County Hazards

States › Arkansas › Madison County

Madison County, Arkansas

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 05087 · 16,960 residents (2021) · 834 sq mi · dominant hazard Wind

Hail · 202Tornado · 28Flood · 60Wind · 216Winter · 58
2026-04-28: Hail2026-04-28: Hail2025-09-16: Hail2025-04-05: Hail2025-04-05: Hail2023-06-25: Hail2023-04-20: Hail2023-03-02: Hail2022-04-05: Hail2021-04-09: Hail2020-04-20: Hail2019-03-24: Hail2019-03-24: Hail2019-03-24: Hail2018-07-21: Hail2018-07-20: Hail2017-03-06: Hail2015-04-09: Hail2015-04-09: Hail2014-04-03: Hail2013-03-30: Hail2013-03-30: Hail2012-02-29: Hail2012-02-29: Hail2012-02-29: Hail2011-05-12: Hail2011-05-12: Hail2011-04-23: Hail2011-04-19: Hail2011-04-19: Hail2011-04-10: Hail2011-03-04: Hail2010-04-24: Hail2010-03-27: Hail2010-03-27: Hail2010-03-10: Hail2010-03-10: Hail2009-09-21: Hail2009-09-21: Hail2009-08-05: Hail2009-08-05: Hail2009-07-13: Hail2009-06-09: Hail2009-05-01: Hail2009-05-01: Hail2009-05-01: Hail2009-05-01: Hail2009-05-01: Hail2009-05-01: Hail2009-05-01: Hail2009-04-09: Hail2009-04-09: Hail2008-10-31: Hail2008-10-31: Hail2008-10-31: Hail2008-06-01: Hail2008-06-01: Hail2008-05-25: Hail2008-05-25: Hail2008-05-10: Hail2008-05-10: Hail2008-04-23: Hail2008-04-23: Hail2008-04-03: Hail2008-03-14: Hail2007-10-17: Hail2007-06-10: Hail2007-02-24: Hail2006-09-22: Hail2006-09-22: Hail2006-09-22: Hail2006-09-22: Hail2006-08-20: Hail2006-05-02: Hail2006-04-24: Hail2006-04-06: Hail2006-04-06: Hail2006-03-11: Hail2006-03-11: Hail2006-03-08: Hail2005-07-23: Hail2005-06-06: Hail2005-02-21: Hail2004-06-02: Hail2004-04-22: Hail2004-04-22: Hail2003-08-03: Hail2003-07-29: Hail2003-05-14: Hail2003-05-06: Hail2003-03-25: Hail2002-05-02: Hail2002-05-01: Hail2002-04-30: Hail2002-04-23: Hail2002-03-25: Hail2002-01-23: Hail2001-10-10: Hail2001-08-29: Hail2001-06-28: Hail2001-06-27: Hail2001-06-21: Hail2001-06-14: Hail2001-05-17: Hail2001-05-06: Hail2001-04-15: Hail2000-08-23: Hail2000-05-24: Hail2000-05-18: Hail2000-05-12: Hail2000-01-03: Hail1999-06-01: Hail1999-05-22: Hail1999-05-17: Hail1998-08-08: Hail1998-05-09: Hail1998-05-09: Hail1998-04-16: Hail1998-04-16: Hail1955-11-15: Tornado1960-05-05: Tornado1962-03-20: Tornado1965-04-03: Tornado1982-05-28: Tornado1993-03-30: Tornado1995-05-13: Tornado1996-04-21: Tornado2001-05-20: Tornado2008-04-10: Tornado2008-04-10: Tornado2009-04-29: Tornado2011-04-23: Tornado2011-04-14: Tornado2013-06-01: Tornado2013-01-29: Tornado2014-10-13: Tornado2015-03-25: Tornado2015-03-25: Tornado2016-04-27: Tornado2017-03-06: Tornado2021-10-15: Tornado2022-11-04: Tornado2023-04-05: Tornado2024-05-07: