County Hazards

States › Tennessee › Madison County

Madison County, Tennessee

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 47113 · 98,775 residents (2021) · 557 sq mi · dominant hazard Wind

Hail · 156Tornado · 35Flood · 83Wind · 222Winter · 62
1967-05-19: Hail1967-05-19: Hail1973-05-10: Hail1973-05-10: Hail1978-04-30: Hail1984-07-07: Hail1984-05-07: Hail1984-04-21: Hail1989-11-15: Hail1991-02-13: Hail1991-04-09: Hail1992-04-09: Hail1992-04-15: Hail1996-06-03: Hail1996-06-03: Hail1996-05-28: Hail1996-06-03: Hail1996-06-03: Hail1996-06-03: Hail1996-05-27: Hail1996-10-17: Hail1996-03-15: Hail1996-03-06: Hail1997-07-13: Hail1997-04-30: Hail1997-03-28: Hail1997-11-30: Hail1998-05-10: Hail1998-05-09: Hail1998-04-08: Hail1998-06-21: Hail1998-07-27: Hail1998-04-03: Hail1998-06-05: Hail1998-06-05: Hail1999-01-22: Hail1999-05-21: Hail1999-01-22: Hail1999-01-22: Hail1999-12-09: Hail1999-06-03: Hail2000-04-27: Hail2000-07-20: Hail2000-08-10: Hail2000-08-10: Hail2000-08-10: Hail2001-11-24: Hail2001-02-21: Hail2001-05-11: Hail2001-06-03: Hail2001-06-03: Hail2001-06-03: Hail2001-10-24: Hail2002-11-10: Hail2002-04-24: Hail2002-04-24: Hail2002-06-05: Hail2002-07-02: Hail2002-07-02: Hail2003-05-04: Hail2003-05-05: Hail2004-10-19: Hail2005-03-30: Hail2005-03-22: Hail2005-03-22: Hail2005-03-22: Hail2005-08-06: Hail2005-11-15: Hail2005-11-15: Hail2006-04-26: Hail2006-04-26: Hail2006-04-07: Hail2006-04-07: Hail2006-04-02: Hail2006-04-20: Hail2007-03-01: Hail2007-03-01: Hail2007-04-03: Hail2008-01-08: Hail2008-02-05: Hail2008-02-05: Hail2008-02-05: Hail2008-05-02: Hail2009-06-15: Hail2010-03-25: Hail2010-05-24: Hail2011-07-04: Hail2011-05-23: Hail2011-05-13: Hail2011-08-10: Hail2011-06-26: Hail2012-04-26: Hail2012-04-26: Hail2012-04-26: Hail2012-03-15: Hail2012-03-02: Hail2013-05-30: Hail2014-04-04: Hail2014-07-08: Hail2016-03-31: Hail2016-05-26: Hail2016-12-28: Hail2016-12-28: Hail2016-12-28: Hail2017-03-09: Hail2017-03-09: Hail2017-03-27: Hail2017-03-09: Hail2017-03-27: Hail2017-03-09: Hail2017-03-27: Hail2017-03-27: Hail2017-05-19: Hail2017-05-27: Hail2018-04-03: Hail1953-03-14: Tornado1953-04-15: Tornado1957-04-01: Tornado1970-04-01: Tornado1970-06-18: Tornado1971-05-24: Tornado1975-03-22: Tornado1975-04-18: Tornado1981-06-06: Tornado1984-05-07: Tornado1988-11-19: Tornado1988-11-04: Tornado1990-10-04: Tornado1991-04-09: Tornado1992-06-25: Tornado1996-11-07: Tornado1999-01-17: Tornado1999-01-17: Tornado2002-11-10: Tornado2002-11-10: Tornado2003-05-04: Tornado2003-05-04: Tornado2003-05-05: Tornado2004-10-19: Tornado2006-09-22: Tornado2008-02-05: Tornado2008-02-05: Tornado2008-02-05: Tornado2015-12-23: Tornado2021-12-11: Tornado2022-03-30: Tornado2022-03-30: Tornado2024-05-26: Tornado2025-05-20: Tornado2025-04-02: Tornado2005-08-06: Flood2005-08-30: Flood2005-11-15: Flood2005-09-25: Flood2006-04-21: Flood2007-10-17: Flood2008-08-25: Flood2008-01-10: Flood2008-05-02: