County Hazards

States › Florida › St. Johns County

St. Johns County, Florida

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 12109 · 292,466 residents (2021) · 601 sq mi · dominant hazard Wind

Hail · 121Tornado · 66Flood · 63Wind · 341Winter · 3
1979-05-30: Hail1979-05-30: Hail1979-05-30: Hail1980-05-25: Hail1986-05-20: Hail1986-05-20: Hail1988-05-24: Hail1989-06-05: Hail1990-03-29: Hail1991-03-02: Hail1991-04-08: Hail1991-08-13: Hail1992-05-06: Hail1997-05-27: Hail1997-06-01: Hail1998-05-18: Hail1998-07-22: Hail1998-04-08: Hail1998-02-22: Hail1998-02-22: Hail1999-05-12: Hail1999-01-18: Hail2001-03-29: Hail2001-06-14: Hail2003-03-13: Hail2003-03-13: Hail2003-03-01: Hail2003-03-19: Hail2003-03-13: Hail2003-03-13: Hail2003-03-13: Hail2003-03-13: Hail2003-04-25: Hail2003-07-21: Hail2003-07-10: Hail2003-10-07: Hail2004-04-08: Hail2004-04-08: Hail2004-04-08: Hail2004-06-01: Hail2004-06-01: Hail2004-06-01: Hail2004-06-03: Hail2004-06-26: Hail2004-08-18: Hail2004-09-07: Hail2005-03-27: Hail2005-04-30: Hail2005-05-30: Hail2005-03-22: Hail2005-03-22: Hail2007-07-17: Hail2007-05-06: Hail2007-05-06: Hail2008-06-01: Hail2008-06-30: Hail2008-08-28: Hail2008-06-19: Hail2008-06-11: Hail2008-06-18: Hail2008-06-17: Hail2009-07-03: Hail2009-10-16: Hail2009-06-16: Hail2011-06-24: Hail2011-05-27: Hail2011-05-27: Hail2011-05-27: Hail2011-05-27: Hail2011-03-31: Hail2011-03-31: Hail2012-03-31: Hail2012-03-31: Hail2012-05-17: Hail2013-05-04: Hail2013-05-04: Hail2013-03-23: Hail2013-03-23: Hail2013-03-23: Hail2013-06-28: Hail2014-02-21: Hail2016-05-04: Hail2017-05-31: Hail2017-05-30: Hail2018-04-10: Hail2018-04-10: Hail2018-04-10: Hail2018-04-10: Hail2018-06-03: Hail2018-06-01: Hail2018-06-01: Hail2018-06-03: Hail2018-06-03: Hail2018-06-26: Hail2018-11-26: Hail2019-06-22: Hail2020-06-19: Hail2020-06-25: Hail2020-06-25: Hail2020-06-25: Hail2020-06-25: Hail2020-06-25: Hail2020-08-18: Hail2021-02-15: Hail2021-02-15: Hail2021-02-15: Hail2022-05-15: Hail2022-04-17: Hail2022-04-17: Hail2022-04-17: Hail2022-04-17: Hail2023-09-11: Hail2023-04-27: Hail2023-04-27: Hail2025-05-29: Hail1950-03-16: Tornado1958-04-15: Tornado1959-06-06: Tornado1961-04-09: Tornado1962-08-23: Tornado1969-06-05: Tornado1971-02-07: Tornado1972-03-28: Tornado1973-04-04: Tornado1974-05-12: Tornado1975-03-18: Tornado1978-05-04: Tornado1978-05-04: Tornado1979-07-11: Tornado1982-06-26: Tornado1986-03-14: Tornado1988-07-10: Tornado1990-06-03: Tornado1991-08-13: Tornado1991-05-01: Tornado1991-04-23: Tornado1992-04-11: Tornado1994-09-25: Tornado1995-04-24: Tornado1995-06-12: Tornado1996-10-07: Tornado1996-04-30: Tornado1996-02-02: Tornado1997-02-13: Tornado1999-01-02: Tornado2001-09-14: Tornado2001-09-14: Tornado2001-09-14: Tornado2002-07-19: Tornado2004-09-06: Tornado2004-09-06: Tornado2004-09-26: Tornado2004-09-07: Tornado2004-09-26: Tornado2004-09-07: Tornado2004-09-05: Tornado2004-09-26: Tornado2004-09-05: Tornado2004-09-06: Tornado2004-09-26: Tornado2007-04-15: Tornado2007-06-12: Tornado2008-08-22: Tornado2009-04-13: Tornado2013-07-21: