County Hazards

States › Virginia › Montgomery County

Montgomery County, Virginia

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 51121 · 98,473 residents (2021) · 387 sq mi · dominant hazard Wind

Hail · 164Tornado · 5Flood · 105Wind · 264Winter · 76
1981-06-25: Hail1996-06-24: Hail1996-05-05: Hail1996-05-05: Hail1996-05-05: Hail1996-06-24: Hail1996-05-24: Hail1996-05-05: Hail1996-07-02: Hail1996-08-03: Hail1996-03-16: Hail1997-06-02: Hail1997-06-02: Hail1997-09-01: Hail1997-09-01: Hail1998-05-03: Hail1998-05-01: Hail1998-05-01: Hail1998-05-16: Hail1998-05-16: Hail1998-05-04: Hail1998-06-02: Hail1998-06-02: Hail1998-05-24: Hail1999-08-23: Hail1999-10-04: Hail1999-05-07: Hail2000-04-17: Hail2000-04-17: Hail2000-04-17: Hail2000-08-27: Hail2002-04-28: Hail2002-06-01: Hail2002-06-04: Hail2002-06-04: Hail2002-07-03: Hail2002-07-03: Hail2002-07-23: Hail2002-07-02: Hail2002-07-03: Hail2002-07-02: Hail2002-07-03: Hail2002-07-02: Hail2002-07-02: Hail2002-05-02: Hail2002-06-24: Hail2002-05-02: Hail2003-07-06: Hail2003-08-05: Hail2003-05-15: Hail2003-07-05: Hail2004-05-09: Hail2004-05-09: Hail2004-05-09: Hail2004-05-10: Hail2004-05-09: Hail2004-05-09: Hail2004-05-09: Hail2004-05-09: Hail2004-05-10: Hail2004-05-23: Hail2004-07-11: Hail2005-03-23: Hail2006-04-07: Hail2006-04-07: Hail2006-06-28: Hail2006-05-14: Hail2006-05-14: Hail2006-07-19: Hail2006-09-28: Hail2007-05-31: Hail2007-05-31: Hail2007-07-16: Hail2007-06-25: Hail2007-07-27: Hail2007-06-24: Hail2007-05-31: Hail2007-03-28: Hail2007-03-28: Hail2007-03-28: Hail2007-03-28: Hail2008-07-06: Hail2008-07-06: Hail2008-05-11: Hail2008-06-22: Hail2008-06-26: Hail2008-06-22: Hail2008-06-22: Hail2008-06-22: Hail2008-06-22: Hail2008-06-22: Hail2008-06-22: Hail2008-06-22: Hail2008-06-22: Hail2008-07-23: Hail2008-07-23: Hail2009-05-28: Hail2009-06-03: Hail2009-06-09: Hail2009-06-10: Hail2009-08-17: Hail2009-08-17: Hail2009-06-03: Hail2010-04-05: Hail2010-04-05: Hail2010-04-05: Hail2010-04-05: Hail2010-04-05: Hail2010-04-05: Hail2010-04-05: Hail2010-04-05: Hail2010-05-28: Hail2010-05-28: Hail2010-05-27: Hail1987-03-30: Tornado1998-06-11: Tornado2017-10-23: Tornado2021-08-31: Tornado2021-08-31: Tornado2007-03-28: Flood2009-05-15: Flood2009-05-27: Flood2009-05-27: Flood2009-05-27: Flood2009-05-27: Flood2009-05-27: Flood2009-05-27: Flood2009-05-27: Flood2009-11-12: Flood2009-05-15: Flood2009-06-11: Flood2009-08-05: Flood2010-12-01: Flood2010-05-28: Flood2010-05-28: Flood2010-08-11: Flood2011-03-06: Flood2011-03-06: