County Hazards

States › New York › Warren County

Warren County, New York

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 36113 · 65,618 residents (2021) · 867 sq mi · dominant hazard Wind

Hail · 54Tornado · 7Flood · 106Wind · 304Winter · 33
1968-06-09: Hail1973-08-28: Hail1973-09-02: Hail1983-08-01: Hail1983-05-23: Hail1985-04-18: Hail1985-04-18: Hail1986-07-29: Hail1988-08-28: Hail1989-07-27: Hail1998-05-20: Hail1999-07-30: Hail2000-09-21: Hail2001-07-09: Hail2004-05-23: Hail2004-05-13: Hail2004-05-13: Hail2005-08-01: Hail2006-05-31: Hail2006-05-31: Hail2007-09-27: Hail2007-06-02: Hail2007-07-06: Hail2008-08-10: Hail2008-08-10: Hail2011-05-28: Hail2011-05-28: Hail2011-05-28: Hail2011-05-28: Hail2011-05-28: Hail2011-06-09: Hail2011-05-27: Hail2012-05-29: Hail2012-05-29: Hail2012-05-29: Hail2012-05-16: Hail2012-05-29: Hail2012-05-29: Hail2012-05-29: Hail2012-05-29: Hail2012-07-23: Hail2012-10-20: Hail2013-06-02: Hail2013-06-02: Hail2014-07-03: Hail2014-08-05: Hail2017-05-31: Hail2017-05-31: Hail2019-05-19: Hail2023-07-13: Hail2023-07-13: Hail2024-08-26: Hail2024-08-26: Hail1978-05-09: Tornado1985-04-18: Tornado2014-07-08: Tornado2020-05-29: Tornado2020-08-29: Tornado2024-07-16: Tornado2024-07-16: Tornado2005-06-29: Flood2005-06-17: Flood2005-06-27: Flood2005-06-15: Flood2005-06-16: Flood2005-06-17: Flood2005-06-17: Flood2005-06-17: Flood2005-06-13: Flood2007-04-20: Flood2008-03-05: Flood2008-04-09: Flood2010-03-23: Flood2010-10-01: Flood2011-04-27: Flood2011-04-27: Flood2011-04-27: Flood2011-05-28: Flood2011-05-28: Flood2011-05-28: Flood2011-05-01: Flood2011-04-28: Flood2011-03-10: Flood2011-08-28: Flood2011-08-28: Flood2011-08-28: Flood2011-08-28: Flood2013-06-28: Flood2014-04-13: Flood2016-02-24: Flood2016-02-24: Flood2017-07-01: Flood2017-07-01: Flood2018-02-22: Flood2018-01-13: Flood2018-01-28: Flood2019-04-20: Flood2019-06-20: Flood2019-06-20: Flood2019-06-20: Flood2019-10-31: Flood2019-10-31: Flood2019-10-31: Flood2019-10-31: Flood2019-10-31: Flood2019-10-31: Flood2019-10-31: Flood2019-10-31: Flood2019-10-31: Flood2019-11-01: Flood2019-11-01: Flood2019-11-01: Flood2022-02-18: Flood2022-02-19: Flood2022-04-07: Flood2022-08-30: Flood2022-12-23: Flood2023-07-07: Flood2023-12-18: Flood2023-12-18: Flood2023-12-18: Flood2023-12-18: Flood2023-12-18: Flood2023-12-18: Flood2023-12-18: Flood2023-12-18: Flood2023-12-18: Flood2023-12-18: Flood2023-12-18: Flood2023-12-18: Flood2023-12-18: Flood2023-12-18: Flood2023-12-18: Flood2023-12-18: Flood2023-12-18: Flood2023-12-18: Flood2023-12-18: Flood2023-12-18: Flood2023-12-18: Flood2024-03-07: Flood2024-05-21: Flood2024-07-24: Flood2026-03-12: Flood2026-03-12: Flood2026-03-12: Flood2026-06-18: Wind2026-06-18: Wind2026-06-06: Wind2026-04-14: Wind2026-04-14: Wind2026-04-14: Wind2025-08-13: Wind2025-07-10: Wind2025-05-17: Wind2024-08-14: Wind2024-08-14: Wind2024-08-04: Wind2024-07-24: Wind2024-07-24: Wind2024-07-24: Wind2024-07-24: Wind2024-07-24: Wind2024-07-16: Wind2024-07-16: Wind2024-07-16: Wind2024-07-16: Wind2024-07-16: Wind2024-07-16: Wind2024-07-16: Wind2024-07-16: Wind2024-07-16: Wind2024-07-16: Wind2024-07-16: Wind2024-07-16: Wind2024-07-16: Wind2024-07-16: Wind2024-07-16: Wind2024-07-15: Wind2024-07-15: Wind2024-07-15: Wind2024-06-20: Wind2024-06-20: Wind2024-05-21: Wind2023-09-07: Wind2023-09-07: Wind2023-09-07: Wind2023-08-12: Wind2023-08-04: Wind2023-07-25: Wind2023-07-13: Wind2023-07-13: Wind2023-07-13: Wind2023-07-13: Wind2023-07-13: Wind2023-07-13: Wind2023-07-07: Wind2023-07-07: Wind2023-07-07: Wind2023-07-07: Wind2022-08-30: Wind2022-08-30: Wind2022-08-30: Wind2022-07-12: Wind2022-07-12: Wind2022-07-12: Wind2021-10-16: Wind2021-09-08: Wind2021-09-08: Wind2021-09-08: Wind2021-09-08: Wind2021-06-21: Wind2021-06-21: Wind2021-06-21: Wind2021-06-21: Wind2021-06-21: Wind2021-06-21: Wind2021-06-21: Wind2020-08-29: Wind2020-08-29: Wind2020-08-23: Wind2020-07-08: Wind2020-07-02: Wind2020-07-02: Wind2020-05-29: Wind2020-05-29: Wind2019-07-30: Wind2019-07-30: Wind2019-07-30: Wind2019-07-30: Wind2019-07-30: Wind2019-07-30: Wind2019-04-15: Wind2018-08-04: Wind2018-08-04: Wind2018-08-04: Wind2018-07-10: Wind2018-06-13: Wind2018-06-13: Wind2018-05-04: Wind2018-05-04: Wind2018-05-04: Wind2018-05-04: Wind2017-08-22: Wind2017-08-22: Wind2017-08-22: Wind2017-08-22: Wind2017-08-04: Wind2017-08-04: Wind2017-08-04: Wind2017-08-04: Wind2017-08-04: Wind2017-08-04: Wind2017-08-04: Wind2017-08-04: Wind2017-08-04: Wind2017-08-04: Wind2017-08-04: Wind2017-07-01: Wind2017-07-01: Wind2017-05-18: Wind2017-05-18: Wind2016-08-13: Wind2016-08-13: Wind2016-08-13: Wind2016-08-13: Wind
Warren County within New York. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

