County Hazards

States › Kentucky › Clay County

Clay County, Kentucky

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 21051 · 20,206 residents (2021) · 469 sq mi · dominant hazard Wind

Hail · 52Tornado · 7Flood · 67Wind · 212Winter · 67
1985-06-05: Hail1996-07-17: Hail1998-04-15: Hail1999-01-17: Hail2000-07-11: Hail2001-08-23: Hail2002-06-04: Hail2002-05-01: Hail2002-05-01: Hail2002-04-28: Hail2002-06-02: Hail2002-06-02: Hail2003-02-22: Hail2003-02-22: Hail2003-03-20: Hail2003-07-13: Hail2003-07-12: Hail2004-06-12: Hail2005-05-12: Hail2005-05-12: Hail2005-08-05: Hail2005-10-21: Hail2006-01-02: Hail2006-04-07: Hail2007-06-05: Hail2007-06-24: Hail2007-06-24: Hail2007-07-18: Hail2007-11-14: Hail2007-05-04: Hail2008-05-11: Hail2008-06-20: Hail2010-05-15: Hail2011-05-22: Hail2011-04-09: Hail2012-04-26: Hail2014-07-27: Hail2014-07-27: Hail2016-05-02: Hail2017-03-27: Hail2019-06-05: Hail2021-04-08: Hail2021-04-08: Hail2024-09-24: Hail2024-09-24: Hail2024-09-24: Hail1974-04-03: Tornado1984-07-06: Tornado1990-06-22: Tornado2000-08-17: Tornado2001-06-02: Tornado2005-05-19: Flood2009-06-11: Flood2009-05-04: Flood2010-01-24: Flood2010-01-24: Flood2010-11-30: Flood2012-09-18: Flood2013-04-17: Flood2014-06-28: Flood2014-06-29: Flood2015-03-04: Flood2015-07-14: Flood2015-12-25: Flood2016-08-04: Flood2016-08-04: Flood2016-07-08: Flood2019-02-20: Flood2019-02-23: Flood2019-06-17: Flood2019-06-17: Flood2020-05-05: Flood2020-05-05: Flood2020-05-05: Flood2020-02-06: Flood2021-03-28: Flood2021-03-01: Flood2021-02-28: Flood2021-03-01: Flood2021-02-28: Flood2021-02-27: Flood2021-02-27: Flood2021-02-28: Flood2021-02-27: Flood2021-06-09: Flood2022-07-28: Flood2022-07-05: Flood2022-07-05: Flood2025-06-26: Wind2025-06-17: Wind2025-05-20: Wind2025-05-20: Wind2025-05-16: Wind2025-05-16: Wind2025-05-16: Wind2025-05-16: Wind2025-05-16: Wind2025-04-04: Wind2025-04-03: Wind2025-03-31: Wind2024-08-01: Wind2024-08-01: Wind2024-08-01: Wind2024-08-01: Wind2024-08-01: Wind2024-07-30: Wind2024-07-30: Wind2024-07-30: Wind2024-07-30: Wind2024-07-05: Wind2024-05-26: Wind2024-05-26: Wind2024-05-26: Wind2024-05-26: Wind2024-04-02: Wind2024-04-02: Wind2023-08-12: Wind2023-07-02: Wind2023-07-02: Wind2023-07-02: Wind2023-07-02: Wind2023-07-02: Wind2023-07-02: Wind2023-06-25: Wind2022-07-23: Wind2022-07-23: Wind2022-07-23: Wind2022-07-06: Wind2022-07-06: Wind2022-06-17: Wind2022-06-17: Wind2022-06-17: Wind2022-05-06: Wind2021-06-21: Wind2020-04-25: Wind2018-05-31: Wind2017-07-06: Wind2017-03-01: Wind2016-12-18: Wind2016-08-28: Wind2016-08-28: Wind2016-07-08: Wind2016-07-04: Wind2016-05-07: Wind2015-06-21: Wind2015-06-08: Wind2014-07-27: Wind2014-07-27: Wind2014-07-27: Wind2014-07-27: Wind2014-07-27: Wind2014-07-27: Wind2014-07-14: Wind2014-06-20: Wind2014-06-20: Wind2014-06-10: Wind2014-06-10: Wind2014-05-21: Wind2014-02-21: Wind2014-02-21: Wind2013-11-01: Wind2013-07-13: Wind2013-07-04: Wind2013-07-04: Wind2013-06-13: Wind2013-05-21: Wind2013-05-21: Wind2013-01-30: Wind2012-07-05: Wind2012-07-05: Wind2011-08-08: Wind2011-06-23: Wind2011-06-23: Wind2011-06-21: Wind2011-06-09: Wind2011-06-09: Wind2011-05-26: Wind2011-05-26: Wind2011-05-26: Wind2011-05-24: Wind2011-05-23: Wind2011-05-23: Wind2011-05-23: Wind2011-05-22: Wind2011-04-04: Wind2010-10-26: Wind2010-09-11: Wind2010-08-05: Wind2010-08-05: Wind2010-06-14: Wind2009-08-04: Wind2009-08-04: Wind2009-06-18: Wind2009-06-18: Wind2009-06-16: Wind2009-06-11: Wind2009-05-28: Wind2009-02-11: Wind2008-07-28: Wind2008-07-28: Wind2008-07-20: Wind
Clay County within Kentucky. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

