County Hazards

States › Virginia › Mathews County

Mathews County, Virginia

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 51115 · 8,546 residents (2021) · 86 sq mi · dominant hazard Winter

Hail · 8Tornado · 7Flood · 26Wind · 64Winter · 66
1957-08-12: Hail1999-08-11: Hail2005-05-15: Hail2009-04-06: Hail2009-05-09: Hail2016-05-02: Hail2023-06-08: Hail2023-06-08: Hail1975-04-25: Tornado1989-03-30: Tornado2000-07-14: Tornado2008-04-28: Tornado2008-04-28: Tornado2011-04-16: Tornado2012-02-24: Tornado2005-07-02: Flood2009-07-26: Flood2011-08-27: Flood2012-10-29: Flood2018-10-12: Flood2020-08-06: Flood2021-08-22: Flood2021-08-07: Flood2022-07-09: Flood1976-10-09: Wind1982-06-16: Wind1983-08-01: Wind1984-05-08: Wind1986-07-09: Wind1986-07-09: Wind1988-08-19: Wind1989-05-06: Wind1989-06-13: Wind1990-06-19: Wind1992-07-18: Wind1992-07-18: Wind1996-05-11: Wind1998-04-09: Wind1999-08-11: Wind1999-08-11: Wind1999-08-01: Wind1999-03-03: Wind1999-04-09: Wind2002-05-13: Wind2002-05-18: Wind2002-05-07: Wind2003-08-26: Wind2004-07-02: Wind2004-09-17: Wind2005-05-15: Wind2007-06-08: Wind2011-04-05: Wind2012-08-06: Wind2012-06-29: Wind2013-06-13: Wind2013-01-31: Wind2014-02-21: Wind2014-02-21: Wind2014-06-19: Wind2014-01-11: Wind2016-06-12: Wind2017-04-06: Wind2018-06-24: Wind2018-07-22: Wind2018-07-06: Wind2019-04-26: Wind2019-08-07: Wind2019-04-15: Wind2019-04-15: Wind2019-04-15: Wind2020-07-01: Wind2021-08-30: Wind2024-05-27: Wind2025-03-05: Wind2025-03-05: Wind2025-03-05: Wind2025-05-30: Wind2025-06-19: Wind2025-06-19: Wind
Mathews County within Virginia. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

Between 1950 and 2026, NCEI recorded 220 storm events in Mathews County, Virginia, led by winter storms and snow.

That is 256.1 events per 100 square miles, above the Virginia figure of 146.4, and 257.4 per 10,000 residents against 66.9 statewide.

5 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 0 deaths and 0 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $32M and crop damage at $1.4M.

FEMA has designated the county in 20 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Winter Storm (emergency, 23 Jan 2026).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 1,162 claims since 1978, of which 973 were paid, totalling $20M (about $21K per paid claim). FEMA counts 1,109 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Very Low" and its expected annual loss as "Very Low" ($4.0M a year across 18 hazards).

86 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 3 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

5events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
220events since 19500 deaths, 0 injuries recorded
20disaster declarationslast 23 Jan 2026
1,162NFIP flood claims$20M paid

Compared with Virginia and the United States

MeasureMathews CountyVirginiaUS
Recorded events since 195022057,7891,977,440
Events per 100 square miles256.1146.456.0
Events per 10,000 residents257.466.959.6
Events in the last 12 months51,94162,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI023926,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$32M$2.7B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents136.05.98.1
Average paid NFIP claim$21K$19K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years1.94.316.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Hail: 1
Tornado: 1Wind: 1
Tornado: 1Wind: 8
Hail: 1Flood: 4Wind: 12Winter: 5Tropical: 1Heat: 1Other: 2
Hail: 3Tornado: 3Flood: 7Wind: 11Winter: 21Tropical: 3Cold: 1Lightning: 2Other: 3
Hail: 1Tornado: 2Flood: 6Wind: 22Winter: 30Tropical: 3Heat: 2Cold: 1Other: 12
Hail: 2Flood: 9Wind: 10Winter: 10Tropical: 2Heat: 1Other: 15
11950s01960s21970s91980s261990s542000s792010s492020s
Recorded events in Mathews County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterTropicalHeatColdLightningOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 146 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 67 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Winter66
Wind64
Other32
Flood26
Tropical9
Hail8
Tornado7
Heat4
Cold2
Lightning2
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Winter66—0.6%detail
■ Wind64—0.3%detail
■ Other32—1.2%
■ Flood26—0.3%detail
■ Tropical9—2.9%
■ Hail8—0.1%
■ Tornado7—0.8%
■ Heat4—0.3%
■ Cold2—0.1%
■ Lightning2—0.4%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
18 Sep 2003Hurricane (Typhoon)Tropical—$21M$1.0M——Forecast zone
1 Sep 2006Coastal FloodFlood—$5.6M———Forecast zone
1 Sep 2006High WindWind40 mph$3.0M———Forecast zone
12 Nov 2009Coastal FloodFlood—$1.0M———Forecast zone
27 Aug 2011Tropical StormTropical—$100K$321K——Forecast zone
30 Mar 1989TornadoTornadoF1$250K———County
4 Aug 2020Tropical StormTropical—$150K———Forecast zone

