Oct 1980EM-3083EmergencyDroughtWater ShortagePublic assistance
8 Feb 1977DR-528Major disasterSevere Ice StormIce ConditionsIndividual assistance
23 Jul 1975DR-477Major disasterFloodHeavy Rains, High Winds, Hail & TornadoesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
7 Aug 1973DR-402Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
4 Sep 1971DR-310Major disasterFloodHeavy Rains & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
18 Jun 1968DR-245Major disasterFloodHeavy Rains & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
18 Aug 1965DR-205Major disasterDroughtWater ShortageIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Middlesex County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 19785,251
Paid claims4,384
Total paid$165M
Average paid claim$38K
Repetitive-loss properties625164 severe
Residential policies in force2,4961.2% of 212,397 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202651$106$106
2025163158$8,074,976$51,107
2024165$119,174$23,835
20233828$721,507$25,768
202272$19,347$9,673
2021712644$41,646,954$64,669
202098$149,989$18,749
20191813$314,899$24,223
20183830$1,016,935$33,898
201771$2,589$2,589
201685$29,212$5,842
201574$62,514$15,628
20145438$476,939$12,551
201363$25,130$8,377
2012747696$53,573,419$76,973
20111,1141,005$28,840,941$28,697
2010471411$9,669,207$23,526
200997$48,069$6,867
20081311$131,414$11,947
2007294250$4,146,974$16,588
20061914$77,172$5,512
20058369$791,321$11,468
20043218$115,887$6,438
2003228$238,063$29,758
200251$601$601

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Highscore 97.8 of 100
Expected annual loss$282MRelatively High
Social vulnerabilityRelatively Moderate
Community resilienceRelatively Moderate
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively High$196,793,778
EarthquakeRelatively Moderate$20,290,762
Strong windVery High$14,396,612
HurricaneRelatively Moderate$11,963,923
TornadoRelatively High$10,334,656
Cold waveRelatively High$9,964,614
Heat waveRelatively Moderate$7,738,629
Ice stormVery High$3,661,962
Coastal floodingRelatively High$3,039,760
Winter weatherVery High$2,226,393
LightningRelatively Moderate$742,690
DroughtRelatively Moderate$654,928
WildfireRelatively Low$376,175
HailRelatively Low$180,573
LandslideRelatively Low$7,585

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles51
Tracks within 50 miles15
Hurricane strength within 50 miles1
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Elsa202169 mi58 mph
Ida202177 mi46 mph
Fay202017 mi52 mph
Isaias202048 mi63 mph
Andrea201357 mi46 mph
Sandy201265 mi81 mph
Irene201119 mi69 mph
Hanna200831 mi52 mph
Charley200485 mi40 mph
Allison200195 mi46 mph
Floyd199949 mi58 mph
Bertha199617 mi69 mph
Danielle199298 mi40 mph
Gloria198559 mi86 mph
Henri198575 mi40 mph
Belle197674 mi69 mph
Agnes197256 mi63 mph
Doria197164 mi52 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm196859 mi63 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm196166 mi63 mph
Brenda196032 mi58 mph
Donna196063 mi98 mph
Diane19556 mi46 mph
Able195240 mi58 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm194486 mi40 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Middlesex County, NJ?

NCEI records 62 hail events in Middlesex County since 1950, in 23 different years; that is about 0.8 recorded events a year. 6 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Middlesex County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 8 tornadoes in Middlesex County since 1950, 0 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 0.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Middlesex County?

5 Sep 2021: Remnants Of Hurricane Ida, a major disaster declaration for hurricane. The county appears in 30 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Middlesex County, and how much was paid?

5,251 NFIP claims since 1978, 4,384 of them paid, for $165M in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Middlesex County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively High" for overall risk, "Relatively High" for expected annual loss, "Relatively Moderate" for social vulnerability and "Relatively Moderate" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Middlesex County compare with the rest of New Jersey?

402.3 recorded events per 100 square miles against 358.7 statewide, and 6.1 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 21.8. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 29 Sep 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 30 Sep 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.