County Hazards

States › Kentucky › Madison County

Madison County, Kentucky

Recorded hazard history: storm events since 1950, federal disaster declarations since 1953, flood insurance claims since 1978, and FEMA's risk index.

FIPS 21151 · 94,666 residents (2021) · 437 sq mi · dominant hazard Wind

Hail · 80Tornado · 18Flood · 92Wind · 225Winter · 29
1959-07-14: Hail1964-04-19: Hail1968-04-23: Hail1972-04-13: Hail1972-04-13: Hail1973-05-19: Hail1982-07-10: Hail1992-06-18: Hail1996-05-05: Hail1998-05-24: Hail1998-05-24: Hail1999-05-15: Hail1999-07-23: Hail2000-06-26: Hail2002-03-29: Hail2002-03-29: Hail2002-03-29: Hail2002-03-29: Hail2002-03-29: Hail2002-06-02: Hail2002-06-02: Hail2003-03-19: Hail2003-05-05: Hail2003-05-08: Hail2003-07-12: Hail2004-05-24: Hail2004-05-30: Hail2005-08-28: Hail2006-06-10: Hail2007-07-27: Hail2008-06-16: Hail2008-06-16: Hail2008-06-16: Hail2009-02-18: Hail2009-02-18: Hail2009-02-18: Hail2009-06-02: Hail2009-06-02: Hail2009-06-02: Hail2009-06-18: Hail2010-03-12: Hail2010-05-15: Hail2010-05-15: Hail2010-05-15: Hail2011-04-09: Hail2012-03-02: Hail2012-04-03: Hail2012-04-26: Hail2012-03-02: Hail2012-03-02: Hail2012-03-02: Hail2012-03-02: Hail2012-02-29: Hail2012-03-02: Hail2012-07-18: Hail2014-05-21: Hail2015-04-25: Hail2015-04-25: Hail2016-05-10: Hail2016-05-10: Hail2016-05-10: Hail2016-05-10: Hail2017-02-24: Hail2017-04-05: Hail2017-04-05: Hail2017-04-05: Hail2018-05-31: Hail2023-06-25: Hail2023-06-25: Hail2023-06-25: Hail2023-06-25: Hail2023-06-25: Hail2023-06-25: Hail2025-05-16: Hail2025-05-16: Hail2025-09-05: Hail1955-03-04: Tornado1955-04-24: Tornado1958-04-20: Tornado1972-08-19: Tornado1974-04-03: Tornado1974-04-03: Tornado1990-05-21: Tornado1991-04-09: Tornado1996-04-20: Tornado2003-05-11: Tornado2009-05-08: Tornado2015-04-07: Tornado2015-04-07: Tornado2021-12-11: Tornado2021-12-11: Tornado2022-01-01: Tornado2023-01-12: Tornado2005-04-30: Flood2006-01-22: Flood2007-12-13: Flood2007-12-09: Flood2008-04-04: Flood2009-06-18: Flood2009-06-25: Flood2009-06-25: Flood2009-06-25: Flood2010-05-02: Flood2010-05-02: Flood2010-05-02: Flood2010-05-02: Flood2010-07-27: Flood2010-07-27: Flood2010-08-18: Flood2010-05-02: Flood2011-07-30: Flood2012-04-03: Flood2012-04-03: Flood2012-03-02: Flood2012-08-03: Flood2012-09-05: Flood2013-06-26: Flood2013-06-27: Flood2013-04-17: Flood2013-04-17: Flood2013-04-17: Flood2013-08-07: Flood2013-08-07: Flood2014-08-10: Flood2014-08-10: Flood2014-08-10: Flood2015-06-26: Flood2015-06-26: Flood2015-04-14: Flood2015-04-03: