County Hazards

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James City County, Virginia

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 51095 · 79,882 residents (2021) · 142 sq mi · dominant hazard Wind

Hail · 20Tornado · 9Flood · 39Wind · 108Winter · 53
1957-06-30: Hail1990-07-11: Hail1999-08-20: Hail1999-08-11: Hail1999-08-11: Hail1999-08-11: Hail2000-08-16: Hail2000-08-16: Hail2001-05-26: Hail2001-05-26: Hail2001-08-27: Hail2004-03-07: Hail2005-08-21: Hail2007-06-29: Hail2007-06-29: Hail2008-08-10: Hail2008-07-08: Hail2022-10-17: Hail1993-08-06: Tornado1993-08-06: Tornado2004-08-30: Tornado2006-01-11: Tornado2008-04-28: Tornado2011-04-16: Tornado2018-10-11: Tornado2020-08-04: Tornado2006-10-07: Flood2006-10-07: Flood2011-08-27: Flood2012-10-29: Flood2013-06-07: Flood2016-10-08: Flood2018-10-11: Flood2018-10-12: Flood2020-05-29: Flood2020-08-14: Flood2020-09-18: Flood2020-09-18: Flood2020-09-18: Flood2020-11-12: Flood2022-07-15: Flood2023-08-28: Flood2024-08-04: Flood2025-08-18: Flood2025-07-31: Flood1957-06-30: Wind1976-07-15: Wind1977-07-21: Wind1978-07-31: Wind1980-04-27: Wind1984-05-08: Wind1986-07-09: Wind1986-10-14: Wind1986-07-09: Wind1991-07-26: Wind1991-05-01: Wind1992-07-27: Wind1992-07-31: Wind1996-05-11: Wind1996-05-11: Wind1996-05-11: Wind1997-05-01: Wind1997-08-04: Wind1998-09-07: Wind1998-06-28: Wind1998-06-13: Wind1999-08-11: Wind1999-04-23: Wind1999-04-09: Wind2000-08-16: Wind2002-05-02: Wind2002-05-13: Wind2002-06-06: Wind2002-05-07: Wind2004-07-08: Wind2006-04-22: Wind2006-08-04: Wind2006-10-07: Wind2007-07-11: Wind2007-06-29: Wind2007-08-05: Wind2007-07-19: Wind2007-07-19: Wind2007-06-29: Wind2008-07-08: Wind2009-06-03: Wind2009-05-09: Wind2010-08-05: Wind2010-08-05: Wind2010-09-30: Wind2010-08-05: Wind2011-07-03: Wind2011-07-25: Wind2011-04-16: Wind2012-07-27: Wind2012-06-25: Wind2012-07-24: Wind2012-06-29: Wind2012-06-30: Wind2013-08-10: Wind2013-06-13: Wind2013-01-31: Wind2014-02-21: Wind2014-02-21: Wind2014-01-11: Wind2014-01-11: Wind2016-06-16: Wind2017-06-14: Wind2017-06-19: Wind2018-05-14: Wind2018-04-16: Wind2018-07-22: Wind2018-05-06: Wind2019-07-22: Wind2019-07-17: Wind2019-07-17: Wind2019-07-17: Wind2019-08-13: Wind2019-08-15: Wind2019-04-15: Wind2019-04-15: Wind2019-04-15: Wind2020-08-27: Wind2020-06-25: Wind2021-02-22: Wind2021-07-29: Wind2021-07-29: Wind2021-07-29: Wind2021-07-29: Wind2021-07-29: Wind2021-07-01: Wind2021-08-14: Wind2021-09-01: Wind2022-09-25: Wind2024-06-30: Wind2024-08-02: Wind2024-08-02: Wind2024-08-02: Wind2024-08-02: Wind2024-08-03: Wind2025-03-05: Wind2025-03-05: Wind2025-03-05: Wind2025-11-09: Wind2025-11-09: Wind2025-11-09: Wind2026-03-16: Wind
James City County within Virginia. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

James City County, Virginia, has 330 weather events in the NCEI Storm Events record since 1950, most of them damaging wind.

That is 231.9 events per 100 square miles, above the Virginia figure of 146.4, and 41.3 per 10,000 residents against 66.9 statewide.

