County Hazards

States › Kentucky › Carter County

Carter County, Kentucky

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 21043 · 26,412 residents (2021) · 409 sq mi · dominant hazard Wind

Hail · 51Tornado · 2Flood · 101Wind · 106Winter · 61
1983-08-31: Hail1996-05-04: Hail1996-05-04: Hail1997-08-04: Hail1997-06-02: Hail1998-05-24: Hail1998-01-08: Hail1998-06-16: Hail2005-08-05: Hail2006-04-15: Hail2006-06-20: Hail2007-06-24: Hail2008-05-11: Hail2008-05-11: Hail2008-06-04: Hail2008-06-04: Hail2009-06-25: Hail2009-04-10: Hail2010-04-05: Hail2010-04-05: Hail2010-04-05: Hail2010-06-15: Hail2010-06-15: Hail2011-05-22: Hail2011-04-08: Hail2012-03-28: Hail2012-03-02: Hail2012-09-26: Hail2012-07-27: Hail2012-07-27: Hail2014-04-29: Hail2014-04-29: Hail2015-06-25: Hail2015-06-25: Hail2015-06-25: Hail2015-04-08: Hail2016-05-01: Hail2016-05-01: Hail2016-05-01: Hail2016-05-01: Hail2016-05-01: Hail2016-05-01: Hail2017-05-27: Hail2017-05-27: Hail2017-05-27: Hail2017-05-27: Hail2024-02-28: Hail1986-07-11: Tornado2008-05-11: Tornado2008-04-04: Flood2009-05-08: Flood2010-05-02: Flood2010-05-02: Flood2010-07-20: Flood2010-07-21: Flood2011-04-12: Flood2011-02-25: Flood2012-07-27: Flood2012-08-03: Flood2013-03-18: Flood2014-02-05: Flood2015-07-03: Flood2015-03-04: Flood2015-04-14: Flood2015-04-03: Flood2015-03-10: Flood2015-07-14: Flood2015-07-14: Flood2015-12-25: Flood2017-05-20: Flood2017-06-24: Flood2017-06-23: Flood2018-09-09: Flood2018-09-09: Flood2018-09-09: Flood2018-08-11: Flood2018-06-11: Flood2019-02-24: Flood2019-12-16: Flood2021-04-28: Flood2021-06-10: Flood2021-06-09: Flood2021-03-01: Flood2021-03-01: Flood2022-01-01: Flood2022-02-04: Flood2022-02-03: Flood2022-03-07: Flood2022-03-07: Flood2022-03-07: Flood2022-06-25: Flood2023-06-19: Flood2024-02-28: Flood2024-02-28: Flood2024-02-28: Flood2024-05-06: Flood2024-04-03: Flood2024-05-06: Flood2024-09-27: Flood2025-01-31: Flood2025-02-15: Flood2025-02-06: Flood2025-02-15: Flood2025-02-16: Flood2025-02-16: Flood2025-02-16: Flood2025-02-06: Flood2025-02-16: Flood2025-02-16: Flood2025-02-06: Flood2025-05-30: Flood2025-05-30: Flood2025-04-04: Flood2025-06-15: Flood2025-07-20: Flood2026-05-27: Flood1961-07-05: Wind1973-06-05: Wind1974-04-01: Wind1987-07-06: Wind1990-05-28: Wind1991-04-09: Wind1996-05-27: Wind1996-05-27: Wind1996-06-07: Wind1996-05-08: Wind1997-08-17: Wind1997-08-17: Wind1997-08-17: Wind1997-08-17: Wind1997-08-17: Wind1997-08-17: Wind2000-04-20: Wind2000-07-29: Wind2001-10-24: Wind2001-08-23: Wind2002-11-10: Wind2004-05-31: Wind2005-06-14: Wind2005-06-14: Wind2005-12-28: Wind2006-05-25: Wind2007-08-04: Wind2008-07-20: Wind2009-06-25: Wind2009-02-11: Wind2009-04-05: Wind2010-06-21: Wind2010-06-21: Wind2010-06-15: Wind2010-06-15: Wind2010-08-14: Wind2010-08-04: Wind2011-07-22: Wind2011-06-07: Wind2011-02-28: Wind2012-06-29: Wind2012-03-02: Wind2012-07-27: Wind2012-07-27: Wind2012-07-27: Wind2012-07-08: Wind2012-07-08: Wind2012-06-29: Wind2012-06-29: Wind2014-06-10: Wind2015-07-13: Wind2015-07-14: Wind2016-05-01: Wind2016-06-23: Wind2016-07-06: Wind2016-07-06: Wind2017-04-05: Wind2017-04-05: Wind2020-04-08: Wind2020-01-11: Wind2020-04-08: Wind2020-06-10: Wind2021-03-18: Wind2022-05-21: Wind2022-06-17: Wind2024-08-17: Wind2025-05-16: Wind2025-05-16: Wind2025-04-03: Wind2025-06-13: Wind2025-06-27: Wind2025-09-22: Wind2025-09-22: Wind2026-06-18: Wind2026-05-20: Wind2026-04-28: Wind
Carter County within Kentucky. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

Between 1950 and 2026, NCEI recorded 403 storm events in Carter County, Kentucky, led by damaging wind.

