County Hazards

States › Vermont › Orange County

Orange County, Vermont

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 50017 · 29,541 residents (2021) · 687 sq mi · dominant hazard Winter

Hail · 37Tornado · 4Flood · 33Wind · 169Winter · 281
1980-07-11: Hail1986-06-01: Hail1986-05-19: Hail1986-05-19: Hail1987-06-08: Hail1987-06-08: Hail1987-07-30: Hail1987-07-30: Hail1987-05-29: Hail1997-08-22: Hail1998-08-24: Hail2001-07-10: Hail2001-07-10: Hail2001-07-10: Hail2002-07-04: Hail2006-07-01: Hail2007-08-30: Hail2007-06-05: Hail2007-07-09: Hail2008-08-07: Hail2008-08-07: Hail2009-07-16: Hail2010-07-21: Hail2010-07-21: Hail2010-07-21: Hail2010-07-21: Hail2010-07-21: Hail2010-07-21: Hail2011-05-27: Hail2013-06-02: Hail2015-07-19: Hail2016-07-18: Hail2017-05-18: Hail2022-07-21: Hail2026-04-16: Hail2026-04-16: Hail1972-08-09: Tornado2009-05-09: Tornado2009-07-16: Tornado2026-04-16: Tornado2007-03-15: Flood2007-07-11: Flood2008-08-07: Flood2008-08-07: Flood2009-08-21: Flood2010-01-25: Flood2010-07-21: Flood2010-10-01: Flood2010-10-01: Flood2011-05-26: Flood2011-03-06: Flood2011-08-28: Flood2011-08-28: Flood2013-07-10: Flood2013-07-09: Flood2014-04-15: Flood2017-02-25: Flood2017-07-01: Flood2023-07-07: Flood2023-12-18: Flood2024-07-10: Flood1960-07-19: Wind1971-07-24: Wind1976-07-11: Wind1979-09-14: Wind1980-10-25: Wind1986-06-16: Wind1987-07-30: Wind1987-07-18: Wind1987-07-18: Wind1988-08-28: Wind1989-07-07: Wind1989-07-10: Wind1989-08-06: Wind1990-08-13: Wind1990-07-04: Wind1990-07-04: Wind1990-06-21: Wind1990-06-23: Wind1992-09-10: Wind1992-09-10: Wind1992-09-10: Wind1996-07-14: Wind1997-06-22: Wind1997-06-22: Wind1997-06-22: Wind1997-07-17: Wind1998-08-24: Wind1998-08-24: Wind1998-08-24: Wind1998-08-24: Wind1998-08-24: Wind1999-07-06: Wind2001-07-10: Wind2002-06-26: Wind2002-06-23: Wind2002-07-04: Wind2002-07-04: Wind2002-07-04: Wind2004-08-29: Wind2005-08-01: Wind2005-07-22: Wind2006-06-19: Wind2006-06-19: Wind2006-07-18: Wind2006-08-02: Wind2006-08-02: Wind2007-06-02: Wind2007-06-27: Wind2007-06-02: Wind2007-07-09: Wind2007-07-09: Wind2007-07-09: Wind2007-07-09: Wind2007-08-25: Wind2007-08-25: Wind2008-07-18: Wind2008-06-27: Wind2008-06-10: Wind2008-06-08: Wind2009-05-09: Wind2009-05-09: Wind2009-05-09: Wind2009-08-21: Wind2010-07-21: Wind2010-07-21: Wind2010-07-21: Wind2010-07-21: Wind2010-07-21: Wind2010-07-21: Wind2010-07-21: Wind2010-07-21: Wind2011-06-09: Wind2011-06-09: Wind2011-06-09: Wind2011-06-09: Wind2011-08-21: Wind2011-08-21: Wind2011-05-26: Wind2012-07-17: Wind2012-05-29: Wind2012-07-04: Wind2012-09-08: Wind2013-09-11: Wind2013-09-11: Wind2013-09-11: Wind2013-09-11: Wind2013-06-02: Wind2015-05-27: Wind2016-09-11: Wind2016-07-18: Wind2016-07-18: Wind2016-07-23: Wind2016-07-23: Wind
Orange County within Vermont. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 29 Sep 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

Orange County, Vermont, has 573 weather events in the NCEI Storm Events record since 1950, most of them winter storms and snow.