Flood2011-03-06: Flood2011-03-06: Flood2011-03-06: Flood2011-05-10: Flood2011-04-16: Flood2011-03-06: Flood2011-03-06: Flood2011-03-06: Flood2011-03-06: Flood2013-07-10: Flood2013-01-30: Flood2014-06-12: Flood2015-11-19: Flood2015-11-19: Flood2015-09-29: Flood2015-09-29: Flood2016-09-29: Flood2016-09-29: Flood2017-04-24: Flood2018-09-22: Flood2018-08-30: Flood2018-10-11: Flood2018-10-11: Flood2018-10-11: Flood2020-05-21: Flood2020-05-21: Flood2020-05-21: Flood2020-04-13: Flood2020-11-11: Flood2020-08-13: Flood2020-06-17: Flood2021-07-01: Flood2021-08-29: Flood2021-09-22: Flood2021-09-22: Flood2023-09-09: Flood2023-09-09: Flood2023-05-29: Flood2024-09-30: Flood2025-06-16: Flood2025-06-16: Flood2025-02-15: Flood2025-02-15: Flood2025-02-15: Flood2025-02-15: Flood2025-02-15: Flood2025-02-15: Flood2025-02-15: Flood2025-07-30: Flood2026-06-12: Wind2025-06-26: Wind2025-06-26: Wind2025-05-30: Wind2025-05-30: Wind2025-05-16: Wind2024-08-31: Wind2024-08-31: Wind2024-08-30: Wind2024-08-30: Wind2024-07-05: Wind2024-07-05: Wind2024-05-26: Wind2024-05-26: Wind2024-04-11: Wind2023-09-09: Wind2023-09-09: Wind2023-09-07: Wind2023-09-07: Wind2023-07-28: Wind2023-07-28: Wind2023-07-28: Wind2023-07-17: Wind2023-07-17: Wind2023-07-17: Wind2022-08-06: Wind2022-07-25: Wind2022-07-17: Wind2022-06-17: Wind2022-06-17: Wind2022-06-17: Wind2022-06-16: Wind2022-06-16: Wind2022-06-13: Wind2022-06-13: Wind2022-05-22: Wind2022-05-21: Wind2021-08-31: Wind2021-08-31: Wind2021-08-31: Wind2021-08-31: Wind2021-08-31: Wind2021-08-31: Wind2021-08-29: Wind2021-08-13: Wind2021-08-11: Wind2021-07-13: Wind2021-07-13: Wind2021-06-13: Wind2021-06-13: Wind2021-06-08: Wind2021-06-08: Wind2021-06-08: Wind2021-05-04: Wind2021-05-04: Wind2021-05-04: Wind2021-05-04: Wind2020-08-05: Wind2020-07-22: Wind2020-04-08: Wind2020-04-08: Wind2019-09-28: Wind2019-08-18: Wind2019-07-22: Wind2019-07-15: Wind2019-05-31: Wind2019-05-29: Wind2019-05-26: Wind2019-04-14: Wind2018-08-12: Wind2018-08-08: Wind2018-08-08: Wind2018-08-07: Wind2018-08-07: Wind2017-08-04: Wind2017-06-15: Wind2017-06-15: Wind2017-06-15: Wind2017-06-13: Wind2017-03-01: Wind2016-07-04: Wind2016-06-23: Wind2016-06-15: Wind2016-02-24: Wind2016-02-24: Wind2015-06-17: Wind2014-10-07: Wind2013-06-13: Wind2013-06-13: Wind2013-05-10: Wind2013-01-30: Wind2012-09-01: Wind2012-09-01: Wind2012-07-31: Wind2012-07-01: Wind2012-06-29: Wind2012-06-01: Wind2012-06-01: Wind2011-09-03: Wind
Montgomery County within Virginia. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