That is 98.4 events per 100 square miles, below the Kentucky figure of 140.0, and 152.6 per 10,000 residents against 122.6 statewide.

19 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 5 deaths and 3 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $33M.

FEMA has designated the county in 37 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Winter Storm (emergency, 24 Jan 2026).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 449 claims since 1978, of which 386 were paid, totalling $9.0M (about $23K per paid claim). FEMA counts 147 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Low" and its expected annual loss as "Very Low" ($14M a year across 18 hazards).

6 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 0 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

19events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
403events since 19505 deaths, 3 injuries recorded
37disaster declarationslast 24 Jan 2026
449NFIP flood claims$9.0M paid

Compared with Kentucky and the United States

MeasureCarter CountyKentuckyUS
Recorded events since 195040355,2851,977,440
Events per 100 square miles98.4140.056.0
Events per 10,000 residents152.6122.659.6
Events in the last 12 months191,25462,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI559926,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$33M$3.5B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents17.06.28.1
Average paid NFIP claim$23K$22K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years25.937.316.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Wind: 1
Wind: 2
Hail: 1Tornado: 1Wind: 1
Hail: 11Flood: 10Wind: 21Winter: 6Heat: 7Cold: 11Drought: 6Lightning: 1Other: 2
Hail: 10Tornado: 1Flood: 26Wind: 19Winter: 11Heat: 10Cold: 11Drought: 10Other: 8
Hail: 28Flood: 28Wind: 34Winter: 22Heat: 3Cold: 7Other: 2
Hail: 1Flood: 37Wind: 28Winter: 22Cold: 1Drought: 3
01950s11960s21970s31980s751990s1062000s1242010s922020s
Recorded events in Carter County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterHeatColdDroughtLightningOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 239 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 151 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Wind106
Flood101
Winter61
Hail51
Cold30
Heat20
Drought19
Other12
Tornado2
Lightning1
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Wind106—0.5%detail
■ Flood10141.2%detail
■ Winter61—0.8%detail
■ Hail51—0.8%detail
■ Cold30—1.3%
■ Heat20—1.0%
■ Drought19—1.9%
■ Other1211.2%
■ Tornado2—0.1%
■ Lightning1—0.4%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
20 Jul 2010Flash FloodFlood—$5.0M—1—County
22 Jun 1996Flash FloodFlood—$75K—1—County
16 Jun 2003Flash FloodFlood—$15K—1—County
29 Apr 2014Heavy RainOther—$12K—1—County
5 Mar 2004FloodFlood—$5K—1—Forecast zone
18 May 1995Thunderstorm WindWind0 mph$1.0M——1County
5 Jun 2001Flash FloodFlood—$250K——1County
27 May 1996Thunderstorm WindWind—$3K——1County
2 May 2010FloodFlood—$10M———County
1 Mar 1997FloodFlood—$2.5M———Forecast zone
23 Jun 2017Flash FloodFlood—$2.3M———County
16 Feb 2003Ice StormWinter—$1.5M———Forecast zone
3 Apr 2015FloodFlood—$1.2M———County
1 Mar 1997Flash FloodFlood—$1.0M———County
20 Mar 2002FloodFlood—$1.0M———Forecast zone
5 May 2003Flash FloodFlood—$1.0M———County
17 Nov 1993HailHail1.25 in$500K———County
17 Nov 1993Thunderstorm WindWind0 mph$500K———County
17 Sep 2004FloodFlood—$400K———Forecast zone
29 Jun 2012Thunderstorm WindWind60 mph$400K———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
24 Jan 2026EM-3633EmergencyWinter StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
24 Apr 2025DR-4864Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
3 Apr 2025EM-3626EmergencySevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
16 Feb 2025EM-3624EmergencySevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, And LandslidesPublic assistance
26 Nov 2024DR-4848Major disasterTropical StormRemnants Of Hurricane HelenePublic assistance
22 May 2024DR-4782Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, Landslides, And MudslidesIndividual assistance
9 May 2023DR-4711Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
27 Feb 2022DR-4643Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, Flooding, LandslidesPublic assistance
23 Apr 2021DR-4595Major disasterFloodSevere, Storms, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
31 Mar 2021DR-4592Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter Storms, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
28 Mar 2020DR-4497Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3469EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
17 Apr 2019DR-4428Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
26 Apr 2018DR-4361Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
12 Aug 2015DR-4239Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslideIndividual assistance, Public assistance
12 May 2015DR-4218Major disasterFloodSevere Winter Storm, Snowstorm, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
1 May 2015DR-4217Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
4 May 2011DR-1976Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
23 Jul 2010DR-1925Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Flooding, And MudslidesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
11 May 2010DR-1912Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Flooding, Mudslides, And TornadoesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
5 Feb 2009DR-1818Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter Storm And FloodingPublic assistance
28 Jan 2009EM-3302EmergencySevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
25 May 2007DR-1703Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Flooding, Mudslides, And RockslidesPublic assistance
10 Sep 2005EM-3231EmergencyHurricaneHurricane KatrinaPublic assistance
10 Jun 2004DR-1523Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Flooding, And MudslidesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
2 Jul 2003DR-1475Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Flooding, Mud And Rock Slides, And TornadoesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
3 Jun 2003DR-1471Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Flooding, Mud And Rock Slides, And TornadoesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
14 Mar 2003DR-1454Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter Ice And Snow Storms, Heavy Rain, Flooding, Tornadoes, And Mud AndIndividual assistance, Public assistance
4 Apr 2002DR-1407Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
28 Feb 2000DR-1320Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
3 Mar 1998DR-1207Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
4 Mar 1997DR-1163Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storm, Flooding, And TornadoesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Jan 1996DR-1089Major disasterSnowstormBlizzard Of 96Public assistance
13 Jun 1995DR-1055Major disasterTornadoTornadoes, Severe Winds, HailIndividual assistance, Public assistance
16 Mar 1993EM-3104EmergencySnowstormSevere Snowfall & Winter StormPublic assistance
24 Feb 1989DR-821Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
12 Dec 1978DR-568Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Carter County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 1978449
Paid claims386
Total paid$9.0M
Average paid claim$23K
Repetitive-loss properties497 severe
Residential policies in force1471.3% of 11,649 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202533$96,541$32,180
202411$5,937$5,937
202176$75,979$12,663
202020$0—
201843$142,922$47,641
20172118$305,981$16,999
201611$14,821$14,821
20152624$733,831$30,576
201265$432,679$86,536
201110$0—
20109888$3,151,846$35,816
200831$14,453$14,453
200644$49,149$12,287
20041211$113,225$10,293
200310590$1,507,475$16,750
20025854$1,189,883$22,035
200111$5,472$5,472
200021$17,160$17,160
19976350$1,097,434$21,949
199311$408$408
199154$4,769$1,192
199011$2,584$2,584
198987$20,812$2,973
198311$518$518
198211$417$417

