County Hazards

States › Florida › Pasco County

Pasco County, Florida

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 12101 · 584,067 residents (2021) · 747 sq mi · dominant hazard Wind

Hail · 107Tornado · 98Flood · 62Wind · 247Winter · 1
1960-03-17: Hail1962-05-05: Hail1966-06-16: Hail1967-09-03: Hail1968-06-14: Hail1971-06-20: Hail1972-06-11: Hail1977-07-15: Hail1977-08-08: Hail1981-09-21: Hail1981-06-01: Hail1983-09-12: Hail1983-03-24: Hail1983-01-21: Hail1990-07-07: Hail1992-08-07: Hail1992-07-23: Hail1996-06-18: Hail1996-09-09: Hail1996-08-06: Hail1996-03-30: Hail1997-07-16: Hail1997-08-16: Hail1997-06-25: Hail1997-01-29: Hail1997-04-23: Hail1998-06-27: Hail1998-06-27: Hail1998-02-28: Hail1998-02-28: Hail1998-02-28: Hail1998-02-28: Hail1998-02-28: Hail1999-05-10: Hail1999-06-05: Hail1999-06-05: Hail2000-05-09: Hail2000-08-06: Hail2000-06-17: Hail2001-03-29: Hail2001-03-29: Hail2001-03-29: Hail2001-06-14: Hail2001-06-21: Hail2001-06-04: Hail2001-06-15: Hail2001-06-18: Hail2001-07-01: Hail2002-05-31: Hail2002-07-29: Hail2002-07-29: Hail2003-03-27: Hail2003-03-27: Hail2003-03-27: Hail2003-09-25: Hail2003-07-28: Hail2004-06-09: Hail2004-06-13: Hail2005-05-04: Hail2006-05-28: Hail2006-08-04: Hail2006-08-04: Hail2006-07-27: Hail2007-04-15: Hail2007-06-08: Hail2007-04-11: Hail2007-05-05: Hail2007-07-02: Hail2008-02-26: Hail2008-07-06: Hail2008-07-01: Hail2008-06-20: Hail2008-06-30: Hail2008-06-06: Hail2009-05-24: Hail2009-05-14: Hail2009-05-14: Hail2009-06-17: Hail2009-06-17: Hail2010-06-03: Hail2010-06-28: Hail2010-04-25: Hail2013-05-20: Hail2013-05-20: Hail2013-03-24: Hail2013-03-24: Hail2013-03-24: Hail2013-09-06: Hail2014-05-29: Hail2014-05-25: Hail2019-07-20: Hail2020-05-28: Hail2022-05-31: Hail2022-05-31: Hail2022-07-01: Hail1958-01-02: Tornado1959-04-02: Tornado1964-06-30: Tornado1966-04-28: Tornado1966-09-10: Tornado1968-11-09: Tornado1968-08-13: Tornado1969-05-03: Tornado1971-03-03: Tornado1972-06-18: Tornado1973-01-28: Tornado1973-03-17: Tornado1973-04-03: Tornado1973-06-15: Tornado1974-02-19: Tornado1974-05-16: Tornado1974-05-27: Tornado1974-05-27: Tornado1975-09-11: Tornado1975-02-12: Tornado1976-09-30: Tornado1976-06-27: Tornado1976-07-01: Tornado1977-06-16: Tornado1977-07-07: Tornado1978-07-26: Tornado1978-07-26: Tornado1978-12-01: Tornado1978-12-01: Tornado1978-12-05: Tornado1978-05-04: Tornado1978-07-12: Tornado1979-05-24: Tornado1979-03-23: Tornado1979-05-08: Tornado1979-05-08: Tornado1979-08-23: Tornado1981-06-17: Tornado1983-07-25: Tornado1985-08-31: Tornado1986-05-14: Tornado1986-02-08: Tornado1987-05-07: Tornado1987-03-29: Tornado1987-01-22: Tornado1987-01-22: Tornado1988-06-05: Tornado1989-06-06: Tornado1989-05-30: Tornado1990-07-25: Tornado1990-07-25: Tornado1990-07-14: Tornado1991-07-11: Tornado1991-05-18: Tornado1992-10-03: Tornado1994-08-01: Tornado1996-10-07: Tornado1996-09-22: Tornado1998-09-02: Tornado1998-09-25: Tornado1998-02-02: Tornado2000-07-28: Tornado2000-07-15: Tornado2001-03-29: Tornado2001-03-04: Tornado2001-06-21: Tornado2003-06-29: Tornado2004-09-06: Tornado2004-08-14: Tornado2005-05-31: Tornado2006-07-20: Tornado2006-12-25: Tornado2007-12-16: Tornado2009-04-14: Tornado2009-04-14: Tornado2011-07-07: Tornado2012-06-24: Tornado2016-04-07: Tornado2018-12-09: Tornado2018-11-02: Tornado2018-11-02: Tornado2018-11-02: Tornado2020-11-30: Tornado2021-08-10: Tornado2022-05-31: Tornado2022-12-15: Tornado2023-10-12: Tornado2024-07-20: Tornado2024-08-28: Tornado2026-05-12: Tornado2026-05-12: Tornado2012-06-24: Flood2015-07-24: Flood2015-07-26: Flood2015-08-03: Flood2016-09-03: Flood2017-09-11: Flood2022-07-23: Flood2022-07-26: Flood2024-04-11: Flood2025-08-08: Flood2025-10-27: Wind2024-08-23: Wind2024-04-03: Wind2023-06-04: Wind2021-10-28: Wind2021-10-28: Wind2021-08-14: Wind2021-03-03: Wind2020-12-24: Wind2019-05-05: Wind2019-05-05: Wind2019-04-19: Wind2019-04-19: Wind2019-04-19: Wind2018-12-20: Wind2018-07-23: Wind2018-07-23: Wind2018-06-15: Wind2017-07-18: Wind2017-07-10: Wind2017-01-22: Wind2017-01-22: Wind2016-07-22: Wind2016-03-24: Wind2015-09-13: Wind2015-07-05: Wind2015-07-02: Wind2015-05-26: Wind2015-05-26: Wind2014-08-24: Wind2014-08-24: Wind2014-06-16: Wind2014-05-29: Wind2014-05-26: Wind2014-02-12: Wind2013-08-21: Wind2013-07-04: Wind2013-07-03: Wind2013-05-20: Wind2013-04-14: Wind2013-03-24: Wind2012-08-08: Wind2012-08-06: Wind2012-07-10: Wind2012-06-24: Wind2012-06-06: Wind2011-06-06: Wind2011-06-01: Wind2011-03-31: Wind2011-03-31: Wind2011-03-31: Wind2011-03-30: Wind2011-03-30: Wind2011-03-30: Wind2010-07-14: Wind2010-06-03: Wind2010-05-16: Wind2010-04-25: Wind2010-04-25: Wind2010-03-11: Wind2010-03-02: Wind2010-03-02: Wind2009-12-02: Wind2009-05-28: Wind2009-04-14: Wind2008-06-30: Wind2008-02-26: Wind2008-01-19: Wind2008-01-19: Wind2008-01-19: Wind2008-01-19: Wind2007-12-16: Wind2007-09-20: Wind2007-08-14: Wind2007-06-09: Wind2007-06-08: Wind2007-04-15: Wind2007-04-11: Wind2006-12-25: Wind2006-08-03: Wind2004-06-08: Wind2003-07-08: Wind2003-06-23: Wind2003-05-14: Wind2003-03-27: Wind2002-07-29: Wind2002-07-29: Wind2002-07-29: Wind2002-07-04: Wind2002-05-31: Wind2001-07-25: Wind2001-07-25: Wind2001-06-30: Wind2001-06-21: Wind2001-06-18: Wind2001-06-05: Wind2001-06-04: Wind2001-03-29: Wind2001-03-29: Wind2001-03-04: Wind2000-08-12: Wind2000-08-06: Wind2000-08-03: Wind2000-08-01: Wind2000-07-31: Wind2000-06-18: Wind2000-06-13: Wind2000-06-12: Wind1999-08-18: Wind1999-07-18: Wind1999-06-05: Wind
Pasco County within Florida. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

Pasco County, Florida, has 709 weather events in the NCEI Storm Events record since 1950, most of them damaging wind.

