County Hazards

States › Florida › Manatee County

Manatee County, Florida

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 12081 · 412,703 residents (2021) · 743 sq mi · dominant hazard Wind

Hail · 71Tornado · 94Flood · 58Wind · 172Winter · 0
1969-05-27: Hail1973-07-23: Hail1974-06-14: Hail1985-07-08: Hail1989-05-28: Hail1991-08-06: Hail1992-09-02: Hail1992-03-30: Hail1996-05-03: Hail1996-05-04: Hail1996-06-17: Hail1996-06-17: Hail1996-08-24: Hail1997-07-18: Hail1997-04-26: Hail1997-05-28: Hail1998-08-09: Hail1998-05-05: Hail1998-07-02: Hail1998-05-05: Hail1998-02-16: Hail1999-05-30: Hail1999-05-21: Hail1999-05-21: Hail1999-05-11: Hail1999-07-15: Hail1999-05-09: Hail1999-05-09: Hail1999-07-14: Hail1999-05-12: Hail1999-05-21: Hail1999-05-19: Hail2000-06-12: Hail2000-08-06: Hail2000-06-16: Hail2000-06-20: Hail2001-05-03: Hail2001-06-15: Hail2001-06-15: Hail2001-08-09: Hail2001-07-28: Hail2002-05-16: Hail2002-07-25: Hail2004-06-08: Hail2004-06-27: Hail2004-06-07: Hail2004-06-07: Hail2005-05-03: Hail2007-06-08: Hail2007-07-17: Hail2008-07-23: Hail2008-06-12: Hail2008-06-12: Hail2008-06-12: Hail2008-06-12: Hail2008-06-28: Hail2009-05-20: Hail2009-05-20: Hail2011-01-17: Hail2012-06-08: Hail2014-05-25: Hail2018-08-27: Hail2022-10-15: Hail2022-05-31: Hail2022-06-15: Hail1955-10-29: Tornado1956-02-10: Tornado1958-09-28: Tornado1958-10-31: Tornado1961-08-31: Tornado1964-06-30: Tornado1966-08-15: Tornado1966-09-28: Tornado1968-10-18: Tornado1969-06-08: Tornado1971-12-03: Tornado1971-07-29: Tornado1972-02-01: Tornado1972-02-01: Tornado1973-04-07: Tornado1973-04-03: Tornado1974-08-27: Tornado1975-08-03: Tornado1977-07-15: Tornado1978-08-17: Tornado1978-10-13: Tornado1978-05-20: Tornado1978-06-12: Tornado1979-01-24: Tornado1979-08-24: Tornado1979-09-29: Tornado1980-05-25: Tornado1980-09-02: Tornado1981-06-04: Tornado1981-06-25: Tornado1981-08-24: Tornado1981-07-29: Tornado1982-07-16: Tornado1982-02-17: Tornado1984-08-23: Tornado1986-05-20: Tornado1986-02-08: Tornado1986-08-01: Tornado1986-08-01: Tornado1987-07-24: Tornado1990-07-14: Tornado1990-07-02: Tornado1990-06-29: Tornado1991-07-13: Tornado1991-05-07: Tornado1992-09-03: Tornado1992-10-03: Tornado1992-07-12: Tornado1993-08-10: Tornado1996-08-06: Tornado1996-08-23: Tornado1997-01-09: Tornado1997-04-23: Tornado1997-04-23: Tornado1997-04-26: Tornado1997-10-31: Tornado1997-10-31: Tornado1997-10-31: Tornado1998-03-19: Tornado1998-02-17: Tornado1998-02-19: Tornado1999-07-09: Tornado1999-07-09: Tornado1999-07-09: Tornado1999-05-12: Tornado2000-09-09: Tornado2000-06-20: Tornado2001-07-01: Tornado2001-09-14: Tornado2002-06-17: Tornado2002-07-29: Tornado2003-06-18: Tornado2004-06-08: Tornado2005-07-09: Tornado2006-07-17: Tornado2011-01-25: Tornado2013-07-09: Tornado2013-07-15: Tornado2013-06-06: Tornado2015-10-01: Tornado2016-02-24: Tornado2016-01-17: Tornado2016-07-11: Tornado2017-08-26: Tornado2017-07-31: Tornado2018-12-20: Tornado2020-07-16: Tornado2020-08-09: Tornado2020-11-11: Tornado2021-04-10: Tornado2021-10-28: Tornado2026-05-26: Tornado2009-09-12: Flood2016-09-01: Flood2017-08-26: Flood2020-09-10: Flood2020-09-10: Flood2020-09-10: Flood2020-06-06: Flood2021-07-07: Flood2022-09-17: Flood2022-06-26: Flood2022-06-26: Flood2024-10-09: Flood1958-08-14: Wind1965-08-11: Wind1969-12-21: Wind1969-05-27: Wind1970-06-26: Wind1973-08-22: Wind1973-09-03: Wind1974-03-23: Wind1975-05-27: Wind1975-08-08: Wind1977-08-11: Wind1977-08-12: Wind1977-08-12: Wind1978-12-24: Wind1978-05-04: Wind1981-06-26: Wind1982-01-14: Wind1983-03-24: Wind1984-04-08: Wind1985-09-17: Wind1985-10-31: Wind1986-08-31: Wind1986-09-09: Wind1986-08-01: Wind1988-09-05: Wind1988-06-25: Wind1988-07-19: Wind1989-08-22: Wind1989-08-26: Wind1989-06-18: Wind1990-07-10: Wind1990-07-19: Wind1990-06-16: Wind1991-07-20: Wind1991-07-20: Wind1991-08-06: Wind1991-07-23: Wind1991-05-16: Wind1991-05-17: Wind1991-04-25: Wind1991-09-07: Wind1991-09-07: Wind1991-08-09: Wind1991-05-07: Wind1992-03-30: Wind1992-07-21: Wind1992-02-05: Wind1992-02-05: Wind1992-02-07: Wind1992-02-25: Wind1996-04-30: Wind1996-08-06: Wind1997-06-22: Wind1997-04-23: Wind1997-04-23: Wind1997-04-26: Wind1997-04-23: Wind1997-04-23: Wind1997-12-27: Wind1997-10-31: Wind1997-10-27: Wind1998-06-29: Wind1998-06-30: Wind1998-03-01: Wind1998-03-09: Wind1998-03-19: Wind1998-03-20: Wind1998-03-20: Wind1998-03-09: Wind1998-03-09: Wind1998-03-09: Wind1998-08-16: Wind1998-05-04: Wind1998-02-20: Wind1998-02-19: Wind1998-06-27: Wind1998-02-19: Wind1998-02-17: Wind1999-01-02: Wind1999-01-02: Wind1999-06-05: Wind1999-06-03: Wind2001-03-04: Wind2001-05-03: Wind2001-06-20: Wind2001-08-10: Wind2001-07-25: Wind2002-07-29: Wind2003-03-17: Wind2003-06-30: Wind
Manatee County within Florida. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 29 Sep 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