That is 83.4 events per 100 square miles, below the Vermont figure of 119.4, and 194.0 per 10,000 residents against 170.5 statewide.

19 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 2 deaths and 1 injury to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $52M and crop damage at $4.2M.

FEMA has designated the county in 34 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Storm, Flooding, Landslides, And Mudslides (major disaster, 20 Aug 2024).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 84 claims since 1978, of which 60 were paid, totalling $1.9M (about $31K per paid claim). FEMA counts 120 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Very Low" and its expected annual loss as "Very Low" ($11M a year across 18 hazards).

20 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 0 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

19events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
573events since 19502 deaths, 1 injury recorded
34disaster declarationslast 20 Aug 2024
84NFIP flood claims$1.9M paid

Compared with Vermont and the United States

MeasureOrange CountyVermontUS
Recorded events since 195057311,0071,977,440
Events per 100 square miles83.4119.456.0
Events per 10,000 residents194.0170.559.6
Events in the last 12 months1935362,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI26226,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$52M$1.7B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents2.85.88.1
Average paid NFIP claim$31K$40K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years20.837.416.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Wind: 1
Tornado: 1Wind: 3
Hail: 9Wind: 9
Hail: 3Flood: 8Wind: 23Winter: 43Cold: 3Lightning: 1Fog: 1
Hail: 11Tornado: 2Flood: 9Wind: 45Winter: 130Heat: 2Cold: 13Lightning: 5Other: 6
Hail: 11Flood: 13Wind: 59Winter: 57Heat: 3Cold: 3Lightning: 1
Hail: 3Tornado: 1Flood: 3Wind: 29Winter: 51Heat: 2Cold: 9
01950s11960s41970s181980s821990s2232000s1472010s982020s
Recorded events in Orange County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterHeatColdLightningFogOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 338 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 214 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Winter281
Wind169
Hail37
Flood33
Cold28
Heat7
Lightning7
Other6
Tornado4
Fog1
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Winter281—5.9%detail
■ Wind16914.9%detail
■ Hail37—4.4%detail
■ Flood33—3.6%detail
■ Cold28—4.3%
■ Heat7—4.2%
■ Lightning717.4%
■ Other6—8.0%
■ Tornado4—7.5%
■ Fog1—9.1%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
16 Sep 1999High WindWind59 mph$100K—1—Forecast zone
23 Jun 2012LightningLightning———1—County
28 Aug 2011Flash FloodFlood—$33M$1.5M——County
22 Jun 1997Thunderstorm WindWind64 mph$15K——1County
28 Aug 2011FloodFlood—$5.0M$1.0M——County
27 Jun 1998Flash FloodFlood—$2.0M———County
1 Jul 2017Flash FloodFlood—$1.9M———County
17 Mar 2012HeatHeat——$1.0M——Forecast zone
11 Jul 2007Flash FloodFlood—$750K———County
15 Jul 1997Flash FloodFlood—$500K———County
23 Dec 2022High WindWind58 mph$500K———Forecast zone
21 Jul 2010Thunderstorm WindWind86 mph$350K$100K——County
21 Aug 2009Flash FloodFlood—$350K———County
15 Apr 2014FloodFlood—$300K———County
19 Jan 1996FloodFlood—$250K———Forecast zone
14 Jul 1996Thunderstorm WindWind—$250K———County
23 Feb 2010Winter StormWinter—$250K———Forecast zone
18 May 2023Frost/FreezeCold——$250K——Forecast zone
10 Jul 2024Flash FloodFlood—$250K———County
14 Feb 2007Heavy SnowWinter—$200K———Forecast zone