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
23 Jan 2026EM-3631EmergencyWinter StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
2 Apr 2020DR-4512Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3448EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
15 Oct 2018DR-4401Major disasterHurricaneHurricane FlorencePublic assistance
11 Sep 2018EM-3403EmergencyHurricaneHurricane FlorencePublic assistance
26 Nov 2012DR-4092Major disasterHurricaneHurricane SandyPublic assistance
29 Oct 2012EM-3359EmergencyHurricaneHurricane SandyPublic assistance
3 Sep 2011DR-4024Major disasterHurricaneHurricane IrenePublic assistance
26 Aug 2011EM-3329EmergencyHurricaneHurricane IrenePublic assistance
22 Sep 2006DR-1661Major disasterSevere StormTropical Depression Ernesto, Severe Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
12 Sep 2005EM-3240EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
18 Sep 2003DR-1491Major disasterHurricaneHurricane IsabelIndividual assistance, Public assistance
18 Sep 1999DR-1293Major disasterHurricaneHurricane Floyd Major Disaster DeclarationsIndividual assistance, Public assistance
16 Sep 1999EM-3147EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Floyd Emergency DeclarationsPublic assistance
6 Sep 1996DR-1135Major disasterHurricaneHurricane Fran And Associated Severe Storm CondIndividual assistance
13 Jan 1996DR-1086Major disasterSnowstormBlizzard Of 96 (Severe Snow Storm)Public assistance
25 Mar 1993EM-3112EmergencySnowstormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
9 Nov 1985DR-755Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance
26 Jan 1977DR-525Major disasterFreezingIce ConditionsIndividual assistance
23 Jun 1972DR-339Major disasterFloodTropical Storm AgnesIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Mathews County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 19781,162
Paid claims973
Total paid$20M
Average paid claim$21K
Repetitive-loss properties1518 severe
Residential policies in force1,10920.2% of 5,479 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202511$11,872$11,872
202211$11,647$11,647
202021$27,814$27,814
2019127$115,879$16,554
201854$162,005$40,501
201643$32,706$10,902
2015159$263,867$29,319
201410$0—
201311$20,794$20,794
20121511$342,744$31,159
20115347$771,194$16,408
201010$0—
200911298$1,505,220$15,359
200853$22,682$7,561
200721$3,336$3,336
2006201171$3,038,843$17,771
200511$23,439$23,439
200453$90,000$30,000
2003638557$13,661,166$24,526
200210$0—
19991811$66,571$6,052
19983423$225,887$9,821
199684$17,873$4,468
199310$0—
199222$1,308$654

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskVery Lowscore 12.2 of 100
Expected annual loss$4.0MVery Low
Social vulnerabilityVery High
Community resilienceVery High
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Coastal floodingRelatively Moderate$1,621,576
Inland floodingVery Low$1,107,053
HurricaneRelatively Low$462,066
Strong windRelatively Low$190,109
TornadoVery Low$133,270
Cold waveVery Low$99,931
DroughtRelatively Low$99,709
EarthquakeVery Low$74,010
Heat waveVery Low$73,002
Ice stormRelatively Low$25,728
HailVery Low$23,708
LightningVery Low$22,384
WildfireVery Low$19,523
Winter weatherVery Low$2,814
LandslideVery Low$2

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles86
Tracks within 50 miles28
Hurricane strength within 50 miles3
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Claudette202199 mi46 mph
Elsa202176 mi58 mph
Fay202088 mi58 mph
Isaias202035 mi69 mph
Nestor201938 mi46 mph
Michael201870 mi69 mph
Andrea20134 mi46 mph
Irene201159 mi75 mph
Hanna200835 mi52 mph
Barry200793 mi46 mph
Ernesto200632 mi46 mph
Charley200442 mi46 mph
Gaston200424 mi40 mph
Isabel200393 mi75 mph
Helene200071 mi52 mph
Floyd199966 mi69 mph
Earl199895 mi58 mph
Danny199775 mi46 mph
Bertha199661 mi69 mph
Josephine1996100 mi52 mph
Danielle199249 mi63 mph
Charley198659 mi81 mph
Dean198326 mi63 mph
Doria197165 mi63 mph
Alma197076 mi40 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Mathews County, VA?

NCEI records 8 hail events in Mathews County since 1950, in 6 different years; that is about 0.1 recorded events a year. 0 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Mathews County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 7 tornadoes in Mathews County since 1950, 1 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 0.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Mathews County?

23 Jan 2026: Severe Winter Storm, a emergency declaration for winter storm. The county appears in 20 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Mathews County, and how much was paid?

1,162 NFIP claims since 1978, 973 of them paid, for $20M in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Mathews County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Very Low" for overall risk, "Very Low" for expected annual loss, "Very High" for social vulnerability and "Very High" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Mathews County compare with the rest of Virginia?

256.1 recorded events per 100 square miles against 146.4 statewide, and 136.0 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 5.9. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.