Tornado2013-05-04: Tornado2015-06-10: Tornado2017-05-24: Tornado2017-06-06: Tornado2017-09-10: Tornado2017-02-07: Tornado2017-09-10: Tornado2017-09-11: Tornado2018-07-23: Tornado2019-12-14: Tornado2020-03-31: Tornado2021-02-14: Tornado2023-09-11: Tornado2024-04-03: Tornado2024-04-11: Tornado2025-05-29: Tornado2007-02-02: Flood2007-09-01: Flood2007-10-02: Flood2009-05-19: Flood2010-01-21: Flood2012-08-21: Flood2013-05-04: Flood2013-05-03: Flood2015-08-26: Flood2015-07-24: Flood2015-08-30: Flood2015-09-08: Flood2015-09-24: Flood2016-09-13: Flood2016-10-03: Flood2017-06-13: Flood2017-06-25: Flood2017-06-26: Flood2017-10-01: Flood2017-10-01: Flood2017-09-08: Flood2017-09-11: Flood2017-09-11: Flood2020-05-26: Flood2020-09-27: Flood2021-09-08: Flood2021-07-27: Flood2021-06-14: Flood2021-06-16: Flood2021-07-27: Flood2022-07-16: Flood2022-09-09: Flood2022-09-29: Flood2023-09-26: Flood2023-12-17: Flood2023-12-16: Flood2023-12-17: Flood2024-09-18: Flood2024-10-10: Flood2024-10-10: Flood2024-10-10: Flood2025-08-22: Flood2026-06-27: Wind2026-06-25: Wind2026-06-25: Wind2026-06-18: Wind2026-06-18: Wind2026-03-16: Wind2026-03-16: Wind2025-08-06: Wind2025-07-21: Wind2025-06-19: Wind2025-06-10: Wind2025-06-03: Wind2025-05-29: Wind2025-05-29: Wind2025-05-29: Wind2025-05-29: Wind2025-05-25: Wind2025-05-25: Wind2025-05-07: Wind2025-05-04: Wind2025-01-19: Wind2024-09-18: Wind2024-09-18: Wind2024-07-19: Wind2024-05-25: Wind2024-04-03: Wind2024-01-09: Wind2024-01-09: Wind2023-09-26: Wind2023-09-11: Wind2023-08-16: Wind2023-07-30: Wind2023-07-30: Wind2023-07-30: Wind2023-07-30: Wind2023-07-22: Wind2023-07-22: Wind2023-07-22: Wind2023-07-17: Wind2023-07-09: Wind2023-07-07: Wind2023-07-04: Wind2023-07-04: Wind2023-07-03: Wind2023-07-03: Wind2023-06-27: Wind2023-06-27: Wind2023-06-15: Wind2023-06-13: Wind2023-06-13: Wind2023-04-13: Wind2023-04-13: Wind2023-04-13: Wind2022-09-01: Wind2022-08-31: Wind2022-08-18: Wind2022-08-17: Wind2022-08-17: Wind2022-08-17: Wind2022-08-17: Wind2022-08-12: Wind2022-08-12: Wind2022-07-22: Wind2022-07-11: Wind2022-07-03: Wind2022-06-11: Wind2022-06-10: Wind2022-04-17: Wind2022-03-18: Wind2021-06-22: Wind2021-06-22: Wind2021-06-16: Wind2021-06-16: Wind2021-06-05: Wind2021-06-03: Wind2021-05-12: Wind2020-12-24: Wind2020-09-27: Wind2020-08-19: Wind2020-08-18: Wind2020-08-14: Wind2020-06-27: Wind2020-06-27: Wind2020-06-25: Wind2020-06-25: Wind2020-06-20: Wind2020-05-27: Wind2020-02-06: Wind2019-10-22: Wind2019-10-19: Wind2019-07-11: Wind2019-07-11: Wind2019-07-04: Wind2019-07-04: Wind2019-06-23: Wind2019-05-28: Wind2019-05-05: Wind2019-04-19: Wind2019-04-08: Wind2018-11-02: Wind2018-09-16: Wind2018-08-09: Wind2018-06-28: Wind2018-06-11: Wind2018-06-11: Wind2018-06-04: Wind2018-06-02: Wind2018-05-16: Wind2018-04-15: Wind2017-09-01: Wind2017-08-31: Wind2017-08-04: Wind2017-07-22: Wind2017-07-03: Wind2017-07-03: Wind2017-07-03: Wind2017-06-26: Wind2017-05-31: Wind2017-05-24: Wind2017-04-03: Wind
St. Johns County within Florida. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

