County Hazards

States › Florida › Sarasota County

Sarasota County, Florida

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 12115 · 447,057 residents (2021) · 556 sq mi · dominant hazard Wind

Hail · 48Tornado · 84Flood · 50Wind · 152Winter · 0
1969-03-25: Hail1973-08-22: Hail1976-07-21: Hail1989-06-19: Hail1989-05-28: Hail1990-07-25: Hail1991-04-25: Hail1992-08-06: Hail1992-02-05: Hail1996-08-23: Hail1996-08-05: Hail1996-08-23: Hail1996-07-29: Hail1997-06-22: Hail1997-06-26: Hail1997-05-28: Hail1998-03-01: Hail1998-03-20: Hail1998-05-04: Hail1999-06-03: Hail2000-08-03: Hail2000-08-03: Hail2000-08-23: Hail2001-03-31: Hail2001-05-03: Hail2001-05-03: Hail2001-06-20: Hail2001-08-09: Hail2002-05-27: Hail2002-08-20: Hail2004-06-08: Hail2008-08-04: Hail2012-05-25: Hail2013-05-20: Hail2013-06-12: Hail2016-03-29: Hail2016-10-02: Hail2017-07-11: Hail1951-03-12: Tornado1955-09-23: Tornado1958-10-19: Tornado1958-12-11: Tornado1968-11-09: Tornado1968-11-09: Tornado1968-11-11: Tornado1969-06-13: Tornado1970-02-03: Tornado1970-07-12: Tornado1970-07-12: Tornado1970-03-11: Tornado1971-03-03: Tornado1971-03-03: Tornado1971-09-10: Tornado1971-07-06: Tornado1971-12-03: Tornado1971-12-03: Tornado1971-12-03: Tornado1971-12-03: Tornado1971-08-29: Tornado1972-06-11: Tornado1973-04-07: Tornado1973-08-19: Tornado1974-12-16: Tornado1974-06-26: Tornado1975-08-26: Tornado1976-05-28: Tornado1976-06-27: Tornado1978-12-24: Tornado1978-10-13: Tornado1978-05-28: Tornado1978-01-19: Tornado1981-08-26: Tornado1983-07-07: Tornado1985-05-03: Tornado1985-03-17: Tornado1987-08-21: Tornado1988-12-11: Tornado1988-04-30: Tornado1989-05-29: Tornado1990-07-17: Tornado1990-07-01: Tornado1991-09-22: Tornado1992-09-01: Tornado1992-02-05: Tornado1992-06-17: Tornado1992-06-25: Tornado1993-04-05: Tornado1993-04-05: Tornado1993-04-05: Tornado1993-08-10: Tornado1994-10-13: Tornado1996-08-23: Tornado1997-01-09: Tornado1997-04-23: Tornado1997-03-14: Tornado1997-10-31: Tornado1998-01-23: Tornado1998-03-01: Tornado1998-02-17: Tornado1999-08-16: Tornado1999-01-02: Tornado1999-01-02: Tornado2000-09-17: Tornado2000-08-24: Tornado2001-06-20: Tornado2002-12-31: Tornado2003-03-10: Tornado2006-08-11: Tornado2007-07-24: Tornado2007-05-17: Tornado2009-06-23: Tornado2013-06-06: Tornado2015-01-24: Tornado2016-01-17: Tornado2018-10-10: Tornado2020-06-01: Tornado2020-06-26: Tornado2022-05-31: Tornado2022-03-16: Tornado2022-12-15: Tornado2023-10-11: Tornado2012-06-27: Flood2012-08-27: Flood2016-09-01: Flood2016-08-31: Flood2017-08-26: Flood2020-06-06: Flood2020-06-06: Flood2020-06-06: Flood2021-07-07: Flood2023-09-30: Flood2024-06-11: Flood2024-10-09: Flood2024-06-11: Flood2024-06-11: Flood1960-10-31: Wind1963-07-25: Wind1963-08-18: Wind1968-11-11: Wind1969-05-16: Wind1973-09-22: Wind1974-03-23: Wind1975-08-09: Wind1975-08-08: Wind1977-06-14: Wind1978-05-04: Wind1978-05-04: Wind1980-08-31: Wind1980-04-07: Wind1981-06-25: Wind1981-06-26: Wind1982-07-02: Wind1982-01-14: Wind1982-04-11: Wind1983-03-24: Wind1983-03-24: Wind1983-06-13: Wind1983-07-29: Wind1984-07-25: Wind1985-10-31: Wind1985-08-23: Wind1985-11-01: Wind1986-03-14: Wind1987-07-01: Wind1987-07-24: Wind1988-08-30: Wind1989-08-18: Wind1989-08-22: Wind1989-09-05: Wind1989-06-18: Wind1990-05-10: Wind1990-07-10: Wind1990-09-11: Wind1990-07-11: Wind1990-07-14: Wind1990-06-07: Wind1990-07-01: Wind1991-01-19: Wind1991-07-19: Wind1991-08-06: Wind1991-05-16: Wind1991-05-17: Wind1991-05-18: Wind1991-08-06: Wind1991-09-07: Wind1991-09-07: Wind1992-09-13: Wind1992-07-23: Wind1992-02-05: Wind1992-02-05: Wind1992-02-05: Wind1996-06-21: Wind1996-08-23: Wind1996-07-29: Wind1996-07-29: Wind1997-05-28: Wind1997-04-23: Wind1997-04-23: Wind1997-04-23: Wind1997-04-23: Wind1997-04-23: Wind1998-03-01: Wind1998-03-09: Wind1998-03-09: Wind1998-03-09: Wind1998-03-20: Wind1998-05-04: Wind1998-03-09: Wind1998-03-09: Wind1998-05-04: Wind1998-02-17: Wind1999-07-18: Wind1999-08-12: Wind1999-03-14: Wind1999-08-16: Wind1999-08-17: Wind2000-08-09: Wind2000-08-09: Wind2001-03-04: Wind2001-06-05: Wind2001-09-22: Wind2001-09-22: Wind2002-07-29: Wind2003-11-19: Wind2003-03-17: Wind2003-04-26: Wind2003-07-26: Wind2004-04-12: Wind2005-04-07: Wind
Sarasota County within Florida. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