Montgomery County, Virginia, has 663 weather events in the NCEI Storm Events record since 1950, most of them damaging wind.

That is 171.4 events per 100 square miles, in line with the Virginia figure of 146.4, and 67.3 per 10,000 residents against 66.9 statewide.

8 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 2 deaths and 8 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $8.8M and crop damage at $10M.

FEMA has designated the county in 24 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Winter Storm (emergency, 23 Jan 2026).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 181 claims since 1978, of which 145 were paid, totalling $3.2M (about $22K per paid claim). FEMA counts 148 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Low" and its expected annual loss as "Relatively Low" ($17M a year across 18 hazards).

12 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 0 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

8events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
663events since 19502 deaths, 8 injuries recorded
24disaster declarationslast 23 Jan 2026
181NFIP flood claims$3.2M paid

Compared with Virginia and the United States

MeasureMontgomery CountyVirginiaUS
Recorded events since 195066357,7891,977,440
Events per 100 square miles171.4146.456.0
Events per 10,000 residents67.366.959.6
Events in the last 12 months81,94162,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI223926,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$8.8M$2.7B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents1.85.98.1
Average paid NFIP claim$22K$19K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years25.74.316.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Wind: 2
Wind: 1
Hail: 1Tornado: 1Wind: 5
Hail: 31Tornado: 1Flood: 16Wind: 27Winter: 17Cold: 2Drought: 4Lightning: 3
Hail: 77Flood: 34Wind: 86Winter: 20Tropical: 1Cold: 1Drought: 6Lightning: 4Other: 2
Hail: 44Tornado: 1Flood: 30Wind: 77Winter: 28Cold: 3Lightning: 1Other: 1
Hail: 11Tornado: 2Flood: 25Wind: 66Winter: 11Cold: 1Drought: 5Lightning: 2Other: 13
01950s21960s11970s71980s1011990s2312000s1852010s1362020s
Recorded events in Montgomery County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterTropicalColdDroughtLightningOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 430 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 221 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Wind264
Hail164
Flood105
Winter76
Other16
Drought15
Lightning10
Cold7
Tornado5
Tropical1
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Wind26411.2%detail
■ Hail164—2.7%detail
■ Flood10511.3%detail
■ Winter76—0.7%detail
■ Other16—0.6%
■ Drought15—1.8%
■ Lightning10—1.9%
■ Cold7—0.4%
■ Tornado5—0.5%
■ Tropical1—0.3%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
22 Feb 2003FloodFlood—$6K—11Forecast zone
29 Jun 2012Thunderstorm WindWind75 mph$1.0M—1—County
11 Jul 1990Thunderstorm WindWind0 mph———4County
29 Aug 2021Thunderstorm WindWind58 mph$10K——2County
18 Aug 1995Thunderstorm WindWind0 mph$10K——1County
1 Sep 2007DroughtDrought——$10M——Forecast zone
30 Mar 1987TornadoTornadoF1$2.5M———County
29 Sep 2015Flash FloodFlood—$1.0M———County
11 Oct 2018Flash FloodFlood—$632K———County
6 Jan 1996Heavy SnowWinter—$600K———Forecast zone
6 Sep 1996Flash FloodFlood—$600K———County
6 Aug 2011LightningLightning—$275K———County
15 May 2009Flash FloodFlood—$250K———County
1 Oct 1998DroughtDrought——$200K——Forecast zone
27 Sep 2024High WindWind58 mph$150K$35K——Forecast zone
19 Jul 2006LightningLightning—$125K———County
26 Jun 2006FloodFlood—$100K———County
23 Oct 2017TornadoTornadoEF1$100K———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
23 Jan 2026EM-3631EmergencyWinter StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
4 Apr 2025DR-4863Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
1 Oct 2024DR-4831Major disasterTropical StormTropical Storm HeleneIndividual assistance, Public assistance
29 Sep 2024EM-3621EmergencyTropical StormPost-Tropical Cyclone HelenePublic assistance
2 Apr 2020DR-4512Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3448EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
18 Dec 2018DR-4411Major disasterHurricaneTropical Storm MichaelPublic assistance
11 Sep 2018EM-3403EmergencyHurricaneHurricane FlorencePublic assistance
29 Oct 2012EM-3359EmergencyHurricaneHurricane SandyPublic assistance
27 Jul 2012DR-4072Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And Straight-Line WindsPublic assistance
16 Feb 2010DR-1874Major disasterSnowstormSevere Winter Storm And SnowstormPublic assistance
12 Sep 2005EM-3240EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
18 Oct 2004DR-1570Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And Flooding From The Remanants Of Hurricane JeanneIndividual assistance
27 Mar 2003DR-1458Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter Storm, Record/Near Record Snowfall, Heavy Rain,Floodind, And MudslideIndividual assistance, Public assistance
28 Feb 2000DR-1318Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter StormsPublic assistance
6 Sep 1996DR-1135Major disasterHurricaneHurricane Fran And Associated Severe Storm CondIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Jan 1996DR-1086Major disasterSnowstormBlizzard Of 96 (Severe Snow Storm)Public assistance
11 Apr 1994DR-1021Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter Ice StormPublic assistance
10 Mar 1994DR-1014Major disasterSnowstormSevere Ice Storms, FloodingPublic assistance
25 Mar 1993EM-3112EmergencySnowstormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
19 May 1992DR-944Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
9 Nov 1985DR-755Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
15 Oct 1976EM-3018EmergencyDroughtDroughtPublic assistance
23 Jun 1972DR-339Major disasterFloodTropical Storm AgnesIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Montgomery County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 1978181
Paid claims145
Total paid$3.2M
Average paid claim$22K
Repetitive-loss properties238 severe
Residential policies in force1480.5% of 28,449 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202532$171,501$85,751
20241312$1,447,774$120,648
202310$0—
202122$64,674$32,337
202076$135,307$22,551
20181212$418,310$34,859
201587$152,997$21,857
201354$70,047$17,512
200976$110,988$18,498
2004148$97,185$12,148
2003139$60,882$6,765
200010$0—
19961515$96,787$6,452
199588$63,716$7,965
199420$0—
199310$0—
1992117$20,695$2,956
1989118$51,389$6,424
19852423$190,930$8,301
198342$4,205$2,103
198010$0—
19791210$67,741$6,774
197864$2,067$517

