County Hazards

States › Tennessee › Sullivan County

Sullivan County, Tennessee

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 47163 · 159,265 residents (2021) · 413 sq mi · dominant hazard Wind

Hail · 93Tornado · 3Flood · 50Wind · 279Winter · 82
1960-10-08: Hail1967-04-23: Hail1967-04-23: Hail1968-04-23: Hail1969-07-25: Hail1971-06-26: Hail1977-05-05: Hail1989-04-27: Hail1996-05-25: Hail1996-05-29: Hail1996-05-24: Hail1996-05-25: Hail1997-08-04: Hail1998-06-03: Hail1998-04-03: Hail1998-04-03: Hail1998-06-24: Hail1998-06-24: Hail1998-05-07: Hail1998-06-22: Hail1998-05-07: Hail1999-06-02: Hail1999-10-04: Hail1999-08-01: Hail2000-05-28: Hail2000-07-28: Hail2000-05-28: Hail2000-04-17: Hail2001-05-22: Hail2001-05-21: Hail2001-06-29: Hail2001-06-29: Hail2002-04-28: Hail2002-06-02: Hail2002-07-02: Hail2002-07-03: Hail2002-08-02: Hail2003-09-27: Hail2003-06-16: Hail2003-05-01: Hail2004-04-13: Hail2004-06-14: Hail2005-04-22: Hail2005-05-13: Hail2006-05-26: Hail2006-05-26: Hail2006-05-18: Hail2006-05-18: Hail2006-05-18: Hail2006-06-11: Hail2006-09-28: Hail2007-08-29: Hail2007-07-16: Hail2007-06-15: Hail2008-06-11: Hail2008-07-04: Hail2009-04-10: Hail2010-09-16: Hail2011-05-26: Hail2011-05-26: Hail2011-05-26: Hail2011-05-24: Hail2011-05-26: Hail2011-05-26: Hail2011-05-26: Hail2011-05-26: Hail2011-05-22: Hail2011-03-24: Hail2011-04-25: Hail2011-04-27: Hail2011-04-27: Hail2011-04-27: Hail2011-04-27: Hail2011-04-27: Hail2011-04-27: Hail2013-05-21: Hail2013-05-21: Hail2013-05-22: Hail2013-07-17: Hail2014-07-27: Hail2014-07-27: Hail2017-05-12: Hail2018-03-17: Hail2020-06-14: Hail2021-03-27: Hail2022-05-06: Hail2022-05-21: Hail2022-05-19: Hail2022-05-19: Hail2022-05-19: Hail2022-05-19: Hail2023-09-07: Hail2024-09-24: Hail1974-04-04: Tornado1977-10-01: Tornado2014-07-27: Tornado2007-06-15: Flood2009-12-09: Flood2009-09-24: Flood2009-09-26: Flood2009-09-25: Flood2011-04-25: Flood2012-07-10: Flood2013-01-15: Flood2013-07-17: Flood2017-04-23: Flood2018-04-15: Flood2019-02-07: Flood2019-07-22: Flood2020-02-06: Flood2020-02-06: Flood2021-03-28: Flood2021-03-28: Flood2021-03-28: Flood2021-03-28: Flood2022-02-24: Flood2023-07-14: Flood2024-09-26: Flood2025-08-13: Flood2025-08-13: Flood2025-08-13: Flood2025-07-30: Flood2025-07-30: Flood2025-07-30: Flood2025-07-30: Flood2025-12-19: Wind2025-12-19: Wind2025-09-04: Wind2025-07-09: Wind2025-06-17: Wind2025-02-06: Wind2025-02-06: Wind2024-09-24: Wind2024-09-24: Wind2024-08-16: Wind2024-08-16: Wind2023-09-07: Wind2023-08-14: Wind2023-07-29: Wind2023-03-03: Wind2023-01-12: Wind2023-01-03: Wind2022-09-25: Wind2022-08-14: Wind2022-07-18: Wind2022-07-05: Wind2022-06-17: Wind2022-05-06: Wind2021-03-27: Wind2021-03-27: Wind2020-07-24: Wind2020-07-23: Wind2020-07-05: Wind2020-07-05: Wind2020-03-29: Wind2020-03-29: Wind2020-01-11: Wind2020-01-11: Wind2019-08-01: Wind2019-08-01: Wind2019-08-01: Wind2019-08-01: Wind2019-08-01: Wind2019-08-01: Wind2019-06-22: Wind2019-04-14: Wind2018-11-06: Wind2018-09-09: Wind2018-07-20: Wind2018-04-04: Wind2017-11-18: Wind2017-05-12: Wind2016-11-30: Wind2016-11-30: Wind2016-08-16: Wind2016-08-16: Wind2016-07-08: Wind2016-07-04: Wind2016-07-04: Wind2016-06-23: Wind2016-06-04: Wind2015-07-13: Wind2015-07-13: Wind2015-07-13: Wind2015-06-08: Wind2015-06-08: Wind2015-06-08: Wind2014-07-27: Wind2014-07-08: Wind2014-06-29: Wind2014-05-27: Wind2014-05-21: Wind2014-05-13: Wind2014-04-28: Wind2014-04-28: Wind2014-02-21: Wind2013-07-18: Wind2013-07-18: Wind2013-07-18: Wind2013-07-17: Wind2013-06-13: Wind2013-05-21: Wind2013-04-11: Wind2012-08-03: Wind2012-07-31: Wind2012-07-24: Wind2012-07-24: Wind2012-07-05: Wind2012-07-05: Wind2012-07-01: Wind2011-09-03: Wind2011-09-03: Wind2011-08-08: Wind2011-07-22: Wind2011-07-22: Wind2011-06-21: Wind2011-06-21: Wind2011-06-09: Wind2011-05-24: Wind2011-05-22: Wind2011-05-22: Wind2011-05-13: Wind2011-04-27: Wind2010-10-25: Wind2010-10-25: Wind2010-08-05: Wind2010-08-05: Wind2010-08-04: Wind2010-06-24: Wind2010-06-21: Wind2010-06-21: Wind2010-06-15: Wind2010-05-16: Wind2009-09-09: Wind2009-09-09: Wind2009-07-09: Wind2009-06-18: Wind2009-06-18: Wind
Sullivan County within Tennessee. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