St. Johns County, Florida, has 820 weather events in the NCEI Storm Events record since 1950, most of them damaging wind.

That is 136.5 events per 100 square miles, above the Florida figure of 73.8, and 28.0 per 10,000 residents against 18.2 statewide.

30 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 3 deaths and 33 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $2.0B and crop damage at $38M.

FEMA has designated the county in 34 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Hurricane Milton (major disaster, 11 Oct 2024).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 7,639 claims since 1978, of which 5,841 were paid, totalling $252M (about $43K per paid claim). FEMA counts 22,491 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Moderate" and its expected annual loss as "Relatively Moderate" ($97M a year across 18 hazards).

112 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 12 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

30events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
820events since 19503 deaths, 33 injuries recorded
34disaster declarationslast 11 Oct 2024
7,639NFIP flood claims$252M paid

Compared with Florida and the United States

MeasureSt. Johns CountyFloridaUS
Recorded events since 195082039,5781,977,440
Events per 100 square miles136.573.856.0
Events per 10,000 residents28.018.259.6
Events in the last 12 months301,30762,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI389026,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$2.0B$80B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents26.120.68.1
Average paid NFIP claim$43K$62K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years13.018.316.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Tornado: 3
Tornado: 3Wind: 1
Hail: 3Tornado: 8Wind: 4
Hail: 5Tornado: 3Wind: 13
Hail: 19Tornado: 13Flood: 6Wind: 57Winter: 3Tropical: 2Wildfire: 1Lightning: 1Other: 3
Hail: 42Tornado: 19Flood: 10Wind: 77Tropical: 10Drought: 1Wildfire: 2Lightning: 22Other: 31
Hail: 32Tornado: 11Flood: 28Wind: 101Tropical: 8Wildfire: 9Lightning: 22Other: 47
Hail: 20Tornado: 6Flood: 19Wind: 88Lightning: 9Other: 58
31950s41960s151970s211980s1051990s2142000s2582010s2002020s
Recorded events in St. Johns County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterTropicalDroughtWildfireLightningOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 530 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 252 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Wind341
Other139
Hail121
Tornado66
Flood63
Lightning54
Tropical20
Wildfire12
Winter3
Drought1
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Wind341—2.2%detail
■ Other139—4.8%
■ Hail121—2.1%detail
■ Tornado66—1.7%detail
■ Flood63—1.9%detail
■ Lightning5433.0%
■ Tropical20—0.9%
■ Wildfire12—2.5%
■ Winter3—1.9%
■ Drought1—0.1%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
6 Oct 2016Tropical StormTropical—$2.0B———Forecast zone
12 Aug 1999LightningLightning———1—County
16 Sep 2000LightningLightning———1—County
11 Jul 2004LightningLightning———1—County
15 Apr 1958TornadoTornadoF3$250K——9County
24 Apr 1995TornadoTornadoF2$1.1M——5County
4 May 2013FloodFlood——$38M——County
12 Jul 2025LightningLightning————3County
9 Apr 1961TornadoTornadoF2$25K——2County
21 Jan 2010Thunderstorm WindWind58 mph———2County
10 Jul 1998WildfireWildfire————1County
11 Aug 2003LightningLightning————1County
8 Aug 2003LightningLightning————1County
28 Mar 2009LightningLightning————1County
10 Jan 2011LightningLightning————1County
1 Oct 2012LightningLightning————1County
27 Jun 2015LightningLightning————1County
17 May 2016LightningLightning————1County
8 Apr 2019Thunderstorm WindWind52 mph———1County
2 Aug 2022LightningLightning————1County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
11 Oct 2024DR-4834Major disasterHurricaneHurricane MiltonIndividual assistance, Public assistance
7 Oct 2024EM-3622EmergencyHurricaneHurricane MiltonPublic assistance
10 Aug 2024DR-4806Major disasterTropical StormHurricane DebbyPublic assistance
3 Aug 2024EM-3605EmergencyTropical StormTropical Storm DebbyPublic assistance
31 Aug 2023DR-4734Major disasterHurricaneHurricane IdaliaPublic assistance
28 Aug 2023EM-3596EmergencyTropical StormTropical Storm IdaliaPublic assistance
13 Dec 2022DR-4680Major disasterHurricaneHurricane NicoleIndividual assistance, Public assistance
8 Nov 2022EM-3587EmergencyTropical StormTropical Storm NicolePublic assistance
29 Sep 2022DR-4673Major disasterHurricaneHurricane IanIndividual assistance, Public assistance
24 Sep 2022EM-3584EmergencyHurricaneTropical Storm IanPublic assistance
1 Aug 2020EM-3533EmergencyHurricaneHurricane IsaiasPublic assistance
25 Mar 2020DR-4486Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3432EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
21 Oct 2019DR-4468Major disasterHurricaneHurricane DorianPublic assistance
30 Aug 2019EM-3419EmergencyHurricaneHurricane DorianPublic assistance
10 Sep 2017DR-4337Major disasterHurricaneHurricane IrmaIndividual assistance, Public assistance
5 Sep 2017EM-3385EmergencyHurricaneHurricane IrmaPublic assistance
8 Oct 2016DR-4283Major disasterHurricaneHurricane MatthewIndividual assistance, Public assistance
6 Oct 2016EM-3377EmergencyHurricaneHurricane MatthewPublic assistance
24 Aug 2008DR-1785Major disasterSevere StormTropical Storm FayPublic assistance
21 Aug 2008EM-3288EmergencySevere StormTropical Storm FayPublic assistance
5 Sep 2005EM-3220EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
26 Sep 2004DR-1561Major disasterHurricaneHurricane JeanneIndividual assistance, Public assistance
16 Sep 2004DR-1551Major disasterHurricaneHurricane IvanIndividual assistance
4 Sep 2004DR-1545Major disasterHurricaneHurricane FrancesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Aug 2004DR-1539Major disasterHurricaneTropical Storm Bonnie And Hurricane CharleyIndividual assistance, Public assistance
28 Sep 2001DR-1393Major disasterCoastal StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes And Flooding Associated With Tropical Storm GabriellePublic assistance
5 Feb 2001DR-1359Major disasterFreezingSevere FreezeIndividual assistance
22 Sep 1999DR-1300Major disasterHurricaneHurricane Floyd Major Disaster DeclarationsPublic assistance
14 Sep 1999EM-3143EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Floyd Emergency DeclarationsPublic assistance
18 Jun 1998DR-1223Major disasterFireExtreme Fire HazardIndividual assistance, Public assistance
6 Jan 1998DR-1195Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, High Winds, Tornadoes, And FloodingIndividual assistance
31 Jan 1977DR-526Major disasterFreezingSevere Winter WeatherIndividual assistance
7 Nov 1968DR-252Major disasterHurricaneHurricane GladysIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in St. Johns County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 19787,639
Paid claims5,841
Total paid$252M
Average paid claim$43K
Repetitive-loss properties1,175143 severe
Residential policies in force22,49123.2% of 96,803 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202620$0—
202586$145,591$24,265
20247124$622,404$25,934
2023207$102,388$14,627
20221,001801$31,048,809$38,763
20211810$760,662$76,066
20203626$591,958$22,768
2019208$106,500$13,312
2018175$258,411$51,682
20171,7231,426$62,719,050$43,983
20163,4562,866$148,041,859$51,655
2015138$186,713$23,339
201491$13,425$13,425
20134420$455,496$22,775
20124525$210,859$8,434
20112311$89,392$8,127
201060$0—
20093417$263,701$15,512
20086333$506,787$15,357
20076150$803,566$16,071
200642$6,540$3,270
2005114$43,752$10,938
200411543$487,902$11,347
2003148$85,994$10,749
200272$28,075$14,038

