County Hazards

States › Florida › Clay County

Clay County, Florida

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 12019 · 222,361 residents (2021) · 605 sq mi · dominant hazard Wind

Hail · 120Tornado · 27Flood · 30Wind · 304Winter · 4
1956-05-24: Hail1957-03-24: Hail1959-04-01: Hail1964-05-31: Hail1964-07-31: Hail1971-04-30: Hail1974-04-02: Hail1974-03-21: Hail1975-03-25: Hail1978-04-19: Hail1979-05-30: Hail1980-05-25: Hail1981-04-01: Hail1981-06-26: Hail1982-06-13: Hail1984-07-02: Hail1984-03-27: Hail1986-05-20: Hail1996-06-22: Hail1996-06-07: Hail1996-04-15: Hail1997-04-23: Hail1998-06-19: Hail1998-01-27: Hail1998-04-08: Hail1998-06-24: Hail2000-05-14: Hail2000-05-14: Hail2000-05-14: Hail2000-05-14: Hail2000-07-26: Hail2000-07-11: Hail2001-06-28: Hail2001-06-18: Hail2001-08-30: Hail2001-08-30: Hail2001-08-06: Hail2002-04-02: Hail2002-07-19: Hail2002-07-26: Hail2003-03-13: Hail2003-03-01: Hail2003-03-01: Hail2003-03-01: Hail2003-03-01: Hail2003-03-01: Hail2003-03-01: Hail2003-03-01: Hail2003-03-01: Hail2004-06-26: Hail2004-06-26: Hail2004-06-26: Hail2004-06-26: Hail2005-05-30: Hail2006-02-03: Hail2006-02-03: Hail2006-05-25: Hail2006-05-25: Hail2006-05-28: Hail2006-05-28: Hail2006-05-28: Hail2006-05-28: Hail2007-07-21: Hail2008-06-02: Hail2008-07-02: Hail2008-07-02: Hail2008-07-21: Hail2008-06-02: Hail2009-05-17: Hail2009-05-24: Hail2009-05-26: Hail2009-06-13: Hail2009-06-13: Hail2009-06-13: Hail2010-04-25: Hail2010-04-25: Hail2010-05-24: Hail2010-01-21: Hail2011-04-20: Hail2011-05-27: Hail2011-05-14: Hail2011-04-20: Hail2011-08-12: Hail2011-08-12: Hail2012-03-31: Hail2012-08-20: Hail2012-05-17: Hail2012-03-14: Hail2012-05-22: Hail2012-05-22: Hail2013-09-06: Hail2013-03-23: Hail2013-09-06: Hail2013-06-20: Hail2014-12-22: Hail2014-04-30: Hail2014-05-01: Hail2014-06-10: Hail2014-06-21: Hail2014-07-14: Hail2014-05-11: Hail2014-06-08: Hail2014-06-08: Hail2014-06-08: Hail2015-07-01: Hail2017-06-15: Hail2017-06-15: Hail2019-07-02: Hail2020-05-22: Hail2020-05-22: Hail2021-02-09: Hail2021-02-09: Hail2023-04-26: Hail2023-04-26: Hail2023-06-09: Hail2023-05-21: Hail2024-02-04: Hail1953-08-10: Tornado1957-06-08: Tornado1960-06-04: Tornado1966-09-28: Tornado1968-09-07: Tornado1971-02-07: Tornado1972-03-28: Tornado1972-01-22: Tornado1975-03-25: Tornado1975-02-06: Tornado1978-05-03: Tornado1978-01-19: Tornado1980-03-10: Tornado1981-04-01: Tornado1983-04-23: Tornado1984-02-27: Tornado1988-11-04: Tornado2001-03-29: Tornado2004-09-06: Tornado2004-09-05: Tornado2008-08-22: Tornado2008-08-22: Tornado2010-01-21: Tornado2011-10-10: Tornado2023-09-26: Tornado2023-09-26: Tornado2024-02-04: Tornado2007-10-02: Flood2009-08-14: Flood2012-06-26: Flood2012-06-25: Flood2013-05-03: Flood2021-07-23: Flood2022-05-21: Flood2022-07-16: Flood2022-07-08: Flood2022-08-23: Flood2022-09-01: Flood2023-07-31: Flood2023-12-17: Flood2023-12-17: Flood2023-12-17: Flood2023-12-17: Flood2024-09-05: Flood2024-09-14: Flood2024-08-22: Flood2025-08-07: Flood2025-08-06: Flood2026-06-23: Wind2026-03-16: Wind2026-03-16: Wind2026-03-16: Wind2025-08-13: Wind2025-08-06: Wind2025-07-14: Wind2025-07-14: Wind2025-05-29: Wind2025-05-29: Wind2025-05-29: Wind2025-05-29: Wind2025-05-04: Wind2023-08-15: Wind2023-07-22: Wind2023-06-27: Wind2023-06-27: Wind2023-06-27: Wind2023-06-27: Wind2023-06-27: Wind2023-06-27: Wind2023-06-27: Wind2023-06-27: Wind2023-04-27: Wind2023-04-27: Wind2023-04-13: Wind2022-11-30: Wind2022-09-01: Wind2022-08-18: Wind2022-06-10: Wind2021-02-06: Wind2021-02-06: Wind2020-12-24: Wind2020-08-27: Wind2020-08-06: Wind2020-07-14: Wind2020-06-30: Wind2020-06-30: Wind2020-06-30: Wind2020-06-30: Wind2020-06-30: Wind2020-03-31: Wind2020-03-31: Wind2020-03-31: Wind2020-02-06: Wind2019-08-14: Wind2019-08-10: Wind2019-08-10: Wind2019-07-02: Wind2019-06-23: Wind2019-06-02: Wind2019-04-19: Wind2019-04-19: Wind2018-07-14: Wind2018-06-02: Wind2018-05-28: Wind2018-04-15: Wind2018-04-15: Wind2018-04-15: Wind2017-06-26: Wind2017-06-15: Wind2017-05-30: Wind2017-05-30: Wind2017-05-30: Wind2017-05-30: Wind2017-05-24: Wind2017-04-06: Wind2017-02-07: Wind2017-01-22: Wind2016-07-15: Wind2016-07-12: Wind2016-07-12: Wind2016-05-17: Wind2015-08-15: Wind2015-08-13: Wind2015-07-11: Wind2015-07-04: Wind2015-07-01: Wind2015-06-30: Wind2015-06-30: Wind2015-06-28: Wind2015-06-23: Wind2015-06-23: Wind2015-06-23: Wind2015-06-22: Wind2015-06-13: Wind2015-06-12: Wind2015-06-12: Wind2015-06-02: Wind2015-04-19: Wind2015-04-14: Wind2014-11-17: Wind2014-11-17: Wind2014-11-17: Wind2014-11-17: Wind2014-07-14: Wind2014-07-14: Wind2014-06-22: Wind2014-06-22: Wind2014-06-21: Wind2014-05-01: Wind2014-01-11: Wind2013-09-06: Wind2013-09-06: Wind2013-09-06: Wind2013-09-06: Wind2013-09-06: Wind2013-08-05: Wind2013-07-22: Wind2013-07-22: Wind2013-07-22: Wind2013-06-14: Wind2013-06-14: Wind2013-06-08: Wind2013-05-19: Wind2013-05-19: Wind2013-02-26: Wind2012-07-10: Wind2012-07-07: Wind2012-07-02: Wind
Clay County within Florida. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