Between 1950 and 2026, NCEI recorded 520 storm events in Sullivan County, Tennessee, led by damaging wind.

That is 125.8 events per 100 square miles, in line with the Tennessee figure of 112.2, and 32.6 per 10,000 residents against 66.4 statewide.

14 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 2 deaths and 22 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $7.5M and crop damage at $420K.

FEMA has designated the county in 12 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Winter Storm (major disaster, 6 Feb 2026).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 197 claims since 1978, of which 135 were paid, totalling $2.0M (about $15K per paid claim). FEMA counts 266 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Low" and its expected annual loss as "Relatively Low" ($29M a year across 18 hazards).

7 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 0 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

14events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
520events since 19502 deaths, 22 injuries recorded
12disaster declarationslast 6 Feb 2026
197NFIP flood claims$2.0M paid

Compared with Tennessee and the United States

MeasureSullivan CountyTennesseeUS
Recorded events since 195052046,2831,977,440
Events per 100 square miles125.8112.256.0
Events per 10,000 residents32.666.459.6
Events in the last 12 months141,52462,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI280426,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$7.5M$9.2B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents1.22.58.1
Average paid NFIP claim$15K$33K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years15.820.916.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Wind: 3
Hail: 5Wind: 9
Hail: 2Tornado: 2Wind: 9
Hail: 1Wind: 9
Hail: 16Flood: 12Wind: 37Winter: 10Drought: 1
Hail: 33Flood: 14Wind: 99Winter: 16Heat: 1Lightning: 6Other: 1
Hail: 26Tornado: 1Flood: 8Wind: 77Winter: 43Other: 3
Hail: 10Flood: 16Wind: 36Winter: 13Cold: 1
31950s141960s131970s101980s761990s1702000s1582010s762020s
Recorded events in Sullivan County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterHeatColdDroughtLightningOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 290 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 192 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Wind279
Hail93
Winter82
Flood50
Lightning6
Other4
Tornado3
Heat1
Cold1
Drought1
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Wind27911.3%detail
■ Hail93—1.3%detail
■ Winter8211.4%detail
■ Flood50—1.1%detail
■ Lightning6—1.2%
■ Other4—1.1%
■ Tornado3—0.2%
■ Heat1—0.0%
■ Cold1—0.2%
■ Drought1—0.1%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
25 Sep 2022Thunderstorm WindWind58 mph——1—County
30 Jan 2026Heavy SnowWinter———1—Forecast zone
1 Oct 1977TornadoTornadoF1$2.5M——10County
23 Jul 2002Thunderstorm WindWind—$20K$20K—3County
4 Apr 1974TornadoTornadoF0$250K——2County
18 Jun 2009Thunderstorm WindWind69 mph$20K——2County
10 Jul 2004Thunderstorm WindWind52 mph———2County
16 Apr 2011Strong WindWind52 mph$30K——1Forecast zone
18 Jul 2013Thunderstorm WindWind75 mph———1County
27 Sep 2024High WindWind81 mph———1Forecast zone
25 May 1998Thunderstorm WindWind—$1.5M———County
26 May 2004Thunderstorm WindWind90 mph$1.5M———County
26 May 2004Thunderstorm WindWind90 mph$300K———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
6 Feb 2026DR-4898Major disasterWinter StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
24 Jan 2026EM-3635EmergencyWinter StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
2 Apr 2025EM-3625EmergencySevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
2 Oct 2024DR-4832Major disasterTropical StormTropical Storm HelenePublic assistance
2 Apr 2020DR-4514Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3473EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