Flood2009-05-03: Flood2009-09-24: Flood2009-09-16: Flood2010-06-09: Flood2010-05-02: Flood2010-05-01: Flood2010-05-01: Flood2010-06-24: Flood2011-12-05: Flood2012-06-03: Flood2013-04-27: Flood2013-01-13: Flood2013-04-26: Flood2014-08-08: Flood2014-06-06: Flood2014-08-07: Flood2014-08-18: Flood2014-02-04: Flood2015-07-23: Flood2015-06-08: Flood2016-03-10: Flood2016-03-10: Flood2016-08-02: Flood2017-03-09: Flood2017-12-23: Flood2017-12-22: Flood2018-02-22: Flood2018-07-16: Flood2018-07-16: Flood2018-07-16: Flood2018-02-28: Flood2019-07-10: Flood2019-07-10: Flood2019-08-25: Flood2019-08-25: Flood2019-02-06: Flood2020-07-01: Flood2020-07-01: Flood2020-07-01: Flood2021-03-01: Flood2021-03-27: Flood2021-02-28: Flood2023-07-08: Flood2023-07-08: Flood2023-07-08: Flood2023-08-04: Flood2024-05-24: Flood2024-05-24: Flood2024-05-24: Flood2025-04-03: Flood2026-04-28: Wind2026-04-28: Wind2025-10-18: Wind2025-06-19: Wind2025-06-06: Wind2025-05-20: Wind2025-05-20: Wind2025-04-10: Wind2025-04-05: Wind2025-04-05: Wind2025-04-03: Wind2025-04-03: Wind2025-04-03: Wind2025-04-03: Wind2025-04-02: Wind2024-05-26: Wind2024-05-22: Wind2024-05-22: Wind2024-05-22: Wind2024-04-08: Wind2023-08-05: Wind2023-03-24: Wind2022-03-30: Wind2022-03-30: Wind2022-03-30: Wind2022-03-30: Wind2022-03-30: Wind2022-03-30: Wind2022-03-30: Wind2022-03-30: Wind2021-12-11: Wind2021-07-08: Wind2021-03-17: Wind2020-07-12: Wind2020-05-03: Wind2020-05-03: Wind2020-03-28: Wind2019-06-20: Wind2018-07-06: Wind2018-07-05: Wind2018-06-28: Wind2018-06-21: Wind2018-06-21: Wind2018-05-20: Wind2018-05-20: Wind2018-02-24: Wind2017-05-27: Wind2016-11-18: Wind2016-11-18: Wind2016-08-02: Wind2015-12-23: Wind2015-08-05: Wind2015-08-05: Wind2015-07-14: Wind2015-06-08: Wind2014-07-14: Wind2014-07-14: Wind2014-07-14: Wind2014-06-07: Wind2014-06-07: Wind2013-12-21: Wind2013-12-21: Wind2013-05-30: Wind2012-07-06: Wind2012-06-11: Wind2012-06-11: Wind2012-06-03: Wind2012-01-22: Wind2011-05-25: Wind2011-05-25: Wind2011-05-25: Wind2011-04-25: Wind2011-04-19: Wind2011-04-19: Wind2011-04-04: Wind2011-02-24: Wind2011-02-24: Wind2011-02-24: Wind2009-09-06: Wind2009-07-15: Wind2009-07-15: Wind2009-07-15: Wind2009-07-04: Wind2009-06-15: Wind2009-06-15: Wind2009-06-03: Wind2009-06-02: Wind2008-12-27: Wind2008-05-26: Wind2008-05-26: Wind2008-05-26: Wind2008-05-26: Wind2008-05-26: Wind2008-05-02: Wind2008-05-02: Wind2008-01-10: Wind2008-01-08: Wind2007-10-18: Wind2007-10-17: Wind2007-10-17: Wind2006-05-26: Wind2005-07-19: Wind2005-04-22: Wind2005-04-11: Wind2004-07-06: Wind2004-07-04: Wind2004-05-30: Wind2003-08-22: Wind2003-05-01: Wind2003-05-01: Wind2002-08-24: Wind
Madison County within Tennessee. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 29 Sep 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

Madison County, Tennessee, has 703 weather events in the NCEI Storm Events record since 1950, most of them damaging wind.

