County Hazards

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Rio Arriba County, New Mexico

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 35039 · 40,179 residents (2021) · 5,861 sq mi · dominant hazard Flood

Hail · 41Tornado · 2Flood · 45Wind · 23Winter · 0
1955-05-22: Hail1957-05-05: Hail1971-07-30: Hail1978-06-05: Hail1987-09-01: Hail1989-07-20: Hail1998-10-01: Hail1998-09-29: Hail1998-07-16: Hail2003-07-20: Hail2005-04-17: Hail2006-06-01: Hail2006-08-08: Hail2007-06-03: Hail2007-06-03: Hail2007-09-28: Hail2007-06-04: Hail2007-09-28: Hail2008-05-28: Hail2013-09-18: Hail2014-07-15: Hail2014-09-29: Hail2014-09-29: Hail2014-09-29: Hail2014-09-29: Hail2015-05-14: Hail2015-10-19: Hail2015-08-17: Hail2016-05-15: Hail2016-08-22: Hail2016-09-17: Hail2017-05-09: Hail2018-07-31: Hail2018-07-31: Hail2018-07-31: Hail2019-03-22: Hail2019-07-24: Hail2019-06-02: Hail2024-09-21: Hail2024-09-17: Hail1998-09-29: Tornado2014-09-29: Tornado2005-08-11: Flood2009-07-21: Flood2010-04-17: Flood2011-08-21: Flood2012-08-22: Flood2012-07-11: Flood2012-07-21: Flood2012-08-18: Flood2013-07-20: Flood2013-07-19: Flood2013-07-19: Flood2013-09-18: Flood2013-09-15: Flood2013-09-18: Flood2014-07-14: Flood2014-07-15: Flood2014-07-17: Flood2014-07-31: Flood2014-08-01: Flood2015-06-11: Flood2015-07-07: Flood2016-08-22: Flood2016-08-22: Flood2016-08-22: Flood2016-08-22: Flood2016-08-22: Flood2016-08-22: Flood2016-08-05: Flood2016-08-22: Flood2021-07-23: Flood2022-07-31: Flood2022-06-18: Flood2023-05-02: Flood2024-06-20: Flood2024-06-20: Flood2025-08-29: Flood2025-07-17: Flood1981-07-01: Wind1981-07-22: Wind1989-06-08: Wind1989-06-08: Wind1998-10-04: Wind2000-07-26: Wind2000-07-27: Wind2001-07-02: Wind2005-07-18: Wind2007-06-27: Wind2007-06-04: Wind2010-07-19: Wind2014-09-29: Wind2014-09-29: Wind2015-05-18: Wind2017-08-03: Wind2018-05-21: Wind2020-05-11: Wind2021-12-15: Wind2024-06-19: Wind
Rio Arriba County within New Mexico. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

Between 1950 and 2026, NCEI recorded 123 storm events in Rio Arriba County, New Mexico, led by floods and flash floods.

That is 2.1 events per 100 square miles, below the New Mexico figure of 20.4, and 30.6 per 10,000 residents against 116.9 statewide.

2 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 3 deaths and 23 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $6.5M and crop damage at $1K.

FEMA has designated the county in 16 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is South Fork Fire, Salt Fire, And Flooding (major disaster, 20 Jun 2024).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 31 claims since 1978, of which 19 were paid, totalling $329K (about $17K per paid claim). FEMA counts 147 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Low" and its expected annual loss as "Relatively Low" ($27M a year across 18 hazards).

2events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
123events since 19503 deaths, 23 injuries recorded
16disaster declarationslast 20 Jun 2024
31NFIP flood claims$329K paid