Between 1950 and 2026, NCEI recorded 567 storm events in Manatee County, Florida, led by damaging wind.

That is 76.3 events per 100 square miles, in line with the Florida figure of 73.8, and 13.7 per 10,000 residents against 18.2 statewide.

2 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 9 deaths and 61 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $73M and crop damage at $20M.

FEMA has designated the county in 50 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Hurricane Milton (major disaster, 11 Oct 2024).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 11,389 claims since 1978, of which 8,883 were paid, totalling $651M (about $73K per paid claim). FEMA counts 28,439 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively High" and its expected annual loss as "Relatively High" ($255M a year across 18 hazards).

105 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 15 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

2events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
567events since 19509 deaths, 61 injuries recorded
50disaster declarationslast 11 Oct 2024
11,389NFIP flood claims$651M paid

Compared with Florida and the United States

MeasureManatee CountyFloridaUS
Recorded events since 195056739,5781,977,440
Events per 100 square miles76.373.856.0
Events per 10,000 residents13.718.259.6
Events in the last 12 months21,30762,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI989026,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$73M$80B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents27.620.68.1
Average paid NFIP claim$73K$62K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years25.218.316.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Tornado: 4Wind: 1
Hail: 1Tornado: 7Wind: 3
Hail: 2Tornado: 16Wind: 11
Hail: 2Tornado: 14Wind: 15
Hail: 33Tornado: 26Flood: 28Wind: 78Tropical: 8Cold: 4Lightning: 11Fog: 32Other: 2
Hail: 26Tornado: 10Flood: 19Wind: 26Tropical: 14Cold: 25Wildfire: 4Lightning: 23Fog: 11Other: 10
Hail: 4Tornado: 11Flood: 2Wind: 26Tropical: 1Cold: 8Lightning: 3Other: 10
Hail: 3Tornado: 6Flood: 9Wind: 12Lightning: 4Other: 2
51950s111960s291970s311980s2221990s1682000s652010s362020s
Recorded events in Manatee County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindTropicalColdWildfireLightningFogOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 147 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 358 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Wind172
Tornado94
Hail71
Flood58
Fog43
Lightning41
Cold37
Other24
Tropical23
Wildfire4
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Wind17211.1%detail
■ Tornado9422.5%detail
■ Hail71—1.3%detail
■ Flood5821.7%detail
■ Fog43—5.7%
■ Lightning4142.3%
■ Cold37—3.3%
■ Other24—0.8%
■ Tropical23—1.0%
■ Wildfire4—0.8%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
17 Jan 2016TornadoTornadoEF2$150K—24County
13 Jun 2016LightningLightning———12County
26 Aug 2017FloodFlood—$1.3M—1—County
9 Aug 2003Flash FloodFlood—$1.3M—1—County
13 Mar 1993Thunderstorm WindWind0 mph——1—County
29 Jul 2000LightningLightning———1—County
7 Jul 2004LightningLightning———1—County
7 Sep 2021LightningLightning———1—County
19 May 1999LightningLightning————7County
14 Sep 2001Tropical StormTropical—$1.3M——6Forecast zone
15 Jul 1977TornadoTornadoF1$250K——6County
31 Oct 1958TornadoTornadoF3$25K——4County
8 Feb 1986TornadoTornadoF0$25K——4County
22 Feb 1998High WindWind—$15K——4Forecast zone
24 May 2009LightningLightning————4County
1 Feb 1972TornadoTornadoF2$250K——3County
30 Jul 2000LightningLightning————3County
3 Dec 1971TornadoTornadoF1$25K——2County
10 Apr 2021TornadoTornadoEF1$1.0M——1County
25 Sep 2004Tropical StormTropical—$10M———Forecast zone