Between 1950 and 2026, NCEI recorded 531 storm events in Warren County, New York, led by damaging wind.

That is 61.2 events per 100 square miles, below the New York figure of 120.3, and 80.9 per 10,000 residents against 28.6 statewide.

11 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 4 deaths and 34 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $38M.

FEMA has designated the county in 19 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Covid-19 Pandemic (major disaster, 20 Mar 2020).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 116 claims since 1978, of which 80 were paid, totalling $1.8M (about $23K per paid claim). FEMA counts 144 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Low" and its expected annual loss as "Relatively Low" ($25M a year across 18 hazards).

13 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 0 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

11events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
531events since 19504 deaths, 34 injuries recorded
19disaster declarationslast 20 Mar 2020
116NFIP flood claims$1.8M paid

Compared with New York and the United States

MeasureWarren CountyNew YorkUS
Recorded events since 195053156,6751,977,440
Events per 100 square miles61.2120.356.0
Events per 10,000 residents80.928.659.6
Events in the last 12 months111,94862,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI457826,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$38M$5.7B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents1.88.88.1
Average paid NFIP claim$23K$40K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years11.810.116.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Hail: 1Wind: 1
Hail: 2Tornado: 1Wind: 7
Hail: 7Tornado: 1Wind: 27
Hail: 3Flood: 9Wind: 56Winter: 15Heat: 4Drought: 2Lightning: 2
Hail: 13Flood: 24Wind: 30Winter: 18Heat: 1Cold: 6Wildfire: 1Lightning: 4Fog: 1
Hail: 24Tornado: 1Flood: 40Wind: 103Lightning: 3Other: 1
Hail: 4Tornado: 4Flood: 33Wind: 80Lightning: 1Other: 1
01950s21960s101970s351980s911990s982000s1722010s1232020s
Recorded events in Warren County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterHeatColdDroughtWildfireLightningFogOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 312 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 186 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Wind304
Flood106
Hail54
Winter33
Lightning10
Tornado7
Cold6
Heat5
Drought2
Other2
Wildfire1
Fog1
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Wind30431.2%detail
■ Flood106—1.6%detail
■ Hail54—1.1%detail
■ Winter33—0.2%detail
■ Lightning1011.7%
■ Tornado7—1.2%
■ Cold6—0.2%
■ Heat5—0.4%
■ Drought2—0.5%
■ Other2—0.4%
■ Wildfire1—2.9%
■ Fog1—5.3%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
15 Jul 1995Thunderstorm WindWind0 mph$20K—2—County
26 Jun 1998LightningLightning———13County
6 Jul 1999Thunderstorm WindWind—$7K—1—County
13 Aug 2016LightningLightning————15County
29 Aug 2004LightningLightning————5County
19 Jun 2006Thunderstorm WindWind69 mph———3County
6 Jul 1999Thunderstorm WindWind—$20K——2County
19 Jul 1989Thunderstorm WindWind0 mph———2County
28 May 2011Flash FloodFlood—$13M———County
26 Jun 2006Flash FloodFlood—$40K——1County
16 Jun 1986Thunderstorm WindWind0 mph———1County
28 Aug 1988HailHail1.75 in———1County
15 Jul 1995Thunderstorm WindWind0 mph$10M———County
30 Jul 2019Thunderstorm WindWind58 mph———1County
13 Jun 2005Flash FloodFlood—$6.5M———County
31 Oct 2019Flash FloodFlood—$1.8M———County
13 Jan 2018FloodFlood—$1.0M———County
28 Apr 2011FloodFlood—$676K———County
31 Oct 2019Flash FloodFlood—$600K———County
16 Apr 2001FloodFlood—$500K———Forecast zone