9 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 3 deaths and 22 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $74M and crop damage at $796K.

FEMA has designated the county in 18 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Winter Storm (emergency, 23 Jan 2026).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 370 claims since 1978, of which 311 were paid, totalling $6.4M (about $21K per paid claim). FEMA counts 853 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Low" and its expected annual loss as "Relatively Low" ($22M a year across 18 hazards).

79 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 1 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

9events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
330events since 19503 deaths, 22 injuries recorded
18disaster declarationslast 23 Jan 2026
370NFIP flood claims$6.4M paid

Compared with Virginia and the United States

MeasureJames City CountyVirginiaUS
Recorded events since 195033057,7891,977,440
Events per 100 square miles231.9146.456.0
Events per 10,000 residents41.366.959.6
Events in the last 12 months91,94162,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI323926,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$74M$2.7B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents4.65.98.1
Average paid NFIP claim$21K$19K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years1.94.316.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Hail: 1Wind: 1
Wind: 3
Wind: 5
Hail: 6Tornado: 2Flood: 1Wind: 17Winter: 4Tropical: 3Heat: 1Other: 2
Hail: 12Tornado: 4Flood: 4Wind: 19Winter: 8Tropical: 1Cold: 1Lightning: 2Other: 6
Tornado: 2Flood: 10Wind: 38Winter: 30Tropical: 2Heat: 2Cold: 2Lightning: 6Other: 30
Hail: 1Tornado: 1Flood: 24Wind: 25Winter: 11Tropical: 1Heat: 2Other: 40
21950s01960s31970s51980s361990s572000s1222010s1052020s
Recorded events in James City County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterTropicalHeatColdLightningOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 257 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 65 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Wind108
Other78
Winter53
Flood39
Hail20
Tornado9
Lightning8
Tropical7
Heat5
Cold3
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Wind10820.5%detail
■ Other78—2.9%
■ Winter53—0.5%detail
■ Flood39—0.5%detail
■ Hail20—0.3%detail
■ Tornado9—1.0%
■ Lightning811.5%
■ Tropical7—2.3%
■ Heat5—0.4%
■ Cold3—0.2%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
19 Feb 2011Strong WindWind46 mph$5K—11Forecast zone
2 Mar 2018High WindWind58 mph$25K—1—Forecast zone
30 Aug 2003LightningLightning———1—County
6 Aug 1993TornadoTornadoF1$5.0M——10County
5 Aug 2010Thunderstorm WindWind58 mph$1K——5County
18 Sep 2003Hurricane (Typhoon)Tropical—$45M$46K——Forecast zone
31 Jan 2013Thunderstorm WindWind58 mph$25K——2County
11 Jan 2006TornadoTornadoF1$20K——2County
15 Sep 1999Hurricane (Typhoon)Tropical—$16M———Forecast zone
14 Oct 1986Thunderstorm WindWind0 mph———1County
11 Nov 1995Thunderstorm WindWind0 mph———1County
6 Aug 1993TornadoTornadoF1$5.0M———County
29 Jun 2007Thunderstorm WindWind69 mph$1.0M———County
7 Oct 2006Flash FloodFlood—$450K$400K——County
29 Jun 2007HailHail1.00 in—$250K——County
28 Apr 2008TornadoTornadoEF0$200K———County
11 Oct 2018TornadoTornadoEF1$150K———County
27 Aug 2011Tropical StormTropical—$32K$100K——Forecast zone
24 Aug 2000LightningLightning—$100K———County
13 Jun 2013Thunderstorm WindWind60 mph$100K———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
23 Jan 2026EM-3631EmergencyWinter StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
2 Apr 2020DR-4512Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3448EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
18 Dec 2018DR-4411Major disasterHurricaneTropical Storm MichaelPublic assistance
11 Sep 2018EM-3403EmergencyHurricaneHurricane FlorencePublic assistance
29 Oct 2012EM-3359EmergencyHurricaneHurricane SandyPublic assistance
3 Sep 2011DR-4024Major disasterHurricaneHurricane IrenePublic assistance
26 Aug 2011EM-3329EmergencyHurricaneHurricane IrenePublic assistance
22 Sep 2006DR-1661Major disasterSevere StormTropical Depression Ernesto, Severe Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
12 Sep 2005EM-3240EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
18 Sep 2003DR-1491Major disasterHurricaneHurricane IsabelIndividual assistance, Public assistance
28 Feb 2000DR-1318Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter StormsPublic assistance
18 Sep 1999DR-1293Major disasterHurricaneHurricane Floyd Major Disaster DeclarationsIndividual assistance, Public assistance
6 Sep 1996DR-1135Major disasterHurricaneHurricane Fran And Associated Severe Storm CondIndividual assistance
13 Jan 1996DR-1086Major disasterSnowstormBlizzard Of 96 (Severe Snow Storm)Public assistance
25 Mar 1993EM-3112EmergencySnowstormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
26 Jan 1977DR-525Major disasterFreezingIce ConditionsIndividual assistance
23 Jun 1972DR-339Major disasterFloodTropical Storm AgnesIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in James City County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 1978370
Paid claims311
Total paid$6.4M
Average paid claim$21K
Repetitive-loss properties343 severe
Residential policies in force8532.8% of 30,424 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202511$7,124$7,124
202410$0—
202310$0—
202222$30,868$15,434
202122$29,634$14,817
202055$29,828$5,966
201840$0—
201621$411$411
201522$8,517$4,259
201421$879$879
201331$51,753$51,753
201242$14,161$7,080
2011138$134,873$16,859
201032$46,733$23,366
20092421$285,046$13,574
200841$44,653$44,653
20065144$956,211$21,732
200432$7,994$3,997
2003150135$3,613,850$26,769
19996558$981,611$16,924
19981210$61,539$6,154
199688$38,902$4,863
199410$0—
198910$0—
198532$29,325$14,663

