County Hazards

States › Kentucky › Lawrence County

Lawrence County, Kentucky

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 21127 · 16,290 residents (2021) · 416 sq mi · dominant hazard Wind

Hail · 61Tornado · 5Flood · 72Wind · 125Winter · 57
1990-07-01: Hail1992-04-01: Hail1992-07-21: Hail1997-08-04: Hail1997-05-14: Hail1997-06-12: Hail1997-05-14: Hail1998-01-08: Hail1998-01-08: Hail1998-06-11: Hail1999-07-30: Hail2002-11-10: Hail2005-07-04: Hail2005-07-27: Hail2006-07-21: Hail2008-06-16: Hail2008-06-16: Hail2009-05-30: Hail2010-05-14: Hail2010-06-21: Hail2011-05-22: Hail2011-05-22: Hail2011-05-22: Hail2011-06-09: Hail2011-06-09: Hail2011-04-08: Hail2011-04-09: Hail2011-03-23: Hail2011-05-23: Hail2011-06-23: Hail2012-02-29: Hail2012-02-29: Hail2012-02-29: Hail2012-02-29: Hail2012-03-02: Hail2012-03-02: Hail2012-03-02: Hail2012-03-02: Hail2012-07-01: Hail2013-06-09: Hail2013-06-16: Hail2014-10-07: Hail2014-10-07: Hail2014-10-07: Hail2014-04-29: Hail2015-06-08: Hail2015-06-25: Hail2015-04-08: Hail2015-04-08: Hail2015-04-08: Hail2015-04-08: Hail2015-06-18: Hail2016-05-01: Hail2016-05-01: Hail2018-01-23: Hail2022-03-23: Hail2022-06-17: Hail2025-05-02: Hail2025-05-08: Hail2012-03-02: Tornado2012-03-02: Tornado2013-06-09: Tornado2016-07-04: Tornado2023-08-07: Tornado2008-04-04: Flood2010-02-02: Flood2010-08-11: Flood2011-05-11: Flood2012-07-27: Flood2014-06-04: Flood2014-08-22: Flood2015-04-14: Flood2015-04-03: Flood2015-04-03: Flood2015-03-04: Flood2015-03-10: Flood2015-07-14: Flood2015-07-19: Flood2015-07-18: Flood2015-12-25: Flood2016-08-01: Flood2016-02-03: Flood2016-06-23: Flood2016-08-01: Flood2017-06-23: Flood2017-12-23: Flood2017-07-27: Flood2018-02-11: Flood2018-02-16: Flood2018-09-23: Flood2019-07-22: Flood2019-02-24: Flood2019-12-16: Flood2020-02-13: Flood2021-02-28: Flood2022-01-01: Flood2022-02-03: Flood2022-02-04: Flood2022-02-04: Flood2022-02-04: Flood2022-08-10: Flood2024-05-06: Flood2025-01-31: Flood2025-01-31: Flood2025-01-31: Flood2025-01-31: Flood2025-01-31: Flood2025-01-31: Flood2025-02-08: Flood2025-02-16: Flood2025-02-06: Flood2025-02-15: Flood2025-04-03: Flood2025-04-03: Flood2025-04-04: Flood2025-04-04: Flood2025-04-04: Flood2025-04-03: Flood2025-07-17: Flood1973-06-05: Wind1989-09-16: Wind1991-04-09: Wind1991-07-12: Wind1996-06-24: Wind1996-05-27: Wind1996-05-05: Wind1996-04-20: Wind1997-08-17: Wind1997-03-01: Wind1998-06-11: Wind1998-02-17: Wind1999-04-08: Wind1999-01-18: Wind2000-06-26: Wind2000-08-07: Wind2001-10-24: Wind2003-02-22: Wind2003-07-10: Wind2004-05-31: Wind2005-05-19: Wind2005-05-13: Wind2006-07-04: Wind2007-07-19: Wind2008-02-06: Wind2008-02-06: Wind2008-02-06: Wind2008-06-12: Wind2008-05-11: Wind2009-02-11: Wind2009-06-02: Wind2010-07-17: Wind2011-04-25: Wind2011-05-10: Wind2011-05-10: Wind2011-05-23: Wind2011-04-04: Wind2012-06-29: Wind2012-07-27: Wind2012-06-29: Wind2013-06-09: Wind2013-05-21: Wind2014-06-04: Wind2014-06-04: Wind2014-06-04: Wind2014-06-10: Wind2014-06-10: Wind2015-06-08: Wind2015-06-08: Wind2015-07-10: Wind2015-05-11: Wind2015-07-13: Wind2015-07-13: Wind2015-07-13: Wind2015-07-13: Wind2015-07-14: Wind2015-07-14: Wind2016-06-23: Wind2016-06-21: Wind2016-06-23: Wind2016-06-23: Wind2017-03-01: Wind2017-03-01: Wind2017-03-01: Wind2017-04-05: Wind2017-06-23: Wind2018-04-03: Wind2018-07-05: Wind2018-07-05: Wind2018-08-11: Wind2019-08-20: Wind2019-06-16: Wind2020-06-10: Wind2020-06-10: Wind2020-06-10: Wind2022-07-23: Wind2022-06-17: Wind2022-06-25: Wind2022-06-13: Wind2022-06-13: Wind2023-03-03: Wind2023-08-07: Wind2024-07-16: Wind2025-05-02: Wind2025-05-16: Wind2025-05-16: Wind2025-05-02: Wind2025-05-20: Wind2025-05-20: Wind2025-04-03: Wind2025-04-03: Wind2026-05-20: Wind
Lawrence County within Kentucky. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