Between 1950 and 2026, NCEI recorded 439 storm events in Clay County, Kentucky, led by damaging wind.

That is 93.5 events per 100 square miles, below the Kentucky figure of 140.0, and 217.3 per 10,000 residents against 122.6 statewide.

1 event fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 4 deaths and 2 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $6.1M and crop damage at $135K.

FEMA has designated the county in 48 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Winter Storm (major disaster, 29 May 2026).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 66 claims since 1978, of which 55 were paid, totalling $697K (about $13K per paid claim). FEMA counts 53 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Low" and its expected annual loss as "Relatively Low" ($16M a year across 18 hazards).

8 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 0 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

1events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
439events since 19504 deaths, 2 injuries recorded
48disaster declarationslast 29 May 2026
66NFIP flood claims$697K paid

Compared with Kentucky and the United States

MeasureClay CountyKentuckyUS
Recorded events since 195043955,2851,977,440
Events per 100 square miles93.5140.056.0
Events per 10,000 residents217.3122.659.6
Events in the last 12 months11,25462,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI459926,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$6.1M$3.5B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents3.36.28.1
Average paid NFIP claim$13K$22K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years37.737.316.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Wind: 2
Tornado: 1
Tornado: 1
Hail: 1Tornado: 1Wind: 7
Hail: 9Tornado: 2Flood: 5Wind: 18Winter: 7
Hail: 28Tornado: 2Flood: 27Wind: 77Winter: 14Cold: 3Other: 2
Hail: 9Flood: 17Wind: 55Winter: 34Heat: 6Cold: 8Drought: 4Fog: 1Other: 3
Hail: 5Flood: 18Wind: 53Winter: 12Cold: 1Other: 6
21950s11960s11970s91980s411990s1532000s1372010s952020s
Recorded events in Clay County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterHeatColdDroughtFogOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 300 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 127 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Wind212
Flood67
Winter67
Hail52
Cold12
Other11
Tornado7
Heat6
Drought4
Fog1
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Wind212—1.0%detail
■ Flood6730.8%detail
■ Winter6710.8%detail
■ Hail52—0.8%detail
■ Cold12—0.5%
■ Other11—1.1%
■ Tornado7—0.5%
■ Heat6—0.3%
■ Drought4—0.4%
■ Fog1—0.1%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
28 Jul 2022Flash FloodFlood———3—County
16 Feb 2015Winter StormWinter———1—Forecast zone
26 May 2024Thunderstorm WindWind58 mph$10K$1K—1County
10 Jul 2004Flash FloodFlood—$5K——1County
3 Apr 1974TornadoTornadoF2$2.5M———County
17 Apr 1998FloodFlood—$1.7M$20K——Forecast zone
6 Jul 1984TornadoTornadoF0$250K———County
26 May 2024Thunderstorm WindWind58 mph$200K$1K——County
16 Apr 1998Flash FloodFlood—$200K———County
6 Feb 2020FloodFlood—$120K———County
16 Feb 2003FloodFlood—$100K———Forecast zone
11 Apr 2008Thunderstorm WindWind67 mph$100K———County
26 May 2024Thunderstorm WindWind58 mph$100K———County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
29 May 2026DR-4913Major disasterWinter StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
24 Jan 2026EM-3633EmergencyWinter StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
23 May 2025DR-4875Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, And TornadoesPublic assistance
24 Apr 2025DR-4864Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
3 Apr 2025EM-3626EmergencySevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
24 Feb 2025DR-4860Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
16 Feb 2025EM-3624EmergencySevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, And LandslidesPublic assistance
26 Nov 2024DR-4848Major disasterTropical StormRemnants Of Hurricane HelenePublic assistance
23 Jul 2024DR-4804Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, Landslides, And MudslidesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
9 May 2023DR-4711Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
10 Apr 2023DR-4702Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
29 Jul 2022DR-4663Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
27 Feb 2022DR-4643Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, Flooding, LandslidesPublic assistance
23 Apr 2021DR-4595Major disasterFloodSevere, Storms, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
31 Mar 2021DR-4592Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter Storms, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
24 Apr 2020DR-4540Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
28 Mar 2020DR-4497Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3469EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
17 Apr 2019DR-4428Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
12 Apr 2018DR-4358Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
26 Aug 2016DR-4278Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storm, Tornadoes, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
12 Aug 2015DR-4239Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidePublic assistance
12 May 2015DR-4218Major disasterFloodSevere Winter Storm, Snowstorm, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
4 May 2011DR-1976Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
11 May 2010DR-1912Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Flooding, Mudslides, And TornadoesPublic assistance
29 May 2009DR-1841Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Flooding And MudslidesPublic assistance
5 Feb 2009DR-1818Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter Storm And FloodingPublic assistance
28 Jan 2009EM-3302EmergencySevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
10 Sep 2005EM-3231EmergencyHurricaneHurricane KatrinaPublic assistance
10 Jun 2004DR-1523Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Flooding, And MudslidesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
2 Jul 2003DR-1475Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Flooding, Mud And Rock Slides, And TornadoesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
14 Mar 2003DR-1454Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter Ice And Snow Storms, Heavy Rain, Flooding, Tornadoes, And Mud AndIndividual assistance, Public assistance
7 May 2002DR-1414Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes And FloodingIndividual assistance
4 Apr 2002DR-1407Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
2 Nov 2001FM-2385Fire management assistanceFireKy - Southeastern Fire Complex - 11/02/01Public assistance
15 Aug 2001DR-1388Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms And FloodingPublic assistance
4 Nov 2000FM-2349Fire management assistanceFireKy - Southeastern District Fire Complex - 11/03/00Public assistance
29 Apr 1998DR-1216Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes,And FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
3 Mar 1998DR-1207Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
4 Mar 1997DR-1163Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storm, Flooding, And TornadoesPublic assistance
13 Jan 1996DR-1089Major disasterSnowstormBlizzard Of 96Public assistance
16 Mar 1994DR-1018Major disasterSnowstormSevere Weather, Freezing Rain, Sleet, SnwPublic assistance
16 Mar 1993EM-3104EmergencySnowstormSevere Snowfall & Winter StormPublic assistance
30 Oct 1989DR-846Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Mudslides & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
30 Jun 1989DR-834Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
15 May 1984DR-705Major disasterSevere StormHigh Winds, Tornadoes & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
5 Jun 1970DR-288Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
2 Feb 1970DR-282Major disasterFloodHeavy Snowmelt, Rains & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Clay County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 197866
Paid claims55
Total paid$697K
Average paid claim$13K
Repetitive-loss properties51 severe
Residential policies in force530.7% of 7,843 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
202521$26,724$26,724
202411$45,690$45,690
202287$225,163$32,166
202186$141,564$23,594
201911$6,222$6,222
201610$0—
201522$27,215$13,608
201311$10,569$10,569
200433$20,686$6,895
200311$3,223$3,223
199877$30,966$4,424
199711$7,086$7,086
199510$0—
199222$11,652$5,826
199144$15,132$3,783
199022$1,299$650
19892116$123,889$7,743