Flood2015-07-02: Flood2015-12-25: Flood2015-12-25: Flood2016-08-28: Flood2016-07-08: Flood2016-07-29: Flood2018-06-26: Flood2018-05-31: Flood2018-05-31: Flood2018-05-31: Flood2019-02-23: Flood2019-02-23: Flood2019-02-23: Flood2019-12-16: Flood2019-11-30: Flood2019-11-30: Flood2021-07-01: Flood2021-07-30: Flood2021-07-01: Flood2021-07-01: Flood2021-02-28: Flood2025-04-05: Flood2025-04-05: Flood2026-06-27: Flood2026-06-27: Flood2026-06-27: Flood2026-06-27: Flood2026-06-27: Flood2026-06-27: Flood2026-06-27: Flood2026-06-27: Flood2026-06-27: Flood2025-12-18: Wind2025-09-05: Wind2025-07-17: Wind2025-06-06: Wind2025-05-20: Wind2025-05-20: Wind2025-05-20: Wind2025-05-16: Wind2025-05-16: Wind2025-04-03: Wind2025-03-30: Wind2025-03-30: Wind2024-08-17: Wind2024-08-17: Wind2024-08-17: Wind2024-08-01: Wind2024-05-27: Wind2024-02-28: Wind2023-06-30: Wind2023-06-25: Wind2023-06-25: Wind2023-05-16: Wind2023-01-12: Wind2023-01-12: Wind2022-05-26: Wind2022-05-26: Wind2022-04-13: Wind2022-04-13: Wind2022-04-13: Wind2022-04-13: Wind2022-02-17: Wind2022-01-01: Wind2021-07-30: Wind2021-07-16: Wind2021-06-21: Wind2021-06-21: Wind2021-06-12: Wind2021-06-12: Wind2020-06-10: Wind2020-06-10: Wind2020-06-10: Wind2020-06-10: Wind2020-05-25: Wind2020-01-11: Wind2020-01-11: Wind2020-01-11: Wind2020-01-11: Wind2020-01-11: Wind2020-01-11: Wind2019-07-11: Wind2019-07-11: Wind2019-07-11: Wind2019-06-24: Wind2018-07-20: Wind2018-07-20: Wind2018-05-31: Wind2018-05-31: Wind2018-05-31: Wind2018-05-31: Wind2018-05-31: Wind2018-05-31: Wind2018-05-31: Wind2018-05-31: Wind2018-05-31: Wind2018-04-03: Wind2018-01-22: Wind2017-11-18: Wind2017-07-07: Wind2017-06-23: Wind2017-06-18: Wind2017-04-05: Wind2017-04-05: Wind2017-04-05: Wind2017-03-01: Wind2017-03-01: Wind2017-03-01: Wind2017-03-01: Wind2017-03-01: Wind2017-03-01: Wind2016-08-28: Wind2016-06-15: Wind2016-05-10: Wind2016-05-10: Wind2015-07-14: Wind2015-07-13: Wind2015-07-13: Wind2015-07-13: Wind2015-07-13: Wind2015-07-09: Wind2015-07-09: Wind2015-06-26: Wind2015-05-11: Wind2015-05-11: Wind2015-05-11: Wind2015-05-11: Wind2014-10-06: Wind2014-10-06: Wind2014-07-27: Wind2014-07-26: Wind2014-07-26: Wind2014-06-23: Wind2014-06-10: Wind2014-06-10: Wind2014-06-10: Wind2014-05-21: Wind2014-02-20: Wind2014-02-20: Wind2013-11-01: Wind2013-08-21: Wind2013-08-21: Wind2013-04-11: Wind2013-01-30: Wind2012-07-19: Wind2012-07-19: Wind2012-07-19: Wind
Madison County within Kentucky. Dots: HailTornadoFloodWind event locations in the kept record. Boundaries: US Census Bureau.

