County Hazards

States › Tennessee › Morgan County

Morgan County, Tennessee

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 47129 · 21,254 residents (2021) · 522 sq mi · dominant hazard Wind

Hail · 70Tornado · 9Flood · 39Wind · 210Winter · 51
1961-04-15: Hail1967-05-12: Hail1976-06-21: Hail1985-06-04: Hail1992-06-18: Hail1996-04-20: Hail1997-03-29: Hail1997-04-21: Hail1998-04-08: Hail1999-05-13: Hail1999-06-02: Hail1999-06-02: Hail2000-05-19: Hail2001-06-14: Hail2003-08-22: Hail2003-08-05: Hail2003-02-22: Hail2003-04-30: Hail2003-05-17: Hail2003-05-15: Hail2003-07-13: Hail2003-07-13: Hail2003-07-13: Hail2003-07-13: Hail2004-06-02: Hail2004-05-18: Hail2004-05-18: Hail2005-04-22: Hail2005-04-22: Hail2005-04-07: Hail2005-04-07: Hail2005-05-20: Hail2005-08-04: Hail2006-04-07: Hail2006-04-21: Hail2006-04-07: Hail2006-04-07: Hail2006-06-30: Hail2006-10-05: Hail2007-07-26: Hail2008-05-09: Hail2009-06-10: Hail2009-06-10: Hail2009-05-15: Hail2009-02-18: Hail2009-02-18: Hail2009-08-04: Hail2011-06-15: Hail2012-04-26: Hail2012-07-01: Hail2013-04-17: Hail2014-05-23: Hail2015-04-03: Hail2015-07-14: Hail2015-07-14: Hail2018-06-17: Hail2021-04-08: Hail2021-03-27: Hail2023-06-11: Hail2025-04-30: Hail2025-04-10: Hail2025-04-10: Hail1965-03-17: Tornado1974-04-03: Tornado1995-05-18: Tornado2002-11-10: Tornado2002-11-10: Tornado2020-03-03: Tornado2023-04-01: Tornado2024-04-02: Tornado2025-02-06: Tornado2005-08-15: Flood2009-09-25: Flood2009-09-26: Flood2009-05-03: Flood2010-11-30: Flood2010-07-19: Flood2011-02-28: Flood2011-02-28: Flood2011-01-01: Flood2017-04-22: Flood2017-04-23: Flood2018-06-28: Flood2020-02-06: Flood2020-02-06: Flood2021-03-27: Flood2021-07-10: Flood2021-03-28: Flood2024-05-09: Flood2024-05-18: Flood2025-03-16: Flood2026-05-30: Flood2026-03-16: Wind2025-09-04: Wind2025-08-16: Wind2025-05-17: Wind2025-05-02: Wind2025-04-10: Wind2025-03-15: Wind2025-03-15: Wind2024-05-23: Wind2024-05-22: Wind2024-05-22: Wind2024-05-08: Wind2023-08-12: Wind2023-08-12: Wind2023-08-12: Wind2023-08-07: Wind2023-06-26: Wind2023-06-11: Wind2022-07-06: Wind2021-08-09: Wind2021-06-21: Wind2021-06-21: Wind2021-05-04: Wind2021-04-08: Wind2020-05-03: Wind2020-03-03: Wind2020-03-03: Wind2020-02-12: Wind2020-01-11: Wind2019-06-21: Wind2018-06-28: Wind2018-06-28: Wind2018-06-26: Wind2017-05-27: Wind2017-03-01: Wind2017-03-01: Wind2016-07-08: Wind2016-07-08: Wind2016-07-08: Wind2016-07-07: Wind2016-06-23: Wind2015-07-14: Wind2015-07-07: Wind2015-04-25: Wind2014-06-10: Wind2014-05-23: Wind2014-04-28: Wind2014-04-28: Wind2014-04-28: Wind2014-04-28: Wind2014-02-21: Wind2013-12-22: Wind2013-12-22: Wind2012-07-05: Wind2012-07-05: Wind2012-06-14: Wind2012-06-14: Wind2012-06-14: Wind2011-08-03: Wind2011-08-03: Wind2011-06-23: Wind2011-05-26: Wind2011-04-27: Wind2011-04-04: Wind2011-02-28: Wind2011-02-25: Wind2010-08-05: Wind2010-08-05: Wind2010-06-11: Wind2010-06-11: Wind2009-06-16: Wind2009-06-11: Wind2009-05-08: Wind2009-03-28: Wind2009-02-18: Wind2009-02-18: Wind2009-02-11: Wind2009-02-11: Wind2008-07-30: Wind2008-07-28: Wind2008-07-22: Wind2008-07-22: Wind2008-07-22: Wind2008-07-22: Wind2008-07-22: Wind2008-07-12: Wind2008-07-08: Wind2008-06-09: Wind2008-06-09: Wind2008-04-11: Wind2008-03-19: Wind2008-01-29: Wind2008-01-29: Wind2008-01-29: Wind2007-10-19: Wind2007-08-23: Wind2007-08-23: Wind2007-08-03: Wind2007-07-31: Wind2007-07-31: Wind2007-07-19: Wind2007-07-16: Wind2007-06-25: Wind2007-06-24: Wind2007-04-26: Wind2007-04-26: Wind2007-04-26: Wind2007-04-03: Wind2006-10-11: Wind2006-09-23: Wind2006-09-23: Wind2006-08-10: Wind2006-08-04: Wind2006-08-04: Wind2006-07-21: Wind2006-07-21: Wind2006-07-14: Wind
Morgan County within Tennessee. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

Between 1950 and 2026, NCEI recorded 385 storm events in Morgan County, Tennessee, led by damaging wind.