Compared with New Mexico and the United States

MeasureRio Arriba CountyNew MexicoUS
Recorded events since 195012324,7401,977,440
Events per 100 square miles2.120.456.0
Events per 10,000 residents30.6116.959.6
Events in the last 12 months294262,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI319126,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$6.5M$3.2B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents0.80.98.1
Average paid NFIP claim$17K$37K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years0.75.716.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Hail: 2
Hail: 2
Hail: 2Wind: 4
Hail: 4Tornado: 1Flood: 4Wind: 4Lightning: 3
Hail: 10Flood: 6Wind: 6Wildfire: 1Lightning: 3Other: 1
Hail: 19Tornado: 1Flood: 27Wind: 6Lightning: 1Other: 2
Hail: 2Flood: 8Wind: 3Other: 1
21950s01960s21970s61980s161990s272000s562010s142020s
Recorded events in Rio Arriba County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWildfireLightningOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 85 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 32 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Flood45
Hail41
Wind23
Lightning7
Other4
Tornado2
Wildfire1
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Flood4512.4%detail
■ Hail41—0.8%detail
■ Wind23—0.4%detail
■ Lightning7210.0%
■ Other4—0.8%
■ Tornado2—0.3%
■ Wildfire1—0.6%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
1 Aug 2015LightningLightning—$3K—1—County
20 May 1997LightningLightning———1—County
15 Aug 2006Flash FloodFlood———1—County
21 Jun 2019Dust DevilOther—$10K——20County
22 Aug 2016Flash FloodFlood—$25K——1County
29 Apr 1999LightningLightning————1County
16 Aug 2000LightningLightning————1County
22 Aug 2016Flash FloodFlood—$2.0M———County
7 Jul 2015Flash FloodFlood—$1.0M———County
15 Sep 2013Flash FloodFlood—$500K———County
20 Jun 2024Flash FloodFlood—$500K———County
7 Jul 1998Flash FloodFlood—$300K———County
14 Jul 2014Flash FloodFlood—$300K———County
2 May 2023FloodFlood—$300K———County
20 Jul 2013Flash FloodFlood—$250K———County
2 Aug 1999Flash FloodFlood—$150K———County
4 Jul 1998Flash FloodFlood—$100K———County
19 Jul 2013Flash FloodFlood—$100K———County
18 Sep 2013Flash FloodFlood—$100K———County
29 Sep 2014TornadoTornadoEF1$100K———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
20 Jun 2024DR-4795Major disasterFireSouth Fork Fire, Salt Fire, And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
5 Apr 2020DR-4529Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3460EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
6 Oct 2014DR-4197Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
29 Oct 2013DR-4152Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Flooding, And MudslidesPublic assistance
26 Jun 2011FM-2933Fire management assistanceFireLas Conchas FirePublic assistance
24 Mar 2011DR-1962Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter Storm And Extreme Cold TemperaturesPublic assistance
30 Aug 2006DR-1659Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
7 Sep 2005EM-3229EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
23 May 2002FM-2408Fire management assistanceFireNm - Borrego Fire - 5-23-02Public assistance
13 May 2000DR-1329Major disasterFireSevere Forest FireIndividual assistance
10 May 2000EM-3154EmergencyFireSevere Fire ThreatsPublic assistance
22 Sep 1999DR-1301Major disasterSevere StormSevere Ice Storms, Flooding And Heavy RainsPublic assistance
23 Jun 1979DR-589Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Snowmelt & FloodingPublic assistance
2 Mar 1977EM-3034EmergencyDroughtDroughtPublic assistance
11 May 1973DR-380Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Snow Melt & FloodingPublic assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Rio Arriba County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 197831
Paid claims19
Total paid$329K
Average paid claim$17K
Repetitive-loss properties0
Residential policies in force1470.7% of 20,250 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
201811$8,560$8,560
201510$0—
201432$52,570$26,285
201322$185,683$92,841
200821$11,127$11,127
200721$8,944$8,944
200633$41,896$13,965
200521$3,979$3,979
200451$776$776
200310$0—
199711$2,750$2,750
199510$0—
199411$433$433
199111$717$717
198411$5,520$5,520
198310$0—
198122$2,950$1,475
198011$3,480$3,480

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Lowscore 80.5 of 100
Expected annual loss$27MRelatively Low
Social vulnerabilityVery High
Community resilienceVery Low
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively Moderate$20,326,854
WildfireRelatively Moderate$3,207,820
LightningRelatively High$1,084,349
EarthquakeRelatively Low$954,149
DroughtRelatively Moderate$325,637
Cold waveRelatively Low$265,378
Heat waveVery Low$84,870
LandslideRelatively Moderate$78,371
HailVery Low$65,419
Strong windVery Low$62,267
TornadoVery Low$53,347
Winter weatherRelatively Low$35,787
Ice stormVery Low$2,867
AvalancheVery Low$179

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

No HURDAT2 track at tropical-storm strength passes within 100 miles of the county's centre point (through the 2025 season).

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Rio Arriba County, NM?

NCEI records 41 hail events in Rio Arriba County since 1950, in 21 different years; that is about 0.5 recorded events a year. 3 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Rio Arriba County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 2 tornadoes in Rio Arriba County since 1950, 0 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 0.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Rio Arriba County?

20 Jun 2024: South Fork Fire, Salt Fire, And Flooding, a major disaster declaration for fire. The county appears in 16 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Rio Arriba County, and how much was paid?

31 NFIP claims since 1978, 19 of them paid, for $329K in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Rio Arriba County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Low" for overall risk, "Relatively Low" for expected annual loss, "Very High" for social vulnerability and "Very Low" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Rio Arriba County compare with the rest of New Mexico?

2.1 recorded events per 100 square miles against 20.4 statewide, and 0.8 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 0.9. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.