The NCEI record lists 473 events for Sarasota County, Florida, between 1950 and 2026; damaging wind account for the largest share.

That is 85.1 events per 100 square miles, in line with the Florida figure of 73.8, and 10.6 per 10,000 residents against 18.2 statewide.

0 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 8 deaths and 136 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $123M and crop damage at $1.2M.

FEMA has designated the county in 48 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Hurricane Milton (major disaster, 11 Oct 2024).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 14,415 claims since 1978, of which 10,542 were paid, totalling $857M (about $81K per paid claim). FEMA counts 37,772 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively High" and its expected annual loss as "Relatively High" ($273M a year across 18 hazards).

106 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 13 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

0events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
473events since 19508 deaths, 136 injuries recorded
48disaster declarationslast 11 Oct 2024
14,415NFIP flood claims$857M paid

Compared with Florida and the United States

MeasureSarasota CountyFloridaUS
Recorded events since 195047339,5781,977,440
Events per 100 square miles85.173.856.0
Events per 10,000 residents10.618.259.6
Events in the last 12 months01,30762,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI889026,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$123M$80B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents32.220.68.1
Average paid NFIP claim$81K$62K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years25.618.316.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Tornado: 4
Hail: 1Tornado: 4Wind: 5
Hail: 2Tornado: 25Wind: 7
Hail: 2Tornado: 8Wind: 23
Hail: 25Tornado: 24Flood: 25Wind: 69Tropical: 6Cold: 1Wildfire: 1Lightning: 8Fog: 31Other: 2
Hail: 12Tornado: 9Flood: 11Wind: 22Tropical: 11Cold: 18Wildfire: 7Lightning: 13Fog: 13Other: 6
Hail: 6Tornado: 4Flood: 5Wind: 21Tropical: 1Cold: 9Lightning: 5Other: 6
Tornado: 6Flood: 9Wind: 5Lightning: 1
41950s101960s341970s331980s1921990s1222000s572010s212020s
Recorded events in Sarasota County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindTropicalColdWildfireLightningFogOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 103 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 303 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Wind152
Tornado84
Flood50
Hail48
Fog44
Cold28
Lightning27
Tropical18
Other14
Wildfire8
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Wind15211.0%detail
■ Tornado8422.2%detail
■ Flood5011.5%detail
■ Hail48—0.8%detail
■ Fog44—5.9%
■ Cold28—2.5%
■ Lightning2731.5%
■ Tropical1810.8%
■ Other14—0.5%
■ Wildfire8—1.6%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
17 Mar 1985TornadoTornadoF3$25M—245County
13 Aug 2004Hurricane (Typhoon)Tropical—$32M—1—Forecast zone
24 Jun 2018LightningLightning———11County
26 Aug 2017FloodFlood—$50K—1—County
26 Dec 1998Thunderstorm WindWind—$30K—1—County
16 Jul 2014LightningLightning———1—County
26 Aug 2016LightningLightning———1—County
5 Oct 2012Heavy RainOther—$140K——52County
21 Aug 1987TornadoTornadoF1$250K——6County
3 Dec 1971TornadoTornadoF2$250K——5County
7 Apr 2005Thunderstorm WindWind58 mph$10K——5County
17 Jan 2016TornadoTornadoEF2$12M——2County
3 Dec 1971TornadoTornadoF2$25K——3County
9 Nov 1968TornadoTornadoF2$250K——2County
16 Mar 2022TornadoTornadoEF1$1.0M——1County
24 Dec 1978TornadoTornadoF1$250K——1County
19 Feb 2001WildfireWildfire—$100K——1County
11 Dec 1958TornadoTornadoF1$25K——1County
4 May 1998Thunderstorm WindWind—$12K——1County
4 May 1998Thunderstorm WindWind—$10K——1County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
11 Oct 2024DR-4834Major disasterHurricaneHurricane MiltonIndividual assistance, Public assistance
7 Oct 2024EM-3622EmergencyHurricaneHurricane MiltonPublic assistance
28 Sep 2024DR-4828Major disasterHurricaneHurricane HeleneIndividual assistance, Public assistance
24 Sep 2024EM-3615EmergencyTropical StormTropical Storm HelenePublic assistance
10 Aug 2024DR-4806Major disasterTropical StormHurricane DebbyIndividual assistance, Public assistance
3 Aug 2024EM-3605EmergencyTropical StormTropical Storm DebbyPublic assistance
31 Aug 2023DR-4734Major disasterHurricaneHurricane IdaliaIndividual assistance, Public assistance