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
11 Oct 2024DR-4834Major disasterHurricaneHurricane MiltonIndividual assistance, Public assistance
7 Oct 2024EM-3622EmergencyHurricaneHurricane MiltonPublic assistance
28 Sep 2024DR-4828Major disasterHurricaneHurricane HeleneIndividual assistance, Public assistance
24 Sep 2024EM-3615EmergencyTropical StormTropical Storm HelenePublic assistance
10 Aug 2024DR-4806Major disasterTropical StormHurricane DebbyIndividual assistance, Public assistance
3 Aug 2024EM-3605EmergencyTropical StormTropical Storm DebbyPublic assistance
31 Aug 2023DR-4734Major disasterHurricaneHurricane IdaliaIndividual assistance, Public assistance
28 Aug 2023EM-3596EmergencyTropical StormTropical Storm IdaliaPublic assistance
13 Dec 2022DR-4680Major disasterHurricaneHurricane NicolePublic assistance
8 Nov 2022EM-3587EmergencyTropical StormTropical Storm NicolePublic assistance
29 Sep 2022DR-4673Major disasterHurricaneHurricane IanIndividual assistance, Public assistance
24 Sep 2022EM-3584EmergencyHurricaneTropical Storm IanPublic assistance
16 Aug 2021EM-3562EmergencyHurricaneTropical Storm FredPublic assistance
4 Jul 2021EM-3561EmergencySevere StormTropical Storm ElsaPublic assistance
11 Nov 2020EM-3551EmergencyHurricaneHurricane EtaPublic assistance
25 Mar 2020DR-4486Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3432EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
30 Aug 2019EM-3419EmergencyHurricaneHurricane DorianPublic assistance
9 Oct 2018EM-3405EmergencyHurricaneHurricane MichaelPublic assistance
10 Sep 2017DR-4337Major disasterHurricaneHurricane IrmaIndividual assistance, Public assistance
5 Sep 2017EM-3385EmergencyHurricaneHurricane IrmaPublic assistance
28 Sep 2016DR-4280Major disasterHurricaneHurricane HermineIndividual assistance, Public assistance
3 Jul 2012DR-4068Major disasterSevere StormTropical Storm DebbyIndividual assistance, Public assistance
24 Aug 2008DR-1785Major disasterSevere StormTropical Storm FayPublic assistance
21 Aug 2008EM-3288EmergencySevere StormTropical Storm FayPublic assistance
5 Sep 2005EM-3220EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
26 Sep 2004DR-1561Major disasterHurricaneHurricane JeanneIndividual assistance, Public assistance
16 Sep 2004DR-1551Major disasterHurricaneHurricane IvanIndividual assistance
4 Sep 2004DR-1545Major disasterHurricaneHurricane FrancesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Aug 2004DR-1539Major disasterHurricaneTropical Storm Bonnie And Hurricane CharleyIndividual assistance, Public assistance
29 Jul 2003DR-1481Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
28 Sep 2001DR-1393Major disasterCoastal StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes And Flooding Associated With Tropical Storm GabriellePublic assistance
18 Apr 2001FM-2358Fire management assistanceFireFl - Myakka Complex FirePublic assistance
5 Feb 2001DR-1359Major disasterFreezingSevere FreezeIndividual assistance
15 Oct 1999EM-3150EmergencyHurricaneTropical Storm Irene - FloridaPublic assistance
27 Apr 1999EM-3139EmergencyFireFl-Fires 04/15/99Public assistance
23 Apr 1999FM-2260Fire management assistanceFireFl-Fires 04/13/99Public assistance
25 Sep 1998EM-3131EmergencyHurricaneHurricane GrorgesPublic assistance
18 Jun 1998DR-1223Major disasterFireExtreme Fire HazardPublic assistance
6 Jan 1998DR-1195Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, High Winds, Tornadoes, And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
15 Oct 1996DR-1141Major disasterSevere StormTropical Storm JosephineIndividual assistance
13 Mar 1993DR-982Major disasterTornadoTornadoes, Flooding, High Winds & Tides, FreezingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
14 Aug 1992DR-952Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingPublic assistance
15 Jan 1990DR-851Major disasterFreezingSevere FreezeIndividual assistance
12 Sep 1985DR-743Major disasterHurricaneHurricane ElenaIndividual assistance, Public assistance
18 Mar 1985DR-732Major disasterFreezingSevere FreezeIndividual assistance
7 Jul 1982DR-664Major disasterFloodSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
31 Jan 1977DR-526Major disasterFreezingSevere Winter WeatherIndividual assistance
23 Jun 1972DR-337Major disasterCoastal StormTropical Storm AgnesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
7 Nov 1968DR-252Major disasterHurricaneHurricane GladysIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Manatee County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 197811,389
Paid claims8,883
Total paid$651M
Average paid claim$73K
Repetitive-loss properties649143 severe
Residential policies in force28,43917.3% of 164,526 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202660$0—
202591$10,317$10,317
20246,1285,275$588,011,186$111,471
2023345285$18,634,084$65,383
202212738$1,708,766$44,968
202141$64,963$64,963
2020156116$6,320,421$54,486
2019608$67,977$8,497
2018564$10,578$2,645
2017276167$7,126,164$42,672
201612185$2,143,279$25,215
201591$33,320$33,320
201482$132,793$66,397
2013198$136,808$17,101
20128440$632,080$15,802
201171$365$365
201071$20,613$20,613
20093125$475,428$19,017
200883$19,664$6,555
2007114$114,128$28,532
200631$464$464
20052111$284,824$25,893
2004230172$3,217,945$18,709
200312995$1,218,761$12,829
20022815$93,148$6,210