NCEI notes that Storm Data is compiled from a variety of sources including the National Weather Service, other federal, state and local agencies, the media and the public; that property and crop damage figures are estimates; and that some events are recorded by NWS forecast zone rather than by county. FEMA notes that NFIP claim records are redacted and aggregated to protect the privacy of policyholders. NCEI storm records through 30 Jun 2026; OpenFEMA declarations refreshed 1 Oct 2026; NFIP claims as of 8 Sep 2026.

The NCEI record lists 459 events for Madison County, Kentucky, between 1950 and 2026; damaging wind account for the largest share.

That is 104.9 events per 100 square miles, below the Kentucky figure of 140.0, and 48.5 per 10,000 residents against 122.6 statewide.

15 events fall in the 12 months to 30 Jun 2026. NCEI attributes 21 deaths and 66 injuries to events in the county, with property damage estimated at $41M.

FEMA has designated the county in 28 federal disaster declarations since 1953; the most recent is Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, And Mudslides (major disaster, 1 Sep 2026).

National Flood Insurance Program policyholders in the county filed 138 claims since 1978, of which 117 were paid, totalling $3.5M (about $30K per paid claim). FEMA counts 219 residential flood policies in force.

FEMA's National Risk Index rates the county's overall risk as "Relatively Low" and its expected annual loss as "Relatively Low" ($37M a year across 18 hazards).

6 tropical storm or hurricane tracks in the HURDAT2 record passed within 100 miles of the county's centre at tropical-storm strength or more, 0 of them within 50 miles at hurricane strength.

15events, last 12 monthsto 30 Jun 2026
459events since 195021 deaths, 66 injuries recorded
28disaster declarationslast 1 Sep 2026
138NFIP flood claims$3.5M paid

Compared with Kentucky and the United States

MeasureMadison CountyKentuckyUS
Recorded events since 195045955,2851,977,440
Events per 100 square miles104.9140.056.0
Events per 10,000 residents48.5122.659.6
Events in the last 12 months151,25462,008
Deaths recorded by NCEI2159926,435
Property damage (NCEI estimates)$41M$3.5B$575B
NFIP claims per 1,000 residents1.56.28.1
Average paid NFIP claim$30K$22K$43K
Claims per 100 policies in force, last 10 years25.637.316.1

County-recorded events plus zone-recorded events whose forecast zone is named for the county. State and US rows include events recorded only by forecast zone. Rates use 2021 Census population and land area.

Events by decade

Hail: 1Tornado: 3Wind: 2
Hail: 2Tornado: 1Wind: 4
Hail: 3Tornado: 3Wind: 7
Hail: 1Wind: 12
Hail: 7Tornado: 3Flood: 7Wind: 12Winter: 3Lightning: 1
Hail: 30Tornado: 2Flood: 25Wind: 52Winter: 5Other: 1
Hail: 27Tornado: 2Flood: 44Wind: 84Winter: 10Cold: 6Lightning: 3Other: 2
Hail: 9Tornado: 4Flood: 16Wind: 52Winter: 11Cold: 1Other: 1
61950s71960s131970s131980s331990s1152000s1782010s942020s
Recorded events in Madison County by decade and hazard group. HailTornadoFloodWindWinterColdLightningOther NCEI recorded only tornadoes, hail and thunderstorm wind before 1996.

Trend: 316 events in the 20 years to 2025 against 97 in the 20 years before. Reporting practice changed in 1996 and again with automated reports in the 2000s, so decade totals measure the record as much as the weather.

Events by type

Wind225
Flood92
Hail80
Winter29
Tornado18
Cold7
Lightning4
Other4
HazardEventsDeathsShare of state's events
■ Wind225—1.0%detail
■ Flood9271.1%detail
■ Hail80—1.2%detail
■ Winter2910.4%detail
■ Tornado1891.2%detail
■ Cold710.3%
■ Lightning431.7%
■ Other4—0.4%

Hazard pages exist for hail, tornado, flood, wind and winter where the county has at least 10 recorded events. "Other" covers heavy rain, debris flow, dust, funnel clouds and similar reports.

Largest recorded events

DateEvent typeGroupMagnitudeProperty damageCrop damageDeathsInjuriesGeography
3 Apr 1974TornadoTornadoF4——720County
8 May 2009TornadoTornadoEF3——215County
21 Aug 2013LightningLightning———23County
27 Jun 2026Flash FloodFlood———2—County
2 May 2010Flash FloodFlood—$20K—1—County
14 Apr 2015FloodFlood—$20K—1—County
18 Feb 2000Flash FloodFlood—$10K—1—County
14 Jun 2003Flash FloodFlood—$2K—1—County
5 Sep 1996LightningLightning———1—County
16 Feb 2015Cold/Wind ChillCold———1—Forecast zone
24 Jan 2026Winter StormWinter———1—Forecast zone
27 Jun 2026Flash FloodFlood———1—County
20 Apr 1996TornadoTornadoF2$13M——10County
22 Jun 2016LightningLightning————4County
21 May 1990TornadoTornadoF2$25M——1County
11 Jan 2020Thunderstorm WindWind92 mph———3County
4 Mar 1955TornadoTornadoF3$250K——2County
24 Apr 1955TornadoTornadoF1$25K——2County
8 May 2009Thunderstorm WindWind81 mph———2County
19 Aug 1972TornadoTornadoF2$250K——1County