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Lowscore 53.3 of 100
Expected annual loss$22MRelatively Low
Social vulnerabilityVery Low
Community resilienceVery High
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively Low$11,684,871
HurricaneRelatively Moderate$3,257,387
TornadoRelatively Low$1,639,479
DroughtRelatively Moderate$1,593,193
Heat waveRelatively Low$782,412
Cold waveRelatively Low$733,233
EarthquakeRelatively Low$608,048
Strong windRelatively Low$558,776
LightningRelatively Moderate$512,149
Coastal floodingRelatively Low$274,934
Ice stormRelatively Moderate$240,167
HailVery Low$168,331
Winter weatherRelatively Low$116,841
WildfireVery Low$47,572
LandslideVery Low$2,110

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles79
Tracks within 50 miles27
Hurricane strength within 50 miles1
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Ophelia202381 mi46 mph
Claudette202193 mi46 mph
Elsa202150 mi52 mph
Isaias202026 mi69 mph
Zeta202085 mi52 mph
Nestor201923 mi46 mph
Michael201876 mi69 mph
Andrea201332 mi46 mph
Irene201173 mi75 mph
Hanna200833 mi52 mph
Ernesto200619 mi46 mph
Charley200457 mi46 mph
Gaston200413 mi40 mph
Isabel200367 mi75 mph
Helene200074 mi46 mph
Floyd199993 mi69 mph
Danny199764 mi46 mph
Bertha199645 mi69 mph
Danielle199277 mi63 mph
Charley198679 mi81 mph
Dean198355 mi46 mph
Doria197159 mi63 mph
Alma197058 mi40 mph
Camille196984 mi52 mph
Doria196775 mi69 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in James City County, VA?

NCEI records 20 hail events in James City County since 1950, in 11 different years; that is about 0.3 recorded events a year. 3 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has James City County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 9 tornadoes in James City County since 1950, 1 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 0.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for James City County?

23 Jan 2026: Severe Winter Storm, a emergency declaration for winter storm. The county appears in 18 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in James City County, and how much was paid?

370 NFIP claims since 1978, 311 of them paid, for $6.4M in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is James City County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Low" for overall risk, "Relatively Low" for expected annual loss, "Very Low" for social vulnerability and "Very High" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does James City County compare with the rest of Virginia?

231.9 recorded events per 100 square miles against 146.4 statewide, and 4.6 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 5.9. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.