Clay County, Florida, has 631 weather events in the NCEI Storm Events record since 1950, most of them damaging wind.

That is 104.4 events per 100 square miles, above the Florida figure of 73.8, and 28.4 per 10,000 residents against 18.2 statewide.

17 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 2 deaths and 21 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $6.7M and crop damage at $850.

FEMA has designated the county in 39 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Railroad Complex Fire (fire management assistance, 22 Apr 2026).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 1,744 claims since 1978, of which 1,383 were paid, totalling $76M (about $55K per paid claim). FEMA counts 4,005 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Moderate" and its expected annual loss as "Relatively Moderate" ($57M a year across 18 hazards).

118 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 6 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

17events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
631events since 19502 deaths, 21 injuries recorded
39disaster declarationslast 22 Apr 2026
1,744NFIP flood claims$76M paid

Compared with Florida and the United States

MeasureClay CountyFloridaUS
Recorded events since 195063139,5781,977,440
Events per 100 square miles104.473.856.0
Events per 10,000 residents28.418.259.6
Events in the last 12 months171,30762,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI289026,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$6.7M$80B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents7.820.68.1
Average paid NFIP claim$55K$62K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years21.518.316.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Hail: 3Tornado: 2Wind: 2
Hail: 2Tornado: 3Wind: 10
Hail: 6Tornado: 7Wind: 8
Hail: 7Tornado: 5Wind: 11
Hail: 11Flood: 4Wind: 47Wildfire: 2
Hail: 48Tornado: 5Flood: 5Wind: 85Tropical: 4Drought: 2Wildfire: 3Lightning: 10Other: 22
Hail: 34Tornado: 2Flood: 4Wind: 96Winter: 4Tropical: 6Wildfire: 7Lightning: 5Other: 51
Hail: 9Tornado: 3Flood: 17Wind: 45Lightning: 8Other: 26
71950s151960s211970s231980s641990s1842000s2092010s1082020s
Recorded events in Clay County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterTropicalDroughtWildfireLightningOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 389 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 177 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Wind304
Hail120
Other99
Flood30
Tornado27
Lightning23
Wildfire12
Tropical10
Winter4
Drought2
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Wind30412.0%detail
■ Hail120—2.1%detail
■ Other99—3.4%
■ Flood30—0.9%detail
■ Tornado27—0.7%detail
■ Lightning2311.3%
■ Wildfire12—2.5%
■ Tropical10—0.4%
■ Winter4—2.6%
■ Drought2—0.1%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
28 May 2020LightningLightning———12County
21 Apr 1991Thunderstorm WindWind0 mph——1—County
7 Jun 2001LightningLightning————5County
22 Jan 1972TornadoTornadoF2$3K——4County
27 Feb 1984TornadoTornadoF2$250K——2County
10 Jul 1998WildfireWildfire————2County
6 Feb 2020Thunderstorm WindWind69 mph———2County
9 Jun 2018LightningLightning—$1.0M——1County
6 Feb 1975TornadoTornadoF1$250K——1County
9 Mar 1999WildfireWildfire————1County
21 Jan 2010Thunderstorm WindWind58 mph———1County
23 Apr 1983TornadoTornadoF1$2.5M———County
29 Mar 2001TornadoTornadoF2$1.1M———County
1 Mar 1998FloodFlood—$370K———Forecast zone
31 Jul 2023LightningLightning—$240K———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
22 Apr 2026FM-5631Fire management assistanceFireRailroad Complex FirePublic assistance
11 Oct 2024DR-4834Major disasterHurricaneHurricane MiltonIndividual assistance, Public assistance
7 Oct 2024EM-3622EmergencyHurricaneHurricane MiltonPublic assistance
