Adair County, Iowa
Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.
NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.
Adair County, Iowa, has 612 weather events in the NCEI Storm Events record since 1950, most of them damaging wind.
That is 107.5 events per 100 square miles, in line with the Iowa figure of 124.6, and 811.6 per 10,000 residents against 218.0 statewide.
4 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 8 deaths and 42 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $68M and crop damage at $127M.
FEMA has designated the county in 17 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding (major disaster, 24 May 2024).
OpenFEMA lists no National Flood Insurance Program claims in the county.
FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Low" and its expected annual loss as "Very Low" ($14M a year across 18 hazards).
Compared with Iowa and the United States
| Measure | Adair County | Iowa | US |
|---|---|---|---|
| Recorded events since 1950 | 612 | 69,606 | 1,977,440 |
| Events per 100 square miles | 107.5 | 124.6 | 56.0 |
| Events per 10,000 residents | 811.6 | 218.0 | 59.6 |
| Events in the last 12 months | 4 | 1,467 | 62,008 |
| Deaths recorded by NCEI | 8 | 223 | 26,435 |
| Property damage (NCEI estimates) | $68M | $6.5B | $575B |
| NFIP claims per 1,000 residents | 0.0 | 4.6 | 8.1 |
| Average paid NFIP claim | — | $30K | $43K |
| Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years | — | 21.8 | 16.1 |
County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.
Events by decade
Trend: 370 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 217 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.
Events by type
Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.
Largest recorded events
| Date | Event type | Group | Magnitude | Property damage | Crop damage | Deaths | Injuries | Geography |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May 2024 | Tornado | Tornado | EF4 | $30M | — | 4 | 35 | County |
| 27 Jun 1953 | Tornado | Tornado | F5 | $250K | — | 1 | 2 | County |
| 22 May 2019 | Tornado | Tornado | EF2 | $500K | — | 1 | 1 | County |
| 19 Dec 2000 | Extreme Cold/Wind Chill | Cold | — | — | — | 1 | — | Forecast zone |
| 27 May 2012 | Strong Wind | Wind | 39 mph | — | — | 1 | — | Forecast zone |
| 1 Jul 2012 | Drought | Drought | — | — | $45M | — | — | Forecast zone |
| 8 Apr 1999 | Tornado | Tornado | F4 | $1.0M | — | — | 2 | County |
| 1 Aug 2013 | Drought | Drought | — | — | $21M | — | — | Forecast zone |
| 12 Jun 2010 | Flood | Flood | — | — | $20M | — | — | County |
| 1 Aug 2003 | Drought | Drought | — | $13M | — | — | — | Forecast zone |
| 10 May 1959 | Tornado | Tornado | F4 | $2.5M | — | — | 1 | County |
| 1 Aug 2001 | Drought | Drought | — | — | $11M | — | — | Forecast zone |
| 30 Jun 2014 | Hail | Hail | 2.50 in | $10M | $500K | — | — | County |
| 30 Mar 2006 | Thunderstorm Wind | Wind | 71 mph | $20K | — | — | 1 | County |
| 1 Aug 2012 | Drought | Drought | — | — | $6.0M | — | — | Forecast zone |
| 1 Sep 2000 | Drought | Drought | — | — | $5.0M | — | — | Forecast zone |
| 14 Aug 2000 | Drought | Drought | — | — | $4.7M | — | — | Forecast zone |
| 20 Jul 1999 | Drought | Drought | — | — | $4.6M | — | — | Forecast zone |
| 26 Oct 1997 | Heavy Snow | Winter | — | $640K | $2.6M | — | — | Forecast zone |
| 10 Oct 2009 | Frost/Freeze | Cold | — | — | $2.5M | — | — | Forecast zone |
Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.
Federal disaster declarations
| Declared | Number | Type | Incident | Title | Programs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May 2024 | DR-4784 | Major disaster | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding | Individual assistance, Public assistance |
| 23 Mar 2020 | DR-4483 | Major disaster | Biological | Covid-19 Pandemic | Individual assistance, Public assistance |
| 13 Mar 2020 | EM-3480 | Emergency | Biological | Covid-19 | Public assistance |
| 23 Mar 2019 | DR-4421 | Major disaster | Flood | Severe Storms And Flooding | Public assistance |
| 20 Aug 2018 | DR-4386 | Major disaster | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And Flooding | Public assistance |
| 2 Mar 2010 | DR-1880 | Major disaster | Severe Storm | Severe Winter Storm | Public assistance |
| 25 Feb 2010 | DR-1877 | Major disaster | Severe Storm | Severe Winter Storms And Snowstorm | Public assistance |
| 27 May 2008 | DR-1763 | Major disaster | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding | Individual assistance, Public assistance |
| 4 Jan 2008 | DR-1737 | Major disaster | Severe Ice Storm | Severe Winter Storm | Public assistance |
| 30 Mar 2007 | EM-3275 | Emergency | Snowstorm | Snow | Public assistance |
| 10 Sep 2005 | EM-3239 | Emergency | Hurricane | Hurricane Katrina Evacuation | Public assistance |
| 25 May 2004 | DR-1518 | Major disaster | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding | Individual assistance, Public assistance |
| 2 Jul 1998 | DR-1230 | Major disaster | Flood | Severe Storms, Tornadoes And Flooding | Individual assistance |
| 24 Jun 1996 | DR-1121 | Major disaster | Severe Storm | Severe Storms And Flooding | Public assistance |
| 9 Jul 1993 | DR-996 | Major disaster | Flood | Severe Storms & Flooding | Individual assistance, Public assistance |
| 26 Dec 1991 | DR-928 | Major disaster | Severe Ice Storm | Ice Storm | Public assistance |
| 26 Sep 1972 | DR-354 | Major disaster | Flood | Severe Storms & Flooding | Public assistance |
Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.
Flood insurance claims
OpenFEMA lists no NFIP claims with this county's code.
National Risk Index
| Hazard (NRI) | Risk rating | Expected annual loss |
|---|---|---|
| Cold wave | $5,355,113 | |
| Inland flooding | $2,496,363 | |
| Drought | $2,169,685 | |
| Tornado | $1,713,883 | |
| Hail | $904,862 | |
| Strong wind | $899,845 | |
| Heat wave | $501,898 | |
| Ice storm | $47,606 | |
| Winter weather | $37,897 | |
| Lightning | $30,371 | |
| Wildfire | $16,265 | |
| Earthquake | $11,077 | |
| Hurricane | $3,198 | |
| Landslide | $2,334 |
FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.
Hurricane and tropical storm passes
No HURDAT2 track at tropical-storm strength passes within 100 miles of the county's centre point (through the 2025 season).
Questions and answers
How often does it hail in Adair County, IA?
NCEI records 175 hail events in Adair County since 1950, in 38 different years; that is about 2.3 recorded events a year. 47 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.
Has Adair County had a tornado?
Yes. NCEI records 33 tornadoes in Adair County since 1950, 10 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 6.
When was the last federal disaster declaration for Adair County?
24 May 2024: Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Flooding, a major disaster declaration for severe storm. The county appears in 17 declarations since 1953.
How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Adair County, and how much was paid?
OpenFEMA lists no NFIP claims in the county.
Is Adair County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?
FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Low" for overall risk, "Very Low" for expected annual loss, "Relatively Moderate" for social vulnerability and "Relatively High" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.
How does Adair County compare with the rest of Iowa?
107.5 recorded events per 100 square miles against 124.6 statewide, and 0.0 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 4.6. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.
Provenance
Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.