That is 95.0 events per 100 square miles, above the Florida figure of 73.8, and 12.1 per 10,000 residents against 18.2 statewide.

5 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 4 deaths and 71 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $195M and crop damage at $12M.

FEMA has designated the county in 44 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Hurricane Milton (major disaster, 11 Oct 2024).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 14,544 claims since 1978, of which 11,907 were paid, totalling $693M (about $58K per paid claim). FEMA counts 23,604 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively High" and its expected annual loss as "Relatively High" ($199M a year across 18 hazards).

101 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 16 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

5events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
709events since 19504 deaths, 71 injuries recorded
44disaster declarationslast 11 Oct 2024
14,544NFIP flood claims$693M paid

Compared with Florida and the United States

MeasurePasco CountyFloridaUS
Recorded events since 195070939,5781,977,440
Events per 100 square miles95.073.856.0
Events per 10,000 residents12.118.259.6
Events in the last 12 months51,30762,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI489026,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$195M$80B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents24.920.68.1
Average paid NFIP claim$58K$62K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years25.818.316.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Tornado: 2Wind: 1
Hail: 5Tornado: 6Wind: 6
Hail: 4Tornado: 30Wind: 10
Hail: 5Tornado: 12Wind: 26
Hail: 34Tornado: 17Flood: 39Wind: 89Winter: 1Tropical: 6Cold: 6Lightning: 8Fog: 42Other: 2
Hail: 43Tornado: 15Flood: 13Wind: 53Tropical: 10Cold: 42Wildfire: 3Lightning: 9Fog: 14Other: 15
Hail: 12Tornado: 7Flood: 6Wind: 53Tropical: 2Cold: 10Lightning: 12Other: 9
Hail: 4Tornado: 9Flood: 4Wind: 9Lightning: 1Other: 3
31950s171960s441970s431980s2441990s2172000s1112010s302020s
Recorded events in Pasco County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterTropicalColdWildfireLightningFogOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 202 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 419 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Wind247
Hail107
Tornado98
Flood62
Cold58
Fog56
Lightning30
Other29
Tropical18
Wildfire3
Winter1
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Wind247—1.6%detail
■ Hail107—1.9%detail
■ Tornado98—2.6%detail
■ Flood6211.8%detail
■ Cold58—5.2%
■ Fog56—7.5%
■ Lightning3031.7%
■ Other29—1.0%
■ Tropical18—0.8%
■ Wildfire3—0.6%
■ Winter1—0.6%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
26 Jul 2001LightningLightning———13County
24 Jun 2012FloodFlood—$2.0M—1—County
29 Jun 1998LightningLightning———1—County
17 Aug 2006LightningLightning———1—County
2 Apr 1959TornadoTornadoF2$250K——12County
13 Mar 1993TornadoTornadoF0———11County
3 Sep 2016FloodFlood—$89M———County
23 Mar 1979TornadoTornadoF1$250K——6County
9 Nov 1968TornadoTornadoF2$2.5M——4County
18 Jun 1972TornadoTornadoF1$25K——4County
19 Jan 1991Thunderstorm WindWind0 mph———4County
24 Aug 2006LightningLightning————4County
5 Sep 2004Tropical StormTropical—$31M———Forecast zone
11 Aug 1997LightningLightning—$500——3County
25 Dec 2006TornadoTornadoF2$3.5M——2County
26 Sep 2004Tropical StormTropical—$21M———Forecast zone
5 Dec 1978TornadoTornadoF1$25K——2County
5 Jun 1988TornadoTornadoF0$3K——2County
1 May 1989Thunderstorm WindWind58 mph———2County
28 Jan 1973TornadoTornadoF1$25K——1County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
11 Oct 2024DR-4834Major disasterHurricaneHurricane MiltonIndividual assistance, Public assistance
7 Oct 2024EM-3622EmergencyHurricaneHurricane MiltonPublic assistance
28 Sep 2024DR-4828Major disasterHurricaneHurricane HeleneIndividual assistance, Public assistance
24 Sep 2024EM-3615EmergencyTropical StormTropical Storm HelenePublic assistance
10 Aug 2024DR-4806Major disasterTropical StormHurricane DebbyPublic assistance
3 Aug 2024EM-3605EmergencyTropical StormTropical Storm DebbyPublic assistance
