County Hazards

States › Tennessee › Pickett County

Pickett County, Tennessee

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 47137 · 5,079 residents (2021) · 163 sq mi · dominant hazard Winter

Hail · 27Tornado · 6Flood · 10Wind · 62Winter · 67
1978-09-10: Hail1988-04-23: Hail1996-05-26: Hail2000-05-23: Hail2000-05-23: Hail2001-06-26: Hail2002-05-02: Hail2003-03-19: Hail2005-04-22: Hail2005-05-13: Hail2006-04-07: Hail2009-02-18: Hail2009-02-18: Hail2009-05-15: Hail2010-06-19: Hail2012-08-01: Hail2014-06-10: Hail2016-12-18: Hail2017-02-24: Hail2018-07-20: Hail2018-07-20: Hail2018-06-11: Hail2023-06-11: Hail2023-06-11: Hail1974-04-03: Tornado1986-05-26: Tornado1998-04-03: Tornado1998-04-16: Tornado2015-07-14: Tornado2021-12-06: Tornado2019-02-23: Flood2020-02-05: Flood2026-06-28: Flood2026-06-28: Flood1973-11-27: Wind1986-08-08: Wind1990-06-06: Wind1992-06-24: Wind1996-05-28: Wind1997-07-28: Wind1997-06-13: Wind1997-06-13: Wind1997-06-13: Wind1997-05-14: Wind1997-02-21: Wind1998-06-23: Wind1998-05-25: Wind1998-06-14: Wind1999-01-17: Wind1999-05-05: Wind1999-06-02: Wind2000-05-23: Wind2000-05-27: Wind2000-11-09: Wind2000-07-11: Wind2001-06-26: Wind2001-06-26: Wind2001-08-23: Wind2001-10-24: Wind2002-05-13: Wind2003-03-19: Wind2003-05-11: Wind2003-07-23: Wind2004-05-31: Wind2005-05-13: Wind2005-06-14: Wind2005-06-14: Wind2006-08-10: Wind2009-02-11: Wind2009-05-15: Wind2009-06-16: Wind2009-06-22: Wind2011-06-23: Wind2011-02-24: Wind2011-06-21: Wind2012-05-05: Wind2013-05-21: Wind2015-07-14: Wind2016-07-08: Wind2016-07-04: Wind2018-06-26: Wind2019-06-21: Wind2020-05-03: Wind2021-12-11: Wind2022-05-05: Wind2022-07-21: Wind2024-05-26: Wind2024-05-26: Wind2024-05-26: Wind
Pickett County within Tennessee. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

The NCEI record lists 197 events for Pickett County, Tennessee, between 1950 and 2026; winter storms and snow account for the largest share.

That is 120.9 events per 100 square miles, in line with the Tennessee figure of 112.2, and 387.9 per 10,000 residents against 66.4 statewide.

7 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 5 deaths and 11 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $14M and crop damage at $1.0M.

FEMA has designated the county in 21 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Winter Storm (major disaster, 6 Feb 2026).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 2 claims since 1978, of which 2 were paid, totalling $105K (about $52K per paid claim). FEMA counts 4 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Very Low" and its expected annual loss as "Very Low" ($2.1M a year across 18 hazards).

7 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 0 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

7events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
197events since 19505 deaths, 11 injuries recorded
21disaster declarationslast 6 Feb 2026
2NFIP flood claims$105K paid

