County Hazards

States › Tennessee › Polk County

Polk County, Tennessee

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 47139 · 17,776 residents (2021) · 435 sq mi · dominant hazard Wind

Hail · 46Tornado · 14Flood · 11Wind · 202Winter · 0
1970-06-21: Hail1973-12-13: Hail1978-07-23: Hail1985-06-07: Hail1989-03-15: Hail1990-08-29: Hail1991-02-13: Hail1992-03-19: Hail1996-08-26: Hail1996-08-19: Hail1997-08-28: Hail1997-04-21: Hail1998-05-07: Hail1999-05-13: Hail1999-04-08: Hail1999-01-21: Hail2001-05-24: Hail2001-06-29: Hail2001-06-25: Hail2002-06-04: Hail2002-06-20: Hail2003-03-19: Hail2003-04-30: Hail2003-04-30: Hail2005-02-21: Hail2005-04-22: Hail2005-03-27: Hail2005-12-28: Hail2005-12-28: Hail2006-05-20: Hail2006-04-08: Hail2006-04-20: Hail2006-05-30: Hail2006-05-02: Hail2006-05-20: Hail2007-08-24: Hail2008-08-02: Hail2010-03-12: Hail2011-06-15: Hail2011-04-27: Hail2012-04-26: Hail2018-03-17: Hail2020-04-25: Hail2021-03-27: Hail1973-12-13: Tornado1974-04-03: Tornado1974-04-03: Tornado1974-03-21: Tornado1986-02-06: Tornado1997-03-29: Tornado1998-05-07: Tornado2008-05-18: Tornado2010-04-25: Tornado2011-04-27: Tornado2011-04-27: Tornado2012-03-02: Tornado2016-11-30: Tornado2020-04-12: Tornado2009-09-21: Flood2009-09-26: Flood2011-01-01: Flood2012-07-10: Flood2013-01-16: Flood2015-12-25: Flood2015-12-02: Flood2018-07-06: Flood2018-07-06: Flood2021-03-28: Flood2026-06-22: Wind2026-06-22: Wind2026-06-22: Wind2026-06-22: Wind2026-06-14: Wind2025-07-04: Wind2025-06-27: Wind2025-05-02: Wind2025-05-02: Wind2024-08-17: Wind2024-08-17: Wind2024-07-30: Wind2024-05-26: Wind2024-05-26: Wind2024-05-23: Wind2024-05-09: Wind2023-08-07: Wind2023-07-20: Wind2023-06-25: Wind2023-06-05: Wind2023-05-16: Wind2023-05-16: Wind2023-03-25: Wind2023-02-27: Wind2023-01-03: Wind2021-12-11: Wind2021-08-11: Wind2021-08-11: Wind2020-07-24: Wind2020-06-21: Wind2020-04-12: Wind2020-04-12: Wind2020-01-11: Wind2020-01-11: Wind2019-06-21: Wind2018-11-06: Wind2018-11-06: Wind2018-07-21: Wind2018-07-21: Wind2018-07-21: Wind2018-06-28: Wind2018-06-24: Wind2017-03-21: Wind2017-03-21: Wind2016-11-30: Wind2016-07-16: Wind2016-07-09: Wind2016-07-08: Wind2015-07-14: Wind2015-06-08: Wind2014-08-20: Wind2014-07-08: Wind2014-06-19: Wind2014-06-18: Wind2014-06-10: Wind2013-07-21: Wind2013-04-11: Wind2012-08-09: Wind2012-07-10: Wind2012-07-05: Wind2012-07-05: Wind2012-03-02: Wind2011-06-18: Wind2011-06-05: Wind2011-06-05: Wind2011-04-27: Wind2011-03-26: Wind2011-02-28: Wind2011-02-28: Wind2011-02-28: Wind2011-02-28: Wind2011-02-25: Wind2010-10-26: Wind2010-09-27: Wind2010-08-05: Wind2010-07-26: Wind2010-07-25: Wind2010-06-15: Wind2010-06-15: Wind2010-05-28: Wind2010-05-15: Wind2010-04-25: Wind2009-06-22: Wind2009-06-22: Wind2009-06-22: Wind2009-06-17: Wind2009-06-11: Wind2009-06-10: Wind2009-06-10: Wind2009-05-28: Wind2009-05-08: Wind2008-12-10: Wind2008-07-22: Wind2008-06-28: Wind2008-06-10: Wind2008-06-09: Wind2008-06-01: Wind2008-04-11: Wind2008-03-04: Wind2008-03-04: Wind2008-02-06: Wind2007-08-28: Wind2007-08-24: Wind2007-07-25: Wind2007-06-27: Wind2007-06-14: Wind2006-10-11: Wind2006-09-28: Wind2006-09-04: Wind2006-08-20: Wind2006-08-10: Wind2006-07-28: Wind2006-07-21: Wind2006-07-04: Wind2006-05-20: Wind2006-04-26: Wind2006-04-03: Wind2005-12-28: Wind2005-07-18: Wind2005-07-03: Wind
Polk County within Tennessee. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

The NCEI record lists 276 events for Polk County, Tennessee, between 1950 and 2026; damaging wind account for the largest share.

That is 63.5 events per 100 square miles, below the Tennessee figure of 112.2, and 155.3 per 10,000 residents against 66.4 statewide.

6 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 4 deaths and 11 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $10M and crop damage at $354K.