Tornado2024-05-26: Tornado2025-05-19: Tornado2025-05-19: Tornado2007-07-05: Flood2007-07-20: Flood2007-07-05: Flood2008-04-03: Flood2008-07-05: Flood2008-03-18: Flood2008-03-03: Flood2008-04-23: Flood2008-05-25: Flood2009-05-01: Flood2009-09-21: Flood2009-10-08: Flood2009-08-05: Flood2010-05-19: Flood2010-05-19: Flood2010-07-15: Flood2010-07-12: Flood2010-07-16: Flood2011-05-20: Flood2011-04-25: Flood2011-04-23: Flood2011-04-25: Flood2013-08-08: Flood2015-07-07: Flood2016-07-15: Flood2017-04-21: Flood2017-04-26: Flood2017-04-29: Flood2018-02-21: Flood2018-03-27: Flood2019-02-07: Flood2022-04-13: Flood2024-11-04: Flood2024-11-04: Flood2024-11-04: Flood2024-11-04: Flood2025-06-07: Wind2025-06-07: Wind2024-05-26: Wind2024-05-26: Wind2023-08-05: Wind2021-05-03: Wind2021-05-03: Wind2020-11-14: Wind2020-11-14: Wind2019-08-26: Wind2018-11-30: Wind2017-03-06: Wind2015-07-09: Wind2015-05-10: Wind2013-07-22: Wind2013-07-22: Wind2013-07-10: Wind2013-06-01: Wind2013-06-01: Wind2013-06-01: Wind2013-06-01: Wind2013-06-01: Wind2013-05-20: Wind2012-09-07: Wind2012-09-07: Wind2012-09-07: Wind2012-09-07: Wind2012-09-06: Wind2012-08-16: Wind2012-07-19: Wind2012-07-19: Wind2012-06-03: Wind2012-06-03: Wind2011-08-08: Wind2011-04-23: Wind2010-12-30: Wind2010-05-19: Wind2010-05-13: Wind2010-05-13: Wind2010-05-13: Wind2010-05-13: Wind2010-05-13: Wind2010-05-13: Wind2010-05-13: Wind2009-06-12: Wind2009-06-10: Wind2009-06-10: Wind2009-06-09: Wind2009-05-13: Wind2009-05-01: Wind2009-04-09: Wind2009-03-24: Wind2008-12-27: Wind2008-07-12: Wind2008-07-05: Wind2008-07-05: Wind2008-06-01: Wind2008-06-01: Wind2008-05-25: Wind2008-05-02: Wind2008-05-02: Wind2008-04-10: Wind2007-10-17: Wind2007-10-17: Wind2007-10-17: Wind2007-06-10: Wind2007-06-08: Wind2006-09-22: Wind2006-09-22: Wind2006-08-21: Wind2006-08-20: Wind2006-08-20: Wind2006-08-14: Wind2006-08-14: Wind2006-05-09: Wind2006-03-13: Wind2005-09-28: Wind2005-06-13: Wind2005-06-05: Wind2005-05-23: Wind2005-05-23: Wind2005-05-23: Wind2004-05-30: Wind2004-03-04: Wind2004-03-04: Wind2003-07-29: Wind2003-07-22: Wind2003-07-22: Wind2003-05-16: Wind2003-05-13: Wind2003-04-19: Wind2002-07-18: Wind2002-05-17: Wind2002-05-12: Wind2002-05-08: Wind2002-03-25: Wind2002-03-09: Wind2001-11-23: Wind2001-10-10: Wind2001-06-27: Wind2001-05-20: Wind2001-04-15: Wind2001-04-11: Wind2001-02-24: Wind2001-02-09: Wind2000-09-01: Wind2000-08-23: Wind2000-07-20: Wind2000-07-20: Wind2000-05-24: Wind2000-05-24: Wind2000-05-24: Wind2000-04-20: Wind2000-01-03: Wind1999-12-03: Wind1999-12-03: Wind
Madison County within Arkansas. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