That is 73.7 events per 100 square miles, below the Tennessee figure of 112.2, and 181.1 per 10,000 residents against 66.4 statewide.

8 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 9 deaths and 46 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $4.0M and crop damage at $419K.

FEMA has designated the county in 21 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Winter Storm (major disaster, 6 Feb 2026).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 8 claims since 1978, of which 8 were paid, totalling $58K (about $7K per paid claim). FEMA counts 9 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Very Low" and its expected annual loss as "Very Low" ($6.5M a year across 18 hazards).

7 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 0 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

8events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
385events since 19509 deaths, 46 injuries recorded
21disaster declarationslast 6 Feb 2026
8NFIP flood claims$58K paid

Compared with Tennessee and the United States

MeasureMorgan CountyTennesseeUS
Recorded events since 195038546,2831,977,440
Events per 100 square miles73.7112.256.0
Events per 10,000 residents181.166.459.6
Events in the last 12 months81,52462,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI980426,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$4.0M$9.2B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents0.42.58.1
Average paid NFIP claim$7K$33K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years11.120.916.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Hail: 2Tornado: 1Wind: 1
Hail: 1Tornado: 1Wind: 1
Hail: 1Wind: 2
Hail: 16Tornado: 1Flood: 6Wind: 29Winter: 9Drought: 1
Hail: 35Tornado: 2Flood: 16Wind: 105Winter: 16Tropical: 1Other: 3
Hail: 9Flood: 8Wind: 41Winter: 14
Hail: 6Tornado: 4Flood: 9Wind: 31Winter: 12Other: 1
01950s41960s31970s31980s621990s1782000s722010s632020s
Recorded events in Morgan County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterTropicalDroughtOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 209 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 163 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Wind210
Hail70
Winter51
Flood39
Tornado9
Other4
Tropical1
Drought1
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Wind210—1.0%detail
■ Hail70—1.0%detail
■ Winter51—0.9%detail
■ Flood39—0.9%detail
■ Tornado990.5%
■ Other4—1.1%
■ Tropical1—1.9%
■ Drought1—0.1%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
10 Nov 2002TornadoTornadoF3$968K—728County
6 Feb 2025TornadoTornadoEF2$500K$200K23County
3 Apr 1974TornadoTornadoF3$25K——6County
22 Aug 2003Thunderstorm WindWind69 mph———5County
15 May 2003Thunderstorm WindWind90 mph$100K——4County
18 May 1995HailHail2.75 in$500K———County
19 Jul 2010Flash FloodFlood—$200K———County
28 Feb 2011FloodFlood—$146K———County
5 May 2003Flash FloodFlood—$100K———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
6 Feb 2026DR-4898Major disasterWinter StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
24 Jan 2026EM-3635EmergencyWinter StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
2 Apr 2025EM-3625EmergencySevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
7 Apr 2023DR-4701Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, And TornadoesPublic assistance
2 Apr 2020DR-4514Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3473EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
17 Apr 2019DR-4427Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
23 Jun 2017DR-4320Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, And FloodingPublic assistance
2 Apr 2015DR-4211Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter Storm And FloodingPublic assistance
31 Mar 2011DR-1965Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
5 Sep 2005EM-3217EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
8 May 2003DR-1464Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Nov 2002DR-1441Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And TornadosIndividual assistance, Public assistance
15 Jan 1999DR-1260Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
20 Apr 1998DR-1215Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Jan 1998DR-1197Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
28 Feb 1994DR-1010Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter Ice Storm,Flash FloodingPublic assistance
14 Mar 1993EM-3095EmergencySnowstormSevere Snowfall, Winter StormPublic assistance
4 Jan 1991DR-889Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
22 Mar 1975DR-459Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
28 Jun 1973DR-395Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Morgan County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 19788
Paid claims8
Total paid$58K
Average paid claim$7K
Repetitive-loss properties0
Residential policies in force90.1% of 9,435 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
201811$37,982$37,982
201311$4,003$4,003
201111$985$985
200322$13,707$6,853
199311$80$80
199011$958$958
197911$240$240

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskVery Lowscore 19.1 of 100
Expected annual loss$6.5MVery Low
Social vulnerabilityRelatively Moderate
Community resilienceVery Low
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingVery Low$2,740,959
Cold waveRelatively Low$1,548,412
TornadoRelatively Low$758,535
Strong windRelatively Moderate$586,241
EarthquakeVery Low$381,374
LightningRelatively Low$151,069
WildfireRelatively Low$100,211
Winter weatherRelatively Low$80,258
Ice stormRelatively Low$36,709
HailVery Low$34,089
LandslideRelatively Low$25,965
HurricaneVery Low$16,754
DroughtVery Low$10,666
Heat waveVery Low$4,518

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles7
Tracks within 50 miles3
Hurricane strength within 50 miles0
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Helene202448 mi46 mph
Zeta202082 mi52 mph
Frederic197960 mi40 mph
Audrey195785 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm193239 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm191527 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm189262 mi46 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Morgan County, TN?

NCEI records 70 hail events in Morgan County since 1950, in 29 different years; that is about 0.9 recorded events a year. 17 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Morgan County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 9 tornadoes in Morgan County since 1950, 3 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 9.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Morgan County?

6 Feb 2026: Severe Winter Storm, a major disaster declaration for winter storm. The county appears in 21 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Morgan County, and how much was paid?

8 NFIP claims since 1978, 8 of them paid, for $58K in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Morgan County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Very Low" for overall risk, "Very Low" for expected annual loss, "Relatively Moderate" for social vulnerability and "Very Low" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Morgan County compare with the rest of Tennessee?

73.7 recorded events per 100 square miles against 112.2 statewide, and 0.4 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 2.5. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.