County Hazards

States › Tennessee › Warren County

Warren County, Tennessee

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 47177 · 41,523 residents (2021) · 433 sq mi · dominant hazard Wind

Hail · 53Tornado · 19Flood · 23Wind · 177Winter · 74
1961-03-13: Hail1977-07-01: Hail1984-05-06: Hail1985-06-07: Hail1997-07-04: Hail1997-04-19: Hail1997-04-21: Hail1998-04-08: Hail1998-04-03: Hail1998-04-08: Hail1999-05-05: Hail1999-05-11: Hail2000-05-26: Hail2001-06-26: Hail2002-04-28: Hail2002-04-28: Hail2002-11-10: Hail2003-03-19: Hail2003-04-20: Hail2004-05-10: Hail2005-03-31: Hail2005-04-22: Hail2005-04-22: Hail2005-04-22: Hail2006-04-19: Hail2006-06-20: Hail2006-06-30: Hail2007-08-24: Hail2008-06-23: Hail2008-04-11: Hail2010-01-21: Hail2010-01-21: Hail2010-05-15: Hail2013-05-19: Hail2013-05-19: Hail2016-07-08: Hail2017-04-05: Hail2018-04-03: Hail2018-06-27: Hail2019-04-07: Hail2021-03-25: Hail2022-09-25: Hail2024-05-06: Hail2025-04-10: Hail1950-03-27: Tornado1952-02-29: Tornado1953-01-20: Tornado1961-03-13: Tornado1963-03-11: Tornado1965-03-17: Tornado1974-04-03: Tornado1974-04-03: Tornado1980-06-24: Tornado2003-03-19: Tornado2006-04-07: Tornado2006-04-07: Tornado2008-04-11: Tornado2009-07-28: Tornado2009-09-07: Tornado2011-04-27: Tornado2017-04-05: Tornado2020-02-05: Tornado2020-08-28: Tornado2001-11-24: Flood2005-06-06: Flood2010-01-24: Flood2010-05-15: Flood2011-11-28: Flood2011-07-04: Flood2011-04-27: Flood2019-03-09: Flood2019-02-23: Flood2019-02-20: Flood1965-03-25: Wind1966-07-07: Wind1967-05-01: Wind1970-04-02: Wind1970-10-09: Wind1973-11-27: Wind1979-05-22: Wind1980-07-02: Wind1981-06-10: Wind1983-08-24: Wind1983-04-01: Wind1984-06-29: Wind1985-12-01: Wind1986-07-14: Wind1989-11-15: Wind1990-07-11: Wind1991-04-29: Wind1991-02-13: Wind1992-06-18: Wind1996-04-20: Wind1996-04-20: Wind1997-06-13: Wind1997-05-02: Wind1997-02-21: Wind1997-02-21: Wind1998-05-21: Wind1998-04-08: Wind1998-05-21: Wind1999-05-05: Wind2000-04-20: Wind2000-06-25: Wind2000-08-09: Wind2001-02-25: Wind2001-04-15: Wind2001-06-25: Wind2002-04-28: Wind2002-05-02: Wind2002-05-02: Wind2002-05-02: Wind2002-05-01: Wind2002-08-22: Wind2002-11-10: Wind2002-11-10: Wind2003-08-22: Wind2003-08-22: Wind2003-03-19: Wind2003-03-19: Wind2003-05-17: Wind2003-06-10: Wind2003-06-10: Wind2003-06-10: Wind2003-06-10: Wind2003-06-16: Wind2003-06-16: Wind2003-06-11: Wind2003-07-28: Wind2004-05-31: Wind2004-05-31: Wind2004-07-13: Wind2005-02-21: Wind2005-06-27: Wind2005-06-06: Wind2006-05-30: Wind2006-06-02: Wind2006-06-01: Wind2006-09-23: Wind2007-07-26: Wind2008-01-29: Wind2008-06-09: Wind2008-06-09: Wind2008-04-11: Wind2009-04-10: Wind2009-06-11: Wind2009-10-09: Wind2010-06-24: Wind2010-06-09: Wind2010-06-09: Wind2011-10-18: Wind2011-04-11: Wind2011-04-04: Wind2011-04-27: Wind2011-04-27: Wind2011-05-26: Wind2011-05-26: Wind2012-07-05: Wind2012-07-05: Wind2012-09-17: Wind2014-10-13: Wind2014-07-27: Wind2014-07-27: Wind2014-06-05: Wind2014-04-28: Wind2014-02-20: Wind2014-02-20: Wind2015-04-03: Wind2015-04-03: Wind2015-04-03: Wind2015-04-03: Wind2015-04-20: Wind2015-07-14: Wind2015-07-14: Wind
Warren County within Tennessee. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

