County Hazards

States › Arkansas › Carroll County

Carroll County, Arkansas

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 05015 · 28,435 residents (2021) · 630 sq mi · dominant hazard Wind

Hail · 155Tornado · 18Flood · 45Wind · 195Winter · 53
1963-06-15: Hail1965-04-04: Hail1966-05-12: Hail1975-08-06: Hail1983-04-29: Hail1984-02-11: Hail1984-07-06: Hail1984-05-07: Hail1984-07-06: Hail1984-07-06: Hail1985-06-04: Hail1986-04-06: Hail1989-04-03: Hail1989-03-18: Hail1989-08-27: Hail1992-11-01: Hail1996-06-02: Hail1996-06-06: Hail1996-03-14: Hail1996-03-15: Hail1997-07-17: Hail1997-04-20: Hail1997-04-20: Hail1997-04-20: Hail1997-05-26: Hail1997-08-14: Hail1997-08-14: Hail1998-05-09: Hail1998-04-15: Hail1998-05-09: Hail1998-05-09: Hail1998-05-09: Hail1998-04-03: Hail1998-05-09: Hail1998-03-05: Hail1999-04-03: Hail2001-05-06: Hail2001-05-20: Hail2001-06-14: Hail2001-08-29: Hail2001-08-29: Hail2001-08-09: Hail2001-10-10: Hail2002-05-12: Hail2002-05-12: Hail2002-04-30: Hail2002-05-01: Hail2002-08-02: Hail2002-07-18: Hail2002-07-18: Hail2003-08-21: Hail2003-08-21: Hail2003-07-13: Hail2004-05-30: Hail2004-05-30: Hail2005-04-11: Hail2005-04-11: Hail2005-04-11: Hail2006-03-11: Hail2006-03-11: Hail2006-04-24: Hail2006-04-24: Hail2006-05-25: Hail2006-05-25: Hail2006-04-06: Hail2006-05-25: Hail2006-09-22: Hail2006-09-22: Hail2007-03-01: Hail2007-04-03: Hail2008-04-22: Hail2008-06-15: Hail2008-05-10: Hail2008-04-22: Hail2009-05-08: Hail2009-06-09: Hail2009-06-09: Hail2009-10-01: Hail2009-05-13: Hail2009-06-09: Hail2009-06-14: Hail2010-04-23: Hail2010-04-30: Hail2011-10-12: Hail2011-03-26: Hail2011-03-26: Hail2011-04-23: Hail2011-04-23: Hail2011-04-21: Hail2011-04-21: Hail2011-04-19: Hail2011-04-19: Hail2011-04-19: Hail2011-04-19: Hail2011-04-19: Hail2011-06-28: Hail2011-10-11: Hail2013-03-30: Hail2014-09-17: Hail2014-06-05: Hail2014-06-05: Hail2014-06-05: Hail2014-06-05: Hail1955-04-04: Tornado1961-03-12: Tornado1966-04-20: Tornado1972-07-01: Tornado1973-05-26: Tornado1976-07-02: Tornado2001-05-20: Tornado2007-03-01: Tornado2008-04-10: Tornado2010-12-31: Tornado2011-10-12: Tornado2017-04-26: Tornado2022-11-04: Tornado2023-04-05: Tornado2024-04-28: Tornado2025-05-19: Tornado2025-05-19: Tornado2005-01-12: Flood2008-04-23: Flood2008-03-18: Flood2008-03-03: Flood2008-04-10: Flood2009-10-08: Flood2011-04-24: Flood2011-04-24: Flood2011-04-23: Flood2011-04-25: Flood2011-04-23: Flood2011-04-23: Flood2011-04-23: Flood2011-04-23: Flood2011-05-23: Flood2011-04-24: Flood2011-04-23: Flood2013-08-08: Flood2013-08-08: Flood2013-08-08: Flood2013-08-08: Flood2015-12-28: Flood2015-12-27: Flood2015-12-28: Flood2015-12-30: Flood2015-03-25: Flood2015-03-25: Flood2017-04-29: Flood2019-06-26: Flood2022-04-13: Flood2022-04-13: Flood1959-05-18: Wind1959-06-11: Wind1968-02-01: Wind1979-10-30: Wind1981-04-03: Wind1982-04-16: Wind1985-05-29: Wind1985-05-29: Wind1985-08-04: Wind1987-05-03: Wind1987-04-13: Wind1988-04-05: Wind1988-07-20: Wind1989-05-22: Wind1989-05-22: Wind1989-05-21: Wind1990-05-26: Wind1990-05-26: Wind1990-05-15: Wind1990-05-16: Wind1990-09-07: Wind1990-06-21: Wind1992-07-04: Wind1992-06-24: Wind1992-07-02: Wind1992-08-10: Wind1992-08-03: Wind1992-07-26: Wind1996-04-22: Wind1996-03-24: Wind1997-06-13: Wind1997-07-09: Wind1997-04-04: Wind1997-05-02: Wind1997-02-20: Wind1997-05-26: Wind1998-10-05: Wind1998-11-10: Wind1998-05-25: Wind1998-08-09: Wind1998-11-10: Wind1999-02-11: Wind1999-04-03: Wind1999-05-23: Wind1999-05-04: Wind1999-12-03: Wind1999-05-17: Wind1999-05-17: Wind1999-05-17: Wind1999-05-17: Wind2000-04-20: Wind2000-05-24: Wind2000-07-20: Wind2000-07-20: Wind2001-04-15: Wind2001-02-24: Wind2001-02-09: Wind2001-04-15: Wind2001-04-11: Wind2001-07-28: Wind2001-08-10: Wind2001-08-09: Wind2001-07-28: Wind2001-10-10: Wind2001-09-08: Wind2001-09-07: Wind2002-03-09: Wind2002-05-12: Wind2002-05-08: Wind2003-08-21: Wind2003-08-21: Wind2003-05-16: Wind2003-07-11: Wind2003-07-11: Wind2003-07-12: Wind2003-07-22: Wind2003-07-22: Wind2004-04-30: Wind2004-03-04: Wind2004-07-04: Wind2005-04-11: Wind2005-06-13: Wind2005-06-04: Wind2005-05-23: Wind2005-07-01: Wind2005-09-28: Wind2005-08-06: Wind2006-05-09: Wind2006-04-02: Wind2006-07-20: Wind2006-07-21: Wind2006-09-22: Wind2006-09-22: Wind2007-03-01: Wind2007-03-31: Wind2008-01-08: Wind2008-07-03: Wind2008-05-10: Wind2008-05-02: Wind
Carroll County within Arkansas. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 29 Sep 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