28 Sep 2024DR-4828Major disasterHurricaneHurricane HelenePublic assistance
10 Aug 2024DR-4806Major disasterTropical StormHurricane DebbyPublic assistance
3 Aug 2024EM-3605EmergencyTropical StormTropical Storm DebbyPublic assistance
31 Aug 2023DR-4734Major disasterHurricaneHurricane IdaliaPublic assistance
28 Aug 2023EM-3596EmergencyTropical StormTropical Storm IdaliaPublic assistance
13 Dec 2022DR-4680Major disasterHurricaneHurricane NicolePublic assistance
8 Nov 2022EM-3587EmergencyTropical StormTropical Storm NicolePublic assistance
29 Sep 2022DR-4673Major disasterHurricaneHurricane IanPublic assistance
24 Sep 2022EM-3584EmergencyHurricaneTropical Storm IanPublic assistance
4 Jul 2021EM-3561EmergencySevere StormTropical Storm ElsaPublic assistance
1 Aug 2020EM-3533EmergencyHurricaneHurricane IsaiasPublic assistance
25 Mar 2020DR-4486Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3432EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
30 Aug 2019EM-3419EmergencyHurricaneHurricane DorianPublic assistance
10 Sep 2017DR-4337Major disasterHurricaneHurricane IrmaIndividual assistance, Public assistance
5 Sep 2017EM-3385EmergencyHurricaneHurricane IrmaPublic assistance
8 Oct 2016DR-4283Major disasterHurricaneHurricane MatthewPublic assistance
6 Oct 2016EM-3377EmergencyHurricaneHurricane MatthewPublic assistance
3 Jul 2012DR-4068Major disasterSevere StormTropical Storm DebbyIndividual assistance, Public assistance
27 May 2009DR-1840Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Flooding, Tornadoes, And Straight-Line WindsPublic assistance
24 Aug 2008DR-1785Major disasterSevere StormTropical Storm FayIndividual assistance, Public assistance
21 Aug 2008EM-3288EmergencySevere StormTropical Storm FayPublic assistance
7 May 2007FM-2689Fire management assistanceFireSuwannee Fire ComplexPublic assistance
5 Sep 2005EM-3220EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
26 Sep 2004DR-1561Major disasterHurricaneHurricane JeanneIndividual assistance, Public assistance
16 Sep 2004DR-1551Major disasterHurricaneHurricane IvanIndividual assistance
4 Sep 2004DR-1545Major disasterHurricaneHurricane FrancesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Aug 2004DR-1539Major disasterHurricaneTropical Storm Bonnie And Hurricane CharleyPublic assistance
5 Feb 2001DR-1359Major disasterFreezingSevere FreezeIndividual assistance
2 Jun 2000FM-2305Fire management assistanceFireFl, Jacksonville Fire ComplexPublic assistance
14 May 1999FM-2262Fire management assistanceFireJacksonville District FirePublic assistance
27 Apr 1999EM-3139EmergencyFireFl-Fires 04/15/99Public assistance
18 Jun 1998DR-1223Major disasterFireExtreme Fire HazardIndividual assistance, Public assistance
6 Jan 1998DR-1195Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, High Winds, Tornadoes, And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
15 Oct 1996DR-1141Major disasterSevere StormTropical Storm JosephineIndividual assistance
8 Oct 1992DR-966Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Clay County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 19781,744
Paid claims1,383
Total paid$76M
Average paid claim$55K
Repetitive-loss properties19235 severe
Residential policies in force4,0055.1% of 78,156 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202541$82,980$82,980
202443$189,813$63,271
202351$12,248$12,248
20223933$1,866,824$56,570
202155$33,530$6,706
202022$32,138$16,069
201930$0—
201854$191,797$47,949
2017793691$61,163,838$88,515
20165633$1,162,648$35,232
201530$0—
201421$2,893$2,893
20133525$616,761$24,670
2012190151$4,677,076$30,974
201111$2,074$2,074
201020$0—
20095043$921,818$21,438
20085846$596,376$12,965
20073121$163,341$7,778
200564$32,718$8,180
200411971$1,507,976$21,239
200396$35,688$5,948
200221$4,274$4,274
20011712$107,366$8,947
2000158$103,912$12,989