Between 1950 and 2026, NCEI recorded 391 storm events in Warren County, Tennessee, led by damaging wind.

That is 90.4 events per 100 square miles, in line with the Tennessee figure of 112.2, and 94.2 per 10,000 residents against 66.4 statewide.

6 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 4 deaths and 10 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $10M and crop damage at $30K.

FEMA has designated the county in 22 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Winter Storm (major disaster, 6 Feb 2026).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 28 claims since 1978, of which 25 were paid, totalling $311K (about $12K per paid claim). FEMA counts 28 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Low" and its expected annual loss as "Relatively Low" ($18M a year across 18 hazards).

6 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 0 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

6events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
391events since 19504 deaths, 10 injuries recorded
22disaster declarationslast 6 Feb 2026
28NFIP flood claims$311K paid

Compared with Tennessee and the United States

MeasureWarren CountyTennesseeUS
Recorded events since 195039146,2831,977,440
Events per 100 square miles90.4112.256.0
Events per 10,000 residents94.266.459.6
Events in the last 12 months61,52462,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI480426,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$10M$9.2B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents0.72.58.1
Average paid NFIP claim$12K$33K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years17.920.916.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Tornado: 3
Hail: 1Tornado: 3Wind: 3
Hail: 1Tornado: 2Wind: 4
Hail: 2Tornado: 1Wind: 8
Hail: 11Flood: 6Wind: 23Winter: 5
Hail: 24Tornado: 6Flood: 9Wind: 53Winter: 6Drought: 20Lightning: 1Other: 1
Hail: 10Tornado: 2Flood: 8Wind: 50Winter: 45Drought: 6
Hail: 4Tornado: 2Wind: 36Winter: 18Cold: 2Drought: 15
31950s71960s71970s111980s451990s1202000s1212010s772020s
Recorded events in Warren County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterColdDroughtLightningOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 245 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 115 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Wind177
Winter74
Hail53
Drought41
Flood23
Tornado19
Cold2
Lightning1
Other1
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Wind177—0.8%detail
■ Winter74—1.3%detail
■ Hail53—0.7%detail
■ Drought41—2.1%
■ Flood23—0.5%detail
■ Tornado1941.1%detail
■ Cold2—0.3%
■ Lightning1—0.2%
■ Other1—0.3%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
7 Apr 2006TornadoTornadoF1$500K—2—County
3 Apr 1974TornadoTornadoF2$250K—11County
7 Apr 2006TornadoTornadoF1$100K—1—County
5 Apr 2017TornadoTornadoEF1$50K——1County
17 Mar 1965TornadoTornadoF1$25K——1County
3 Apr 1974TornadoTornadoF1$25K——1County
10 Mar 2017Thunderstorm WindWind96 mph$25K——1County
7 Mar 1996Winter WeatherWinter—$10K——1Forecast zone
19 Mar 2003TornadoTornadoF1$10K——1County
1 Feb 1996Winter StormWinter—$5K——1Forecast zone
2 May 2002Thunderstorm WindWind104 mph———1County
10 Jul 2002LightningLightning————1County
20 Feb 2015Winter StormWinter—$2.0M———Forecast zone
24 Dec 1998Winter StormWinter—$1.5M———Forecast zone
11 Apr 2008TornadoTornadoEF1$1.1M———County
20 Feb 2019Flash FloodFlood—$541K———County
8 May 2024Thunderstorm WindWind81 mph$500K———County
3 Mar 2023High WindWind58 mph$300K———Forecast zone
13 Mar 1961TornadoTornadoF3$250K———County
11 Mar 1963TornadoTornadoF2$250K———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
6 Feb 2026DR-4898Major disasterWinter StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
24 Jan 2026EM-3635EmergencyWinter StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
2 Apr 2025EM-3625EmergencySevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
17 Jun 2024DR-4792Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
2 Apr 2020DR-4514Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3473EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
17 Apr 2019DR-4427Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