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Highscore 97.6 of 100
Expected annual loss$255MRelatively High
Social vulnerabilityRelatively Moderate
Community resilienceRelatively Low
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
HurricaneVery High$154,280,517
Inland floodingRelatively High$50,303,175
TornadoRelatively High$20,950,887
Coastal floodingVery High$16,967,018
LightningVery High$3,632,844
Cold waveRelatively Moderate$2,703,352
Heat waveRelatively Moderate$2,429,520
WildfireRelatively Moderate$1,297,082
Strong windRelatively Moderate$981,417
DroughtRelatively Moderate$821,795
HailRelatively Low$220,672
EarthquakeVery Low$94,706
LandslideVery Low$453

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles105
Tracks within 50 miles44
Hurricane strength within 50 miles15
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Milton202414 mi121 mph
Alex202291 mi40 mph
Ian202247 mi155 mph
Nicole202261 mi63 mph
Elsa202171 mi75 mph
Sally202087 mi52 mph
Eta202074 mi69 mph
Gordon201882 mi63 mph
Emily201712 mi58 mph
Irma201751 mi92 mph
Fay200886 mi69 mph
Barry200759 mi46 mph
Ernesto200697 mi40 mph
Charley200444 mi150 mph
Frances200444 mi69 mph
Jeanne200451 mi86 mph
Erika200393 mi40 mph
Gabrielle200129 mi69 mph
Gordon200093 mi75 mph
Mitch199890 mi63 mph
Erin199558 mi69 mph
Jerry199573 mi40 mph
Gordon199466 mi52 mph
Marco199025 mi63 mph
Keith198818 mi63 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Manatee County, FL?

NCEI records 71 hail events in Manatee County since 1950, in 27 different years; that is about 0.9 recorded events a year. 10 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Manatee County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 94 tornadoes in Manatee County since 1950, 8 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 2.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Manatee County?

11 Oct 2024: Hurricane Milton, a major disaster declaration for hurricane. The county appears in 50 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Manatee County, and how much was paid?

11,389 NFIP claims since 1978, 8,883 of them paid, for $651M in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Manatee County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively High" for overall risk, "Relatively High" for expected annual loss, "Relatively Moderate" for social vulnerability and "Relatively Low" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Manatee County compare with the rest of Florida?

76.3 recorded events per 100 square miles against 73.8 statewide, and 27.6 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 20.6. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 29 Sep 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 30 Sep 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.