That is 126.2 events per 100 square miles, in line with the Tennessee figure of 112.2, and 71.2 per 10,000 residents against 66.4 statewide.

33 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 27 deaths and 284 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $203M.

FEMA has designated the county in 24 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Winter Storm (major disaster, 6 Feb 2026).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 173 claims since 1978, of which 148 were paid, totalling $3.4M (about $23K per paid claim). FEMA counts 166 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Moderate" and its expected annual loss as "Relatively Moderate" ($91M a year across 18 hazards).

9 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 0 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

33events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
703events since 195027 deaths, 284 injuries recorded
24disaster declarationslast 6 Feb 2026
173NFIP flood claims$3.4M paid

Compared with Tennessee and the United States

MeasureMadison CountyTennesseeUS
Recorded events since 195070346,2831,977,440
Events per 100 square miles126.2112.256.0
Events per 10,000 residents71.266.459.6
Events in the last 12 months331,52462,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI2780426,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$203M$9.2B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents1.82.58.1
Average paid NFIP claim$23K$33K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years9.620.916.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Tornado: 3Wind: 2
Hail: 2Wind: 9
Hail: 3Tornado: 5Wind: 17
Hail: 4Tornado: 4Wind: 22
Hail: 37Tornado: 6Flood: 7Wind: 37Winter: 4Lightning: 1
Hail: 43Tornado: 10Flood: 29Wind: 52Winter: 13Tropical: 1Heat: 2Cold: 2Drought: 6Lightning: 7
Hail: 35Tornado: 1Flood: 33Wind: 43Winter: 28Heat: 31Cold: 1Drought: 8Lightning: 1Other: 2
Hail: 32Tornado: 6Flood: 14Wind: 40Winter: 17Heat: 65Cold: 9Drought: 9
51950s111960s251970s301980s921990s1652000s1832010s1922020s
Recorded events in Madison County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterTropicalHeatColdDroughtLightningOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 440 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 190 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Wind222
Hail156
Heat98
Flood83
Winter62
Tornado35
Drought23
Cold12
Lightning9
Other2
Tropical1
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Wind222—1.0%detail
■ Hail156—2.2%detail
■ Heat9824.4%
■ Flood8321.9%detail
■ Winter6211.0%detail
■ Tornado35202.1%detail
■ Drought23—1.2%
■ Cold1212.0%
■ Lightning911.8%
■ Other2—0.5%
■ Tropical1—1.9%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
4 May 2003TornadoTornadoF4$30M—1166County
17 Jan 1999TornadoTornadoF4$10M—6106County
5 Feb 2008TornadoTornadoEF3$10M—214County
1 Mar 1997FloodFlood—$3.0M—2—Forecast zone
18 Apr 1975TornadoTornadoF1$2.5M—16County
29 Jul 2006LightningLightning—$75K—1—County
13 Jul 2004HeatHeat———1—Forecast zone
2 Jan 2010Cold/Wind ChillCold———1—Forecast zone
18 Jun 2010HeatHeat———1—Forecast zone
14 Jan 2024Winter StormWinter———1—Forecast zone
5 Feb 2008TornadoTornadoEF4$100M——51County
22 Mar 1975TornadoTornadoF1$250K——18County
24 May 1971TornadoTornadoF1$25K——8County
14 Mar 1953TornadoTornadoF3$25K——3County
17 Jan 1999TornadoTornadoF3$25M———County
15 Apr 1953TornadoTornadoF1$250K——2County
7 May 1984TornadoTornadoF1$25K——2County
10 Aug 2000LightningLightning————2County
25 Jan 2011Winter WeatherWinter————2Forecast zone
1 May 2010Flash FloodFlood—$11M———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
6 Feb 2026DR-4898Major disasterWinter StormSevere Winter StormIndividual assistance, Public assistance
24 Jan 2026EM-3635EmergencyWinter StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
19 Jun 2025DR-4878Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
2 Apr 2025EM-3625EmergencySevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
17 May 2023DR-4712Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, And TornadoPublic assistance
8 May 2021DR-4601Major disasterTornadoSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
9 Jul 2020DR-4550Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, And FloodingPublic assistance
2 Apr 2020DR-4514Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3473EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
13 Aug 2014DR-4189Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And FloodingPublic assistance
11 Apr 2014DR-4171Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
9 May 2011DR-1979Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
1 May 2011DR-1974Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And Associated FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
4 May 2010DR-1909Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Flooding, Straight-Line Winds, And TornadoesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
7 Feb 2008DR-1745Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
5 Sep 2005EM-3217EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
8 May 2003DR-1464Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Nov 2002DR-1441Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And TornadosIndividual assistance, Public assistance
19 Jan 1999DR-1262Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes And High WindsIndividual assistance, Public assistance
20 Apr 1998DR-1215Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes And FloodingIndividual assistance
13 Jan 1998DR-1197Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
7 Mar 1997DR-1167Major disasterTornadoHeavy Rains, Tornadoes, Flooding, Hail, High WindsIndividual assistance, Public assistance
28 Feb 1994DR-1010Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter Ice Storm,Flash FloodingPublic assistance
22 Mar 1975DR-459Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Madison County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 1978173
Paid claims148
Total paid$3.4M
Average paid claim$23K
Repetitive-loss properties164 severe
Residential policies in force1660.4% of 37,882 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202543$212,276$70,759
202311$2,533$2,533
202243$138,897$46,299
202111$176,798$176,798
201933$186,370$62,123
201822$16,496$8,248
201711$6,505$6,505
201611$6,999$6,999
201487$188,002$26,857
201322$13,317$6,658
201211$5,092$5,092
201176$192,827$32,138
20105245$1,603,380$35,631
200911$4,166$4,166
200810$0—
200721$2,700$2,700
200265$69,794$13,959
200198$148,089$18,511
199921$49,766$49,766
19971818$131,613$7,312
199244$31,510$7,878
199110$0—
199065$27,451$5,490
198911$1,324$1,324
198853$18,558$6,186