28 Aug 2023EM-3596EmergencyTropical StormTropical Storm IdaliaPublic assistance
13 Dec 2022DR-4680Major disasterHurricaneHurricane NicolePublic assistance
8 Nov 2022EM-3587EmergencyTropical StormTropical Storm NicolePublic assistance
29 Sep 2022DR-4673Major disasterHurricaneHurricane IanIndividual assistance, Public assistance
24 Sep 2022EM-3584EmergencyHurricaneTropical Storm IanPublic assistance
4 Jul 2021EM-3561EmergencySevere StormTropical Storm ElsaPublic assistance
11 Nov 2020EM-3551EmergencyHurricaneHurricane EtaPublic assistance
25 Mar 2020DR-4486Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3432EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
30 Aug 2019EM-3419EmergencyHurricaneHurricane DorianPublic assistance
10 Sep 2017DR-4337Major disasterHurricaneHurricane IrmaIndividual assistance, Public assistance
5 Sep 2017EM-3385EmergencyHurricaneHurricane IrmaPublic assistance
28 Sep 2016DR-4280Major disasterHurricaneHurricane HerminePublic assistance
3 Jul 2012DR-4068Major disasterSevere StormTropical Storm DebbyIndividual assistance, Public assistance
24 Aug 2008DR-1785Major disasterSevere StormTropical Storm FayPublic assistance
21 Aug 2008EM-3288EmergencySevere StormTropical Storm FayPublic assistance
24 Oct 2005DR-1609Major disasterHurricaneHurricane WilmaPublic assistance
5 Sep 2005EM-3220EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
26 Sep 2004DR-1561Major disasterHurricaneHurricane JeanneIndividual assistance, Public assistance
16 Sep 2004DR-1551Major disasterHurricaneHurricane IvanPublic assistance
4 Sep 2004DR-1545Major disasterHurricaneHurricane FrancesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Aug 2004DR-1539Major disasterHurricaneTropical Storm Bonnie And Hurricane CharleyIndividual assistance, Public assistance
29 Jul 2003DR-1481Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
28 Sep 2001DR-1393Major disasterCoastal StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes And Flooding Associated With Tropical Storm GabriellePublic assistance
18 Apr 2001FM-2358Fire management assistanceFireFl - Myakka Complex FirePublic assistance
5 Feb 2001DR-1359Major disasterFreezingSevere FreezeIndividual assistance
16 May 2000FM-2298Fire management assistanceFireFlowers-Myakka Fire ComplexPublic assistance
15 Oct 1999EM-3150EmergencyHurricaneTropical Storm Irene - FloridaPublic assistance
27 Apr 1999EM-3139EmergencyFireFl-Fires 04/15/99Public assistance
23 Apr 1999FM-2260Fire management assistanceFireFl-Fires 04/13/99Public assistance
25 Sep 1998EM-3131EmergencyHurricaneHurricane GrorgesPublic assistance
18 Jun 1998DR-1223Major disasterFireExtreme Fire HazardPublic assistance
6 Jan 1998DR-1195Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, High Winds, Tornadoes, And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
15 Oct 1996DR-1141Major disasterSevere StormTropical Storm JosephineIndividual assistance
13 Mar 1993DR-982Major disasterTornadoTornadoes, Flooding, High Winds & Tides, FreezingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
14 Aug 1992DR-952Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingPublic assistance
15 Jan 1990DR-851Major disasterFreezingSevere FreezeIndividual assistance
7 Jul 1982DR-664Major disasterFloodSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
31 Jan 1977DR-526Major disasterFreezingSevere Winter WeatherIndividual assistance
23 Jun 1972DR-337Major disasterCoastal StormTropical Storm AgnesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
7 Nov 1968DR-252Major disasterHurricaneHurricane GladysIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Sarasota County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 197814,415
Paid claims10,542
Total paid$857M
Average paid claim$81K
Repetitive-loss properties1,237133 severe
Residential policies in force37,77218.0% of 210,450 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202690$0—
2025181$33,387$33,387
20247,8476,317$746,231,089$118,131
2023146111$9,005,140$81,127
20221,316836$58,760,852$70,288
202161$47,102$47,102
20209769$4,838,050$70,117
2019162$27,919$13,960
2018249$234,237$26,026
201720296$2,801,630$29,184
20164422$517,686$23,531
2015115$21,310$4,262
2014111$386$386
20133617$222,787$13,105
20128327$342,437$12,683
201161$29,970$29,970
2010113$22,585$7,528
200982$38,758$19,379
2008113$27,877$9,292
200773$59,550$19,850
200691$23,704$23,704
20055125$211,233$8,449
20044924$1,126,567$46,940
2003239177$3,622,312$20,465
2002186$15,526$2,588