Ranked by deaths, then injuries, then NCEI's damage estimate. Deaths and injuries are NCEI counts (direct plus indirect); no personal details are recorded here.

Federal disaster declarations

DeclaredNumberTypeIncidentTitlePrograms
1 Sep 2026DR-4937Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
24 Jan 2026EM-3633EmergencyWinter StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
24 Apr 2025DR-4864Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
3 Apr 2025EM-3626EmergencySevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, And FloodingPublic assistance
16 Feb 2025EM-3624EmergencySevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, And LandslidesPublic assistance
10 Apr 2023DR-4702Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
23 Apr 2021DR-4595Major disasterFloodSevere, Storms, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
31 Mar 2021DR-4592Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter Storms, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
28 Mar 2020DR-4497Major disasterBiologicalCovid-19 PandemicIndividual assistance, Public assistance
13 Mar 2020EM-3469EmergencyBiologicalCovid-19Public assistance
17 Apr 2019DR-4428Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesPublic assistance
1 May 2015DR-4217Major disasterFloodSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Flooding, Landslides, And MudslidesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
23 Jul 2010DR-1925Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Flooding, And MudslidesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
11 May 2010DR-1912Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Flooding, Mudslides, And TornadoesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
29 May 2009DR-1841Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Flooding And MudslidesPublic assistance
5 Feb 2009DR-1818Major disasterSevere Ice StormSevere Winter Storm And FloodingPublic assistance
28 Jan 2009EM-3302EmergencySevere Ice StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
10 Sep 2005EM-3231EmergencyHurricaneHurricane KatrinaPublic assistance
10 Jun 2004DR-1523Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Flooding, And MudslidesIndividual assistance
3 Jun 2003DR-1471Major disasterSevere StormSevere Storms, Flooding, Mud And Rock Slides, And TornadoesIndividual assistance
3 Mar 1998DR-1207Major disasterSevere StormSevere Winter StormPublic assistance
13 Jan 1996DR-1089Major disasterSnowstormBlizzard Of 96Public assistance
16 Mar 1994DR-1018Major disasterSnowstormSevere Weather, Freezing Rain, Sleet, SnwPublic assistance
16 Mar 1993EM-3104EmergencySnowstormSevere Snowfall & Winter StormPublic assistance
24 Feb 1989DR-821Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
12 Dec 1978DR-568Major disasterFloodSevere Storms & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance
4 Apr 1974DR-420Major disasterTornadoTornadoesIndividual assistance, Public assistance
15 May 1972DR-332Major disasterFloodHeavy Rains & FloodingIndividual assistance, Public assistance

Declarations in which FEMA designated this county, from the OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2). DR: major disaster; EM: emergency; FM: fire management assistance. Programs show whether individual or public assistance was made available.

Flood insurance claims

197820022026
NFIP claims by year of loss in Madison County, 1978 to 2026 (hover for the amount paid).
Claims since 1978138
Paid claims117
Total paid$3.5M
Average paid claim$30K
Repetitive-loss properties122 severe
Residential policies in force2190.7% of 29,955 structures
Year of lossClaimsPaid claimsAmount paidAverage paid
20261915$622,834$41,522
20251310$572,210$57,221
202333$41,323$13,774
202233$38,933$12,978
20211313$593,956$45,689
202022$15,847$7,924
201933$100,397$33,466
201633$16,511$5,504
20151914$363,702$25,979
201465$74,071$14,814
201333$96,276$32,092
201111$16,625$16,625
20103328$852,026$30,429
200444$34,150$8,538
200333$33,935$11,312
199811$1,872$1,872
199711$4,974$4,974
199211$2,045$2,045
199110$0—
199011$106$106
198911$4,257$4,257
198422$11,567$5,784
198010$0—
197910$0—

OpenFEMA NFIP claims (v3, as of 8 Sep 2026), aggregated by year of loss; amounts are building, contents and increased-cost-of-compliance payments as recorded. Repetitive-loss counts from the NFIP Multiple Loss Properties file (2 Aug 2026); policies in force from the NFIP Residential Penetration Rates file (3 Aug 2026).