The NCEI record lists 400 events for Lawrence County, Kentucky, between 1950 and 2026; damaging wind account for the largest share.

That is 96.2 events per 100 square miles, below the Kentucky figure of 140.0, and 245.5 per 10,000 residents against 122.6 statewide.

17 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 3 deaths and 13 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $10M and crop damage at $101K.

FEMA has designated the county in 49 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Winter Storm (emergency, 24 Jan 2026).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 32 claims since 1978, of which 25 were paid, totalling $468K (about $19K per paid claim). FEMA counts 32 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Low" and its expected annual loss as "Very Low" ($13M a year across 18 hazards).

5 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 0 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

17events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
400events since 19503 deaths, 13 injuries recorded
49disaster declarationslast 24 Jan 2026
32NFIP flood claims$468K paid

Compared with Kentucky and the United States

MeasureLawrence CountyKentuckyUS
Recorded events since 195040055,2851,977,440
Events per 100 square miles96.2140.056.0
Events per 10,000 residents245.5122.659.6
Events in the last 12 months171,25462,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI359926,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$10M$3.5B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents2.06.28.1
Average paid NFIP claim$19K$22K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years25.037.316.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Wind: 1
Wind: 1
Hail: 13Flood: 5Wind: 20Winter: 6Heat: 7Cold: 11Drought: 6Other: 2
Hail: 7Flood: 13Wind: 21Winter: 10Heat: 10Cold: 10Drought: 10Other: 8
Hail: 37Tornado: 4Flood: 28Wind: 47Winter: 20Heat: 3Cold: 7Other: 1
Hail: 4Tornado: 1Flood: 26Wind: 35Winter: 21Cold: 1Drought: 4
01950s01960s11970s11980s701990s892000s1472010s922020s
Recorded events in Lawrence County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterHeatColdDroughtOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 255 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 135 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Wind125
Flood72
Hail61
Winter57
Cold29
Heat20
Drought20
Other11
Tornado5
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Wind125—0.6%detail
■ Flood72—0.9%detail
■ Hail61—0.9%detail
■ Winter5710.7%detail
■ Cold29—1.3%
■ Heat20—1.0%
■ Drought20—2.0%
■ Other11—1.1%
■ Tornado520.3%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
2 Mar 2012TornadoTornadoEF3$2.0M—26County
5 Jan 2017Winter WeatherWinter—$15K—1—Forecast zone
4 Jul 2016TornadoTornadoEF2$500K——5County
2 Mar 2012TornadoTornadoEF3$350K——2County
1 Mar 1997Flash FloodFlood—$1.0M———County
3 Apr 2015Flash FloodFlood—$1.0M———County
19 Jul 1996Flash FloodFlood—$400K$100K——County
18 Jul 2015Flash FloodFlood—$450K———County
2 Mar 2012HailHail1.75 in$325K———County
20 Mar 2002FloodFlood—$300K———Forecast zone
15 Feb 2003FloodFlood—$300K———Forecast zone
29 Jun 2012Thunderstorm WindWind60 mph$250K———County
3 Feb 1998Heavy SnowWinter—$200K———Forecast zone
10 May 2011Thunderstorm WindWind81 mph$200K———County
2 Mar 2012HailHail1.50 in$200K———County
2 Mar 2012HailHail2.00 in$150K———County
1 Mar 2017Thunderstorm WindWind105 mph$150K———County
16 Feb 2003Ice StormWinter—$100K———Forecast zone
17 Jul 2010Thunderstorm WindWind58 mph$100K———County
2 Mar 2012HailHail1.75 in$100K———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
24 Jan 2026EM-3633EmergencyWinter StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
24 Apr 2025DR-4864Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
3 Apr 2025EM-3626EmergencySevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
24 Feb 2025DR-4860Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
16 Feb 2025EM-3624EmergencySevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, And LandslidesPublic assistance
26 Nov 2024DR-4848Major disasterTropical StormRemnants Of Hurricane HelenePublic assistance
9 May 2023DR-4711Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
27 Feb 2022DR-4643Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, Flooding, LandslidesPublic assistance
23 Apr 2021DR-4595Major disasterFloodSevere, Storms, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
31 Mar 2021DR-4592Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter Storms, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
24 Apr 2020DR-4540Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
28 Mar 2020DR-4497Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3469EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
17 Apr 2019DR-4428Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
26 Apr 2018DR-4361Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
12 Apr 2018DR-4358Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
12 Aug 2015DR-4239Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidePublic assistance
12 May 2015DR-4218Major disasterFloodSevere Winter Storm, Snowstorm, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
1 May 2015DR-4217Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
30 Apr 2015DR-4216Major disasterSnowstormSevere Winter Storms, Snowstorms, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
6 Mar 2012DR-4057Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
4 May 2011DR-1976Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
29 May 2009DR-1841Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Flooding And MudslidesPublic assistance
5 Feb 2009DR-1818Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter Storm And FloodingPublic assistance
28 Jan 2009EM-3302EmergencySevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
25 May 2007DR-1703Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Flooding, Mudslides, And RockslidesPublic assistance
10 Sep 2005EM-3231EmergencyHurricaneHurricane KatrinaPublic assistance
10 Jun 2004DR-1523Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Flooding, And MudslidesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
2 Jul 2003DR-1475Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Flooding, Mud And Rock Slides, And TornadoesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
3 Jun 2003DR-1471Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Flooding, Mud And Rock Slides, And TornadoesIndividual assistance
14 Mar 2003DR-1454Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter Ice And Snow Storms, Heavy Rain, Flooding, Tornadoes, And Mud AndIndividual assistance, Public assistance
4 Apr 2002DR-1407Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
2 Nov 2001FM-2386Fire management assistanceFireKy - Eastern Fire Complex - 11/02/2001Public assistance
15 Aug 2001DR-1388Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
4 Nov 2000FM-2350Fire management assistanceFireKy - Eastern District Fire Complex - 11/03/00Public assistance
28 Feb 2000DR-1320Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
29 Apr 1998DR-1216Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes,And FloodingPublic assistance
3 Mar 1998DR-1207Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
4 Mar 1997DR-1163Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storm, Flooding, And TornadoesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Jan 1996DR-1089Major disasterSnowstormBlizzard Of 96Public assistance
13 Jun 1995DR-1055Major disasterTornadoTornadoes, Severe Winds, HailPublic assistance
16 Mar 1994DR-1018Major disasterSnowstormSevere Weather, Freezing Rain, Sleet, SnwPublic assistance
16 Mar 1993EM-3104EmergencySnowstormSevere Snowfall & Winter StormPublic assistance
29 Jan 1991DR-893Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingPublic assistance
24 Feb 1989DR-821Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
15 May 1984DR-705Major disasterSevere StormHigh Winds, Tornadoes & FloodingIndividual assistance
12 Dec 1978DR-568Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
6 Apr 1977DR-529Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
27 Mar 1967DR-226Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Lawrence County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 197832
Paid claims25
Total paid$468K
Average paid claim$19K
Repetitive-loss properties41 severe
Residential policies in force320.4% of 7,597 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202121$19,395$19,395
201922$77,976$38,988
201831$15,478$15,478
201711$9,184$9,184
201632$18,335$9,167
201533$90,487$30,162
201310$0—
201221$5,637$5,637
201111$4,292$4,292
200433$52,998$17,666
200377$108,945$15,564
200211$54,900$54,900
199711$4,570$4,570
198411$5,510$5,510
198010$0—