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Moderatescore 81.1 of 100
Expected annual loss$57MRelatively Moderate
Social vulnerabilityVery Low
Community resilienceRelatively Moderate
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively Moderate$35,179,778
HurricaneRelatively Moderate$9,330,056
TornadoRelatively Moderate$6,020,438
Heat waveRelatively Moderate$2,214,239
LightningRelatively High$1,792,729
EarthquakeRelatively Low$764,081
WildfireRelatively Low$715,974
Coastal floodingRelatively Low$463,946
Strong windRelatively Low$406,059
Cold waveVery Low$206,171
HailVery Low$20,615
Winter weatherVery Low$7,956
DroughtVery Low$2,939
LandslideVery Low$316

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles118
Tracks within 50 miles32
Hurricane strength within 50 miles6
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Debby202462 mi81 mph
Idalia202398 mi115 mph
Nicole202287 mi46 mph
Elsa202194 mi63 mph
Eta202043 mi52 mph
Irma201757 mi58 mph
Colin201651 mi52 mph
Julia201625 mi52 mph
Matthew201673 mi115 mph
Andrea201369 mi58 mph
Beryl201218 mi69 mph
Debby201293 mi40 mph
Fay200834 mi63 mph
Ernesto200697 mi52 mph
Tammy200539 mi52 mph
Charley200464 mi86 mph
Jeanne200469 mi52 mph
Edouard200261 mi40 mph
Kyle200280 mi40 mph
Gabrielle2001100 mi46 mph
Gordon200069 mi63 mph
Josephine199668 mi52 mph
Chris198885 mi52 mph
Bob198589 mi75 mph
Isabel198551 mi46 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Clay County, FL?

NCEI records 120 hail events in Clay County since 1950, in 41 different years; that is about 1.6 recorded events a year. 17 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Clay County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 27 tornadoes in Clay County since 1950, 6 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 0.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Clay County?

22 Apr 2026: Railroad Complex Fire, a fire management assistance declaration for fire. The county appears in 39 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Clay County, and how much was paid?

1,744 NFIP claims since 1978, 1,383 of them paid, for $76M in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Clay County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Moderate" for overall risk, "Relatively Moderate" for expected annual loss, "Very Low" for social vulnerability and "Relatively Moderate" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Clay County compare with the rest of Florida?

104.4 recorded events per 100 square miles against 73.8 statewide, and 7.8 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 20.6. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.