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Moderatescore 87.5 of 100
Expected annual loss$97MRelatively Moderate
Social vulnerabilityVery Low
Community resilienceVery High
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively Moderate$51,486,433
HurricaneRelatively High$22,537,390
Coastal floodingRelatively High$7,772,307
TornadoRelatively Moderate$7,601,843
Heat waveRelatively Moderate$2,368,562
LightningRelatively High$1,955,552
WildfireRelatively Moderate$1,764,852
Strong windRelatively Low$574,175
EarthquakeVery Low$552,416
Cold waveVery Low$288,141
DroughtRelatively Low$52,943
HailVery Low$30,481
LandslideVery Low$156

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles112
Tracks within 50 miles46
Hurricane strength within 50 miles12
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Debby202483 mi52 mph
Isaias202085 mi69 mph
Eta202067 mi46 mph
Irma201781 mi58 mph
Colin201670 mi52 mph
Julia20169 mi52 mph
Matthew201644 mi121 mph
Andrea201396 mi46 mph
Alberto201296 mi40 mph
Beryl201221 mi69 mph
Fay200840 mi63 mph
Andrea200799 mi40 mph
Ernesto200669 mi52 mph
Tammy200535 mi52 mph
Charley200439 mi86 mph
Jeanne200488 mi52 mph
Edouard200238 mi40 mph
Kyle200266 mi40 mph
Gabrielle200189 mi46 mph
Gordon200096 mi46 mph
Irene199998 mi75 mph
Josephine199688 mi52 mph
Chris198872 mi52 mph
Bob198568 mi75 mph
Isabel198537 mi46 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in St. Johns County, FL?

NCEI records 121 hail events in St. Johns County since 1950, in 34 different years; that is about 1.6 recorded events a year. 22 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has St. Johns County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 66 tornadoes in St. Johns County since 1950, 8 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 0.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for St. Johns County?

11 Oct 2024: Hurricane Milton, a major disaster declaration for hurricane. The county appears in 34 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in St. Johns County, and how much was paid?

7,639 NFIP claims since 1978, 5,841 of them paid, for $252M in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is St. Johns County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Moderate" for overall risk, "Relatively Moderate" for expected annual loss, "Very Low" for social vulnerability and "Very High" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does St. Johns County compare with the rest of Florida?

136.5 recorded events per 100 square miles against 73.8 statewide, and 26.1 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 20.6. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.