31 Aug 2023DR-4734Major disasterHurricaneHurricane IdaliaIndividual assistance, Public assistance
28 Aug 2023EM-3596EmergencyTropical StormTropical Storm IdaliaPublic assistance
13 Dec 2022DR-4680Major disasterHurricaneHurricane NicolePublic assistance
8 Nov 2022EM-3587EmergencyTropical StormTropical Storm NicolePublic assistance
29 Sep 2022DR-4673Major disasterHurricaneHurricane IanIndividual assistance, Public assistance
24 Sep 2022EM-3584EmergencyHurricaneTropical Storm IanPublic assistance
4 Jul 2021EM-3561EmergencySevere StormTropical Storm ElsaPublic assistance
11 Nov 2020EM-3551EmergencyHurricaneHurricane EtaPublic assistance
25 Mar 2020DR-4486Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3432EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
30 Aug 2019EM-3419EmergencyHurricaneHurricane DorianPublic assistance
9 Oct 2018EM-3405EmergencyHurricaneHurricane MichaelPublic assistance
10 Sep 2017DR-4337Major disasterHurricaneHurricane IrmaIndividual assistance, Public assistance
5 Sep 2017EM-3385EmergencyHurricaneHurricane IrmaPublic assistance
28 Sep 2016DR-4280Major disasterHurricaneHurricane HermineIndividual assistance, Public assistance
3 Jul 2012DR-4068Major disasterSevere StormTropical Storm DebbyIndividual assistance, Public assistance
21 Aug 2008EM-3288EmergencySevere StormTropical Storm FayPublic assistance
5 Sep 2005EM-3220EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
26 Sep 2004DR-1561Major disasterHurricaneHurricane JeanneIndividual assistance, Public assistance
16 Sep 2004DR-1551Major disasterHurricaneHurricane IvanIndividual assistance
4 Sep 2004DR-1545Major disasterHurricaneHurricane FrancesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Aug 2004DR-1539Major disasterHurricaneTropical Storm Bonnie And Hurricane CharleyIndividual assistance, Public assistance
29 Jul 2003DR-1481Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
5 Feb 2001DR-1359Major disasterFreezingSevere FreezeIndividual assistance
19 May 2000FM-2299Fire management assistanceFireWithlacoochee Fire ComplexPublic assistance
15 Oct 1999EM-3150EmergencyHurricaneTropical Storm Irene - FloridaPublic assistance
25 Sep 1998EM-3131EmergencyHurricaneHurricane GrorgesPublic assistance
18 Jun 1998DR-1223Major disasterFireExtreme Fire HazardIndividual assistance, Public assistance
6 Jan 1998DR-1195Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, High Winds, Tornadoes, And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
15 Oct 1996DR-1141Major disasterSevere StormTropical Storm JosephineIndividual assistance
13 Mar 1993DR-982Major disasterTornadoTornadoes, Flooding, High Winds & Tides, FreezingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
15 Jan 1990DR-851Major disasterFreezingSevere FreezeIndividual assistance
18 Mar 1985DR-732Major disasterFreezingSevere FreezeIndividual assistance
29 Mar 1984DR-698Major disasterFreezingFreezing TemperaturesIndividual assistance
29 Sep 1979DR-607Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance
31 Jan 1977DR-526Major disasterFreezingSevere Winter WeatherIndividual assistance
23 Jun 1972DR-337Major disasterCoastal StormTropical Storm AgnesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
7 Nov 1968DR-252Major disasterHurricaneHurricane GladysIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Pasco County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 197814,544
Paid claims11,907
Total paid$693M
Average paid claim$58K
Repetitive-loss properties1,322373 severe
Residential policies in force23,60410.3% of 229,196 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202682$43,624$21,812
2025160$0—
20244,9224,442$503,451,405$113,339
2023818746$53,432,901$71,626
20223012$243,022$20,252
20212210$152,124$15,212
20202610$69,917$6,992
2019209$105,118$11,680
2018176$170,788$28,465
2017216121$3,534,062$29,207
2016465361$11,558,631$32,018
2015300218$5,428,564$24,902
2014256$29,864$4,977
2013246$56,755$9,459
2012735548$12,256,915$22,367
20113411$80,501$7,318
20105126$232,871$8,957
20092617$305,809$17,989
20083916$384,013$24,001
2007105$64,100$12,820
2006116$40,138$6,690
2005186$92,964$15,494
2004620340$5,160,959$15,179
20037448$984,717$20,515
20022815$298,928$19,929