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
20 Aug 2024DR-4810Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storm, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
8 Aug 2024EM-3609EmergencyTropical StormTropical Depression DebbyPublic assistance
2 Mar 2024DR-4762Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storm And FloodingPublic assistance
14 Jul 2023DR-4720Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
10 Jul 2023EM-3595EmergencyFloodFloodingPublic assistance
20 Mar 2023DR-4695Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storm And FloodingPublic assistance
22 Aug 2021EM-3567EmergencyHurricaneTropical Storm HenriPublic assistance
8 Apr 2020DR-4532Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3437EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
17 Jan 2020DR-4474Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storm And FloodingPublic assistance
14 Jun 2019DR-4445Major disasterFloodSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
30 Jul 2018DR-4380Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storm And FloodingPublic assistance
2 Jan 2018DR-4356Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storm And FloodingPublic assistance
16 Aug 2017DR-4330Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
3 Feb 2015DR-4207Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
11 Jun 2014DR-4178Major disasterFloodSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
2 Aug 2013DR-4140Major disasterFloodSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
1 Sep 2011DR-4022Major disasterHurricaneTropical Storm IreneIndividual assistance, Public assistance
29 Aug 2011EM-3338EmergencyHurricaneHurricane IrenePublic assistance
8 Jul 2011DR-4001Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
12 Sep 2008DR-1790Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
3 Aug 2007DR-1715Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
4 May 2007DR-1698Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
12 Sep 2003DR-1488Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
27 Jul 2000DR-1336Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
10 Nov 1999DR-1307Major disasterSevere StormTropical Storm FloydPublic assistance
30 Jun 1998DR-1228Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
15 Jan 1998DR-1201Major disasterSevere StormSevere Ice Storms, Rain, High Winds And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Feb 1996DR-1101Major disasterFloodIce Jams And FloodingPublic assistance
18 Mar 1992DR-938Major disasterFloodHeavy Rains, Ice Jams & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
11 Sep 1989DR-840Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingPublic assistance
18 Jun 1984DR-712Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
5 Aug 1976DR-518Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, High Winds & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
6 Jul 1973DR-397Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Flooding, & LandslidesIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Orange County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 197884
Paid claims60
Total paid$1.9M
Average paid claim$31K
Repetitive-loss properties51 severe
Residential policies in force1200.9% of 13,688 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202610$0—
20231814$775,781$55,413
201922$22,265$11,133
201743$65,189$21,730
201510$0—
201332$41,041$20,521
20112519$811,738$42,723
200944$45,155$11,289
200822$38,969$19,485
200732$34,463$17,232
200310$0—
200110$0—
199910$0—
199811$23,000$23,000
199631$663$663
199221$7,217$7,217
199011$993$993
198911$813$813
198611$2,919$2,919
198443$1,487$496
198311$1,149$1,149
198111$460$460
198010$0—
197910$0—
197811$540$540

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskVery Lowscore 26.4 of 100
Expected annual loss$11MVery Low
Social vulnerabilityVery Low
Community resilienceRelatively Moderate
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively Low$8,552,793
Cold waveRelatively Low$555,294
LightningRelatively Moderate$505,761
HurricaneRelatively Low$471,673
Strong windRelatively Low$301,425
Heat waveVery Low$250,202
EarthquakeVery Low$169,260
TornadoVery Low$143,227
Winter weatherRelatively Low$93,248
Ice stormRelatively Low$66,881
HailVery Low$36,895
LandslideRelatively Low$30,298
WildfireVery Low$7,743
AvalancheVery Low$225

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles20
Tracks within 50 miles8
Hurricane strength within 50 miles0
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Isaias202036 mi52 mph
Irene201119 mi52 mph
David197982 mi46 mph
Belle197697 mi40 mph
Doria197132 mi52 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm19683 mi52 mph
Brenda196082 mi46 mph
Carol195479 mi92 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm194915 mi52 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm193855 mi69 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm193477 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm192952 mi58 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm192344 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm191698 mi58 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm189936 mi52 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm189376 mi69 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm189385 mi58 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm187890 mi58 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm187498 mi69 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm186646 mi46 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Orange County, VT?

NCEI records 37 hail events in Orange County since 1950, in 20 different years; that is about 0.5 recorded events a year. 5 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Orange County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 4 tornadoes in Orange County since 1950, 0 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 0.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Orange County?

20 Aug 2024: Severe Storm, Flooding, Landslides, And Mudslides, a major disaster declaration for severe storm. The county appears in 34 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Orange County, and how much was paid?

84 NFIP claims since 1978, 60 of them paid, for $1.9M in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Orange County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Very Low" for overall risk, "Very Low" for expected annual loss, "Very Low" for social vulnerability and "Relatively Moderate" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Orange County compare with the rest of Vermont?

83.4 recorded events per 100 square miles against 119.4 statewide, and 2.8 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 5.8. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 29 Sep 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 30 Sep 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.