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Moderatescore 92.1 of 100
Expected annual loss$91MRelatively Moderate
Social vulnerabilityRelatively High
Community resilienceVery High
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
EarthquakeRelatively High$46,219,685
TornadoRelatively High$14,798,057
Cold waveRelatively High$12,000,364
Inland floodingRelatively Low$11,488,357
Heat waveRelatively Moderate$2,747,631
Strong windRelatively High$1,466,390
LightningRelatively High$962,378
Ice stormRelatively High$613,947
HurricaneRelatively Low$204,736
DroughtRelatively Low$166,063
Winter weatherRelatively Low$54,319
HailVery Low$44,421
WildfireVery Low$25,197
LandslideRelatively Low$12,506

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles9
Tracks within 50 miles2
Hurricane strength within 50 miles0
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Olga201949 mi46 mph
Camille196991 mi40 mph
Audrey195763 mi40 mph
Baker195056 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm193454 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm192322 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm190677 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm188885 mi63 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm186064 mi46 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Madison County, TN?

NCEI records 156 hail events in Madison County since 1950, in 39 different years; that is about 2.0 recorded events a year. 25 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Madison County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 35 tornadoes in Madison County since 1950, 11 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 20.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Madison County?

6 Feb 2026: Severe Winter Storm, a major disaster declaration for winter storm. The county appears in 24 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Madison County, and how much was paid?

173 NFIP claims since 1978, 148 of them paid, for $3.4M in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Madison County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Moderate" for overall risk, "Relatively Moderate" for expected annual loss, "Relatively High" for social vulnerability and "Very High" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Madison County compare with the rest of Tennessee?

126.2 recorded events per 100 square miles against 112.2 statewide, and 1.8 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 2.5. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 29 Sep 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 30 Sep 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.