2 Apr 2015DR-4211Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter Storm And FloodingPublic assistance
5 Apr 2006DR-1634Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And TornadoesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
5 Sep 2005EM-3217EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
8 May 2003DR-1464Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Nov 2002DR-1441Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And TornadosPublic assistance
5 Apr 2002DR-1408Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
19 Jan 1999DR-1262Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes And High WindsPublic assistance
15 Jan 1999DR-1260Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
13 Jan 1998DR-1197Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
28 Feb 1994DR-1010Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter Ice Storm,Flash FloodingPublic assistance
14 Mar 1993EM-3095EmergencySnowstormSevere Snowfall, Winter StormPublic assistance
4 Jan 1991DR-889Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
4 Apr 1974DR-424Major disasterTornadoTornadoesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
28 Jun 1973DR-395Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
21 Mar 1973DR-366Major disasterFloodHeavy Rains & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Warren County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 197828
Paid claims25
Total paid$311K
Average paid claim$12K
Repetitive-loss properties20 severe
Residential policies in force280.2% of 17,491 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202422$30,993$15,497
202010$0—
201922$32,648$16,324
201111$1,902$1,902
200911$16,800$16,800
200411$7,530$7,530
200311$5,587$5,587
200255$59,444$11,889
200011$9,485$9,485
199711$6,105$6,105
199422$10,438$5,219
199110$0—
199077$125,695$17,956
198021$4,642$4,642

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Lowscore 63.5 of 100
Expected annual loss$18MRelatively Low
Social vulnerabilityRelatively High
Community resilienceRelatively Low
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively Low$6,492,160
TornadoRelatively Moderate$4,156,623
Cold waveRelatively Moderate$3,328,256
EarthquakeRelatively Low$1,799,020
DroughtRelatively Moderate$882,269
Strong windRelatively Moderate$867,557
LightningRelatively Moderate$279,095
HailRelatively Low$266,347
Winter weatherRelatively Moderate$170,387
HurricaneVery Low$84,047
Ice stormRelatively Low$61,325
Heat waveVery Low$52,655
WildfireVery Low$7,670
LandslideVery Low$222

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles6
Tracks within 50 miles0
Hurricane strength within 50 miles0
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Helene202492 mi46 mph
Frederic197976 mi46 mph
Audrey195760 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm193264 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm191574 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm189279 mi46 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Warren County, TN?

NCEI records 53 hail events in Warren County since 1950, in 27 different years; that is about 0.7 recorded events a year. 6 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Warren County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 19 tornadoes in Warren County since 1950, 5 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 4.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Warren County?

6 Feb 2026: Severe Winter Storm, a major disaster declaration for winter storm. The county appears in 22 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Warren County, and how much was paid?

28 NFIP claims since 1978, 25 of them paid, for $311K in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Warren County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Low" for overall risk, "Relatively Low" for expected annual loss, "Relatively High" for social vulnerability and "Relatively Low" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Warren County compare with the rest of Tennessee?

90.4 recorded events per 100 square miles against 112.2 statewide, and 0.7 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 2.5. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.