FEMA has designated the county in 23 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Winter Storm (major disaster, 6 Feb 2026).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 43 claims since 1978, of which 37 were paid, totalling $638K (about $17K per paid claim). FEMA counts 56 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Very Low" and its expected annual loss as "Very Low" ($6.8M a year across 18 hazards).

6 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 0 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

6events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
276events since 19504 deaths, 11 injuries recorded
23disaster declarationslast 6 Feb 2026
43NFIP flood claims$638K paid

Compared with Tennessee and the United States

MeasurePolk CountyTennesseeUS
Recorded events since 195027646,2831,977,440
Events per 100 square miles63.5112.256.0
Events per 10,000 residents155.366.459.6
Events in the last 12 months61,52462,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI480426,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$10M$9.2B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents2.42.58.1
Average paid NFIP claim$17K$33K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years8.920.916.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Wind: 1
Hail: 3Tornado: 4Wind: 2
Hail: 2Tornado: 1Wind: 5
Hail: 13Tornado: 2Wind: 35
Hail: 21Tornado: 1Flood: 3Wind: 77Other: 1
Hail: 5Tornado: 5Flood: 7Wind: 48Other: 2
Hail: 2Tornado: 1Flood: 1Wind: 34
01950s11960s91970s81980s501990s1032000s672010s382020s
Recorded events in Polk County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 146 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 112 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Wind202
Hail46
Tornado14
Flood11
Other3
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Wind20210.9%detail
■ Hail46—0.6%detail
■ Tornado1430.8%detail
■ Flood11—0.2%detail
■ Other3—0.8%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
30 Nov 2016TornadoTornadoEF3——2—County
28 Feb 2011Thunderstorm WindWind60 mph$15K—11County
3 Apr 1974TornadoTornadoF3$250K—1—County
21 Mar 1974TornadoTornadoF2$250K——7County
13 Dec 1973TornadoTornadoF2$250K——3County
6 May 2003Flash FloodFlood—$4.2M———County
6 Feb 1986TornadoTornadoF3$2.5M———County
2 Mar 2012TornadoTornadoEF1$1.4M———County
7 May 1998TornadoTornadoF1$100K$50K——County
29 Mar 1997TornadoTornadoF1$100K———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
6 Feb 2026DR-4898Major disasterWinter StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
24 Jan 2026EM-3635EmergencyWinter StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
2 Apr 2025EM-3625EmergencySevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
17 Jun 2024DR-4792Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
17 May 2023DR-4712Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, And TornadoPublic assistance
24 Apr 2020DR-4541Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And FloodingPublic assistance
2 Apr 2020DR-4514Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3473EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
16 Mar 2012DR-4060Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds AndIndividual assistance
1 May 2011DR-1974Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And Associated FloodingPublic assistance
5 Sep 2005EM-3217EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
7 Oct 2004DR-1568Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
8 May 2003DR-1464Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
3 Nov 2001FM-2387Fire management assistanceFireTn - Chattanooga Fire Complex - 11/03/01Public assistance
20 Apr 1998DR-1215Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Jan 1998DR-1197Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
2 Apr 1997DR-1171Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And TornadoesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
14 Apr 1994DR-1022Major disasterFloodExtensive Rainfall And Flash FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
28 Feb 1994DR-1010Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter Ice Storm,Flash FloodingPublic assistance
14 Mar 1993EM-3095EmergencySnowstormSevere Snowfall, Winter StormPublic assistance
4 Jan 1991DR-889Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
27 Feb 1990DR-858Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
4 Apr 1974DR-424Major disasterTornadoTornadoesIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Polk County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 197843
Paid claims37
Total paid$638K
Average paid claim$17K
Repetitive-loss properties73 severe
Residential policies in force560.6% of 9,136 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202055$115,358$23,072
201522$34,507$17,253
201352$50,297$25,149
200465$81,646$16,329
20031514$222,191$15,871
199576$68,861$11,477
199433$64,704$21,568

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskVery Lowscore 31.2 of 100
Expected annual loss$6.8MVery Low
Social vulnerabilityVery High
Community resilienceVery Low
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively Low$3,561,342
TornadoRelatively Low$853,409
Strong windRelatively Moderate$640,649
EarthquakeRelatively Low$559,647
Cold waveRelatively Low$453,190
WildfireRelatively Low$186,688
LightningRelatively Low$161,140
LandslideRelatively Moderate$159,129
HailVery Low$77,194
DroughtRelatively Low$58,122
Heat waveVery Low$36,645
HurricaneVery Low$33,553
Ice stormRelatively Low$23,828
Winter weatherVery Low$9,517

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles6
Tracks within 50 miles1
Hurricane strength within 50 miles0
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Helene202491 mi52 mph
Zeta202055 mi52 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm193220 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm191597 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm190791 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm190298 mi40 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Polk County, TN?

NCEI records 46 hail events in Polk County since 1950, in 27 different years; that is about 0.6 recorded events a year. 9 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Polk County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 14 tornadoes in Polk County since 1950, 6 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 3.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Polk County?

6 Feb 2026: Severe Winter Storm, a major disaster declaration for winter storm. The county appears in 23 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Polk County, and how much was paid?

43 NFIP claims since 1978, 37 of them paid, for $638K in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Polk County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Very Low" for overall risk, "Very Low" for expected annual loss, "Very High" for social vulnerability and "Very Low" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Polk County compare with the rest of Tennessee?

63.5 recorded events per 100 square miles against 112.2 statewide, and 2.4 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 2.5. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.