Compared with Tennessee and the United States

MeasurePickett CountyTennesseeUS
Recorded events since 195019746,2831,977,440
Events per 100 square miles120.9112.256.0
Events per 10,000 residents387.966.459.6
Events in the last 12 months71,52462,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI580426,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$14M$9.2B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents0.42.58.1
Average paid NFIP claim$52K$33K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years50.020.916.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Hail: 1Tornado: 1Wind: 1
Hail: 1Tornado: 1Wind: 1
Hail: 1Tornado: 2Wind: 17Winter: 3
Hail: 14Flood: 6Wind: 24Winter: 8Drought: 10
Hail: 8Tornado: 1Flood: 1Wind: 10Winter: 43Drought: 3Other: 2
Hail: 2Tornado: 1Flood: 3Wind: 9Winter: 13Cold: 2Drought: 8
01950s01960s31970s31980s231990s622000s682010s382020s
Recorded events in Pickett County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterColdDroughtOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 122 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 65 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Winter67
Wind62
Hail27
Drought21
Flood10
Tornado6
Cold2
Other2
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Winter67—1.1%detail
■ Wind62—0.3%detail
■ Hail27—0.4%detail
■ Drought21—1.1%
■ Flood10—0.2%detail
■ Tornado650.4%
■ Cold2—0.3%
■ Other2—0.5%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
3 Apr 1974TornadoTornadoF4$2.5M—56County
16 Apr 1998TornadoTornadoF3$10M$1.0M—4County
28 May 1996Thunderstorm WindWind—$100K——1County
14 Feb 2021Winter StormWinter—$342K———Forecast zone
20 Feb 2015Winter StormWinter—$250K———Forecast zone
3 Mar 2023High WindWind58 mph$150K———Forecast zone
3 Aug 2003Flash FloodFlood—$100K———County
24 Feb 2011Thunderstorm WindWind81 mph$100K———County
14 Jul 2015Thunderstorm WindWind64 mph$100K———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
6 Feb 2026DR-4898Major disasterWinter StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
24 Jan 2026EM-3635EmergencyWinter StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
2 Apr 2025EM-3625EmergencySevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
17 May 2023DR-4712Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, And TornadoPublic assistance
21 Apr 2021DR-4594Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormsPublic assistance
2 Apr 2020DR-4514Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3473EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
2 Apr 2015DR-4211Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter Storm And FloodingPublic assistance
1 May 2011DR-1974Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And Associated FloodingPublic assistance
31 Mar 2011DR-1965Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
15 Sep 2010DR-1937Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
4 May 2010DR-1909Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Flooding, Straight-Line Winds, And TornadoesPublic assistance
5 Sep 2005EM-3217EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
3 Nov 2000FM-2347Fire management assistanceFireTn - Cookeville Fire Complex - 11/03/00Public assistance
12 Jun 2000DR-1331Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
20 Apr 1998DR-1215Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Jan 1998DR-1197Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
28 Feb 1994DR-1010Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter Ice Storm,Flash FloodingPublic assistance
14 Mar 1993EM-3095EmergencySnowstormSevere Snowfall, Winter StormPublic assistance
22 Mar 1975DR-459Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
4 Apr 1974DR-424Major disasterTornadoTornadoesIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Pickett County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 19782
Paid claims2
Total paid$105K
Average paid claim$52K
Repetitive-loss properties0
Residential policies in force40.1% of 3,506 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202622$104,515$52,257

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskVery Lowscore 4.6 of 100
Expected annual loss$2.1MVery Low
Social vulnerabilityRelatively High
Community resilienceRelatively Low
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingVery Low$899,252
Cold waveRelatively Low$466,460
TornadoVery Low$277,411
Strong windRelatively Low$177,495
LightningRelatively Low$87,984
EarthquakeVery Low$75,593
HailVery Low$73,695
Winter weatherRelatively Low$31,618
HurricaneVery Low$15,853
Ice stormVery Low$11,537
Heat waveVery Low$9,192
WildfireVery Low$2,903
DroughtVery Low$2,267
LandslideVery Low$891

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles7
Tracks within 50 miles4
Hurricane strength within 50 miles0
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Helene202419 mi46 mph
Frederic197944 mi40 mph
Audrey195757 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm193275 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm191516 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm189224 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm1888100 mi52 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Pickett County, TN?

NCEI records 27 hail events in Pickett County since 1950, in 18 different years; that is about 0.4 recorded events a year. 4 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Pickett County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 6 tornadoes in Pickett County since 1950, 2 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 5.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Pickett County?

6 Feb 2026: Severe Winter Storm, a major disaster declaration for winter storm. The county appears in 21 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Pickett County, and how much was paid?

2 NFIP claims since 1978, 2 of them paid, for $105K in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Pickett County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Very Low" for overall risk, "Very Low" for expected annual loss, "Relatively High" for social vulnerability and "Relatively Low" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Pickett County compare with the rest of Tennessee?

120.9 recorded events per 100 square miles against 112.2 statewide, and 0.4 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 2.5. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.