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
20 Mar 2020DR-4480Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3434EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
19 Dec 2019DR-4472Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, And FloodingPublic assistance
12 Jul 2013DR-4129Major disasterFloodSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
28 Oct 2012EM-3351EmergencyHurricaneHurricane SandyPublic assistance
31 Aug 2011DR-4020Major disasterHurricaneHurricane IreneIndividual assistance, Public assistance
10 Jun 2011DR-1993Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Flooding, Tornadoes, And Straight-Line WindsPublic assistance
16 Apr 2010DR-1899Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
30 Sep 2005EM-3262EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
1 Oct 2004DR-1564Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
3 Aug 2004DR-1534Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And Flooding—
23 Aug 2003EM-3186EmergencyOtherPower OutagePublic assistance
16 May 2002DR-1415Major disasterEarthquakeEarthquakeIndividual assistance
11 Sep 2001DR-1391Major disasterFireFires And ExplosionsPublic assistance
11 Oct 2000EM-3155EmergencyOtherWest Nile VirusPublic assistance
19 Sep 1999DR-1296Major disasterHurricaneHurricane Floyd Major Disaster DeclarationsPublic assistance
24 Jan 1996DR-1095Major disasterFloodSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
17 Mar 1993EM-3107EmergencySnowstormSevere BlizzardPublic assistance
21 Jul 1976DR-515Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Warren County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 1978116
Paid claims80
Total paid$1.8M
Average paid claim$23K
Repetitive-loss properties81 severe
Residential policies in force1440.4% of 32,798 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202320$0—
202222$92,183$46,091
202142$154,095$77,047
201986$209,844$34,974
201711$4,452$4,452
201611$30,398$30,398
201511$4,745$4,745
201422$49,959$24,980
201320$0—
201222$29,346$14,673
20113124$981,626$40,901
201032$9,475$4,737
200932$10,263$5,131
200622$18,605$9,302
200522$46,425$23,212
200410$0—
200321$41,460$41,460
200211$2,385$2,385
200142$33,925$16,963
200011$4,600$4,600
199911$2,134$2,134
199832$1,975$988
199711$1,192$1,192
199611$229$229
199510$0—

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Lowscore 62.3 of 100
Expected annual loss$25MRelatively Low
Social vulnerabilityRelatively Low
Community resilienceVery High
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively Low$15,581,902
Cold waveRelatively Moderate$4,984,654
LightningRelatively High$1,637,408
TornadoRelatively Low$910,791
EarthquakeRelatively Low$684,753
Strong windRelatively Low$537,943
HurricaneRelatively Low$510,735
Heat waveVery Low$205,519
HailVery Low$132,121
Ice stormRelatively Low$114,575
Winter weatherRelatively Low$76,962
LandslideRelatively Low$14,431
WildfireVery Low$11,797
AvalancheVery Low$2,432

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles13
Tracks within 50 miles4
Hurricane strength within 50 miles0
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Isaias202048 mi52 mph
Irene201182 mi58 mph
David197919 mi46 mph
Belle197698 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm196883 mi52 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm194969 mi52 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm193839 mi69 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm192944 mi58 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm192484 mi63 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm189994 mi52 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm189357 mi69 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm187860 mi69 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm186677 mi46 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Warren County, NY?

NCEI records 54 hail events in Warren County since 1950, in 25 different years; that is about 0.7 recorded events a year. 11 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Warren County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 7 tornadoes in Warren County since 1950, 0 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 0.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Warren County?

20 Mar 2020: Covid-19 Pandemic, a major disaster declaration for biological. The county appears in 19 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Warren County, and how much was paid?

116 NFIP claims since 1978, 80 of them paid, for $1.8M in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Warren County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Low" for overall risk, "Relatively Low" for expected annual loss, "Relatively Low" for social vulnerability and "Very High" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Warren County compare with the rest of New York?

61.2 recorded events per 100 square miles against 120.3 statewide, and 1.8 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 8.8. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.