The NCEI record lists 612 events for Madison County, Arkansas, between 1950 and 2026; damaging wind account for the largest share.

That is 73.4 events per 100 square miles, below the Arkansas figure of 94.2, and 360.8 per 10,000 residents against 161.8 statewide.

9 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 9 deaths and 9 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $22M.

FEMA has designated the county in 30 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Winter Storm (emergency, 24 Jan 2026).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 7 claims since 1978, of which 5 were paid, totalling $112K (about $23K per paid claim). FEMA counts 5 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Low" and its expected annual loss as "Very Low" ($12M a year across 18 hazards).

4 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 0 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

9events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
612events since 19509 deaths, 9 injuries recorded
30disaster declarationslast 24 Jan 2026
7NFIP flood claims$112K paid

Compared with Arkansas and the United States

MeasureMadison CountyArkansasUS
Recorded events since 195061248,9661,977,440
Events per 100 square miles73.494.256.0
Events per 10,000 residents360.8161.859.6
Events in the last 12 months91,15162,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI966826,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$22M$6.4B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents0.43.48.1
Average paid NFIP claim$23K$27K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years0.023.016.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Tornado: 1Wind: 1
Hail: 4Tornado: 3
Hail: 4Wind: 2
Hail: 5Tornado: 1Wind: 17
Hail: 77Tornado: 3Flood: 9Wind: 78Winter: 7Heat: 1
Hail: 75Tornado: 4Flood: 28Wind: 74Winter: 18Heat: 2Cold: 1Drought: 7Lightning: 1
Hail: 26Tornado: 9Flood: 18Wind: 35Winter: 18Heat: 1Drought: 22
Hail: 11Tornado: 7Flood: 5Wind: 9Winter: 15Heat: 1Drought: 12
21950s71960s61970s231980s1751990s2102000s1292010s602020s
Recorded events in Madison County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterHeatColdDroughtLightning NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 289 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 291 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Wind216
Hail202
Flood60
Winter58
Drought41
Tornado28
Heat5
Cold1
Lightning1
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Wind216—1.3%detail
■ Hail202—1.6%detail
■ Flood6071.1%detail
■ Winter58—1.2%detail
■ Drought41—2.2%
■ Tornado2821.1%detail
■ Heat5—0.2%
■ Cold1—0.2%
■ Lightning1—0.3%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
21 Apr 1996TornadoTornadoF3$1.0M—26County
22 Apr 2004Flash FloodFlood—$200K—2—County
25 Apr 2011Flash FloodFlood———2—County
29 Apr 2017Flash FloodFlood———2—County
5 Jan 1998Flash FloodFlood—$10K—1—County
21 Apr 1996Thunderstorm WindWind—$70K——2County
26 Jan 2009Ice StormWinter—$16M———Forecast zone
5 May 1960TornadoTornadoF2$25K——1County
8 Aug 2013Flash FloodFlood—$450K———County
20 Mar 1962TornadoTornadoF2$250K———County
29 Jan 2013TornadoTornadoEF1$250K———County
25 Mar 2015TornadoTornadoEF1$250K———County
27 Apr 2016TornadoTornadoEF1$250K———County
28 Nov 2001Ice StormWinter—$200K———Forecast zone
13 Oct 2014TornadoTornadoEF1$150K———County
20 Feb 1997Thunderstorm WindWind—$100K———County
17 Jun 2000Flash FloodFlood—$100K———County
6 May 2001HailHail2.00 in$100K———County
21 Aug 2002LightningLightning—$100K———County
8 Oct 2009Flash FloodFlood—$100K———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
24 Jan 2026EM-3636EmergencyWinter StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
5 Apr 2025EM-3627EmergencySevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
30 May 2024DR-4788Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
27 Aug 2020EM-3541EmergencyHurricaneHurricane LauraPublic assistance
3 Apr 2020DR-4518Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3461EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
13 Sep 2019DR-4460Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
15 Jun 2017DR-4318Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And FloodingPublic assistance
5 Feb 2016DR-4254Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And FloodingPublic assistance
26 Jun 2015DR-4226Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And FloodingPublic assistance
6 Jan 2014DR-4160Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
4 Sep 2013DR-4143Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
2 May 2011DR-1975Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And Associated FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
6 Feb 2009DR-1819Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
28 Jan 2009EM-3301EmergencySevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
22 Oct 2008DR-1804Major disasterSevere StormTropical Storm IkePublic assistance
26 Mar 2008DR-1751Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
2 Sep 2005EM-3215EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
7 May 2004DR-1516Major disasterSevere StormSever Storms, Flooding And LandslidesPublic assistance
6 Jun 2003DR-1472Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
29 Dec 2000DR-1354Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter Ice StormIndividual assistance, Public assistance
28 Dec 2000EM-3159EmergencySevere Ice StormSevere Winter Ice StormPublic assistance
23 Apr 1996DR-1111Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And TornadoesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
30 May 1991DR-907Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingPublic assistance
15 May 1990DR-865Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
3 Dec 1976EM-3019EmergencyDroughtDroughtPublic assistance
8 Jun 1974DR-437Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
27 Apr 1973DR-375Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
27 Jan 1972DR-321Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingPublic assistance
15 Feb 1969DR-254Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Madison County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 19787
Paid claims5
Total paid$112K
Average paid claim$23K
Repetitive-loss properties0
Residential policies in force50.1% of 8,149 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
201311$7,544$7,544
201154$104,955$26,239
200810$0—

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Lowscore 45.1 of 100
Expected annual loss$12MVery Low
Social vulnerabilityRelatively High
Community resilienceRelatively Low
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively Low$6,034,750
TornadoRelatively Moderate$1,769,206
Heat waveRelatively Low$1,096,585
Ice stormRelatively High$893,520
Cold waveRelatively Low$573,750
Strong windRelatively Low$391,587
EarthquakeVery Low$266,845
HailRelatively Low$201,374
WildfireRelatively Low$154,421
LightningRelatively Low$140,707
Winter weatherRelatively Moderate$90,088
HurricaneVery Low$39,405
LandslideRelatively Low$18,176

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles4
Tracks within 50 miles3
Hurricane strength within 50 miles0
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Ike200835 mi40 mph
Carla196136 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm191593 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm190246 mi40 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Madison County, AR?

NCEI records 202 hail events in Madison County since 1950, in 46 different years; that is about 2.6 recorded events a year. 42 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Madison County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 28 tornadoes in Madison County since 1950, 3 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 2.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Madison County?

24 Jan 2026: Severe Winter Storm, a emergency declaration for winter storm. The county appears in 30 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Madison County, and how much was paid?

7 NFIP claims since 1978, 5 of them paid, for $112K in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Madison County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Low" for overall risk, "Very Low" for expected annual loss, "Relatively High" for social vulnerability and "Relatively Low" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Madison County compare with the rest of Arkansas?

73.4 recorded events per 100 square miles against 94.2 statewide, and 0.4 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 3.4. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.