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Lowscore 53.3 of 100
Expected annual loss$13MVery Low
Social vulnerabilityRelatively High
Community resilienceVery Low
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively Moderate$11,405,780
Heat waveRelatively Low$1,047,629
Strong windRelatively Low$229,110
TornadoVery Low$187,724
WildfireRelatively Low$105,843
Cold waveVery Low$98,375
HailVery Low$85,046
LightningRelatively Low$80,768
EarthquakeVery Low$74,377
LandslideRelatively Moderate$41,415
Ice stormRelatively Low$35,538
Winter weatherRelatively Low$28,749
HurricaneVery Low$15,077
DroughtVery Low$617
AvalancheVery Low$6

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles5
Tracks within 50 miles2
Hurricane strength within 50 miles0
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Opal199551 mi46 mph
Hugo198959 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm193444 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm193274 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm191520 mi40 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Lawrence County, KY?

NCEI records 61 hail events in Lawrence County since 1950, in 21 different years; that is about 0.8 recorded events a year. 13 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Lawrence County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 5 tornadoes in Lawrence County since 1950, 3 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 2.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Lawrence County?

24 Jan 2026: Severe Winter Storm, a emergency declaration for winter storm. The county appears in 49 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Lawrence County, and how much was paid?

32 NFIP claims since 1978, 25 of them paid, for $468K in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Lawrence County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Low" for overall risk, "Very Low" for expected annual loss, "Relatively High" for social vulnerability and "Very Low" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Lawrence County compare with the rest of Kentucky?

96.2 recorded events per 100 square miles against 140.0 statewide, and 2.0 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 6.2. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.