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Lowscore 52.7 of 100
Expected annual loss$14MVery Low
Social vulnerabilityRelatively High
Community resilienceVery Low
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively Low$10,499,197
Heat waveRelatively Moderate$1,864,332
TornadoRelatively Low$715,025
Strong windRelatively Low$319,359
Cold waveVery Low$178,548
EarthquakeVery Low$142,437
LightningRelatively Low$138,856
HailVery Low$106,692
Ice stormRelatively Low$106,454
WildfireVery Low$61,933
Winter weatherRelatively Low$48,231
LandslideRelatively Moderate$46,286
HurricaneVery Low$19,982
DroughtVery Low$775

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles6
Tracks within 50 miles2
Hurricane strength within 50 miles0
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Opal199528 mi46 mph
Hugo198968 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm193467 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm193297 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm191536 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm189291 mi52 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Carter County, KY?

NCEI records 51 hail events in Carter County since 1950, in 20 different years; that is about 0.7 recorded events a year. 5 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Carter County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 2 tornadoes in Carter County since 1950, 0 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 0.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Carter County?

24 Jan 2026: Severe Winter Storm, a emergency declaration for winter storm. The county appears in 37 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Carter County, and how much was paid?

449 NFIP claims since 1978, 386 of them paid, for $9.0M in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Carter County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Low" for overall risk, "Very Low" for expected annual loss, "Relatively High" for social vulnerability and "Very Low" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Carter County compare with the rest of Kentucky?

98.4 recorded events per 100 square miles against 140.0 statewide, and 17.0 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 6.2. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.