National Risk Index

Overall riskRelatively Lowscore 74.8 of 100
Expected annual loss$37MRelatively Low
Social vulnerabilityRelatively Low
Community resilienceRelatively High
Hazard (NRI)Risk ratingExpected annual loss
Inland floodingRelatively Moderate$18,159,105
TornadoRelatively Moderate$5,751,020
Cold waveRelatively Moderate$5,028,285
Strong windRelatively High$2,045,224
LightningRelatively High$1,841,245
EarthquakeRelatively Low$1,389,527
HailRelatively Moderate$1,102,814
Heat waveRelatively Low$657,944
Winter weatherRelatively High$318,133
Ice stormRelatively Moderate$277,498
HurricaneVery Low$83,060
WildfireVery Low$56,892
DroughtVery Low$5,097
LandslideVery Low$1,339
AvalancheVery Low$69

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. Ratings are FEMA's relative comparison of counties; expected annual loss is FEMA's modelled estimate of average yearly building, population and agriculture loss. See how to read the NRI.

Hurricane and tropical storm passes

Tracks within 100 miles6
Tracks within 50 miles1
Hurricane strength within 50 miles0
StormYearClosest approachMax wind while within 100 mi
Helene202473 mi46 mph
Opal199568 mi46 mph
Frederic197952 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm191589 mi40 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm189289 mi46 mph
Unnamed Atlantic storm188844 mi52 mph

HURDAT2 best-track positions at tropical-storm strength (34 kt) or more, measured from the county's Census centre point; through the 2025 season. Distance from a track is not the same as the extent of the storm's wind, rain or surge.

ZIP codes with flood claims

ZIP codes whose NFIP claims carry this county's code, with the number of claims. Five or more claims are needed for a ZIP page to be indexed.

Questions and answers

How often does it hail in Madison County, KY?

NCEI records 80 hail events in Madison County since 1950, in 30 different years; that is about 1.0 recorded events a year. 23 reports were golf-ball size (1.75 in) or larger.

Has Madison County had a tornado?

Yes. NCEI records 18 tornadoes in Madison County since 1950, 8 of them rated (E)F2 or stronger. Tornado deaths recorded: 9.

When was the last federal disaster declaration for Madison County?

1 Sep 2026: Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, And Mudslides, a major disaster declaration for severe storm. The county appears in 28 declarations since 1953.

How many flood insurance claims have been filed in Madison County, and how much was paid?

138 NFIP claims since 1978, 117 of them paid, for $3.5M in total. FEMA publishes these figures redacted and aggregated; individual properties are not identified.

Is Madison County in the National Risk Index's high-risk band?

FEMA's National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the county "Relatively Low" for overall risk, "Relatively Low" for expected annual loss, "Relatively Low" for social vulnerability and "Relatively High" for community resilience. These ratings are FEMA's relative comparison across all US counties.

How does Madison County compare with the rest of Kentucky?

104.9 recorded events per 100 square miles against 140.0 statewide, and 1.5 NFIP claims per 1,000 residents against 6.2. The comparison table on this page shows each measure beside the state and national figures.

Provenance

Storm events: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, yearly details files through 30 Jun 2026 (public domain). Declarations: OpenFEMA DisasterDeclarationsSummaries v2, refreshed 1 Oct 2026. Flood claims: OpenFEMA NfipClaims v3 as of 8 Sep 2026; NfipMultipleLossProperties v1 (2 Aug 2026); NfipResidentialPenetrationRates v1 (3 Aug 2026). Risk index: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025. Hurricane tracks: NHC HURDAT2 through 2025. Population and area: US Census Bureau, 2021 vintage. Built 1 Oct 2026; see the methodology and corrections pages. Hazard hubs: Hail · Tornado · Flood · Wind · Winter.