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Lowscore 67.1 of 100
Expected annual loss$16MRelatively Low
Social vulnerabilityVery High
Community resilienceVery Low
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively Moderate$12,440,182
Cold waveRelatively Moderate$1,260,700
TornadoRelatively Low$546,531
WildfireRelatively Low$422,566
Strong windRelatively Moderate$393,556
Heat waveRelatively Low$199,834
HailRelatively Low$172,689
EarthquakeVery Low$102,076
LightningRelatively Low$85,532
Winter weatherRelatively Moderate$79,027
LandslideRelatively Moderate$56,543
DroughtVery Low$14,431
HurricaneVery Low$14,298
Ice stormVery Low$7,505
AvalancheVery Low$321

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles8
Tracks within 50 miles1
Hurricane strength within 50 miles0
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Helene202470 mi46 mph
Opal199593 mi46 mph
Frederic197945 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm193488 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm193256 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm191576 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm189296 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm188891 mi52 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Clay County, KY?

NCEI records 52 hail events in Clay County since 1950, in 24 different years; that is about 0.7 recorded events a year. 9 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Clay County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 7 tornadoes in Clay County since 1950, 2 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 0.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Clay County?

29 May 2026: Severe Winter Storm, a major disaster declaration for winter storm. The county appears in 48 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Clay County, and how much was paid?

66 NFIP claims since 1978, 55 of them paid, for $697K in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Clay County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Low" for overall risk, "Relatively Low" for expected annual loss, "Very High" for social vulnerability and "Very Low" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Clay County compare with the rest of Kentucky?

93.5 recorded events per 100 square miles against 140.0 statewide, and 3.3 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 6.2. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.