1 May 2011DR-1974Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And Associated FloodingPublic assistance
5 Sep 2005EM-3217EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
13 Jan 1998DR-1197Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
14 Mar 1993EM-3095EmergencySnowstormSevere Snowfall, Winter StormPublic assistance
4 Apr 1974DR-424Major disasterTornadoTornadoesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
21 Mar 1973DR-366Major disasterFloodHeavy Rains & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Sullivan County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 1978197
Paid claims135
Total paid$2.0M
Average paid claim$15K
Repetitive-loss properties130 severe
Residential policies in force2660.4% of 61,203 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202533$40,973$13,658
202342$17,187$8,593
202221$1,703$1,703
202175$264,627$52,925
20201411$179,565$16,324
2019107$162,665$23,238
201721$2,373$2,373
201620$0—
201521$3,465$3,465
201410$0—
20132920$541,292$27,065
201242$9,373$4,686
201154$73,953$18,488
201020$0—
200932$8,421$4,210
200811$1,166$1,166
200521$1,125$1,125
2003108$43,094$5,387
200254$7,965$1,991
200122$10,705$5,353
199910$0—
19981812$343,243$28,604
199687$83,549$11,936
199543$7,912$2,637
199487$12,525$1,789

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Lowscore 71.5 of 100
Expected annual loss$29MRelatively Low
Social vulnerabilityRelatively Moderate
Community resilienceRelatively Moderate
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively Moderate$20,188,414
EarthquakeRelatively Low$3,296,940
Strong windRelatively High$1,653,626
TornadoRelatively Low$1,066,797
LightningRelatively High$911,316
Cold waveRelatively Low$858,905
HailRelatively Low$144,810
HurricaneVery Low$112,928
LandslideRelatively Moderate$104,552
Winter weatherRelatively Low$80,065
Heat waveVery Low$50,910
Ice stormRelatively Low$26,055
DroughtVery Low$19,997
WildfireVery Low$19,931

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles7
Tracks within 50 miles1
Hurricane strength within 50 miles0
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Hugo198954 mi63 mph
Gracie195953 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm194995 mi58 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm193476 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm193239 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm190779 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm1901100 mi40 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Sullivan County, TN?

NCEI records 93 hail events in Sullivan County since 1950, in 32 different years; that is about 1.2 recorded events a year. 15 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Sullivan County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 3 tornadoes in Sullivan County since 1950, 0 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 0.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Sullivan County?

6 Feb 2026: Severe Winter Storm, a major disaster declaration for winter storm. The county appears in 12 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Sullivan County, and how much was paid?

197 NFIP claims since 1978, 135 of them paid, for $2.0M in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Sullivan County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Low" for overall risk, "Relatively Low" for expected annual loss, "Relatively Moderate" for social vulnerability and "Relatively Moderate" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Sullivan County compare with the rest of Tennessee?

125.8 recorded events per 100 square miles against 112.2 statewide, and 1.2 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 2.5. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.