County Hazards

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Guthrie County, Iowa

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 19077 · 10,567 residents (2021) · 591 sq mi · dominant hazard Hail

Hail · 223Tornado · 31Flood · 80Wind · 189Winter · 72
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Guthrie County within Iowa. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

Guthrie County, Iowa, has 707 weather events in the NCEI Storm Events record since 1950, most of them hail.

That is 119.7 events per 100 square miles, in line with the Iowa figure of 124.6, and 669.1 per 10,000 residents against 218.0 statewide.

7 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 0 deaths and 2 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $33M and crop damage at $131M.

FEMA has designated the county in 17 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, And Tornadoes (major disaster, 23 Feb 2022).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 10 claims since 1978, of which 8 were paid, totalling $157K (about $20K per paid claim). FEMA counts 17 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Very Low" and its expected annual loss as "Very Low" ($14M a year across 18 hazards).

7events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
707events since 19500 deaths, 2 injuries recorded
17disaster declarationslast 23 Feb 2022
10NFIP flood claims$157K paid

Compared with Iowa and the United States

MeasureGuthrie CountyIowaUS
Recorded events since 195070769,6061,977,440
Events per 100 square miles119.7124.656.0
Events per 10,000 residents669.1218.059.6
Events in the last 12 months71,46762,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI022326,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$33M$6.5B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents0.94.68.1
Average paid NFIP claim$20K$30K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years11.821.816.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Hail: 1Tornado: 2Wind: 2
Hail: 2Tornado: 3Wind: 7
Hail: 7Tornado: 4Wind: 4
Hail: 29Tornado: 2Flood: 20Wind: 17Winter: 17Cold: 8Drought: 1
Hail: 86Tornado: 4Flood: 36Wind: 79Winter: 24Heat: 1Cold: 1Drought: 4Other: 3
Hail: 88Tornado: 10Flood: 20Wind: 57Winter: 21Heat: 3Cold: 13Drought: 5Lightning: 3Other: 42
Hail: 10Tornado: 6Flood: 4Wind: 23Winter: 10Cold: 4Drought: 20Wildfire: 1Other: 3
01950s51960s121970s151980s941990s2382000s2622010s812020s
Recorded events in Guthrie County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterHeatColdDroughtWildfireLightningOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 448 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 236 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Hail223
Wind189
Flood80
Winter72
Other48
Tornado31
Drought30
Cold26
Heat4
Lightning3
Wildfire1
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Hail223—1.4%detail
■ Wind189—0.9%detail
■ Flood80—1.1%detail
■ Winter72—0.7%detail
■ Other48—1.1%
■ Tornado31—0.9%detail
■ Drought30—1.2%
■ Cold26—0.9%
■ Heat4—0.5%
■ Lightning3—0.8%
■ Wildfire1—4.5%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
1 Jul 2012DroughtDrought——$45M——Forecast zone
1 Aug 2013DroughtDrought——$21M——Forecast zone
12 Jun 2010FloodFlood——$20M——County
1 Aug 2003DroughtDrought—$13M———Forecast zone
27 May 1995TornadoTornadoF4$2.0M$22K—1County
1 Aug 2001DroughtDrought——$11M——Forecast zone
13 Apr 2023WildfireWildfire————1Forecast zone
1 Aug 2012DroughtDrought——$6.0M——Forecast zone
1 Sep 2000DroughtDrought——$5.0M——Forecast zone
14 Aug 2000DroughtDrought——$4.7M——Forecast zone
20 Jul 1999DroughtDrought——$4.6M——Forecast zone
26 Oct 1997Heavy SnowWinter—$640K$2.6M——Forecast zone
29 Jun 1986TornadoTornadoF2$2.5M———County
10 Oct 2009Frost/FreezeCold——$2.5M——Forecast zone
10 Jul 2002Thunderstorm WindWind77 mph$150K$2.0M——County
11 Apr 2012Frost/FreezeCold——$1.5M——Forecast zone
11 May 2014TornadoTornadoEF2$1.3M———County
14 Jun 1998FloodFlood—$1.0M$100K——Forecast zone
10 Jul 2002Thunderstorm WindWind72 mph$15K$1.0M——County
23 Dec 2009Ice StormWinter—$1.0M———Forecast zone

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
23 Feb 2022DR-4642Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, And TornadoesPublic assistance
17 Aug 2020DR-4557Major disasterSevere StormSevere StormsPublic assistance
23 Mar 2020DR-4483Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3480EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
23 Mar 2019DR-4421Major disasterFloodSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
31 Jul 2015DR-4234Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, And FloodingPublic assistance
29 Jul 2010DR-1930Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Flooding, And TornadoesPublic assistance
2 Mar 2010DR-1880Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
25 Feb 2010DR-1877Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter Storms And SnowstormPublic assistance
27 May 2008DR-1763Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
30 Mar 2007EM-3275EmergencySnowstormSnowPublic assistance
10 Sep 2005EM-3239EmergencyHurricaneHurricane Katrina EvacuationPublic assistance
25 May 2004DR-1518Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
2 Jul 1998DR-1230Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Tornadoes And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
9 Jul 1993DR-996Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
26 Dec 1991DR-928Major disasterSevere Ice StormIce StormPublic assistance
24 Jun 1974DR-443Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Guthrie County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 197810
Paid claims8
Total paid$157K
Average paid claim$20K
Repetitive-loss properties10 severe
Residential policies in force170.2% of 7,729 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
201922$115,997$57,999
201511$9,875$9,875
201011$7,255$7,255
200821$1,189$1,189
200411$589$589
200210$0—
199822$22,028$11,014

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskVery Lowscore 26.5 of 100
Expected annual loss$14MVery Low
Social vulnerabilityVery Low
Community resilienceVery High
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingVery Low$4,170,849
DroughtRelatively High$4,021,419
TornadoRelatively Low$3,250,109
Cold waveRelatively Low$720,799
Strong windRelatively Low$704,454
HailRelatively Low$600,946
Heat waveVery Low$213,379
Ice stormRelatively Low$65,993
Winter weatherRelatively Low$57,520
WildfireVery Low$38,518
LightningVery Low$37,032
EarthquakeVery Low$14,181
LandslideRelatively Low$13,312
HurricaneVery Low$3,043

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

No HURDAT2 track at tropical-storm strength passes within 100 miles of the county's centre point (through the 2025 season).

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Guthrie County, IA?

NCEI records 223 hail events in Guthrie County since 1950, in 40 different years; that is about 2.9 recorded events a year. 64 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Guthrie County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 31 tornadoes in Guthrie County since 1950, 6 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 0.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Guthrie County?

23 Feb 2022: Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, And Tornadoes, a major disaster declaration for severe storm. The county appears in 17 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Guthrie County, and how much was paid?

10 NFIP claims since 1978, 8 of them paid, for $157K in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Guthrie County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Very Low" for overall risk, "Very Low" for expected annual loss, "Very Low" for social vulnerability and "Very High" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Guthrie County compare with the rest of Iowa?

119.7 recorded events per 100 square miles against 124.6 statewide, and 0.9 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 4.6. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.