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Highscore 96.0 of 100
Expected annual loss$199MRelatively High
Social vulnerabilityRelatively Low
Community resilienceVery Low
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
HurricaneVery High$77,654,603
Inland floodingRelatively High$75,785,964
TornadoRelatively High$27,516,340
Coastal floodingRelatively High$6,239,625
WildfireRelatively Moderate$3,769,072
Heat waveRelatively Moderate$2,963,497
LightningVery High$2,472,514
Cold waveRelatively Low$1,480,745
Strong windRelatively Moderate$1,104,207
EarthquakeVery Low$203,034
HailVery Low$115,667
DroughtVery Low$3,270
LandslideVery Low$922

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles101
Tracks within 50 miles49
Hurricane strength within 50 miles16
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Debby202497 mi81 mph
Milton202463 mi121 mph
Ian202291 mi115 mph
Nicole202251 mi63 mph
Elsa202170 mi63 mph
Eta202050 mi63 mph
Emily201757 mi58 mph
Irma201720 mi75 mph
Julia201693 mi52 mph
Andrea201394 mi63 mph
Debby201280 mi40 mph
Fay200889 mi58 mph
Barry2007100 mi46 mph
Charley200457 mi86 mph
Frances200419 mi69 mph
Jeanne200413 mi86 mph
Gabrielle200148 mi69 mph
Gordon200068 mi75 mph
Erin199538 mi69 mph
Jerry199544 mi40 mph
Marco199030 mi58 mph
Keith198870 mi63 mph
Elena198585 mi115 mph
Isidore198418 mi52 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm198232 mi46 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Pasco County, FL?

NCEI records 107 hail events in Pasco County since 1950, in 35 different years; that is about 1.4 recorded events a year. 13 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Pasco County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 98 tornadoes in Pasco County since 1950, 6 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 0.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Pasco County?

11 Oct 2024: Hurricane Milton, a major disaster declaration for hurricane. The county appears in 44 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Pasco County, and how much was paid?

14,544 NFIP claims since 1978, 11,907 of them paid, for $693M in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Pasco County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively High" for overall risk, "Relatively High" for expected annual loss, "Relatively Low" for social vulnerability and "Very Low" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Pasco County compare with the rest of Florida?

95.0 recorded events per 100 square miles against 73.8 statewide, and 24.9 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 20.6. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.