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Lowscore 47.5 of 100
Expected annual loss$17MRelatively Low
Social vulnerabilityRelatively Low
Community resilienceRelatively Moderate
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively Low$11,161,730
Cold waveRelatively Moderate$2,280,711
EarthquakeRelatively Low$1,101,827
Strong windRelatively Low$456,608
TornadoVery Low$362,793
LightningRelatively Moderate$347,804
DroughtRelatively Low$247,381
HailRelatively Low$219,982
HurricaneVery Low$165,494
Winter weatherRelatively Moderate$137,313
LandslideRelatively Moderate$69,549
Ice stormVery Low$28,160
WildfireVery Low$23,626
AvalancheVery Low$1,322
Heat waveVery Low$13

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles12
Tracks within 50 miles1
Hurricane strength within 50 miles0
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Fran199683 mi46 mph
David197957 mi46 mph
Diane195597 mi52 mph
Able195248 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm194955 mi58 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm193485 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm193278 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm191550 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm190254 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm189351 mi69 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm188685 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm187857 mi58 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Montgomery County, VA?

NCEI records 164 hail events in Montgomery County since 1950, in 27 different years; that is about 2.1 recorded events a year. 7 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Montgomery County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 5 tornadoes in Montgomery County since 1950, 0 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 0.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Montgomery County?

23 Jan 2026: Severe Winter Storm, a emergency declaration for winter storm. The county appears in 24 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Montgomery County, and how much was paid?

181 NFIP claims since 1978, 145 of them paid, for $3.2M in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Montgomery County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Low" for overall risk, "Relatively Low" for expected annual loss, "Relatively Low" for social vulnerability and "Relatively Moderate" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Montgomery County compare with the rest of Virginia?

171.4 recorded events per 100 square miles against 146.4 statewide, and 1.8 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 5.9. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.