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Highscore 98.2 of 100
Expected annual loss$273MRelatively High
Social vulnerabilityRelatively High
Community resilienceVery Low
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
HurricaneVery High$180,447,718
Inland floodingRelatively High$67,213,987
Coastal floodingRelatively High$7,256,325
TornadoRelatively High$6,928,348
LightningVery High$5,060,074
Heat waveRelatively Moderate$2,326,766
WildfireRelatively Moderate$1,871,390
Strong windRelatively High$1,387,377
Cold waveRelatively Low$350,567
EarthquakeVery Low$84,563
HailVery Low$59,209
DroughtRelatively Low$40,748
LandslideVery Low$658

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles106
Tracks within 50 miles36
Hurricane strength within 50 miles13
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Milton202416 mi121 mph
Alex202276 mi40 mph
Ian202239 mi161 mph
Nicole202274 mi63 mph
Elsa202164 mi75 mph
Sally202076 mi52 mph
Eta202081 mi69 mph
Gordon201869 mi63 mph
Emily201723 mi58 mph
Irma201753 mi92 mph
Fay200883 mi69 mph
Barry200750 mi46 mph
Ernesto200695 mi40 mph
Charley200430 mi150 mph
Frances200460 mi69 mph
Jeanne200460 mi86 mph
Erika200379 mi40 mph
Gabrielle200114 mi69 mph
Gordon2000100 mi75 mph
Harvey199988 mi58 mph
Mitch199878 mi63 mph
Erin199575 mi58 mph
Jerry199588 mi40 mph
Gordon199460 mi52 mph
Marco199030 mi63 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Sarasota County, FL?

NCEI records 48 hail events in Sarasota County since 1950, in 23 different years; that is about 0.6 recorded events a year. 10 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Sarasota County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 84 tornadoes in Sarasota County since 1950, 10 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 2.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Sarasota County?

11 Oct 2024: Hurricane Milton, a major disaster declaration for hurricane. The county appears in 48 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Sarasota County, and how much was paid?

14,415 NFIP claims since 1978, 10,542 of them paid, for $857M in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Sarasota County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively High" for overall risk, "Relatively High" for expected annual loss, "Relatively High" for social vulnerability and "Very Low" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Sarasota County compare with the rest of Florida?

85.1 recorded events per 100 square miles against 73.8 statewide, and 32.2 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 20.6. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.