Between 1950 and 2026, NCEI recorded 514 storm events in Carroll County, Arkansas, led by damaging wind.

That is 81.6 events per 100 square miles, in line with the Arkansas figure of 94.2, and 180.8 per 10,000 residents against 161.8 statewide.

8 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 5 deaths and 67 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $21M.

FEMA has designated the county in 21 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Winter Storm (emergency, 24 Jan 2026).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 7 claims since 1978, of which 5 were paid, totalling $9K (about $2K per paid claim). FEMA counts 2 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Low" and its expected annual loss as "Relatively Low" ($16M a year across 18 hazards).

3 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 0 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

8events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
514events since 19505 deaths, 67 injuries recorded
21disaster declarationslast 24 Jan 2026
7NFIP flood claims$9K paid

Compared with Arkansas and the United States

MeasureCarroll CountyArkansasUS
Recorded events since 195051448,9661,977,440
Events per 100 square miles81.694.256.0
Events per 10,000 residents180.8161.859.6
Events in the last 12 months81,15162,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI566826,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$21M$6.4B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents0.23.48.1
Average paid NFIP claim$2K$27K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years250.023.016.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Tornado: 1Wind: 2
Hail: 3Tornado: 2Wind: 1
Hail: 1Tornado: 3Wind: 1
Hail: 11Wind: 13
Hail: 37Flood: 6Wind: 52Winter: 8Heat: 1
Hail: 46Tornado: 4Flood: 14Wind: 65Winter: 19Heat: 2Cold: 1Drought: 7Lightning: 2
Hail: 33Tornado: 3Flood: 23Wind: 46Winter: 15Heat: 1Drought: 18Wildfire: 2
Hail: 24Tornado: 5Flood: 2Wind: 15Winter: 11Heat: 1Drought: 13
31950s61960s51970s241980s1041990s1602000s1412010s712020s
Recorded events in Carroll County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterHeatColdDroughtWildfireLightning NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 281 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 199 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Wind195
Hail155
Winter53
Flood45
Drought38
Tornado18
Heat5
Wildfire2
Lightning2
Cold1
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Wind195—1.1%detail
■ Hail155—1.2%detail
■ Winter53—1.1%detail
■ Flood4540.8%detail
■ Drought38—2.1%
■ Tornado18—0.7%detail
■ Heat510.2%
■ Wildfire2—1.1%
■ Lightning2—0.5%
■ Cold1—0.2%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
12 May 2002Flash FloodFlood———1—County
9 Aug 2006HeatHeat———1—Forecast zone
25 Mar 2015Flash FloodFlood———1—County
29 Apr 2017Flash FloodFlood———1—County
13 Apr 2022FloodFlood———1—County
6 Jul 1984HailHail1.75 in———18County
6 Jul 1984HailHail1.75 in———18County
12 Mar 1961TornadoTornadoF2$25K——14County
24 May 1995HailHail1.75 in———10County
13 Apr 1987Thunderstorm WindWind0 mph———5County
26 May 1973TornadoTornadoF2$250K——2County
26 Jan 2009Ice StormWinter—$17M———Forecast zone
28 Nov 2001Ice StormWinter—$500K———Forecast zone
14 Sep 2008High WindWind60 mph$300K———Forecast zone
23 Apr 2008Flash FloodFlood—$200K———County
8 Oct 2009Flash FloodFlood—$200K———County
4 Nov 2022TornadoTornadoEF1$200K———County
23 Apr 2011Flash FloodFlood—$125K———County
1 Mar 2007HailHail1.75 in$100K———County
23 Apr 2011Flash FloodFlood—$100K———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
24 Jan 2026EM-3636EmergencyWinter StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
5 Apr 2025EM-3627EmergencySevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
30 May 2024DR-4788Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
27 Aug 2020EM-3541EmergencyHurricaneHurricane LauraPublic assistance
3 Apr 2020DR-4518Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3461EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
15 Jun 2017DR-4318Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
5 Feb 2016DR-4254Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
4 Sep 2013DR-4143Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
2 May 2011DR-1975Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And Associated FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
3 Dec 2009DR-1861Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
6 Feb 2009DR-1819Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
28 Jan 2009EM-3301EmergencySevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
22 Oct 2008DR-1804Major disasterSevere StormTropical Storm IkePublic assistance
26 Mar 2008DR-1751Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
2 Sep 2005EM-3215EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
7 May 2004DR-1516Major disasterSevere StormSever Storms, Flooding And LandslidesPublic assistance
15 May 1990DR-865Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
3 Dec 1976EM-3019EmergencyDroughtDroughtPublic assistance
27 Jan 1972DR-321Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingPublic assistance
15 Feb 1969DR-254Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Carroll County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 19787
Paid claims5
Total paid$9K
Average paid claim$2K
Repetitive-loss properties0
Residential policies in force20.0% of 15,057 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202254$3,087$772
201521$5,936$5,936

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Lowscore 64.6 of 100
Expected annual loss$16MRelatively Low
Social vulnerabilityVery High
Community resilienceVery Low
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively Low$7,254,771
TornadoRelatively Moderate$2,685,058
Cold waveRelatively Moderate$1,812,922
Ice stormVery High$1,802,949
Strong windRelatively Moderate$765,565
Heat waveRelatively Low$588,002
EarthquakeRelatively Low$538,071
LightningRelatively Moderate$409,538
HailRelatively Low$241,359
Winter weatherRelatively Moderate$120,450
WildfireRelatively Low$81,216
HurricaneVery Low$51,136
LandslideRelatively Moderate$32,718

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles3
Tracks within 50 miles1
Hurricane strength within 50 miles0
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Ike200859 mi40 mph
Carla196111 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm190265 mi40 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Carroll County, AR?

NCEI records 155 hail events in Carroll County since 1950, in 38 different years; that is about 2.0 recorded events a year. 33 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Carroll County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 18 tornadoes in Carroll County since 1950, 4 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 0.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Carroll County?

24 Jan 2026: Severe Winter Storm, a emergency declaration for winter storm. The county appears in 21 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Carroll County, and how much was paid?

7 NFIP claims since 1978, 5 of them paid, for $9K in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Carroll County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Low" for overall risk, "Relatively Low" for expected annual loss, "Very High" for social vulnerability and "Very Low" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Carroll County compare with the rest of Arkansas?

81.6 recorded events per 100 square miles against 94.2 statewide, and 0.2 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 3.4. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 29 Sep 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 30 Sep 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.